Avatar photoBy Tony TellezJuly 12, 2026 7:33 am

Free WNBA Picks For Today 7/12/2026






WNBA Picks and Betting Preview for July 12, 2026



WNBA Betting Preview for July 12, 2026

Sunday’s four-game WNBA schedule opens with two 3:00 PM ET matchups, continues with Chicago at Dallas at 7:00 PM ET and closes with Indiana at Las Vegas in an NBC and Peacock primetime window.

The betting markets, expected lineups, injury designations, season statistics and efficiency comparisons below are organized in a mobile-first sportsbook format. The pick area is intentionally blank for each game.

3:00 PM ET

Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics

TV: WNBA League Pass

Injuries

Seattle Storm: Ezi Magbegor is out. Taina Mair is out.

Washington Mystics: Sonia Citron is a game-time decision. Alicia Florez is a game-time decision.

Expected Lineups

Seattle StormNatisha Hiedeman, Jade Melbourne, Flau’jae Johnson, Dominique Malonga and Awa Fam.
Washington MysticsGeorgia Amoore, Sonia Citron, Kiki Iriafen, Michaela Onyenwere and Shakira Austin.

Consensus Odds

SpreadSeattle +3.5 (-105)Washington -3.5 (-115)
MoneylineSeattle +136Washington -162
TotalOver 160.5 (-110)Under 160.5 (-110)

DraftKings line from the uploaded odds report. Other uploaded books ranged from Washington -3.5 to -4.5 and totals of 159.5 to 160.5.

Last Game and Current Record

Seattle: The Storm enter at 6-18 after a road loss to Atlanta. Seattle’s season offense is producing 80.0 points per game on 42.5 percent shooting and 33.6 percent from three-point range.

Washington: The Mystics enter at 10-10 after a 62-49 loss to Golden State. Washington shot 30.0 percent overall and 12.5 percent from three-point range in that defeat. Golden State scored 62 points while controlling the game with superior shot creation and ball security.

Leading Scorers

Dominique Malonga15.8 PPG7.5 RPG1.4 APG
Natisha Hiedeman15.6 PPG2.7 RPG4.4 APG
Sonia Citron18.6 PPG4.1 RPG3.5 APG
Kiki Iriafen15.3 PPG9.2 RPG1.6 APG

Efficiency Analysis

Washington owns the stronger defensive profile, allowing 103.7 points per 100 possessions compared with Seattle’s 105.8 defensive rating. The Mystics also hold a major rebounding advantage at 36.6 boards per game against Seattle’s 32.5.

Seattle plays at a pace of 80.10 possessions and Washington at 78.53. The Storm’s primary problem is offensive efficiency, where a 99.4 rating reflects poor half-court conversion, modest free-throw volume and 14.2 turnovers per game. Washington’s offense is also limited at 99.5, with 16.6 turnovers per game creating repeated empty possessions.

The matchup projects as a defensive and possession-management test. Washington has the better glass work and defensive rating, but Citron’s availability materially affects its spacing and late-clock scoring.

Game Summary

Washington has the statistical edge through defense, rebounding and home court, while Seattle needs Malonga and Hiedeman to create efficient offense without allowing the Mystics to dominate second-chance opportunities. The relatively low total reflects two offenses rated below league average.

The Pick

Seattle StormOffensive Rating: 99.4Defensive Rating: 105.8Net Rating: -6.4
Washington MysticsOffensive Rating: 99.5Defensive Rating: 103.7Net Rating: -4.2
Selection: Seattle has lost three of four with poor shooting. Mystics have won five of eight with good defensive play. Seattle has shot 41% with 31% from three on the road as they averaged 76 points per game. Mystics are putting up 85 points per game with 44.1% shooting and has defended well. Play Washington -4.5.

3:00 PM ET

New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo

TV: WNBA League Pass

Injuries

New York Liberty: Marine Fauthoux is out. Leonie Fiebich is out. Anneli Maley is out. Satou Sabally is out.

Toronto Tempo: Nyara Sabally is a game-time decision. O. Bankole is out. Temi Fagbenle is out. Kiki Rice is out. Brittney Sykes is out.

Expected Lineups

New York LibertySabrina Ionescu, Pauline Astier, Leonie Fiebich, Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones. Fiebich is listed out, so New York will require a lineup adjustment.
Toronto TempoJulie Allemand, Marina Mabrey, Maria Conde, Isabelle Harrison and Nyara Sabally.

