Avatar photoBy Tony TellezJuly 12, 2026 6:27 am

Night Moves MLB and WNBA Picks Today: Sunday, July 12, 2026

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Tony’s Picks • Night Moves

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Sunday, July 12, 2026

Night Moves Consensus Report

Strongest Agreement

Houston–Texas over, Arizona–Los Angeles over, Philadelphia–Detroit first-five under and Boston moneyline received the clearest shared support.

Chat Favorites

Milwaukee, Washington, Miami, Texas, Colorado, Toronto, Washington Mystics, Las Vegas and Saskatchewan attracted notable chat backing.

Ramon Contrarian Plays

Pittsburgh, Cleveland, San Diego, Seattle +5.5, Toronto +6.5 and Hamilton +8.5 went against the strongest chat lean.

Every Night Moves Pick and Analysis

MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

12:15 PM ET
MoneylineMIL +104PIT -125
Run LineMIL +1.5 (-204)PIT -1.5 (+167)
TotalOver 8 (-113)Under 8 (-106)
MilwaukeeLate replacement after Jacob Misiorowski scratch
PittsburghPaul Skenes

Sharp Analysis

Milwaukee’s late pitching change weakens the matchup while Pittsburgh enters with momentum after sweeping Saturday’s doubleheader. Skenes has shown reduced velocity and a 7.80 ERA over his last three starts, but the Pirates’ improved offense and home form make the short favorite playable.

Night Moves Chat

The chat leaned Milwaukee, while Larry preferred the under. Ramon remained on Pittsburgh.

The PickPittsburgh Pirates -125
MLB

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

1:35 PM ET
MoneylineKC +128BAL -155
Run LineKC +1.5 (-162)BAL -1.5 (+134)
TotalOver 9.5 (-112)Under 9.5 (-108)
Kansas CitySeth Lugo
BaltimoreShane Baz

Sharp Analysis

Kansas City’s offense has struggled badly against right-handed starters, while Baltimore has produced six wins in nine games. Lugo’s recent form is concerning, but the Royals’ inability to sustain offense makes the total more attractive than laying a premium Baltimore price.

Night Moves Chat

Larry and Latifah backed Baltimore. Timmy and Jason showed interest in Kansas City.

The PickUnder 9.5 (-108)
MLB

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals

1:35 PM ET
MoneylineNYY -112WSH -107
Run LineNYY -1.5 (+141)WSH +1.5 (-171)
TotalOver 9 (-121)Under 9 (+100)
New YorkWill Warren
WashingtonCade Cavalli

Sharp Analysis

New York has controlled the series and five consecutive Yankees games in Washington have stayed under. Warren’s road splits create risk, but Cavalli’s strikeout ability matches up well with a Yankees lineup that can swing and miss.

Night Moves Chat

The chat preferred Washington, with Nationals moneyline and +1.5 both mentioned.

The PickUnder 9 (+100)
MLB

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

1:40 PM ET
MoneylineCHC -131CIN +108
Run LineCHC -1.5 (+122)CIN +1.5 (-147)
TotalOver 9.5 (-102)Under 9.5 (-118)
ChicagoMatthew Boyd
CincinnatiAndrew Abbott

Sharp Analysis

Boyd has stabilized since returning from injury, while Abbott remains Cincinnati’s steadier option. Wind was expected to blow inward, and both clubs entered with strong recent under trends.

Night Moves Chat

Larry backed the Cubs and under. Jason preferred Chicago, while Jimmy and Latifah considered the over.

The PickUnder 9.5 (-118)
MLB

Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays

1:40 PM ET
MoneylineSEA +119TB -143
Run LineSEA +1.5 (-186)TB -1.5 (+153)
TotalOver 7.5 (-117)Under 7.5 (-103)
SeattleEmerson Hancock
Tampa BayIan Seymour

Sharp Analysis

Seattle entered with seven straight road losses and has struggled throughout the season against left-handed pitching. Seymour has avoided major damage in every start, while Tampa Bay owns one of baseball’s strongest home records.

