Watch our NFL Video Picks from our You Tube Channel here on Tonys Picks from our professional handicapper staff. Click the Load More button for more videos to load. This feed looks for updates every minute.
Why Eagles will Cover the Spread: TOP 5 Reasons | 1-19-25 NFL Divisional Round
Why Ravens and Bills will Go Under: TOP 5 Reasons | 1-19-25 NFL Divisional Round
Why Commanders will Cover the Spread: TOP 5 Reasons | 1-18-25 NFL Divisional Round
Why Texans will Cover the Spread: TOP 5 Reasons | 1-18-25 NFL Divisional Round
NFL Betting Picks
NFL betting picks are handicapped by several of our professional handicappers on Tonys Picks. Tony T will handicap every NFL game and film picks on You Tube. He has been in the handicapping business for several decades.
NFL Picks Handicapping Methods
Tony T utilizes meaningful stats into his picks for each game. There is a bit of eye test in the handicap but there are many factors he considers. Players available are crucial to a successful handicap of an NFL game. Injuries are common in football and keeping up on the injury report is vital to winning.
How to Bet Legally on the NFL
There are several states in the USA that have legalized sports betting. The best pointers are to open and fund as many legal sports betting accounts as possible. This gives the bettor a tremendous edge as they have a marketplace to shop from. The best betting practice is to shop for the best number when placing bets. That works when you have funded several legal sportsbook accounts.
Can You Rely of Trends When Betting NFL
Betting trends can supply support in your handicapping of the NFL. Relying on trends alone is not advisable. The trends that have more meaning would be in scheduling spots and searching out strengths versus weakness angle. How teams perform on the road and at home is a vital piece of information. Also, how teams perform against good and bad passing along with rushing defenses can aid your handicap of the game. Flip this around and see how teams do against good passing and rushing teams.
How Do You Factor Weather When Handicapping the NFL
Weather can greatly impact offenses in the NFL. The passing game will be impacted when the winds are 20 miles per hour or higher. Heavy rain and snow will also impact offensive performance. Extreme cold temperatures that reach 15 degrees or colder do as well. The kicking game is impacted by all these weather conditions as well. Teams will rely heavily on running the football, defense and field position in these extreme weather conditions. It is good practice to see how Dome teams playing outdoors do in these winter-like conditions.
NFL Betting Tips at the Start of the Season
Both handicappers and sportsbook managers can struggle early in the season. Heavy Player and coaching turnover have been common these days as owners are quick to make changes. The best tips are to look for teams that have changed the least plus have a good history of winning and covering. Big time free agent signings get a lot of hype, but these players may need time to adjust to their new team, system and coaches. Also, look for teams that played starters the most in the preseason. These teams are prepped to get off to a winning start while the teams that sat their starters could be struggling out of the gates.
Market Reading NFL Odds for Betting
The best practice to get a good positive read on the betting odds market is to have access to Live Odds. With that access you can have the latest lines from the sharpest sports books in the industry. Those sports books would be Pinnacle, Cris and Circa. Cris is also known in some countries as Bookmaker. The biggest limits are offered at those three books so that is where the sharp bettors place their biggest bets. So, keeping an eye on those line moves will key you in on where the sharp money is coming from.
Small limit books try to fool bettors into thinking that their betting splits do that but seeing line moves from low limit books won’t give you an accurate read on the market.
Everyday bettors finding their source for free NFL picks have found this handicapping team as professional and reliable with their winning predictions against the spread. The experts have decades of experience following the pro football action in detail.
More Free NFL Picks Predictions Previews
NFL Injury Report Data Key to Successful Handicapping
Important is knowing who will play and who will not play. NFL free picks winners can be found by scrubbing in detail the injury report to look for key personnel missing from the playing field. Identifying factors in producing profitable free NFL picks is the impact of home field advantage for each pro football team. They are all not created equally. Some teams have loyal fans who show up and make noise win or lose and there are some who opt to sell their tickets on the various ticket exchanges only to be gobbled up by the fans of the visiting team. Crowd noise is a factor in key points of the game and especially for the road teams on third down situations.
NFL Handicappers Who Are Clear and Concise
Sports bettors in search for free NFL picks will key on handicappers who provide clear and concise analysis to back their opinion. Telling the reader why they like free NFL pick is important tell for bettors to gauge the competence level of the prognosticator. Point spread analysts providing free NFL picks at our site research thoroughly their selections before going on the record.
How to Use NFL Stats Successfully in Handicapping
Statistical information is just part of the equation when searching to win with free NFL picks. In pro football it is all about matching a strength against a weakness of an opponent. Game plans by coaching staffs come about by studying hours of film dissecting the opposition looking for an edge. Free NFL picks handicappers often look for the same edges that coaches look for. Predicting correct game plans leads to winning free NFL picks.
