Free MLB Picks For Today 7/2/2024
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
White Sox at Guardians—Chris Flexen will start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in seventeen games dealing with an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander strikes out 17.6% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.4% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco to start for Cleveland. Carrasco has fourteen starts with an ERA of 5.27 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran fans 17.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 48.6% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Huge step down in class for Cleveland after facing Kansas City and Baltimore in back-to-back series. The Past ten games the White Sox are batting .222. The Guardians in this period are putting up five runs per game. Cleveland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.06 and the White Sox away is 4.80. Chicago has a -162-run differential to the Guardians +98. Cleveland is 9-3 to the run line with rest. Play Cleveland on the run line -1.5 runs at +105.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Cardinals at Pirates—Kyle Gibson will start for St Louis. Gibson in fifteen starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 21.2% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.22. The righty is fanning 21.7% with 6.4% walks. Grounders are 39.7% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.29. They are batting only .221 against right-handed pitchers. In their past ten games the Pirates are hitting .198. St Louis when lined between -110 and +120 is 16-11 returning +584 units. Play St Louis +110.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Red Sox at Marlins—Kutter Crawford is the starter for Boston. Crawford has sixteen starts in the season, puts up an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 24.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 35% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Valente Bellozo expected to start for Miami. Bellozo in his MLB debut allowed no runs with two strikeouts in five innings at Kansas City. The righty was drafted in 2017 putting up poor numbers in the minor leagues the past two seasons.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.89. In their past ten games the Marlins are batting .208. They are batting .233 against right-handed starters. Play Boston and Miami under 8.5.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Mets at Nationals—Sean Manaea will start for New York. Manaea in fifteen starts on the year puts up an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander is striking out 23.6% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.8% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. DJ Herz is the starter for Washington. Herz has fifteen starts with an ERA of 5.48 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefty is fanning 27.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 31.7% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington is batting .228 against left handers. The Mets are hitting .262 against left handers and putting up 5.6 runs per game. In their past ten games they are hitting .265 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The team mark behind Manaea is 9-6 with a +2.98-unit return. As this series opened the Mets had won seven of nine against the Nationals. Play New York -131.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Reds at Yankees—Graham Ashcraft is the starter for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in thirteen starts on the year deals an ERA of 5.45 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander fans 17% with 7.2% walks. Grounders sit at 47.6% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.12. The righty is striking out 28% with 12.7% walks. Grounders served at 37.3% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Yankees bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.87. In their past ten games the Yankees are batting .237. Gil in his past two starts has allowed twelve earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings. New York has dropped 8 of 11 games. The Reds have a +29-run differential on the road. Opponents are hitting .216 on Reds pitching on the road. New York against pitching staffs allowing 3.9 runs to 4.2 runs per game they are 5-5 with -0.72-unit loss. Play Cincinnati +163.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Astros at Blue Jays—Spencer Arrighetti will start for Houston. Arrighetti has fourteen starts on the year carrying an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander strikes out 25.3% with 11.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.8% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.24 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.11. The veteran fans 18.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.3% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.95 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.26. Houston is batting .260 against right-handed starters and putting up 4.8 runs per game against them. In their past ten games they are batting .286. Toronto is 20-22 at home with a -7.03-unit loss. The Astros are 17-8 facing teams with a 46%-win percentage or lower this season. Play Houston -105.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Giants at Braves—Hayden Birdsong to start for San Francisco. Birdson in his MLB debut allowed three earned runs with five strikeouts and three walks in 4 2/3rd innings at home to the Cubs. The righthander was a sixth-round pick in 2022 out of Eastern Illinois who has had mixed results the past two seasons in the minors. Reynaldo Lopez is the starter for Atlanta. Lopez in fourteen starts has an ERA of 1.70 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 25.6% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.4% with limited home run damage.
Giants at Braves—The Braves bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.95. They are hitting .234 against right handed starters and the Giants .236. In their past ten games the Braves are batting .216. They are 25-14 to the under at home and 27-10 to the under facing teams that average 4.2 runs per game or fewer. The under is 10-3-1 in Lopez starts. Play San Francisco and Atlanta under 8.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Tigers at Twins—Tarik Skubal is the starter for Detroit. Skubal has sixteen starts in the year carrying an ERA of 2.32 with WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander fans 29.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.6% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Simeon Woods Richardson will start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson at thirteen starts with an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.9% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit in their past ten games is batting .205 to the Twins .271. Minnesota is 23-16 at home this season with the Tigers 5 games under .500 on the road. Detroit is 6-17 facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage. The Twins at 24-7 facing teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage. The Twins are 9-4 behind Simeon Richardson with a +3.86-unit return. Play Minnesota +102.
