Free MLB Picks For Today 4/25/2024
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Brewers at Pirates—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in four starts carries an ERA of 1.90 with WHIP of 0.76. The veteran has an elite K rate of 36.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls served at 41.2% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has five starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 4.80 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander deals 18.9% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 43% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Brewers in their 20 first games against right-handed starters are batting .272 winning 13 of those games. Their bullpen has performed well in those games. They have won ten of their first fourteen on the road. Play Milwaukee -125.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Red Sox at Guardians—Chase Anderson to start for Boston. Anderson has six relief appearances in 2024 with an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP of 0.85. The veteran fans 16% with 2% walks. Ground balls sit at 27.5% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in four starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 5.00 with WHIP of 1.61. The righty has seen his strikeouts drop to 13.3% with 18.1% walks. Ground balls served at 30.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 6.59 suggesting a higher ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen in their first fourteen road games has a bullpen ERA of 1.94 winning ten of those games. Their offense is generating nearly five runs per game away. McKenzie form troubling. Play Boston +125.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Phillies at Reds—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in five starts delivers an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 0.89. The righthander strikes out 30.2% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 51.9% with limited home run damage. Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez has four appearances in 2024 with an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.24. The righty fans 18.9% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.7% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Reds bullpen has an ERA of 3.15 in their fourteen home games. Their offense is putting up 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters. Phillies bullpen ERA overall 5.59. Philadelphia is batting .236 and putting up 3.5 runs per game in their eight road games. Cincinnati is 34-30 when an underdog of +125 to +175 with a +18.7 unit return the past two seasons. Play Cincinnati +144.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Astros at Cubs—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in his return allowed two earned runs with four strikeouts in six innings at Washington. Last season in 27 starts he had an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran had a K rate of 21.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 35.5% with 1.00 home run per nine innings. Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has four starts with an ERA of 2.11 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander fans 25% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Astros bullpen on the season an ERA of 5.28. They are putting up just 3.3 runs per game in their 11 road games. Houston is 1-7 as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season with a -8.3-unit loss. Chicago is putting up 6.3 runs per game in their first eleven home games. Play Chicago +115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Mariners at Rangers—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in five starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander has a K rate of 29.3% with 4.1% walks. Grounders served at 37% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.52 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has four starts with an ERA of 6.35 and WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts dip to 19% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.5% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .204 and putting up 3.5 runs per game in their first six games against left-handed starters. The Rangers are putting up 5.2 runs per game against right-handed starters and batting .272. Texas bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.00. Play Texas +108.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Padres at Rockies—Randy Vasquez to start for San Diego. Vasquez in his 2024 debut allowed one run with three strikeouts in five innings at home to Toronto. He had three starts in Triple A allowing ten earned runs with thirteen strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings. The righthander has 12 career appearances with an ERA of 2.74 and WHIP of 1.27 striking out 36 batters with six homers in 42 2/3rd innings. Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson in four starts has an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.59. Righty fans 12.5% with 11.5% walks. Grounders served at 52.8% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is 12-21 in road day games the past two seasons with a -13.4-unit loss. Colorado 18-13 in home day games with a +11.8 unit return the past two seasons. Vazquez tough to back. Play Colorado +129.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/25/2024
Dodgers at Nationals—Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for Los Angeles. Yamamoto in five starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander does strikeout 32.3% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.6% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has four starts with an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander is fanning 31.8% with 7.1% walks. Grounders come in at 30% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Nationals in their ten home games put up just 3.3 runs per game. Los Angeles is getting good work from their pen on the road. Los Angeles is 87-53 to the run line facing teams that bat .245 or worse the past three seasons with a +33.3-unit return. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at -122.