Avatar photoBy Tony TellezJuly 19, 2026 2:07 pm

Free WNBA Picks For Today 7/20/2026

WNBA Games, Odds and Matchup Analysis for July 20, 2026

Four games make up Monday’s WNBA card, with Las Vegas visiting Toronto, New York meeting Dallas, Minnesota traveling to Seattle and Washington returning for an immediate rematch with Golden State.

Odds can move throughout the day. Readers should visit Tony’s Picks Live WNBA Odds for current spreads, moneylines and totals.

Las Vegas Aces at Toronto Tempo

Monday, July 20, 2026 | 8:00 PM ET | TV: WNBA League Pass / regional coverage

Injuries

Las Vegas Aces: Kierstan Bell — GTD; Ta’Niya Latson — GTD.
Toronto Tempo: O. Bankole — GTD; Nyara Sabally — GTD; Kiki Rice — OUT; Brittney Sykes — OUT.

Odds Snapshot

Aces -10.5 (+100) | Tempo +10.5 (-120) | ML: LVA -470 / TOR +360 | Total 182.5 (-110/-110)

Odds are from the uploaded July 19 market report and are subject to change.

Team Form and Last Game

Las Vegas Aces

Season scoring89.9 PPG
Season shooting48.4% FG | 35.5% 3PT

Toronto Tempo

Lost 111-92 to Atlanta in its latest completed game.

Season scoring88.7 PPG
Season shooting45.0% FG | 36.7% 3PT

Leading Scorers

Las Vegas Aces

A’ja Wilson25.5 PTS | 9.8 REB | 2.9 AST
Jackie Young16.1 PTS | 4.3 REB | 6.6 AST

Toronto Tempo

Marina Mabrey21.3 PTS | 3.4 REB | 3.6 AST
Maria Conde12.0 PTS | 4.1 REB | 3.2 AST

Efficiency and Matchup Analysis

Las Vegas Aces averages 89.9 points, 34.8 rebounds and 22.4 assists while committing 12.2 turnovers per game. Toronto Tempo averages 88.7 points, 30.7 rebounds and 20.0 assists with 13.7 turnovers. The possession battle centers on ball security, rebounding control and whether the lower-efficiency offense can generate enough transition opportunities to avoid extended half-court possessions.

Las Vegas brings the slate’s strongest combination of shooting efficiency, ball security and interior star power. Toronto can create pace and three-point volume, but the absences of Sykes and Rice reduce its half-court creation and perimeter resistance.

Las Vegas Aces estimated efficiency

Pace83.2
Offensive Rating108.1
Defensive Rating102.7
Net Rating+5.4
Toronto Tempo estimated efficiency

Pace83.9
Offensive Rating105.7
Defensive Rating105.5
Net Rating+0.2

Estimated ratings are editorial calculations from the supplied statistical profile and are not represented as the official WNBA advanced-stat table.

Game Summary

Las Vegas brings the slate’s strongest combination of shooting efficiency, ball security and interior star power. Toronto can create pace and three-point volume, but the absences of Sykes and Rice reduce its half-court creation and perimeter resistance.

The Pick
Aces have gone over in five of their past eight games with good shooting performances and spots of poor defense. Tempo has gone over in three of four with good shooting and defending poorly. Aces in their past five games are shooting 47% and allowing 36% from three. Tempo in this span has shot 49% with 37.4% from three while giving up 47.2% shooting overall. Play Las Vegas and Toronto over 182.
Las Vegas Aces: ORtg 108.1 | DRtg 102.7 | Net +5.4   —   Toronto Tempo: ORtg 105.7 | DRtg 105.5 | Net +0.2

New York Liberty at Dallas Wings

Monday, July 20, 2026 | 8:00 PM ET | TV: WNBA League Pass / regional coverage

Injuries

New York Liberty: Leonie Fiebich — OUT; Satou Sabally — OUT.
Dallas Wings: Haley Jones — OUT; Alanna Smith — OUT; C. Verona — OUT.

Odds Snapshot

Market snapshot: Kalshi NYL -1.5 (-103), DAL +1.5 (-121), ML NYL -137 / DAL +105, Total 175.5. Other books differed in the uploaded report.

Odds are from the uploaded July 19 market report and are subject to change.

Team Form and Last Game

New York Liberty — 13-12

Lost 108-88 to Indiana and fell to 13-12.

Season scoring87.8 PPG
Season shooting45.9% FG | 34.8% 3PT

Dallas Wings — 17-8

Defeated the Los Angeles Sparks 90-82 and improved to 17-8, extending its winning streak to six games.

