Morning Show Betting Report
The Tony’s Picks Morning Show closes the first half of the Major League Baseball season with a full 15-game Sunday card and four WNBA matchups. Tony T, Al Ninos, Ron Hahn and the Morning Show Chat attacked a board featuring several late pitching changes, volatile favorites and attractive underdog prices.
The biggest adjustment came in Pittsburgh, where Milwaukee replaced Jacob Misiorowski with Robert Gasser against Paul Skenes. Another pitching change affected Arizona’s visit to Los Angeles, with Mitch Bratt replacing Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks.
Odds below reflect the multi-sportsbook market contained in the uploaded July 12 reports. Prices can move throughout the day, particularly when pitchers or injury designations change.
Morning Show Consensus Report
Strongest MLB Consensus
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Tony T and Al Ninos both backed Pittsburgh after Milwaukee scratched Misiorowski. The Pirates also received indirect support from a market move toward Skenes and the home side.
Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Tony T, Ron Hahn and multiple Morning Show Chat participants backed Chicago against Cincinnati. This was one of the clearest side consensuses of the show.
Philadelphia Phillies–Detroit Tigers Under
Al Ninos, Ron Hahn, Bakari and Scipio agreed that Zack Wheeler against Tarik Skubal created the strongest pitching-driven under on the card.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Tony T, Ron Hahn and Bakari backed Boston against a struggling Mets club. Recent team form was the primary foundation of the consensus.
Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Tony T, Bakari and Scipio took the plus-money price with Colorado against a vulnerable San Francisco home starter.
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Tony T and Bakari agreed on Arizona as a large underdog against a Dodgers team that entered the All-Star break in poor form.
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Tony T and Al Ninos backed Toronto, while the Blue Jays also appeared in Al’s featured parlay.
Strongest WNBA Consensus
Washington Mystics
Tony T backed Washington against Seattle, and the Mystics appeared in additional chat combinations. Bakari preferred the game under rather than the favorite.
Chicago Sky Plus the Points
Tony T and Julius Kazi backed Chicago with the points. Rosalind Walker took the more aggressive position with the Sky moneyline, while Scipio opposed the group with Dallas against the spread.
MLB Betting Preview
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Market Odds
Brewers +1.5 (-198) | Pirates -1.5 (+167)
Brewers Moneyline +106 | Pirates Moneyline -124
Total: 8 | Over -115 | Under -105
Probable Pitchers
Milwaukee: Robert Gasser
Pittsburgh: Paul Skenes
The pitching change completely altered the handicap. Al Ninos had considered Milwaukee with Misiorowski but moved to Pittsburgh once Gasser was announced. Skenes has not been untouchable recently, but his ability to limit baserunners remains the strongest single component of this matchup.
Tony T also backed Pittsburgh, pointing to the Pirates’ stronger home production. Pittsburgh entered with a .273 home batting average and a .450 slugging percentage, while Skenes carried approximately a 3.16 home ERA and a WHIP near 1.00.
Al Ninos Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Tony T Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Al Ninos Lean: Under; first-five Pittsburgh is an alternative for bettors seeking to avoid bullpen exposure.
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
Market Odds
Royals +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+135)
Royals Moneyline +130 | Orioles Moneyline -148
Total: 9.5 | Over -110 | Under -108
Probable Pitchers
Kansas City: Seth Lugo
Baltimore: Shane Baz
Al Ninos expects both starters to allow scoring opportunities and considers Kansas City’s bullpen the most vulnerable late-game unit in the matchup. That makes the full-game total more attractive than either side.
Al Ninos Pick: Over 9.5
New York Yankees at Washington Nationals
Market Odds
Yankees -1.5 (+143) | Nationals +1.5 (-167)
Yankees Moneyline -110 | Nationals Moneyline -106
Total: 9.5 | Over +100 | Under -117
Probable Pitchers
New York: Will Warren
Washington: Cade Cavalli
Tony T backed Washington at essentially an even-money price. The Yankees entered the matchup batting approximately .222 over their previous 27 games, while Washington had produced a .265 average and a .479 slugging percentage over its recent sample.
Warren’s form was another concern. Tony cited an ERA above 6.00 across his previous five starts and a .619 opposing slugging percentage during that period.