Consensus Odds

SpreadNot posted in uploaded report
MoneylineNot posted in uploaded report
TotalNot posted in uploaded report

Last Game and Current Record

New York: The Liberty are 13-10 after a 90-85 loss at Minnesota on July 11. New York’s season offense is shooting 46.2 percent overall and 35.2 percent from three-point range.

Toronto: The Tempo are 9-13 after a 108-95 loss to Dallas. Toronto and Dallas both shot above 50 percent overall and above 40 percent from three-point range in a high-scoring game. Toronto’s season shooting marks stand at 44.8 percent overall and 36.7 percent from deep.

Leading Scorers

Breanna Stewart20.5 PPG8.5 RPG2.8 APG
Jonquel Jones15.2 PPG9.1 RPG2.7 APG
Marina Mabrey21.2 PPG3.6 RPG3.6 APG
Isabelle Harrison13.9 PPG6.3 RPG1.8 APG

Efficiency Analysis

New York carries a 110.5 offensive rating and 106.0 defensive rating, producing a positive 4.5 net rating. Toronto’s offense is productive at 111.2 points per 100 possessions, but its 114.3 defensive rating creates a negative 3.1 net rating.

The teams play at nearly identical tempos, with New York at 78.92 possessions and Toronto at 80.10. Toronto’s 10.3 made three-pointers per game and 36.7 percent perimeter accuracy give the Tempo a path to remain competitive, especially if Mabrey continues to command extra defensive attention.

New York has the stronger interior rebounding tandem with Stewart and Jones. Toronto averages only 31.4 rebounds per game, making defensive finishes and second-chance prevention central to the matchup.

Game Summary

The Liberty have the more balanced efficiency profile and the superior frontcourt, but they are playing on consecutive days and remain shorthanded. Toronto’s upset route depends on three-point volume, Mabrey’s shot creation and avoiding a substantial rebounding deficit.

The Pick

New York LibertyOffensive Rating: 110.5Defensive Rating: 106.0Net Rating: +4.5
Toronto TempoOffensive Rating: 111.2Defensive Rating: 114.3Net Rating: -3.1
Selection:Liberty has failed to cover seven of ten with rebounding issues. Tempo has covered five of seven with improvement on the defensive side. New York on the road is allowing 46.2% shooting with 34.1% from three and 89 points per game. Tempo in their past five games are hitting 48% with 41% from three and defending well. There is rest advantage for Toronto here as well. Play Tempo +6.5.

7:00 PM ET

Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings

TV: WNBA League Pass

Injuries

Chicago Sky: Chloe Bibby is out. DiJonai Carrington is out. Skylar Diggins is out. Maddy Westbeld is out.

Dallas Wings: Haley Jones is out. C. Verona is out.

Expected Lineups

Chicago SkyCourtney Vandersloot, Natasha Cloud, Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens and Kamilla Cardoso.
Dallas WingsPaige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd, Arike Ogunbowale, Jessica Shepard and Awak Kuier.

Consensus Odds

SpreadChicago +9.5 (-110)Dallas -9.5 (-110)
MoneylineChicago +330Dallas -425
TotalOver 176.5 (-110)Under 176.5 (-110)

DraftKings line from the uploaded report. The uploaded books were aligned at Dallas -9.5 and a total of 176.5.

Last Game and Current Record

Chicago: The Sky are 7-15 after a 102-87 loss to Los Angeles. The Sparks shot approximately 51 percent overall and 45 percent from three-point range. Chicago’s season offense is shooting 43.4 percent overall and 31.1 percent from deep.

Dallas: The Wings are 15-8 after a 108-95 victory over Toronto. Both teams exceeded 50 percent shooting overall and 40 percent from three-point range. Dallas has won four straight and owns one of the league’s best records.

Leading Scorers

Rickea Jackson18.0 PPG4.8 RPG2.0 APG
Kamilla Cardoso14.4 PPG8.4 RPG2.5 APG
Paige Bueckers20.6 PPG4.1 RPG6.0 APG
Jessica Shepard14.8 PPG11.7 RPG5.2 APG

Efficiency Analysis

Dallas owns the clearer offensive advantage with a 111.2 rating compared with Chicago’s 104.0. The Wings combine elite ball security, averaging only 10.6 turnovers, with high-level creation from Bueckers and Shepard.