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Padres at Rangers—Dylan Cease is the starter for San Diego. Cease has seventeen starts in the season producing an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander has an elite K rate of 31.3% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 35.7% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in thirteen starts deals an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran fans 24.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .274 against right-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game against them. They are hitting .302 in their past ten games and putting up 7.7 runs per game. The Rangers in this period are batting .215 and putting up 2.5 runs per game. San Diego has returned +3.43 units as a road underdog this season and are 8-4 following an off day. They won 9 of 11 and the Rangers have dropped 6 of 11. The Padres have won 11 straight against Texas. Play San Diego +100.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Phillies at Cubs—Michael Mercado is the starter for Philadelphia. Mercado expected to make his MLB debut on Tuesday. The righthander was drafted in 2017 who had poor results in the minors except this season. In fourteen appearances in Triple A, he had an ERA of 1.71 with WHIP of 1.15 striking out 44 in 47 1/3rd innings. Hayden Wesneski will start for Chicago. Wesneski appeared in 21 games with an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.16. The righty is fanning 23.5% with 8.6% walks. Grounders are 44% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.70 with the Cubs at home an ERA of 3.38. Chicago bats only .224 against right-handed starters. The Phillies are 8-2 to the under after an off day. They are 10-13 to the under facing teams that average 3.9 to 4.3 runs per game. Chicago is 9-4 to the under as a home underdog. Injuries to Harper, Schwarber and Realmuto are a concern for the Phillies offense. Play Philadelphia and Chicago under 9.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Rays at Royals—Zack Littell will start for Tampa Bay. Littell has sixteen starts on the season deals an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 22% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.1% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer is the starter for Kansas City. Singer in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 22.6% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 50.4% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .227 against righthanders. The Royals are 30-16 at home returning 9.1 units. Tampa Bay is 15-23 facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage with a -8.63-unit loss. The team mark behind Singer is 10-6 with a +2.14-unit return. The Rays have a -18-run differential on the road and the Royals are +56 at home. KC is 17-6 as a favorite at home. Play Kansas City -120.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Bucks at Rockies—Dallas Keuchel to start for Milwaukee. Keuchel in his 2024 debut allowed five earned runs with four strikeouts and two homers in four innings at home to Texas. He started 2024 in Triple A with 13 starts and an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.21 striking out 45 batters in 71 innings. The lefthander has been ineffective in the Majors the past three seasons. Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has sixteen starts with an ERA of 5.82 with WHIP of 1.45. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls are 46% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rockies bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.45. The Brewers in their past ten games are hitting .279 and putting up 5.2 runs per game. Colorado is 12-8-1 to the over facing a team with a .540 or greater win percentage. The Brewers are 16-11 to the over against a team with a .460- or lower-win percentage. The over is 13-3 in Feltner’s starts. Play Milwaukee and Colorado over 11.5.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Angels at Athletics—Jose Soriano will start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in fourteen games providing an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 20.3% with 9.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 60.1% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence is the starter for Oakland. Spence appeared in 19 games with an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.24. The righty is striking out 20% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Athletics are batting .211. They bat .219 against righthanders. The team record behind Spence is 1-7 with a -5.54-unit loss. Oakland is 24-54 as an underdog with a -17.6-unit loss. LA has won seven of ten. Oakland has lost 18 of 21 and the Angels roughed up their pitching staff last week. Play Los Angeles -110.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Orioles at Mariners—Grayson Rodriguez will start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has fourteen starts on the season putting up an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 25.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.4% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 0.97. The righty posts a K mark of 24.2% with 2.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle has a bullpen ERA of 2.83 at home. They are 28-14 at home. Rodriguez on the road has an ERA of 5.35. Play Seattle +101.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/2/2024
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson appeared in fourteen games in the year producing an ERA of 5.69 with WHIP of 1.57. The righthander strikes out 15% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Bobby Miller is the starter for Los Angeles. Miller has five starts with an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.65. The righty is fanning 24.1% with 13.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.68. In their past ten games the Dodgers are putting up 5.6 runs per game. They are 22-18 to the over at home. The Diamondbacks are 16-10 to the over against the Division. Play Arizona and Los Angeles over 8.5.