Night Moves Chat

Plus Money backed Seattle. Other contributors leaned Tampa Bay, while Larry preferred the over.

The PickTampa Bay Rays -143
MLB

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers

1:40 PM ET
MoneylinePHI -102DET -118
Run LinePHI -1.5 (+166)DET +1.5 (-203)
TotalOver 7 (-114)Under 7 (-105)
PhiladelphiaZack Wheeler
DetroitTarik Skubal

Sharp Analysis

Wheeler and Skubal form the best starting-pitcher matchup on the board. Both bring elite strikeout potential, and each offense enters with matchup weaknesses. Isolating the starters avoids bullpen variance.

Night Moves Chat

Timmy joined the first-five under. Larry preferred Detroit +1.5.

The PickFirst Five Innings Under 3.5
MLB

Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins

1:40 PM ET
MoneylineCLE -105MIA -114
Run LineCLE -1.5 (+154)MIA +1.5 (-187)
TotalOver 8 (-115)Under 8 (-104)
ClevelandJoey Cantillo
MiamiTyler Phillips

Sharp Analysis

Cantillo entered with a 1.69 ERA over his previous three starts, while Phillips has been more vulnerable to left-handed hitters. Cleveland’s lineup construction and recent momentum support the short road price.

Night Moves Chat

The chat strongly preferred Miami. Jimmy, Timmy, Jason and Larry all backed the Marlins.

The PickCleveland Guardians -105
MLB

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

1:40 PM ET
MoneylineBOS -126NYM +105
Run LineBOS -1.5 (+134)NYM +1.5 (-162)
TotalOver 8 (-118)Under 8 (-102)
BostonPayton Tolle
New YorkZach Thornton

Sharp Analysis

Boston entered on an eight-game winning streak and owns one of baseball’s strongest profiles against left-handed pitching. The Mets have struggled against southpaws, while Boston’s primary late-inning relievers were available.

Night Moves Chat

Latifah, Plus Money, Jason and Larry backed Boston.

The PickBoston Red Sox -126
MLB

Athletics at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ET
MoneylineATH +104CWS -126
Run LineATH +1.5 (-192)CWS -1.5 (+157)
TotalOver 8.5 (-120)Under 8.5 (-101)
AthleticsJT Ginn
ChicagoNoah Schultz

Sharp Analysis

Ginn owns the cleaner starting profile, but the Athletics entered on an eight-game losing streak with several important bats unavailable. Chicago’s power is dangerous, though Ginn is capable of keeping the game from becoming another blowout.

Night Moves Chat

Jason, Timmy and Larry backed Chicago. Anthony Mays preferred the Athletics.

The PickUnder 8.5 (-101)
MLB

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins

2:10 PM ET
MoneylineLAA +113MIN -136
Run LineLAA +1.5 (-180)MIN -1.5 (+148)
TotalOver 9 (-118)Under 9 (-102)
Los AngelesJosé Soriano
MinnesotaTaj Bradley

Sharp Analysis

Bradley entered after consecutive 10-strikeout performances, while Soriano remains one of the few dependable Angels starters. Los Angeles has struggled to sustain offense on the road, supporting a lower-scoring result.

Night Moves Chat

The chat leaned Minnesota. Jason also preferred the Twins team total over, while Timmy liked the full-game over.

The PickUnder 9 (-102)
MLB

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals

2:15 PM ET
MoneylineATL +108STL -131
Run LineATL +1.5 (-191)STL -1.5 (+157)
TotalOver 8.5 (-102)Under 8.5 (-119)
AtlantaJ.R. Ritchie
St. LouisDustin May

Sharp Analysis

St. Louis held Atlanta to one run in each of the first two games and entered seeking a sweep. May has improved recently, while Ritchie remains a developing major-league arm.

Night Moves Chat

Timmy, Jason and Larry preferred Atlanta. Latifah and Plus Money leaned St. Louis.

