Tony’s Picks NFL Preseason Research

Top 100 NFL Preseason Money Line Trends

Straight-up team records, win percentages, opponent rates, fair break-even prices, current streaks and historical Back/Fade angles from NFL preseason games played from 2010 through 2025.

Back: all preseason favorites

504-347-6Straight-Up Record

59.2%Team Win Rate

59.2%Angle Hit Rate

-145Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

All preseason favorites posted a 504-347-6 straight-up record, winning 59.2% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 40.8% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 59.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -145. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack all preseason favorites

Fade: all preseason underdogs

347-504-6Straight-Up Record

40.8%Team Win Rate

59.2%Angle Hit Rate

-145Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

All preseason underdogs posted a 347-504-6 straight-up record, winning 40.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 59.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 59.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -145. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade all preseason underdogs

Back: preseason favorites of -5 or more

101-39-3Straight-Up Record

72.1%Team Win Rate

72.1%Angle Hit Rate

-259Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Preseason favorites of -5 or more posted a 101-39-3 straight-up record, winning 72.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 27.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 72.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -259. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack preseason favorites of -5 or more

Fade: preseason underdogs of +5 or more

39-101-3Straight-Up Record

27.9%Team Win Rate

72.1%Angle Hit Rate

-259Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Preseason underdogs of +5 or more posted a 39-101-3 straight-up record, winning 27.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 72.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 72.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -259. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade preseason underdogs of +5 or more

Back: preseason favorites of -3 to -4.5

257-158-2Straight-Up Record

61.9%Team Win Rate

61.9%Angle Hit Rate

-163Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Preseason favorites of -3 to -4.5 posted a 257-158-2 straight-up record, winning 61.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 38.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 61.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -163. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack preseason favorites of -3 to -4.5

Fade: preseason underdogs of +3 to +4.5

158-257-2Straight-Up Record

38.1%Team Win Rate

61.9%Angle Hit Rate

-163Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Preseason underdogs of +3 to +4.5 posted a 158-257-2 straight-up record, winning 38.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 61.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 61.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -163. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade preseason underdogs of +3 to +4.5

Back: Ravens as a preseason favorite

29-4Straight-Up Record

87.9%Team Win Rate

87.9%Angle Hit Rate

-725Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens as a preseason favorite posted a 29-4 straight-up record, winning 87.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 12.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 87.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -725. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens as a preseason favorite

Back: Ravens in all preseason games

43-13Straight-Up Record

76.8%Team Win Rate

76.8%Angle Hit Rate

-331Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens in all preseason games posted a 43-13 straight-up record, winning 76.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 23.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 76.8% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -331. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens in all preseason games

Back: Ravens on grass

34-9Straight-Up Record

79.1%Team Win Rate

79.1%Angle Hit Rate

-378Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens on grass posted a 34-9 straight-up record, winning 79.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 20.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 79.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -378. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens on grass

#10

Back: Ravens as the home team

24-4Straight-Up Record

85.7%Team Win Rate

85.7%Angle Hit Rate

-600Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens as the home team posted a 24-4 straight-up record, winning 85.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 14.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 85.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -600. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens as the home team

#11

Fade: Falcons in all preseason games

14-41-1Straight-Up Record

25.5%Team Win Rate

74.5%Angle Hit Rate

-293Fair Break-Even Price

L7Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons in all preseason games posted a 14-41-1 straight-up record, winning 25.5% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 74.5% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 74.5% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -293. The latest straight-up sequence is L7. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons in all preseason games

#12

Fade: Falcons as a preseason underdog

6-26Straight-Up Record

18.8%Team Win Rate

81.2%Angle Hit Rate

-433Fair Break-Even Price

L6Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons as a preseason underdog posted a 6-26 straight-up record, winning 18.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 81.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 81.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -433. The latest straight-up sequence is L6. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons as a preseason underdog

