Baylor vs Houston Prediction

Baylor vs Houston Game Information

Baylor vs Houston Preview

No. 5 Houston (19-4, 11-1 in in Big 12) welcomes Baylor (15-8, 7-5 in Big 12) to the Fertitta Center in Houston for this Big 12 Conference battle on Monday night. In their last 5 games, the Bears are 3-2, beating Kansas State by 8 (70-62) and Utah by 15 (76-61), losing at BYU by 4 in OT (93-89), upsetting Kansas by 11 (81-70), and the losing at Texas Tech by 14 in their last game (73-59). In their last 5 games, the Cougars are 4-1, beating Utah by 34 (70-36), upsetting Kansas on the Road by 6 in 2 OT (92-86), topping West Virginia by 14 (63-49), losing to Texas Tech by 1 in OT (82-81), and then beating Oklahoma State by 9 (72-63).

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Houston at 12/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with Baylor at 110/1. Auburn and Duke are now co-Favorites (4/1) in the Big Dance followed by Alabama (9/1), Florida (13/1), Tennessee (14/1), and Iowa State (17/1). The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament 1 will tip off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round getting underway on March 21-22. The Final Four will be held on Saturday, April 5 with the Championship Game on Monday, April 7 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

Baylor Faces Tough Test at Houston on Monday Night

Baylor (8-11-1 ATS, 12-8-0 O/U) is a projected No. 9 seed in the latest Bracketology, so no doubt we will be seeing the Bears in the 68-team Field. Baylor (+325 Moneyline) has guys in scoring in double-digits in star F Norchad Omier (15.5 PPG, 10.5 RPG), G VJ Edgecombe (15.0 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.2 APG), G Robert Wright III (12.7 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 4.7 APG) and G Jeremy Roach (11.7 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 3.5 APG), with VCU Transfer G Jayden Nunn (9.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG), G Jalen Celestine (8.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG), G Langston Love (7.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG) and F Josh Ojanwuna (7.4 PPG, 6.4 RPG) also very productive. The Bears went 24-11 (11-7 in the Big 12) and made it to March Madness where they hammered Colgate in the First Round (92-67) before being bounced by Clemson in the Second Round (84-72). Twenty-one-year Head Coach Scott Drew and the Bears lost some key cogs from last year’s team to the NBA including Keyonte George (Jazz) and Adam Flagler (Thunder), while sparkplug LJ Cryer transferred to their opponents here, Houston, Dale Bonner transferred to Ohio State, and Jordan Turner transferred to Louisiana Tech.

Baylor Betting Trends

• Baylor has alternated Wins and Losses n its last 5 games (WLWLW)
• The last 2 series meetings went Over the Total 
• Baylor is 2-6 SU on the Road
• The Bears went 20-12-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (62.5%)
• Norchad Omier has led Baylor in Points and Rebounds the last 2 games

Houston, Cryer Having Yet Another Great Season 

Houston (12-11-0 ATS, 11-12-0 O/U) is a huge favorite here but there are many reasons why. The Cougars (-425 Moneyline) play the best Defense in the last and the Bears have yet to prove they can consistently win games on the Road. Houston (32-5 SU, 17-18-1 ATS in 2023-24) is led by electric Baylor Transfer LJ Cryer (14.3 PPG, 2.1 RPG), G Emmanuel Sharp (12.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG), J’Wan Roberts (11.8 PPG, 6.6 RPG), G Milos Uzan (10.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 4.7 APG), G Terrance Arceneaux (8.6 PPG, 3.4 RPG), G Mylik Wison (6.0 PPG, 3.7 RPG), F Joseph Tugler (5.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG), and F Ja’Vier Francis (5.3 PPG. 4.0 RPG). Despite losing superstar Jamal Shead in the 2024 NBA Draft (Toronto Raptors), veteran Head Coach Kelvin Sampson has his team in just as enviable of a spot as he did last season. The Cougars average 75.7 PPG (#148) and allow just 57.0 PPG (#1) and average 38.1 RPG (Tied-#69) and 13.0 APG (#282).

Houston Betting Trends

• Houston is 15-1 SU its last 16 games overall
• The Cougars have been Favorites in 23 of 24 games this season (KANSAS -1)
• The Cougars went a dismal 7-18-2 ATS last season
• Houston is #1 in the nation in Scoring Defense (57.0 PPG)
• The Under was 21-16-0 in Houston games last season (56.8%)
• Houston is 12-1 this 2024-25 NCAAB season (Loss to TT) 

Baylor vs Houston Prediction

With Houston just joining the Big 12 in 2023, these 2 schools don’t have a big body of work to handicap, so this Baylor vs Houston NCAAB pick will have to look more to recent numbers. The Bears have lost 3 of their last 4 games by double-digits, falling at Iowa State by 19 (74-55), at Arizona by 11 (81-70), and at Utah by 15 (76-51) and the Cougars are ranked higher and a better team than these 3, so the prediction here is for a 10-point-plus win by Cryer—facing his old team—Roberts and Houston.

Kevin’s Prediction: Houston -9.5

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