The PickSt. Louis Cardinals -131
MLB

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

2:35 PM ET
MoneylineHOU +113TEX -136
Run LineHOU +1.5 (-182)TEX -1.5 (+150)
TotalOver 9 (-101)Under 9 (-119)
HoustonCristian Javier
TexasMacKenzie Gore

Sharp Analysis

Javier entered with major workload and effectiveness questions, while Gore had allowed at least three runs in three consecutive starts. Both offenses have clear scoring paths, particularly if either bullpen is exposed early.

Night Moves Chat

Latifah and Timmy backed the over. Jason and Anthony Mays preferred Texas.

The PickOver 9 (-101)
MLB

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

4:05 PM ET
MoneylineCOL +119SF -143
Run LineCOL +1.5 (-172)SF -1.5 (+142)
TotalOver 8.5 (-121)Under 8.5 (+100)
ColoradoMichael Lorenzen
San FranciscoTrevor McDonald

Sharp Analysis

Lorenzen and McDonald both entered with ERAs above 5.40. Rather than trust either side, the first-five over isolates two vulnerable starters before the bullpens become a factor.

Night Moves Chat

Jason and Latifah backed Colorado, while Larry preferred Rockies +1.5.

The PickFirst Five Innings Over
MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

4:10 PM ET
MoneylineARI +183LAD -225
Run LineARI +1.5 (-107)LAD -1.5 (-113)
TotalOver 9.5 (-107)Under 9.5 (-113)
ArizonaMitch Bratt
Los AngelesEmmet Sheehan

Sharp Analysis

Arizona entered seeking a sweep after scoring nine runs in consecutive games. Bratt’s limited major-league experience creates opportunities for Los Angeles, while Sheehan’s home-run vulnerability gives Arizona a path to continue scoring.

Night Moves Chat

Latifah, Kingsley and Anthony Mays backed Arizona. Timmy liked the Dodgers team total over. Larry joined the full-game over.

The PickOver 9.5 (-107)
MLB

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres

4:10 PM ET
MoneylineTOR -131SD +108
Run LineTOR -1.5 (+131)SD +1.5 (-158)
TotalOver 8.5 (-101)Under 8.5 (-119)
TorontoKevin Gausman
San DiegoGermán Márquez

Sharp Analysis

Gausman has been inconsistent, while Márquez rarely works deep. Ramon’s position is driven by home-underdog value and Toronto finishing a long trip rather than a clear pitching edge.

Night Moves Chat

Jason, Larry and Anthony Mays backed Toronto.

The PickSan Diego Padres +108
WNBA

Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics

3:00 PM ET
MoneylineSEA +180WAS -218
SpreadSEA +5.5 (-112)WAS -5.5 (-108)
TotalOver 160.5 (-108)Under 160.5 (-112)

Sharp Analysis

Seattle has been more competitive against the spread than its record suggests, while Washington entered only 1-5 ATS as a home favorite. More than five points creates value on the road underdog.

Night Moves Chat

Larry and Timmy preferred Washington.

The PickSeattle Storm +5.5 (-112)
WNBA

New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo

3:00 PM ET
MoneylineNYL -285TOR +230
SpreadNYL -6.5 (-108)TOR +6.5 (-112)
TotalOver 176.5 (-110)Under 176.5 (-110)

Sharp Analysis

New York entered on a back-to-back and had struggled against the spread on the road. Toronto’s underdog performance and the scheduling advantage make the points more attractive than chasing an inflated total.

Night Moves Chat

Larry preferred the under. Another chat position supported Toronto in the first half.

The PickToronto Tempo +6.5 (-112)
WNBA

Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings

7:00 PM ET
MoneylineCHI +340DAL -440
SpreadCHI +9.5 (-110)DAL -9.5 (-110)
TotalOver 178.5 (-108)Under 178.5 (-112)

Sharp Analysis

Dallas entered on a four-game winning streak with three consecutive covers. Chicago has competed in spots, but the Wings own the current offensive form to separate.

