NBA Picks Grade June 10th 2026
New York Knicks -1.5
- Likely closed: Knicks -2.5
- CLV: +1 point
- Result: Loss
- C+ bet — beat the market by a full point, but New York won by only one and failed to cover by the hook.
Final Grade
- Record: 0-1-0
- Estimated Profit: -1.10 units
- Best Bet: None
- Sharpest Bet: New York Knicks -1.5
- Worst Bet: New York Knicks -1.5
- Final Grade: C+
The card gets a C+ because the handicap had market value and landed on the right side outright, but the spread lost by the hook in a one-point finish.
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks
Injuries
New York and San Antonio have clean injury reports.
Start Time and TV Network
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
TV Network: ABC
San Antonio Spurs
Last Game: San Antonio defeated New York 115-111. The Spurs moved to 1-2 in the NBA Finals.
San Antonio shot 46.4% overall and 35.3% from three-point range. New York shot 45.5% overall and 35.1% from three-point range.
Leading Scorers: Victor Wembanyama had 32 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists. Stephon Castle had 23 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
New York Knicks
Leading Scorers: Jalen Brunson had 32 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists. OG Anunoby had 28 points, 5 rebounds and 1 assist.
Game Summary
San Antonio enters Game 4 after cutting the series deficit to 2-1 with a road win at Madison Square Garden. The Spurs were more efficient late, protected the ball better with only 8 turnovers, and got a strong closing performance from Wembanyama and Castle.
New York still controls the series lead, but the Knicks need a cleaner fourth quarter after scoring only 20 points in the final period of Game 3. Brunson and Anunoby carried the offense, while Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges were held to limited scoring production.
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The Pick
New York is 6-2 at home in the playoffs as they averaged 120.1 points per 100 possessions with a +13.6 net rating. San Antonio is 7-3 on the road in the playoffs as they post 117.2 points per 100 possessions with a +6.5 net rating. Defensively in the playoffs the Spurs have allowed 35% from three. Knicks at home in the playoffs have shot 48.3% with 38% from three and have defended well. They have covered 13 of 17 in the playoffs. NY has been the better rebounding team in this series. Play Knicks -1.5.
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NBA Sharp Betting Card
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks -1.5
Spread: Knicks -1.5
Grade: B+ (Home Efficiency Edge)
Key Edges:
- Knicks’ strong home efficiency profile
- Defensive cover edge at Madison Square Garden
- Better rebounding position in the series
- Spurs’ three-point defense still exploitable
- New York playoff ATS form supports the market side
- Short number avoids heavy favorite inflation
Read:
New York fits as a short home favorite with stronger home shooting, rebounding, and defensive metrics. The spread is low enough to back the Knicks without paying a major injury tax or inflated favorite premium.