#13

Fade: Falcons in Preseason Week 2

2-13Straight-Up Record

13.3%Team Win Rate

86.7%Angle Hit Rate

-650Fair Break-Even Price

L12Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons in preseason week 2 posted a 2-13 straight-up record, winning 13.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 86.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 86.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -650. The latest straight-up sequence is L12. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons in Preseason Week 2

#14

Fade: Saints as a preseason underdog

4-17-1Straight-Up Record

19.0%Team Win Rate

81.0%Angle Hit Rate

-425Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Saints as a preseason underdog posted a 4-17-1 straight-up record, winning 19.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 81.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 81.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -425. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Saints as a preseason underdog

#15

Fade: Falcons on turf

8-24-1Straight-Up Record

25.0%Team Win Rate

75.0%Angle Hit Rate

-300Fair Break-Even Price

L5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons on turf posted a 8-24-1 straight-up record, winning 25.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 75.0% of those matchups.

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Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 75.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -300. The latest straight-up sequence is L5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons on turf

#16

Fade: Jaguars as a preseason underdog

6-20Straight-Up Record

23.1%Team Win Rate

76.9%Angle Hit Rate

-333Fair Break-Even Price

L6Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Jaguars as a preseason underdog posted a 6-20 straight-up record, winning 23.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 76.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 76.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -333. The latest straight-up sequence is L6. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Jaguars as a preseason underdog

#17

Fade: Falcons in Preseason Week 1

2-12-1Straight-Up Record

14.3%Team Win Rate

85.7%Angle Hit Rate

-600Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons in preseason week 1 posted a 2-12-1 straight-up record, winning 14.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 85.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 85.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -600. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons in Preseason Week 1

#18

Back: Seahawks as a preseason favorite

26-10Straight-Up Record

72.2%Team Win Rate

72.2%Angle Hit Rate

-260Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Seahawks as a preseason favorite posted a 26-10 straight-up record, winning 72.2% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 27.8% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 72.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -260. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Seahawks as a preseason favorite

#19

Fade: Cowboys as the away team

7-21Straight-Up Record

25.0%Team Win Rate

75.0%Angle Hit Rate

-300Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Cowboys as the away team posted a 7-21 straight-up record, winning 25.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 75.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 75.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -300. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cowboys as the away team

#20

Fade: Falcons as the home team

7-21-1Straight-Up Record

25.0%Team Win Rate

75.0%Angle Hit Rate

-300Fair Break-Even Price

L4Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons as the home team posted a 7-21-1 straight-up record, winning 25.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 75.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 75.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -300. The latest straight-up sequence is L4. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons as the home team

#21

Fade: Falcons as the away team

7-20Straight-Up Record

25.9%Team Win Rate

74.1%Angle Hit Rate

-286Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Falcons as the away team posted a 7-20 straight-up record, winning 25.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 74.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 74.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -286. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons as the away team

#22

Fade: Saints in Preseason Week 3

2-11Straight-Up Record

15.4%Team Win Rate

84.6%Angle Hit Rate

-550Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Saints in preseason week 3 posted a 2-11 straight-up record, winning 15.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 84.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 84.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -550. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Saints in Preseason Week 3

#23

Back: all preseason home teams

479-405-6Straight-Up Record

54.2%Team Win Rate

54.2%Angle Hit Rate

-118Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

All preseason home teams posted a 479-405-6 straight-up record, winning 54.2% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 45.8% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 54.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -118. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack all preseason home teams

#24

Fade: all preseason away teams

405-479-6Straight-Up Record

45.8%Team Win Rate

54.2%Angle Hit Rate

-118Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

All preseason away teams posted a 405-479-6 straight-up record, winning 45.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 54.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 54.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -118. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade all preseason away teams

#25

Fade: Chiefs as a preseason underdog

6-18Straight-Up Record

25.0%Team Win Rate

75.0%Angle Hit Rate

-300Fair Break-Even Price

L4Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chiefs as a preseason underdog posted a 6-18 straight-up record, winning 25.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 75.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 75.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -300. The latest straight-up sequence is L4. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chiefs as a preseason underdog