Night Moves Chat

Timmy supported Dallas in the first half. The room generally leaned Wings.

The PickDallas Wings -9.5 (-110)
WNBA

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces

9:00 PM ET
MoneylineIND +185LVA -225
SpreadIND +5.5 (-115)LVA -5.5 (-105)
TotalOver 181.5 (-112)Under 181.5 (-108)

Sharp Analysis

Both teams play at an elevated pace, and Las Vegas entered in excellent offensive form. The over is contrarian because the series has historically leaned under, but the current tempo creates a higher ceiling.

Night Moves Chat

Larry backed Las Vegas. Latifah showed some interest in Indiana.

The PickOver 181.5 (-112)
CFL

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Saskatchewan Roughriders

7:00 PM ET
MoneylineHAM +337SSK -417
SpreadHAM +8.5 (-107)SSK -8.5 (-106)
TotalOver 53.5 (-110)Under 53.5 (-106)

Sharp Analysis

Saskatchewan is the stronger club, but more than eight points gives Hamilton room to remain competitive. Ramon chose the large underdog rather than chase the CFL’s early over trend at an elevated total.

Night Moves Chat

The chat preferred Saskatchewan. Latifah backed the over.

The PickHamilton Tiger-Cats +8.5 (-107)

Sunday Night Moves Best Bets

Phillies–Tigers First Five Under 3.5

Wheeler and Skubal provide the strongest pure starting-pitcher matchup on the board.

Tampa Bay Rays -143

Seattle’s road problems and weakness against left-handed pitching support Tampa Bay at home.

Astros–Rangers Over 9

Javier’s uncertain workload and Gore’s recent inconsistency create scoring paths for both clubs.

Dallas Wings -9.5

Dallas entered with four straight wins and three consecutive covers against a struggling Chicago team.

Leaderboard Recap

Saturday’s Top Performers

Scott “Doubles” Shudy went 4-0. Jonathan “Solo” Malone finished 5-2. Tony’s Picks VIP and Justin “Stacks” McElvy each went 2-0. Tom Reighard posted a 5-3 record, Millz Young went 4-3, Jorge Gonzalez and D’Andre Stevenson each won their only play, while Tony Tellez and Chris Adkins finished 2-1.

Weekly Leaders

Justin McElvy led the week with approximately 11 units of profit. Tom Reighard followed at approximately 8.5 units, with Scott Shudy and Ron Crawford near 5.75 units.

Last 30 Days

Ron Crawford led the 30-day standings with approximately 12.5 units. David Racey followed above 10.75 units, with Justin McElvy above 9.5 units.

Yesterday’s Night Moves Recap

Saturday’s MLB winners included Minnesota on the run line, the Yankees on the run line, Cleveland–Miami first-five under, Seattle–Tampa Bay first-five under, Houston’s first-five position, Cubs–Reds under and Braves–Cardinals under.

The WNBA card swept. Minnesota’s game cleared the total, Portland covered as a 12.5-point underdog and Las Vegas covered easily in a dominant victory.

Ramon also won with Montreal -3.5 in the CFL and reported a 2-1 UFC premium-pick result.

Closing Betting Outlook

The strongest MLB opportunities come from isolating premium starters, fading weak offenses and attacking games with unstable pitching plans. The Philadelphia–Detroit first-five under is the clearest pitching selection, Tampa Bay offers one of the strongest situational sides and Houston–Texas provides the best volatility-based over.

Dallas carries the strongest WNBA combination of current form and matchup advantage. Seattle and Toronto provide contrarian underdog value, while Indiana–Las Vegas requires the current pace environment to overcome a long-standing under trend.

 

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Tony Tellez

Tony Tellez is the author/editor of TonysPicks, offering daily free sports picks and expert analysis for legal wagering. A seasoned handicapper with a TV show background and significant online presence, Tony provides data-driven insights across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and more, focusing on valuable betting information.