Al Ninos preferred the total, believing Warren and Cavalli could each give up enough damage to push the game over.
Tony T Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline
Al Ninos Pick: Over 9.5
Ron Hahn Note: Washington is better suited for a first-five wager when fading the Yankees’ starter.
Chat Picks
Kendrick Molo: Washington Nationals Moneyline
Bakari: Yankees Moneyline
Kendrick Molo: MacKenzie Gore six or more strikeouts, contingent on confirmed pitching availability.
Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers
Market Odds
Phillies -1.5 (+166) | Tigers +1.5 (-201)
Phillies Moneyline -102 | Tigers Moneyline -112
Total: 7 | Over -115 | Under -105
Probable Pitchers
Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler
Detroit: Tarik Skubal
This was the premier starting-pitching matchup of Sunday’s card. Al Ninos expects Wheeler and Skubal to control the early innings and believes the total of seven remains playable. He also considered Philadelphia attractive at plus money because the market placed a substantial premium on Detroit despite Wheeler’s presence.
Ron Hahn, Bakari and Scipio independently agreed with the under, creating one of the strongest consensus totals of the show.
Al Ninos Pick: Under 7
Al Ninos Lean: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline or first-five moneyline
Ron Hahn Pick: First Five Under
Ron Hahn Pick: Full Game Under
Chat Picks
Bakari: Full Game Under
Scipio: Full Game Under
Bakari: Zack Wheeler nine or more strikeouts
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
Market Odds
Cubs -1.5 (+124) | Reds +1.5 (-144)
Cubs Moneyline -126 | Reds Moneyline +109
Total: 9.5 | Over -102 | Under -118
Tony T returned to Chicago against a Cincinnati club that has struggled in divisional competition. The Reds entered 6-20 against National League Central opponents, with a loss of approximately 13 betting units in those games.
Chicago’s matchup against a left-handed starter also supported the favorite. Ron Hahn and Bakari agreed with the Cubs side.
Tony T Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Ron Hahn Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Chat Pick
Bakari: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays
Market Odds
Mariners +1.5 (-185) | Rays -1.5 (+158)
Mariners Moneyline +119 | Rays Moneyline -137
Total: 7.5 | Over -117 | Under -103
Probable Pitchers
Seattle: Emerson Hancock
Tampa Bay: Rays listed starter
The Rays moved from approximately -127 toward the high -130s and low -140s during the morning. Al Ninos acknowledged Tampa Bay as the more likely full-game winner but did not want to pay the increasing price.
His preferred position was Seattle in the first five innings with Hancock. Ron Hahn went further and backed the Mariners for the full game.
Al Ninos Pick: Seattle Mariners First Five Moneyline
Al Ninos Lean: Tampa Bay Full Game Moneyline
Ron Hahn Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
Chat Pick
Scipio: Seattle Mariners NRFI, noting a streak of 10 consecutive Seattle no-run first innings.
Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins
Market Odds
Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Marlins +1.5 (-189)
Guardians Moneyline -105 | Marlins Moneyline -112
Total: 8 | Over -115 | Under -105
Probable Pitchers
Cleveland: Joey Cantillo
Miami: Phillips
The removal of Marlins starter Edward Cabrera from the anticipated matchup reduced Al Ninos’ enthusiasm for Miami. Tony T still backed the Marlins after confirming Phillips as the expected starter.
Tony’s position was driven primarily by Cleveland’s weak offensive production against right-handed pitching. Cantillo’s recent form creates risk, but Miami’s near-even price offers a reasonable path to oppose the Guardians’ offense.
Tony T Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
Chat Pick
Bakari: Miami Marlins Moneyline
Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
Market Odds
Red Sox -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-161)
Red Sox Moneyline -120 | Mets Moneyline +104
Total: Approximately 8 to 8.5
Tony T continued to back a Boston team that entered in excellent form. The Red Sox had won 10 of their previous 12 games, while the Mets had struggled badly and cost their backers approximately 10 units during their recent downturn.
Boston also carried the better recent bullpen profile. Ron Hahn and Bakari joined Tony on the Red Sox, producing a three-way consensus.