#26

Back: Texans as the home team

19-7Straight-Up Record

73.1%Team Win Rate

73.1%Angle Hit Rate

-271Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans as the home team posted a 19-7 straight-up record, winning 73.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 26.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 73.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -271. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans as the home team

#27

Fade: Colts in Preseason Week 1

3-12Straight-Up Record

20.0%Team Win Rate

80.0%Angle Hit Rate

-400Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Colts in preseason week 1 posted a 3-12 straight-up record, winning 20.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 80.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 80.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -400. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Colts in Preseason Week 1

#28

Back: Patriots in Preseason Week 1

12-3Straight-Up Record

80.0%Team Win Rate

80.0%Angle Hit Rate

-400Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Patriots in preseason week 1 posted a 12-3 straight-up record, winning 80.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 20.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 80.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -400. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Patriots in Preseason Week 1

#29

Back: Ravens in Preseason Week 2

12-3Straight-Up Record

80.0%Team Win Rate

80.0%Angle Hit Rate

-400Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens in preseason week 2 posted a 12-3 straight-up record, winning 80.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 20.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 80.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -400. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens in Preseason Week 2

#30

Fade: Falcons on grass

6-17Straight-Up Record

26.1%Team Win Rate

73.9%Angle Hit Rate

-283Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2024Season Span

Falcons on grass posted a 6-17 straight-up record, winning 26.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2024. Opponents won 73.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 73.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -283. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Falcons on grass

#31

Back: Texans on grass

26-12Straight-Up Record

68.4%Team Win Rate

68.4%Angle Hit Rate

-217Fair Break-Even Price

W4Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans on grass posted a 26-12 straight-up record, winning 68.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 31.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 68.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -217. The latest straight-up sequence is W4. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans on grass

#32

Fade: Cowboys as a preseason underdog

11-24Straight-Up Record

31.4%Team Win Rate

68.6%Angle Hit Rate

-218Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2024Season Span

Cowboys as a preseason underdog posted a 11-24 straight-up record, winning 31.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2024. Opponents won 68.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 68.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -218. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cowboys as a preseason underdog

#33

Fade: Patriots in Preseason Week 3

3-11Straight-Up Record

21.4%Team Win Rate

78.6%Angle Hit Rate

-367Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Patriots in preseason week 3 posted a 3-11 straight-up record, winning 21.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 78.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 78.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -367. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Patriots in Preseason Week 3

#34

Back: Redskins as a preseason favorite

16-6Straight-Up Record

72.7%Team Win Rate

72.7%Angle Hit Rate

-267Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2019Season Span

Redskins as a preseason favorite posted a 16-6 straight-up record, winning 72.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2019. Opponents won 27.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 72.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -267. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Redskins as a preseason favorite

#35

Fade: Raiders as the away team

8-19-1Straight-Up Record

29.6%Team Win Rate

70.4%Angle Hit Rate

-238Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Raiders as the away team posted a 8-19-1 straight-up record, winning 29.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 70.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 70.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -238. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Raiders as the away team

#36

Back: Packers as a preseason favorite

19-8Straight-Up Record

70.4%Team Win Rate

70.4%Angle Hit Rate

-238Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Packers as a preseason favorite posted a 19-8 straight-up record, winning 70.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 29.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 70.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -238. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Packers as a preseason favorite

#37

Back: Seahawks as the home team

19-8-1Straight-Up Record

70.4%Team Win Rate

70.4%Angle Hit Rate

-238Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Seahawks as the home team posted a 19-8-1 straight-up record, winning 70.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 29.6% of those matchups.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Seahawks as the home team

#38

Fade: Chargers as a preseason underdog

11-23Straight-Up Record

32.4%Team Win Rate

67.6%Angle Hit Rate

-209Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers as a preseason underdog posted a 11-23 straight-up record, winning 32.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 67.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 67.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -209. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers as a preseason underdog

#39

Back: Titans as a preseason favorite

20-9Straight-Up Record

69.0%Team Win Rate

69.0%Angle Hit Rate

-222Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Titans as a preseason favorite posted a 20-9 straight-up record, winning 69.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 31.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 69.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -222. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Titans as a preseason favorite

