Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober 2-3-2024

Renato Moicano vs. Drew Dober 2/3/24 UFC FIGHT NIGHT 235 Game Analysis, Picks, and Predictions

Renato Moicano vs. Drew Dober 2/3/24 – UFC Fight Night 235 is set to captivate mixed martial arts fans worldwide with a thrilling lightweight bout between Renato Moicano and Drew Dober. Taking place on Saturday, February 3, 2024, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, this matchup showcases two fighters with contrasting styles and paths but a shared ambition for victory. With Moicano’s slight edge in the betting odds, this fight is a focal point for UFC enthusiasts and bettors alike, contributing to the anticipation of UFC free reviews today.


Renato Moicano vs. Drew Dober 2/3/24 Game Info


When: Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA


Renato Moicano Analysis


The well-rounded Renato Moicano comes into this fight sporting an impressive 17-5-1 professional record. He combines slick boxing skills with a highly dangerous submission game. In the striking metrics, Moicano lands 4.75 significant strikes per minute with a very solid 47% accuracy clip. He also showcases stellar defense in his standup, maintaining a 60% strike defense rate while absorbing just over 4 significant strikes per minute. Moicano’s grappling numbers are just as stellar, as he averages 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes of action with a 46% accuracy rate on his shot attempts.


Beyond the stats, Moicano has eight career submission victories, demonstrating a potent ground game. His slick skills were on full display in his last win over Riddell, where Moicano outstruck and outgrappled the dangerous kickboxer over three tactical rounds. If he can implement that same balanced approach of crisp technical boxing blended with well-timed takedowns and submissions hunting, Moicano should find plenty of success against Dober’s brawling style this Saturday night.


Drew Dober Analysis


Drew Dober has firmly established himself as one of the most feared and entertaining lightweights on the UFC roster. He enters this main event showdown with Moicano sporting a 27-12 professional record and very potent stand-up striking arsenal. The stats showcase Dober’s dangerous offensive volume, as he lands 4.58 significant strikes per minute, continually marching forwards while unleashing torrents of punches and kicks. Although Dober’s accuracy rate of just 40% does lag well behind Moicano’s marksmanship. This wild style has produced results however, with seven thrilling UFC knockouts on Dober’s record.


Defensively, the numbers reveal vulnerabilities that the skilled Moicano may be able to exploit. Dober tends to throw technique to the wind, getting drawn into reckless firefights rather than fighting tactically. This has resulted in a poor 51% strike defense rate, as Dober absorbs over 4 significant strikes per minute while stand-up trading. Additionally, his wrestling metrics reveal holes, with Dober stuffing just 56% of takedown attempts against him. If Moicano opts to implement a more conservative, technical game plan, mixing his strikes with offensive grappling, openings may emerge for the Brazilian to seize momentum as Dober starts to fade later in the fight.


Renato Moicano vs. Drew Dober Stats


Moicano Dober
Wins/Losses/Draws 17-5-1 27-12-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:02 7:39
Height 5′ 11″ 5′ 8″
Weight 155 lbs. 155 lbs.
Reach 72″ 70″
Stance Orthodox Southpaw
Strikes Landed per Min. 4.75 4.58
Striking Accuracy 47% 40%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 4.07 4.46
Defense 60% 51%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.66 0.68
Takedown Accuracy 46% 17%
Takedown Defense 74% 56%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.7 0.1


Renato Moicano vs. Drew Dober Betting Picks


Renato Moicano appears to have the edge over Drew Dober based on statistical analysis and recent performances, due to his superior grappling skills and reach advantage. Moicano may use striking combinations alongside takedown attempts against Dober, especially given his higher takedown defense rate; however, Dober remains a dangerous contender capable of turning the fight in his favor at any moment.


Betting trends predict a close contest, but Moicano may emerge victorious due to his versatility in the octagon. His recent victory against Riddell demonstrated his ability to adapt and execute an expansive game plan which may prove invaluable against Dober’s striking and toughness.


Free Pick: Renato Moicano -188

As UFC Fight Night 235 draws nearer, Renato Moicano and Drew Dober’s lightweight bout is shaping up to be an intriguing clash, as each fighter strives to establish themselves in their division. Not only should this clash provide exciting spectacle for UFC fans and betting markets but it may also present intriguing betting dynamics. Premium sports selections have increasingly shed light on MMA insights and trends, and this fight exemplifies its depth and complexity of prediction in this sport. As fighters finalize preparations, all eyes will be focused on UFC APEX on February 3 when skill, strategy and spirit collide in the octagon.


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