Season scoring89.5 PPG
Season shooting46.3% FG | 33.7% 3PT

Leading Scorers

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart20.6 PTS | 8.4 REB | 2.8 AST
Sabrina Ionescu15.9 PTS | 4.7 REB | 5.8 AST

Dallas Wings

Paige Bueckers20.7 PTS | 4.2 REB | 6.3 AST
Arike Ogunbowale18.2 PTS | 3.1 REB | 4.4 AST

Efficiency and Matchup Analysis

New York Liberty averages 87.8 points, 34.1 rebounds and 20.4 assists while committing 14.4 turnovers per game. Dallas Wings averages 89.5 points, 34.0 rebounds and 22.2 assists with 10.3 turnovers. The possession battle centers on ball security, rebounding control and whether the lower-efficiency offense can generate enough transition opportunities to avoid extended half-court possessions.

Dallas owns the cleaner possession profile, averaging only 10.3 turnovers while pairing Paige Bueckers with multiple creators. New York still has elite top-end talent, but its recent rebounding, turnover and lineup-continuity problems create a volatile matchup.

New York Liberty estimated efficiency

Pace84.1
Offensive Rating104.4
Defensive Rating104.0
Net Rating+0.4
Dallas Wings estimated efficiency

Pace81.8
Offensive Rating109.4
Defensive Rating103.0
Net Rating+6.4

Estimated ratings are editorial calculations from the supplied statistical profile and are not represented as the official WNBA advanced-stat table.

Game Summary

Dallas owns the cleaner possession profile, averaging only 10.3 turnovers while pairing Paige Bueckers with multiple creators. New York still has elite top-end talent, but its recent rebounding, turnover and lineup-continuity problems create a volatile matchup.

The Pick
Dallas is back-to-back after defeating LA Sparks 90-82 in an afternoon game to improve to 17-8. Wings have won six straight with the victory and has shot well during this span. In their past five games the Wings have shot 48% with 35.4% from three and defended well. Liberty has struggled to hit threes in their past five games. They sit at just one game over .500 and have been a streaky team. They lost eight out of ten after losing to Indiana by 20 with rest advantage. Fever was on a back-to-back and playing three games in four nights. Play Dallas +3.5.
New York Liberty: ORtg 104.4 | DRtg 104.0 | Net +0.4   —   Dallas Wings: ORtg 109.4 | DRtg 103.0 | Net +6.4

Minnesota Lynx at Seattle Storm

Monday, July 20, 2026 | 10:00 PM ET | TV: WNBA League Pass / regional coverage

Injuries

Minnesota Lynx: Liatu King — GTD; Napheesa Collier — OUT.
Seattle Storm: Taina Mair — GTD; Ezi Magbegor — OUT.

Odds Snapshot

Lynx -10.5 (+100) | Storm +10.5 (-120) | ML: MIN -535 / SEA +400 | Total 175.5 (Over -105 / Under -115)

Odds are from the uploaded July 19 market report and are subject to change.

Team Form and Last Game

Minnesota Lynx — 20-6

Defeated Portland in its latest completed game and carried a 20-6 record into this matchup.

Season scoring91.2 PPG
Season shooting48.4% FG | 37.7% 3PT

Seattle Storm — 6-21

Seattle entered at 6-21.

Season scoring81.4 PPG
Season shooting43.2% FG | 32.9% 3PT

Leading Scorers

Minnesota Lynx

Olivia Miles19.1 PTS | 4.7 REB | 5.9 AST
Kayla McBride17.6 PTS | 3.7 REB | 2.3 AST

Seattle Storm

Natisha Hiedeman15.8 PTS | 2.7 REB | 4.4 AST
Dominique Malonga13.4 PTS | 8.2 REB | 1.5 AST

Efficiency and Matchup Analysis

Minnesota Lynx averages 91.2 points, 35.5 rebounds and 21.5 assists while committing 13.0 turnovers per game. Seattle Storm averages 81.4 points, 33.4 rebounds and 19.1 assists with 14.6 turnovers. The possession battle centers on ball security, rebounding control and whether the lower-efficiency offense can generate enough transition opportunities to avoid extended half-court possessions.

Minnesota has a major edge in shooting, scoring, rebounding and overall offensive organization. Seattle’s path is to force turnovers, win the offensive glass and turn the game into a high-variance perimeter contest, but the Storm’s efficiency baseline remains substantially lower.

Minnesota Lynx estimated efficiency

Pace84.0
Offensive Rating108.6
Defensive Rating102.6
Net Rating+6.0
Seattle Storm estimated efficiency

Pace82.9
Offensive Rating98.2
Defensive Rating104.9
Net Rating-6.7

Estimated ratings are editorial calculations from the supplied statistical profile and are not represented as the official WNBA advanced-stat table.