#40

Back: Texans in all preseason games

35-20Straight-Up Record

63.6%Team Win Rate

63.6%Angle Hit Rate

-175Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans in all preseason games posted a 35-20 straight-up record, winning 63.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 36.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 63.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -175. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans in all preseason games

#41

Fade: Raiders on turf

4-12-1Straight-Up Record

25.0%Team Win Rate

75.0%Angle Hit Rate

-300Fair Break-Even Price

T1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Raiders on turf posted a 4-12-1 straight-up record, winning 25.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 75.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 75.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -300. The latest straight-up sequence is T1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Raiders on turf

#42

Back: Broncos on grass

28-15Straight-Up Record

65.1%Team Win Rate

65.1%Angle Hit Rate

-187Fair Break-Even Price

W5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Broncos on grass posted a 28-15 straight-up record, winning 65.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 34.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 65.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -187. The latest straight-up sequence is W5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Broncos on grass

#43

Fade: Chargers on grass

15-28Straight-Up Record

34.9%Team Win Rate

65.1%Angle Hit Rate

-187Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers on grass posted a 15-28 straight-up record, winning 34.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 65.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 65.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -187. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers on grass

#44

Back: Eagles as a preseason favorite

21-10-1Straight-Up Record

67.7%Team Win Rate

67.7%Angle Hit Rate

-210Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Eagles as a preseason favorite posted a 21-10-1 straight-up record, winning 67.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 32.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 67.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -210. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Eagles as a preseason favorite

#45

Back: 49ers in Preseason Week 3

10-3-1Straight-Up Record

76.9%Team Win Rate

76.9%Angle Hit Rate

-333Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

49ers in preseason week 3 posted a 10-3-1 straight-up record, winning 76.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 23.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 76.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -333. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack 49ers in Preseason Week 3

#46

Back: Packers as the home team

19-9Straight-Up Record

67.9%Team Win Rate

67.9%Angle Hit Rate

-211Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Packers as the home team posted a 19-9 straight-up record, winning 67.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 32.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 67.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -211. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Packers as the home team

#47

Back: Ravens as the away team

19-9Straight-Up Record

67.9%Team Win Rate

67.9%Angle Hit Rate

-211Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens as the away team posted a 19-9 straight-up record, winning 67.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 32.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 67.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -211. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens as the away team

#48

Fade: Chiefs as the away team

9-19Straight-Up Record

32.1%Team Win Rate

67.9%Angle Hit Rate

-211Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chiefs as the away team posted a 9-19 straight-up record, winning 32.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 67.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 67.9% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -211. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chiefs as the away team

#49

Back: Vikings as a preseason favorite

16-7Straight-Up Record

69.6%Team Win Rate

69.6%Angle Hit Rate

-229Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Vikings as a preseason favorite posted a 16-7 straight-up record, winning 69.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 30.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 69.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -229. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Vikings as a preseason favorite

#50

Back: Texans as a preseason favorite

23-12Straight-Up Record

65.7%Team Win Rate

65.7%Angle Hit Rate

-192Fair Break-Even Price

W5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans as a preseason favorite posted a 23-12 straight-up record, winning 65.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 34.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 65.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -192. The latest straight-up sequence is W5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans as a preseason favorite

#51

Fade: Cowboys in all preseason games

22-36Straight-Up Record

37.9%Team Win Rate

62.1%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Cowboys in all preseason games posted a 22-36 straight-up record, winning 37.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 62.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 62.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cowboys in all preseason games

#52

Fade: Cowboys in Preseason Week 1

4-11Straight-Up Record

26.7%Team Win Rate

73.3%Angle Hit Rate

-275Fair Break-Even Price

L5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Cowboys in preseason week 1 posted a 4-11 straight-up record, winning 26.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 73.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 73.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -275. The latest straight-up sequence is L5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cowboys in Preseason Week 1

#53

Back: Ravens in Preseason Week 1

11-4Straight-Up Record

73.3%Team Win Rate

73.3%Angle Hit Rate

-275Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens in preseason week 1 posted a 11-4 straight-up record, winning 73.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 26.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 73.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -275. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens in Preseason Week 1

