Free NFL Picks For Today 12/24/2023
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Colts at Falcons—Indianapolis receiver Michael Pittman is questionable with their right tackle out. The defensive starters are healthy. Atlanta fullback is doubtful with their right tackle questionable. On defense a nose tackle and linebacker are questionable. Indianapolis improved to 8-6 following their 30-13 home victory to Pittsburgh. The Colts rushed for 170 yards on 34 carries. They allowed three yards per run to the Steelers with 142 yards passing on 26 attempts. Indianapolis had a +3-turnover margin. Gardner Minshew completed 18 of 28 for 215 yards with three touchdowns. Atlanta fell to 6-8 with their 9-7 road defeat to Carolina. The Falcons rushed for 52 yards on 31 carries. They allowed 129 yards rushing to the Panthers with 154 yards passing on 24 attempts. Atlanta had a -2-turnover margin. Desmon Ridder is benched. Taylor Heinicke on the season is completing 55.4% of his passes with 6.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick:
Atlanta produces better offense at home where they average 23.3 points and 388 yards per game. The Falcons’ defense in their past three games has allowed 15.3 points and 277.3 yards per game. Indianapolis on the road generates only 303 yards of offense. Minshew is not an efficient passer on the road with a 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Play Atlanta -2.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Packers at Panthers—Green Bay receiver Christian Watson is doubtful with receiver Reed questionable. On defense a linebacker and free safety are out. Questionable are a nose tackle, corner, and free safety. Carolina starters on offense and defense are healthy. Green Bay fell to 6-8 with their 34-20 home defeat to Tampa Bay. The Packers rushed for 60 yards on 17 carries. They held the Buccaneers to 3.8 yards per rush with 353 yards passing on 28 attempts. Jordan Love completed 29 of 39 for 284 yards with two touchdowns. He averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Carolina improved to 2-12 with their 9-7 home win to Atlanta. The Panthers rushed for 129 yards on 36 attempts. They limited the Falcons to 52 rushing yards with 152 yards passing on 20 attempts. Bryce Young hit 18 of 24 for 167 yards. He averaged 7 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick:
Carolina defense form good over their past three games by allowing 244 yards and 18.7 points per game. This unit sits third in total defense and limit big plays in the passing game. Green Bay is 2-5 straight up on the road. Defensive form shaky for the Packers in their past three games by allowing 385 yards and 26 points per game. Jordan Love inefficient on the road with a 59.8% completion rate and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Packers defense on the road is giving up 4.9 yards per carry. Play Carolina +4.
Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Browns at Texans—Cleveland left guard is questionable. At home their middle linebacker and free safety are out. Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud is out with receiver Nico Collins questionable. On defense an end and linebacker are out. Questionable are their middle linebacker and tackle. Cleveland improved to 8-6 with their 20-17 home victory to Chicago. The Browns rushed for only 29 yards on 18 carries. They held the Bears to 3.3 yards per run with 148 yards passing on 40 attempts. Each team had three turnovers. Joe Flacco completed 28 of 44 for 374 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He averaged 8.5 yards per pass attempt and eight completions of 20 or greater yards. Houston is 8-6 with their 19-16 road win at Tennessee. The Texans rushed for 148 yards on 32 carries. They held the Titans to 2.2 yards per carry with 138 yards passing on 26 attempts. CJ Stroud missed last week’s game due to concussion and was listed as questionable early in the week. The rookie is completing 62.4% of his passes with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Stroud had 20 touchdown passes with five interceptions.
The Pick:
Cleveland defense on the road is allowing 31 points and 345 yards per game. Joe Flacco in these three games is averaging 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Texans pass defense is poor allowing 68.6% completion rate and allow big plays in the passing game. Browns have gone over in all six on the road. Case Keenum is an experienced quarterback in his 11th year and could exploit a struggling defense. Play Cleveland and Houston over 40.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Lions at Vikings—Detroit fullback is out. On defense a linebacker is doubtful. Minnesota right tackle is questionable. On defense their nose tackle, end and linebacker are questionable. A cornerback is out. Detroit improved to 10-4 with their 42-17 home victory to Denver. The Lions rushed for 185 yards on 28 carries. They held the Broncos to three yards per rush with 204 yards passing on 32 attempts. Jared Goff completed 24 of 34 for 278 yards with five touchdowns. He averaged 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Minnesota drops to 7-7 following their 27-24 road overtime defeat to Cincinnati. The Vikings rushed for 143 yards on 30 carries. They allowed under four yards per run to the Bengals with 298 yards passing on 42 attempts. Nick Mullens hit 26 of 33 for 303 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He averaged 9.2 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick:
Jared Goff has been efficient indoors completing 69.4% with 7 yards per pass attempt. The Lions are getting great production from their run game with 4.8 yards per rush. Minnesota is last in the NFL as they allow 69.8% completion rate. The Vikings have lost four of six at home. Lions have won and covered five of seven on the road. Play Detroit -3.
Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Commanders at Jets—Washington receiver Brian Robinson, left tackle and center are out. On defense a safety is questionable. New York quarterback Zach Wilson is out. On defense an end and safety are questionable. Washington fell to 4-10 with their 28-20 road defeat to the Los Angeles Rams. The Commanders rushed for 79 yards on 21 carries. They allowed 196 yards rushing to the Rams with 249 yards passing on 33 attempts. Sam Howell completed 11 of 26 for 102 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged a season low 3.9 yards per pass attempt. New York dropped to 5-9 after their 30-0 road defeat at Miami. The Jets rushed for 23 yards on 12 carries. They allowed 2.9 yards per run to the Dolphins with 213 passing yards on 26 attempts. New York had a -4-turnover margin. Zach Wilson is in concussion protocol and was questionable mid-week. Trevor Siemian in relief hit 14 of 26 for 110 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 4.2 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick:
New York offense their past three games averaging 12.7 points and 236 yards per game. Sam Howell has had ups and downs, but his body of work will be enough to back here. Trevor Siemian is completing just 48.7% with 4.5 yards per pass attempt. The Commanders are rushing for 4.5 yards a carry in the season. New York has the 32nd and last defense. Play Washington +3.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Seahawks at Titans—Seattle running back Walker and center are questionable. On defense a corner is questionable. Tennessee quarterback Levis, tight end Okonkwo, center, and right guard are questionable. On defense an end, linebacker, corner, and free safety are out. Seattle improved to 7-7 following their 20-17 home victory to Philadelphia. The Seahawks rushed for 100 yards on 24 carries. They allowed 178 yards rushing to the Eagles with 143 yards passing on 31 attempts. Seattle had a +2-turnover margin. Geno Smith missed the past two games with a groin injury. He was activated last week but didn’t play. Smith on the year is completing 64.4% of his passes with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Tennessee fell to 5-9 after their 19-16 home defeat to Houston. The Titans rushed for 66 yards on 30 carries. They allowed 148 yards rushing to the Texans with 192 yards passing on 36 attempts. Will Levis has an ankle sprain and was questionable mid-week. Levis went 17 of 26 for 199 yards and an interception. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. The Titans were eliminated from the playoffs with the loss. Ryan Tannehill and Malik Willis are options if Levis can’t go.
