Chris Adkins is back with his Home Run Hit List for Wednesday, July 1, and the board is loaded with power matchups. Each of today’s targets pairs a slugger in form with a pitcher who has been vulnerable to the long ball, right down to the specific pitch types these hitters punish. As always, Chris recommends playing these as straight bets rather than parlaying them, so you bank the plus money even if one or two do not clear.
Coby Mayo, Orioles vs Noah Schultz
Mayo draws a strong platoon edge against White Sox lefty Noah Schultz, who has already surrendered four home runs to right-handed batters. Mayo owns seven home runs off left-handed pitching, and with Schultz throwing his sinker roughly 24 percent of the time, the matchup gets even better, as Mayo has three home runs off that pitch type. Warm weather with the wind blowing out only adds to the profile.
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Ben Rice, Yankees vs Troy Melton
Rice is the headliner, coming off a home run and looking to go back-to-back. He faces Troy Melton, who has allowed six home runs to left-handed batters. Rice has crushed right-handed pitching with 17 home runs, and Melton leans on a four-seam fastball about 43 percent of the time, a pitch Rice has taken deep 11 times. The wind blowing out at Yankee Stadium is the cherry on top.
Manny Machado, Padres vs Colin Rea
Machado has prior success against Cubs starter Colin Rea, including a home run in a previous meeting. Rea has allowed eight home runs to right-handed batters, and Machado brings 12 home runs off righties into this one. With Rea throwing his four-seam fastball around 38 percent of the time and Machado owning six home runs off that pitch, the power matchup at Wrigley is live.
Matt Olson, Braves vs Michael McGreevy
Olson gets a favorable draw against Cardinals righty Michael McGreevy, who has surrendered eight home runs to left-handed batters. Olson has 12 home runs off right-handed pitching, and McGreevy’s four-seam fastball, thrown about 31 percent of the time, is a pitch Olson has taken deep six times. Truist Park has been friendly to left-handed power all season.
Yandy Diaz, Rays vs Seth Lugo
Diaz has homered off Seth Lugo before, and the matchup remains inviting. Lugo has allowed seven home runs to right-handed batters, and Diaz brings eight home runs off righties into this spot. Lugo mixes in a slider about 16 percent of the time, a pitch Diaz has taken deep three times, giving this pick multiple paths to cash.
Bryce Eldridge, Giants vs Zack Gallen
Eldridge closes out the list against Diamondbacks starter Zack Gallen, who has allowed seven home runs to left-handed batters. Eldridge has five home runs off right-handed pitching, and Gallen’s four-seam fastball, thrown around 41 percent of the time, is a pitch Eldridge has homered off five times. The desert heat at Chase Field should help the ball carry.
How to Play the Hit List
Chris’ guidance never changes: take these as straight bets rather than stacking them into a parlay. Each pick carries plus money on its own, so playing them individually lets you profit even when only a couple connect. Keep an eye on lineups and weather, and remember these are the free plays, with additional targets often added as the day unfolds.
Please remember to gamble responsibly. Home run props are high-variance bets by nature, so only wager what you can afford to lose and treat these picks as one input into your own research. If gambling ever stops being fun, help is available through the 1-800-GAMBLER national helpline.