#54

Back: Steelers in Preseason Week 1

11-4Straight-Up Record

73.3%Team Win Rate

73.3%Angle Hit Rate

-275Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Steelers in preseason week 1 posted a 11-4 straight-up record, winning 73.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 26.7% of those matchups.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Steelers in Preseason Week 1

#55

Back: Texans in Preseason Week 1

11-4Straight-Up Record

73.3%Team Win Rate

73.3%Angle Hit Rate

-275Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans in preseason week 1 posted a 11-4 straight-up record, winning 73.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 26.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 73.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -275. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans in Preseason Week 1

#56

Back: Redskins as the home team

14-6Straight-Up Record

70.0%Team Win Rate

70.0%Angle Hit Rate

-233Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2019Season Span

Redskins as the home team posted a 14-6 straight-up record, winning 70.0% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2019. Opponents won 30.0% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 70.0% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -233. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Redskins as the home team

#57

Back: Titans as the home team

18-9Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W6Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Titans as the home team posted a 18-9 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W6. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Titans as the home team

#58

Back: Giants on turf

30-18Straight-Up Record

62.5%Team Win Rate

62.5%Angle Hit Rate

-167Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Giants on turf posted a 30-18 straight-up record, winning 62.5% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 37.5% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 62.5% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -167. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Giants on turf

#59

Fade: Bengals as a preseason underdog

9-18-1Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2011–2024Season Span

Bengals as a preseason underdog posted a 9-18-1 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2011 through 2024. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Bengals as a preseason underdog

#60

Fade: Chargers as the home team

9-18Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers as the home team posted a 9-18 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers as the home team

#61

Fade: Colts as the home team

9-18Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Colts as the home team posted a 9-18 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Colts as the home team

#62

Fade: Panthers as a preseason underdog

9-18Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L6Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Panthers as a preseason underdog posted a 9-18 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L6. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Panthers as a preseason underdog

#63

Fade: Rams as the away team

9-18Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Rams as the away team posted a 9-18 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Rams as the away team

#64

Fade: Cowboys on grass

7-15Straight-Up Record

31.8%Team Win Rate

68.2%Angle Hit Rate

-214Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2024Season Span

Cowboys on grass posted a 7-15 straight-up record, winning 31.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2024. Opponents won 68.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 68.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -214. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cowboys on grass

#65

Back: Steelers as a preseason favorite

19-10Straight-Up Record

65.5%Team Win Rate

65.5%Angle Hit Rate

-190Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Steelers as a preseason favorite posted a 19-10 straight-up record, winning 65.5% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 34.5% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 65.5% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -190. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Steelers as a preseason favorite

#66

Back: Lions as a preseason favorite

16-8Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Lions as a preseason favorite posted a 16-8 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Lions as a preseason favorite

#67

Back: Broncos in all preseason games

34-22Straight-Up Record

60.7%Team Win Rate

60.7%Angle Hit Rate

-155Fair Break-Even Price

W7Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Broncos in all preseason games posted a 34-22 straight-up record, winning 60.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 39.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 60.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -155. The latest straight-up sequence is W7. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Broncos in all preseason games

#68

Fade: Chargers in all preseason games

22-34Straight-Up Record

39.3%Team Win Rate

60.7%Angle Hit Rate

-155Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers in all preseason games posted a 22-34 straight-up record, winning 39.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 60.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 60.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -155. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers in all preseason games

#69

Back: Colts in Preseason Week 3

10-4Straight-Up Record

71.4%Team Win Rate

71.4%Angle Hit Rate

-250Fair Break-Even Price

W8Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Colts in preseason week 3 posted a 10-4 straight-up record, winning 71.4% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 28.6% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 71.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -250. The latest straight-up sequence is W8. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Colts in Preseason Week 3

#70

Fade: Bengals on grass

4-10Straight-Up Record

28.6%Team Win Rate

71.4%Angle Hit Rate

-250Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Bengals on grass posted a 4-10 straight-up record, winning 28.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 71.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 71.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -250. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Bengals on grass