Game Summary

Minnesota has a major edge in shooting, scoring, rebounding and overall offensive organization. Seattle’s path is to force turnovers, win the offensive glass and turn the game into a high-variance perimeter contest, but the Storm’s efficiency baseline remains substantially lower.

The Pick
Minnesota has missed the cover in seven of ten with issues on defense. Storm has covered seven of nine with good shooting and defending. Lynx in their past five games are allowing 47% shooting with 36.1% from three and 89 points per game. Storm in this period hits 47% overall and in good defensive form holding opponents to 43% shooting along with 28.7% from three. Play Seattle +10.5.
Minnesota Lynx: ORtg 108.6 | DRtg 102.6 | Net +6.0   —   Seattle Storm: ORtg 98.2 | DRtg 104.9 | Net -6.7

Washington Mystics at Golden State Valkyries

Monday, July 20, 2026 | 10:00 PM ET | TV: WNBA League Pass / regional coverage

Injuries

Washington Mystics: No injuries listed in the supplied RotoWire lineup report.
Golden State Valkyries: Juste Jocyte — GTD; A. Prechtel — GTD; Miela Sowah — GTD.

Odds Snapshot

Mystics +7.5 (-110) | Valkyries -7.5 (-110) | ML: WAS +270 / GSV -340 | Total 145.5 (Over -112 / Under -108)

Odds are from the uploaded July 19 market report and are subject to change.

Team Form and Last Game

Washington Mystics — 12-12

Lost 74-69 at Golden State and moved to 12-12. Shakira Austin produced 18 points and 16 rebounds.

Season scoring79.6 PPG
Season shooting43.1% FG | 27.8% 3PT

Golden State Valkyries — 19-7

Beat Washington 74-69 for a ninth straight victory and improved to 19-7. Gabby Williams scored 18; Veronica Burton had 11 points and 11 assists.

Season scoring81.9 PPG
Season shooting41.9% FG | 34.6% 3PT

Leading Scorers

Washington Mystics

Shakira Austin15.2 PTS | 9.1 REB | 2.0 AST
Sonia Citron14.1 PTS | 4.4 REB | 2.5 AST

Golden State Valkyries

Gabby Williams15.1 PTS | 3.4 REB | 2.2 AST
Veronica Burton12.8 PTS | 4.3 REB | 6.2 AST

Efficiency and Matchup Analysis

Washington Mystics averages 79.6 points, 37.2 rebounds and 18.9 assists while committing 16.2 turnovers per game. Golden State Valkyries averages 81.9 points, 32.6 rebounds and 18.2 assists with 10.8 turnovers. The possession battle centers on ball security, rebounding control and whether the lower-efficiency offense can generate enough transition opportunities to avoid extended half-court possessions.

This immediate rematch points toward another possession-by-possession game. Golden State’s low-turnover offense and late-game execution contrast with Washington’s league-high turnover burden. The Mystics’ rebounding gives them a way to stay competitive, but the Valkyries have the cleaner closing profile.

Washington Mystics estimated efficiency

Pace83.5
Offensive Rating95.3
Defensive Rating103.6
Net Rating-8.3
Golden State Valkyries estimated efficiency

Pace80.5
Offensive Rating101.7
Defensive Rating104.5
Net Rating-2.8

Estimated ratings are editorial calculations from the supplied statistical profile and are not represented as the official WNBA advanced-stat table.

Game Summary

This immediate rematch points toward another possession-by-possession game. Golden State’s low-turnover offense and late-game execution contrast with Washington’s league-high turnover burden. The Mystics’ rebounding gives them a way to stay competitive, but the Valkyries have the cleaner closing profile.

The Pick
Mystics have gone under in eight of their past ten behind struggles shooting the basketball with good defensive play. Valkyries have gone under in ten of eleven with elite defense and struggles shooting the basketball. Mystics in their past five games are hitting 37.8% with 18.2% from three and holding foes to 39% overall along with 27% from three. Valkyries in this span hit 32% from three while holding foes to 40.8% with 25.5% from three. Play Washington and Golden St under 146.
Washington Mystics: ORtg 95.3 | DRtg 103.6 | Net -8.3   —   Golden State Valkyries: ORtg 101.7 | DRtg 104.5 | Net -2.8

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Tony Tellez

Tony Tellez is the author/editor of TonysPicks, offering daily free sports picks and expert analysis for legal wagering. A seasoned handicapper with a TV show background and significant online presence, Tony provides data-driven insights across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and more, focusing on valuable betting information.