Chicago plays faster at 81.93 possessions, while Dallas operates at 79.78. That pace difference can push the game upward, but the Sky must convert transition chances because their half-court offense has struggled to create efficient threes.

Dallas carries a 106.1 defensive rating and plus-5.1 net rating. Chicago’s 107.9 defensive rating is respectable relative to its record, but the Sky’s negative-3.9 net rating reflects an offense that has not consistently supported the defense.

Game Summary

Dallas has the superior record, offense, backcourt creation and turnover profile. Chicago’s best counter is interior production through Cardoso and Stevens, along with enough defensive pressure to disrupt Bueckers before Dallas settles into its half-court actions.

The Pick

Chicago SkyOffensive Rating: 104.0Defensive Rating: 107.9Net Rating: -3.9
Dallas WingsOffensive Rating: 111.2Defensive Rating: 106.1Net Rating: +5.1
Selection: Sky has covered eight of eleven with rebounding and good shooting. Wings have missed the cover in two straight at home including a one-point home win against Chicago. Sky in their past five games are hitting .48.3% with 39% from three and posting 95.4 points per game. Wings are shooting 31.7% from three at home. Play Chicago +9.5.

9:00 PM ET

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces

TV: NBC and Peacock

Injuries

Indiana Fever: No players were listed in the supplied lineup report’s may-not-play section.

Las Vegas Aces: Janiah Barker is out. Dana Evans is out. Taniya Latson is out.

Expected Lineups

Indiana FeverCaitlin Clark, Lexie Hull, Kelsey Mitchell, Monique Billings and Aliyah Boston.
Las Vegas AcesJackie Young, Chelsea Gray, Stephanie Talbot, NaLyssa Smith and A’ja Wilson.

Consensus Odds

SpreadNot posted in uploaded report
MoneylineStandard sportsbook line not posted in uploaded report
TotalNot posted in uploaded report

Last Game and Current Record

Indiana: The Fever are 13-9 after a 92-89 win at Phoenix. Indiana shot 50.0 percent overall and 44.4 percent from three-point range. Phoenix shot 49.3 percent overall and 40.7 percent from deep.

Las Vegas: The Aces are 17-6 after a 106-58 win on Saturday at home against the Mercruy. Priot it was an 88-80 win at Portland. Las Vegas continues to pair A’ja Wilson’s interior dominance with one of the league’s most efficient half-court offenses.

Leading Scorers

Kelsey Mitchell22.5 PPG1.6 RPG2.9 APG
Caitlin Clark20.5 PPG4.0 RPG7.9 APG
A’ja Wilson26.1 PPG9.4 RPG2.9 APG
Jackie Young16.5 PPG4.5 RPG6.8 APG

Efficiency Analysis

Indiana plays the fastest pace on this card at 82.49 possessions and owns a 111.9 offensive rating. Las Vegas is slightly slower at 79.81 but leads this matchup with a 112.0 offensive rating.

The Aces protect the ball better, averaging only 12.4 turnovers per game against Indiana’s 14.7. Indiana counters with greater three-point volume and a 36.5 percent team mark from beyond the arc.

Las Vegas holds the stronger net profile at plus-4.7, while Indiana is plus-4.4. The central matchup is Indiana’s perimeter creation against Wilson’s ability to control the paint, draw fouls and force the Fever’s defense to collapse.

Game Summary

This is the most efficient offensive matchup of the day. Indiana can pressure Las Vegas with pace, Clark’s passing and Mitchell’s scoring, while the Aces have the best individual interior player and the cleaner turnover profile. Late-game execution through Gray, Young and Wilson is likely to be decisive.

The Pick

Indiana FeverOffensive Rating: 111.9Defensive Rating: 107.5Net Rating: +4.4
Las Vegas AcesOffensive Rating: 112.0Defensive Rating: 107.3Net Rating: +4.7
Selection:A healthy Wilson back and the Aces looked good in their blowout win on Saturday. Fourth game of a four game road trip for the Fever and Clark is tagged on the injury report with her ailing back. Aces have won three of four with 51% shooting in all three wins and good defensive work. Fever in their past five games are allowing 49% shooting. Play Las Vegas -4.5.



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Tony Tellez

Tony Tellez is the author/editor of TonysPicks, offering daily free sports picks and expert analysis for legal wagering. A seasoned handicapper with a TV show background and significant online presence, Tony provides data-driven insights across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and more, focusing on valuable betting information.