#71

Fade: Chargers in Preseason Week 3

4-10Straight-Up Record

28.6%Team Win Rate

71.4%Angle Hit Rate

-250Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers in preseason week 3 posted a 4-10 straight-up record, winning 28.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 71.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 71.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -250. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers in Preseason Week 3

#72

Back: Redskins in all preseason games

25-15Straight-Up Record

62.5%Team Win Rate

62.5%Angle Hit Rate

-167Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2019Season Span

Redskins in all preseason games posted a 25-15 straight-up record, winning 62.5% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2019. Opponents won 37.5% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 62.5% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -167. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Redskins in all preseason games

#73

Back: 49ers on grass

30-19-1Straight-Up Record

61.2%Team Win Rate

61.2%Angle Hit Rate

-158Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

49ers on grass posted a 30-19-1 straight-up record, winning 61.2% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 38.8% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 61.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -158. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack 49ers on grass

#74

Fade: Packers as a preseason underdog

9-17Straight-Up Record

34.6%Team Win Rate

65.4%Angle Hit Rate

-189Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Packers as a preseason underdog posted a 9-17 straight-up record, winning 34.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 65.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 65.4% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -189. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Packers as a preseason underdog

#75

Back: Broncos as a preseason favorite

21-12Straight-Up Record

63.6%Team Win Rate

63.6%Angle Hit Rate

-175Fair Break-Even Price

W6Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Broncos as a preseason favorite posted a 21-12 straight-up record, winning 63.6% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 36.4% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 63.6% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -175. The latest straight-up sequence is W6. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Broncos as a preseason favorite

#76

Back: Steelers as the home team

18-10Straight-Up Record

64.3%Team Win Rate

64.3%Angle Hit Rate

-180Fair Break-Even Price

L3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Steelers as the home team posted a 18-10 straight-up record, winning 64.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 35.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 64.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -180. The latest straight-up sequence is L3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Steelers as the home team

#77

Fade: Buccaneers as the home team

10-18Straight-Up Record

35.7%Team Win Rate

64.3%Angle Hit Rate

-180Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Buccaneers as the home team posted a 10-18 straight-up record, winning 35.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 64.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 64.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -180. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Buccaneers as the home team

#78

Fade: Jaguars on grass

14-23Straight-Up Record

37.8%Team Win Rate

62.2%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Jaguars on grass posted a 14-23 straight-up record, winning 37.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 62.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 62.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Jaguars on grass

#79

Back: Vikings on turf

24-15Straight-Up Record

61.5%Team Win Rate

61.5%Angle Hit Rate

-160Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Vikings on turf posted a 24-15 straight-up record, winning 61.5% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 38.5% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 61.5% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -160. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Vikings on turf

#80

Fade: Seahawks as a preseason underdog

6-12-1Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Seahawks as a preseason underdog posted a 6-12-1 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Seahawks as a preseason underdog

#81

Fade: Raiders in Preseason Week 3

4-9-1Straight-Up Record

30.8%Team Win Rate

69.2%Angle Hit Rate

-225Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Raiders in preseason week 3 posted a 4-9-1 straight-up record, winning 30.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 69.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 69.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -225. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Raiders in Preseason Week 3

#82

Back: Ravens on turf

9-4Straight-Up Record

69.2%Team Win Rate

69.2%Angle Hit Rate

-225Fair Break-Even Price

W5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Ravens on turf posted a 9-4 straight-up record, winning 69.2% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 30.8% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 69.2% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -225. The latest straight-up sequence is W5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Ravens on turf

#83

Back: Redskins on grass

21-13Straight-Up Record

61.8%Team Win Rate

61.8%Angle Hit Rate

-162Fair Break-Even Price

L5Latest SU Streak

2010–2019Season Span

Redskins on grass posted a 21-13 straight-up record, winning 61.8% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2019. Opponents won 38.2% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 61.8% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -162. The latest straight-up sequence is L5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Redskins on grass