The Pick:
Seattle has lost five of seven on the road. Past three games the Seahawks are allowing 29 points and 420 yards per game. The Titans have won four of six at home as their defense limit opponents to 308 yards per game. Tannehill would start if Levis couldn’t start. Geno Smith is cleared to play. Smith on the road is completing 63.4%. The Seattle defense allows 67.2% completion rate and big plays in the passing game. Play Tennessee +3.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Jaguars at Buccaneers—Jacksonville quarterback Lawrence and receiver Zay Jones are questionable. On defense a corner and safety are questionable. Tampa Bay starters on offense are healthy. On defense a safety is questionable. Jacksonville drops to 8-6 following their 23-7 home defeat to Baltimore. The Jaguars rushed for 75 yards on 17 carries. They allowed 251 yards rushing to the Ravens with 145 yards passing on 24 attempts. Trevor Lawrence completed 25 of 43 for 264 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 41 yards. Lawrence missed practice early this week with a concussion and ankle injury. Tampa Bay improved to 7-7 after their 34-20 road win at Green Bay. The Bucs rushed for 99 yards on 27 carries. They held the Packers to 60 rushing yards with 261 yards passing on 39 attempts. Baker Mayfield hit 22 of 28 for 381 yards with four touchdowns. He averaged 13.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick:
Trevor Lawrence was still not cleared out of concussion protocol as they traveled to Atlanta. CJ Beathard is the backup. In his career Beathard completed 59.5% of his passes with 18 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Tampa Bay is defending the run well by allowing 3.9 yards per carry. The team runs for 3.5 yards per carry, which is last in the league. Buc have gone under in four of six at home with struggles offensively and strong defense. On the road the Jaguars hold opponents to 337 yards per game. Play Jacksonville and Tampa Bay under 43.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Cardinals at Bears—Arizona receiver Marquise Brown is out. On defense a corner is out and questionable. Chicago receiver Brown and left guard are out. Running back D’Onta Foreman and tight end Cole Kmet are questionable. Arizona fell to 3-11 following their 45-29 home defeat to San Francisco. The Cardinals rushed for 234 yards on 30 carries. They allowed 144 yards rushing to the 49ers with 262 yards passing on 28 attempts. Arizona had a -2-turnover margin. Kyler Murray completed 26 of 39 for 211 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged a season low of 5.4 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 49 yards. Chicago drops to 5-9 with their 20-17 road defeat to Cleveland. The Bears rushed for 88 yards on 27 carries. They held the Browns to 1.6 yards per run with 348 yards passing on 45 attempts. Justin Fields hit 19 of 40 for 166 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged 4.2 yards per pass attempt, a season low. Each team committed three turnovers.
The Pick:
Arizona defense in poor form as in their past three games allowing 31 points and 393 yards per game. The team is 1-6 straight up on the road. Chicago defense in good form as in their past three games allowing 14.3 points and 295 yards per game. Arizona defensively allows 69.6% completions and surrender big plays in the passing game. They struggle to stop the run as well by giving up 4.5 yards per carry. Fields at home completes 67% of his passes with 7.2 yards per pass attempt and averages 5.7 yards per carry. Murray in his return under center has four touchdowns passes but four interceptions with 62.1% completion rate. Play Chicago -4.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Cowboys at Dolphins—Dallas left tackle is out with their right guard questionable. On defense a tackle is out with free safety questionable. Miami receiver Tyreek Hill and right tackle are questionable with their right guard out. On defense a corner and safety are questionable. Dallas fell to 10-4 following their 31-10 road defeat at Buffalo. The Cowboys rushed for 89 yards on 20 carries. They surrendered 266 yards rushing to the Bills with 85 passing on 15 attempts. Dak Prescott completed 21 of 34 for 134 yards with an interception. He averaged a season low 3.9 yards per pass attempt in cold and rainy conditions. Miami improved to 10-4 with their 30-0 home victory to New York Jets. The Dolphins rushed for 77 yards on 28 carries. They limited the Jets to 2 yards per run with 80 passing yards on 37 carries. Miami had a -4-turnover margin. Tua Tagovailoa hit 21 of 24 for 224 yards with a touchdown. His top receiver Tyreek Hill missed the game.
The Pick:
The Passing yardage allowed by the Dolphins against the Titans and Raiders the concern here. Cowboys pass defense has been outstanding by allowing just 59.7% completion rate. Play Dallas +2.
New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/24/2023
Patriots at Broncos—New England running back Stevenson, receiver Smith-Shuster and tight end Henry are out. Their left tackle is questionable. On defense a safety is out with three linebackers and a corner questionable. Denver starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is out. New England fell to 3-11 with their 27-17 home defeat to Kansas City. The Patriots rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. They held the Chiefs to 2.1 yards per rush with 283 yards passing on 38 attempts. Bailey Zappe completed 23 of 31 passes for 180 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Denver dropped to 7-7 after their 42-17 road defeat at Detroit. The Broncos rushed for 83 yards on 28 carries. They surrendered 185 yards rushing to the Lions with 263 yards passing on 34 attempts. Russell Wilson hit 18 of 32 passes for 223 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 7 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick:
Russell Wilson at home is completing 67.8% of his passes with 13 touchdowns and an interception. Patriots’ offense on the road is averaging only 12.3 points and 287 yards per game. Four straight home wins for Denver behind good defensive performance. New England cluster injuries on both sides of the ball a major concern. Play Denver =7.