Tony T Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Ron Hahn Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Chat Pick
Bakari: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Athletics at Chicago White Sox
Market Odds
Athletics +1.5 (-187) | White Sox -1.5 (+158)
Athletics Moneyline +108 | White Sox Moneyline -126
Total: 8.5 | Over -120 | Under +100
Probable Pitchers
Chicago: Noah Schultz
Tony T backed Chicago despite the uncertainty that accompanies Schultz. The Athletics entered in extremely poor form, losing 19 of their previous 27 games and costing bettors approximately 14 units.
Chicago had been far more profitable at home, producing a 30-17 record and approximately 15 units of profit. The White Sox bullpen also entered with the better recent form.
Tony T Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Chat Picks
Bakari: Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Rosalind Walker: Chicago White Sox Team Total Over 4.5
Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins
Market Odds
Angels +1.5 (-176) | Twins -1.5 (+149)
Angels Moneyline +115 | Twins Moneyline -135
Total: 9 | Over -119 | Under approximately even money
Probable Pitchers
Los Angeles: José Soriano
Minnesota: Taj Bradley
Tony T backed Minnesota based on the Twins’ recent offensive production. Minnesota entered batting approximately .273 with a .479 slugging percentage over its previous 25 games.
Soriano carried an ERA above 5.00 across his previous five starts, while Bradley entered with the better recent form. Minnesota had also won 16 of its previous 26 games, returning approximately six units.
Tony T Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Ron Hahn Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Ron Hahn Player Prop: Taj Bradley to record the win at approximately +156
Chat Pick
Andre Harrison: Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals
Market Odds
Braves +1.5 (-190) | Cardinals -1.5 (+160)
Braves Moneyline +110 | Cardinals Moneyline -128
Total: 8 | Over -108 | Under -110
Probable Pitchers
St. Louis: Dustin May
This matchup produced a direct disagreement between Tony T and Al Ninos. Al believes the total is too low and expects both offenses to generate enough traffic to overcome the wind blowing inward.
Tony took the under because Atlanta’s offense had been unreliable and both teams had produced profitable under trends. St. Louis entered 17-11 to the under over its previous 28 games, while Atlanta had gone 9-5 to the under as a road underdog.
Tony T Pick: Under 8
Al Ninos Pick: Over 8
Chat Pick
Bakari: Under 8
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Market Odds
Astros +1.5 (-182) | Rangers -1.5 (+153)
Astros Moneyline +116 | Rangers Moneyline -136
Total: 9 | Over -106 | Under -111
Probable Pitchers
Houston: Cristian Javier
Featured Analysts & Cappers
Read free daily matchup breakdowns and track documented betting records.
Texas: Trevor McDonald
The handicappers did not issue an official side or total on this matchup. Texas was favored at home, but uncertainty surrounding McDonald’s profile and Javier’s return created enough volatility to keep the game outside the primary card.
Official Morning Show Pick: No selection
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Market Odds
Rockies +1.5 (-170) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
Rockies Moneyline +122 | Giants Moneyline -143
Total: 8.5 | Over -120 | Under +100
Probable Pitchers
Colorado: Rockies listed right-hander
San Francisco: Trevor McDonald was referenced during the discussion
Tony T attacked the underdog price. San Francisco entered 13-20 at home against right-handed starters, costing its backers approximately 7.5 units.
Tony also cited a vulnerable home pitching profile, including an ERA approaching 8.00 and a .369 opposing batting average. Colorado had generated a positive return when facing losing teams on the road.
Tony T Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Chat Picks
Bakari: Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Scipio: Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers
Market Odds
Diamondbacks +1.5 (-106) | Dodgers -1.5 (-113)
Diamondbacks Moneyline +188 | Dodgers Moneyline -225
Total: 9.5 | Over -103 | Under -115
Probable Pitchers
Arizona: Mitch Bratt
Los Angeles: Dodgers listed starter
Tony T continued fading a Dodgers club that appeared to be sleepwalking toward the All-Star break. Los Angeles had repeatedly failed to cover the run line and had delivered flat performances against both Colorado and Arizona.
The change from Zac Gallen to Mitch Bratt weakened Arizona’s pitching projection, but the large plus-money return still appealed to Tony. Bettors seeking less variance can take the Diamondbacks at +1.5 rather than playing the full moneyline.