#84

Back: 49ers in all preseason games

32-22-1Straight-Up Record

59.3%Team Win Rate

59.3%Angle Hit Rate

-145Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

49ers in all preseason games posted a 32-22-1 straight-up record, winning 59.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 40.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 59.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -145. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack 49ers in all preseason games

#85

Back: Seahawks in all preseason games

32-22-1Straight-Up Record

59.3%Team Win Rate

59.3%Angle Hit Rate

-145Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Seahawks in all preseason games posted a 32-22-1 straight-up record, winning 59.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 40.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 59.3% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -145. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Seahawks in all preseason games

#86

Back: 49ers as a preseason favorite

18-11-1Straight-Up Record

62.1%Team Win Rate

62.1%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

T1Latest SU Streak

2010–2024Season Span

49ers as a preseason favorite posted a 18-11-1 straight-up record, winning 62.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2024. Opponents won 37.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 62.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is T1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack 49ers as a preseason favorite

#87

Back: Broncos as the away team

18-11Straight-Up Record

62.1%Team Win Rate

62.1%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Broncos as the away team posted a 18-11 straight-up record, winning 62.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 37.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 62.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Broncos as the away team

#88

Fade: Raiders as a preseason underdog

11-18-1Straight-Up Record

37.9%Team Win Rate

62.1%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

T1Latest SU Streak

2010–2024Season Span

Raiders as a preseason underdog posted a 11-18-1 straight-up record, winning 37.9% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2024. Opponents won 62.1% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 62.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is T1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Raiders as a preseason underdog

#89

Back: Vikings as the home team

18-11Straight-Up Record

62.1%Team Win Rate

62.1%Angle Hit Rate

-164Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Vikings as the home team posted a 18-11 straight-up record, winning 62.1% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 37.9% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 62.1% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -164. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Vikings as the home team

#90

Back: Broncos in Preseason Week 2

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W3Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Broncos in preseason week 2 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W3. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Broncos in Preseason Week 2

#91

Back: Eagles in Preseason Week 2

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Eagles in preseason week 2 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Eagles in Preseason Week 2

#92

Back: Giants in Preseason Week 1

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W4Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Giants in preseason week 1 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W4. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Giants in Preseason Week 1

#93

Back: Jets in Preseason Week 1

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Jets in preseason week 1 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Jets in Preseason Week 1

#94

Back: Texans in Preseason Week 2

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Texans in preseason week 2 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Texans in Preseason Week 2

#95

Back: Titans in Preseason Week 2

10-5Straight-Up Record

66.7%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W5Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Titans in preseason week 2 posted a 10-5 straight-up record, winning 66.7% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 33.3% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to back this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W5. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleBack Titans in Preseason Week 2

#96

Fade: Bengals in Preseason Week 2

5-10Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Bengals in preseason week 2 posted a 5-10 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Bengals in Preseason Week 2

#97

Fade: Browns in Preseason Week 2

5-10Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

W1Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Browns in preseason week 2 posted a 5-10 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is W1. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Browns in Preseason Week 2

#98

Fade: Cardinals in Preseason Week 2

5-10Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Cardinals in preseason week 2 posted a 5-10 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Cardinals in Preseason Week 2

#99

Fade: Chargers in Preseason Week 2

5-10Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chargers in preseason week 2 posted a 5-10 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chargers in Preseason Week 2

#100

Fade: Chiefs in Preseason Week 1

5-10Straight-Up Record

33.3%Team Win Rate

66.7%Angle Hit Rate

-200Fair Break-Even Price

L2Latest SU Streak

2010–2025Season Span

Chiefs in preseason week 1 posted a 5-10 straight-up record, winning 33.3% of decided preseason games from 2010 through 2025. Opponents won 66.7% of those matchups.

Sharp read: The historical recommendation is to fade this situation. The recommended side won 66.7% of graded games, equal to an approximate break-even money line of -200. The latest straight-up sequence is L2. Confirm quarterback rotations, coaching intent, roster depth and the available price before betting.

Recommended Historical AngleFade Chiefs in Preseason Week 1