NFL pro football has gone through changes in the rules of their games. Many who deliver free NFL picks have identified how offenses have been given an advantage by the rules committees. Less contact is allowed by defenders on receivers who run their patters. This have led to higher scoring games and leading to free NFL picks winning on over under totals selections. Experience is key to selecting free NFL picks. Especially on the offensive line. With defensive players getting faster and stronger it has become very important to have stability on the offensive line protecting quarterbacks and opening holes in the running game.
NFL Trends: Setting The Endpoints
Trends are another factor for finding free NFL picks. It is noteworthy to look at trends but it is also important to know the last couple of years means more than the overall length of the trend. With free agency plus lack of patience from fans and owners there is a lot of turnover in pro football. That can lead to chaos. The staff here factors current trends more since that leads to more free NFL picks being successful.
NFL Betting: Handling the Wins and Losses
Successful bettors have discipline and keep a steady head whether their free NFL picks win or lose. The key is delivering a profit long term. Luck is a small factor but bad and good even out over time. For every bad beat you had with your free NFL picks remember when you got a bit lucky with a point spread cover.
NFL Motivational Handicapping
One of the most talked about issue when searching for free NFL picks is determining motivation from teams. During the early part of the regular season most teams have playoff hopes and the focus is on divisional games. Each NFL team is placed in a division with three other teams and will play them twice a season once home and away. Crucial factors when giving out free NFL picks is determining the importance of each game. Typically, the least important game is playing an out of conference opponent or when an NFC Team plays an AFC Team. Then comes a game against a conference opponent who is not in their division. Conference wins factors in playoff tie breakers while beating out of conference opponents are not factors in tie breakers. The most important game is the division game as each division winner is guaranteed a playoff spot so teams emphasize the most on those games. One of the toughest ways to find free NFL picks is in games when two teams eliminated from the playoffs face one another. The thought there is most coaches will try and emphasize offense so higher scoring games are the expected outcome.
NFL Betting Methods Explained
The delivery of free NFL picks will be either a point spread, over under total or money line. A point spread is a number assigned to a team as the favorite to win the game. They must win by more than the assigned number to cash a betting ticket. Should the free NFL picks handicapper choose the underdog then the team must not lose by more than the points they are receiving. A win outright by the underdog will win the point spread bet.
An over under total is the number of points both teams combined will score. Those wagering on a total may play over or under. Simply to win an over bet both teams must combine to score over the posted number. An under free NFL picks bet will win if both teams combine to score below the listed total by the sportsbook. A money line or straight bet will be an occasional free NFL picks where a team must simply win to have a successful bet. Odds are calculated on favorites on winning $100. For example, a money line odd may read -170. That means the bettor who wants to play the favorite must best $170 to win a $100. The underdog in this scenario will usually be lined at +150 odds when the favorite is lined at -170. Those receiving free NFL picks on money line underdogs will have to bet $100 in this example to win back $150. The total return is the winnings of $150 plus the $100 wagering made for a total of $250 return by the sportbook.
Some other types of free NFL picks are teasers, parlays and prop bets. If a free NFL pick is a parlay then given is two teams that must win against the spread to cash your wager. A benefit of a parlay is that if both teams are successful in covering the betting line than the return is greater if you made only a single wager against the spread.
A teaser is a combination of wagers that all must win. Bettors get a break in the point spread as they can choose up to 7 point movement in their favor for each team they select. The odds return for winning each is greatly lower than if a parlay bet was made due to the benefit of getting up to seven extra points towards the point spread on the side of each team selected. All teams selected in a teaser must successfully cover the point spread factoring in the extra points taken for each of them. An example would be if you received a free NFL pick on Green Bay -8. If decided to take Green Bay to a 7 point teaser with another team than the point spread moves to Green Bay -1. The Packers must win by two or more to win that side of the teaser bet.
Prop bets are usually most popular during Super Bowls as many handicappers will release free NFL picks for this wager type. They don’t relate on which team will win but it is a wager on what may transpire during the game. Examples include wagering on how many yards a player may rush or pass for. How many touchdowns are scored by an individual or who will win the MVP.
Sports Book Outs
Dedicated winners of free NFL picks will try and find the point spread offered at their sportsbook to be the most favorable to them and not settle for one place to bet. This term is often referred to as having many “outs”. It comes down to prudent shopping of lines and searching for that extra half or full point in your favor which term more losing and tying tickets into winning free NFL picks wagered over the long haul.