Al Ninos leaned toward the over, expecting the warm conditions and outward wind to help the teams reach double digits.
Tony T Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Al Ninos Lean: Over 9.5
Chat Pick
Bakari: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres
Market Odds
Blue Jays -1.5 (+131) | Padres +1.5 (-155)
Blue Jays Moneyline -126 | Padres Moneyline +108
Total: 8.5 | Over -102 | Under -111
Probable Pitchers
Toronto: Kevin Gausman
San Diego: Germán Márquez
Tony T and Al Ninos agreed on Toronto. The Blue Jays entered batting .249 against right-handed pitching with a .389 slugging percentage. San Diego had produced only a .220 home average and a .353 slugging percentage.
Márquez carried a home ERA near 7.50 with an opposing slugging percentage around .638. San Diego had also lost 16 of its previous 27 games, while Toronto entered 14-10 on the road against losing teams.
Tony T Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Al Ninos Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Al Ninos Secondary Lean: Over 8.5
WNBA Betting Preview
Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics
Market Odds
Storm +5.5 (-108) | Mystics -5.5 (-112)
Storm Moneyline +176 | Mystics Moneyline -210
Total: 159.5 | Over -110 | Under -110
Tony T backed Washington based on the teams’ contrasting recent form. Seattle had lost three of four games and continued to struggle offensively away from home.
The Storm entered averaging approximately 76 road points while shooting 41 percent overall and 31 percent from three. Washington had averaged approximately 85 points at home with a 44 percent shooting rate and had played consistently strong defense.
Tony T Pick: Washington Mystics -5.5
Chat Pick
Bakari: Under 160.5
New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo
Market Odds
Liberty -6.5 (-110) | Tempo +6.5 (-110)
Liberty Moneyline -265 | Tempo Moneyline +214
Total: 176.5 | Over -110 | Under -110
The Morning Show handicappers did not issue an official side on this matchup. The primary position came from the chat, where Bakari backed the elevated total.
Toronto’s injury report included Fagbenle, Rice and Sykes as out, while several New York players carried questionable designations. Bettors should confirm availability before playing a total that depends on sustained offensive efficiency.
Chat Pick
Bakari: Over 176.5
Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings
Market Odds
Sky +9.5 (-110) | Wings -9.5 (-109)
Sky Moneyline +335 | Wings Moneyline -430
Total: 178.5 | Over -111 | Under -109
Tony T took the points with Chicago. The Sky had covered eight of their previous 11 games, supported by stronger rebounding and improved perimeter shooting.
Chicago entered shooting approximately 40 percent overall and 39 percent from three over its previous five games while producing about 95 points per contest. Dallas had recently defeated Chicago by only one point at home and entered shooting approximately 32 percent from three in its own building.
Tony T Pick: Chicago Sky +9.5
Chat Picks
Julius Kazi: Chicago Sky +9.5
Rosalind Walker: Chicago Sky Moneyline
Scipio: Dallas Wings -9.5
Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces
Market Odds
Fever +5 to +5.5 | Aces -5 to -5.5
Fever Moneyline +177 | Aces Moneyline -220
Total: 181.5 | Over -109 | Under -110
Neither Tony T nor Al Ninos issued an official play on this matchup. Indiana entered another back-to-back situation, while Las Vegas was favored by more than two possessions in the highest-totaled WNBA game of the day.
The chat sided with the Aces, expecting Las Vegas to take advantage of Indiana’s compressed schedule.
Chat Pick
Bakari: Las Vegas Aces -4.5 to -5.5
Parlay for Purple
Al Ninos Parlay
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies–Detroit Tigers Under
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Tony T Parlay
Chicago Sky +9.5
Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Atlanta Braves–St. Louis Cardinals Under
Bakari Long-Shot Parlay
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Zack Wheeler nine or more strikeouts
MacKenzie Gore six or more strikeouts, contingent on the confirmed matchup
Additional Chat Combination
Las Vegas submitted a WNBA combination involving the Liberty, Mystics, Wings and an over, while also expressing support for the Aces. Because the specific game attached to the over was not clearly identified in the discussion, it should not be treated as an official documented total selection.
Bonus Tennis Pick
Al Ninos added a major underdog position from the Wimbledon men’s final.
Al Ninos Pick: Alexander Zverev Moneyline at approximately +400 or better against Jannik Sinner
Zverev entered winless in five career meetings against Sinner according to the discussion, but Al believed the price offered enough upside to justify a small underdog position.
Complete Morning Show Pick Sheet
Tony T
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Washington Nationals Moneyline
Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Miami Marlins Moneyline
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Atlanta Braves–St. Louis Cardinals Under
Colorado Rockies Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Washington Mystics -5.5
Chicago Sky +9.5
Al Ninos
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Kansas City Royals–Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5
New York Yankees–Washington Nationals Over 9.5
Philadelphia Phillies–Detroit Tigers Under 7
Seattle Mariners First Five Moneyline
Atlanta Braves–St. Louis Cardinals Over 8
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Alexander Zverev Moneyline at +400 or better
Al Ninos Leans
Pittsburgh–Milwaukee Under
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline or first-five moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays full-game moneyline
Arizona–Los Angeles Over 9.5
Toronto–San Diego Over 8.5
Ron Hahn
Seattle Mariners Moneyline
Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies–Detroit Tigers First Five Under
Philadelphia Phillies–Detroit Tigers Full Game Under
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Taj Bradley to record the win at approximately +156
Morning Show Chat
Bakari: Cubs Moneyline
Bakari: Yankees Moneyline
Bakari: Rays Moneyline
Bakari: Zack Wheeler nine or more strikeouts
Bakari: Phillies–Tigers Under
Bakari: Red Sox Moneyline
Bakari: White Sox Moneyline
Bakari: Marlins Moneyline
Bakari: Braves–Cardinals Under
Bakari: Rockies Moneyline
Bakari: Diamondbacks Moneyline
Bakari: Liberty–Tempo Over 176.5
Bakari: Storm–Mystics Under 160.5
Bakari: Aces against the spread
Kendrick Molo: Nationals Moneyline
Scipio: Phillies–Tigers Under
Scipio: Mariners NRFI
Scipio: Rockies Moneyline
Scipio: Dallas Wings against the spread
Rosalind Walker: White Sox Team Total Over 4.5
Rosalind Walker: Chicago Sky Moneyline
Andre Harrison: Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Julius Kazi: Chicago Sky +9.5
Morning Show Leaderboard Recap
Al Ninos remained one of the featured Tony’s Picks leaderboard performers entering Sunday. The show credited him with approximately +1,680 units for the year using the site’s standard $100-unit tracking method.
Al entered Sunday looking to rebound from one of his more difficult recent cards, but his longer-term body of work remained firmly profitable. He offered an MLB Grand Slam premium package and continued to rank among the site’s strongest all-sport performers.
Tony T also entered Sunday after another winning baseball day and offered a three-pick MLB premium card. Exact updated leaderboard records for Tony T and Ron Hahn were not stated during the show, so no unsupported figures have been added.
Yesterday’s Morning Show Results
Tony T finished Saturday with a 2-1 record.
Winning Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
Winning Pick: Chicago Cubs
Losing Pick: Toronto Blue Jays
Tony’s 2-1 result continued his strong recent baseball run. The Blue Jays loss came in a volatile game against San Diego, while Tampa Bay and Chicago delivered the two winning positions.
Al Ninos described Saturday as one of his rougher cards in recent memory. His World Cup underdog positions were competitive, with two quarterfinal matches requiring extra time, but the featured sides did not finish the job. An exact win-loss record was not stated on the show and therefore is not assigned here.
Final Betting Outlook
The clearest Morning Show agreements are Pittsburgh behind Paul Skenes, the Cubs against Cincinnati, the Phillies–Tigers under, Boston over the Mets, Colorado at an underdog price, Arizona against the struggling Dodgers and Toronto against San Diego.
The most important betting consideration is lineup and pitcher confirmation. Milwaukee, Miami and Arizona all experienced meaningful pitching changes, while several WNBA teams carried major injury questions. Prices should be checked again immediately before wagering because the market may continue adjusting to those developments.
