Free NFL Picks For Today 12/17/2023
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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Texans at Titans—Tennessee receiver Westbrook-Ikhine is questionable. On defense an end and nose tackle are out. An end, linebacker, and free safety are questionable. Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud is doubtful. Receivers Collins and Brown are questionable. Also questionable are their right guard and right tackle. On defense an end and linebacker are out. Houston fell to 7-6 following their 30-6 road defeat to the New York Jets. The Texans rushed for 81 yards on 19 carries. They allowed 3 yards per rush to the Jets with 268 yards passing on 36 attempts. CJ Stroud was questionable early in the week with a concussion. Davis Mills went 1 of 5 in relief last week for four yards and 0.8 yards per pass attempt. Tennessee improved to 5-8 after their 28-27 road win on Monday to Miami. The Titans rushed for 83 yards on 29 carries. They surrendered 5.1 yards per run to the Dolphins with 208 yards passing on 33 attempts. Tennessee had a -2-turnover margin. Will Levis hit 23 of 38 for 327 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 8.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: Davis Mills and Case Keenum split reps this week and either one could start. Stroud did not practice this week as he sat in concussion protocol. Their receiving corps and right side of the offensive line banged up. Titans are 4-1 straight up and to the spread at home. Texans won’t held their backup much here as their run game generates only 3.7 yards per rush. Houston is allowing 68.8% completions ranking 30th in the league and allow big plays in the passing game. Play Tennessee -3.
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Jets at Dolphins—New York fullback Bawden, center, and right guard are questionable with their right tackle doubtful. On defense and end is questionable. Miami receiver Tyreek Hill, left tackle, center and right tackle are questionable with their right guard out. On defense a linebacker, cornerback, and free safety are questionable with their strong safety out. New York improved to 5-8 following their 30-6 home victory to Houston. The Jets rushed for 79 yards on 26 attempts. They allowed 81 yards rushing to the Texans with 54 passing yards on 11 attempts. Zach Wilson completed 27 of 36 for 301 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Wilson had a questionable designation early in the week with a minor knee injury. Miami is 9-4 after their 28-27 home defeat to Tennessee. The Dolphins rushed for 158 yards on 31 carries. They allowed 3.1 yards per carry to the Titans with 320 yards passing on 38 attempts. Miami had a +2-turnover margin. Tua Tagovailoa went 23 of 33 for 240 yards and 7.3 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: At home the Dolphins have covered four of six as they average 37 points and 475 yards per game. Zach Wilson is dealing with a minor knee issue. Zach Wilson has been poor on the road completing 54.5% with 6.7 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown for three touchdowns and six picks away from home. New York 32nd ranked offense will struggle matching scores with the Dolphins here. Play Miami -9.
Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Bears at Browns—Chicago receiver St Brown is out with receiver DJ Moore questionable. On defense a safety is questionable. Cleveland center on offense is out. On defense a tackle, linebacker and corner are questionable with a safety out. Chicago improved to 5-8 with their 28-13 home victory over Detroit. The Bears rushed for 142 yards on 30 carries. They allowed 140 yards rushing to the Lions with 127 yards passing on 35 attempts. Chicago had a +3-turnover margin. Justin Fields completed 19 of 33 for 223 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 58 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland is 8-5 with their 31-27 home victory to Jacksonville. The Browns rushed for 82 yards on 28 carries. Cleveland had 3 turnovers and forced 4 from the Jaguars. Joe Flacco hit 26 of 45 for 311 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: This game will be impacted by bad weather with high wind and 76% chance of rain. The Browns are 5-1 to the under at home behind a strong defense that surrenders 12.6 points and 192 yards per game. The Bears defensive form has been good as in their past three games allowing 18 points and 282 yards per game averaging 2.7 sacks per game. Joe Flacco is a statue in the pocket. Play Chicago and Cleveland under 38.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Chiefs at Patriots—Kansas City running back Pacheco and left tackle Smith are out. Their defensive starters are healthy. New England running back Stevenson is out with receivers Parker and Smith-Schuster questionable. Their left tackle is also questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Kansas City fell to 8-5 following their 20-17 home defeat to Buffalo. The Chiefs rushed for 82 yards on 18 carries. They allowed 118 yards rushing to the Bills with 209 yards passing on 42 attempts. Patrick Mahomes completed 25 of 43 for 271 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt. New England improved to 3-10 following their 21-18 road win at Pittsburgh. The Patriots rushed for 81 yards on 25 carries. They held the Steelers to 3 yards per rush with 182 yards passing on 36 attempts. Bailey Zappe hit 19 of 28 for 240 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 8.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: Kansas City offense has struggled on the road by averaging 21 points and 338 yards per game. Past three games the Patriots defense is allowing 11.3 points and 241 yards per game. Extra rest for New England after playing a Thursday night game. Zappe’s improvement is encouraging. Play New England +8.5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Falcons at Panthers—Atlanta left tackle, center and right guard are questionable. Their right tackle is out. On defense their nose tackle and two linebackers are questionable with a defensive end out. Carolina starters on offense are healthy. On defense two linebackers and the free safety is questionable. Atlanta sits at 6-7 following their 29-25 home defeat to Tampa Bay. The Falcons rushed for 96 yards on 26 attempts. They allowed 148 yards rushing to the Buccaneers with 142 yards passing on 29 attempts. Desmond Ridder completed 26 of 40 for 347 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 8.7 yards per pass attempt and a rushing touchdown. Carolina fell to 1-12 after their 28-6 road defeat to New Orleans. The Panthers rushed for 204 yards on 39 carries. They held the Saints to 3.9 yards per rush with 110 yards passing on 26 attempts. Bryce Young hit 13 of 36 for 137 yards with 3.8 yards per pass attempt. He did rush for 40 yards on three carries.
The Pick: The Panthers have a home win against the Texans. They do defend well at home by holding opponents to 268 yards per game. Atlanta has struggled offensively away from home by averaging 14.7 points and 276 yards per game. Ridder on the road is completing 59.7% of his passes with 6.3 yards per pass attempt with two touchdowns and two picks. Carolina secondary has played well by not giving up big plays and league average against the run. Play Carolina +3.
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Giants at Saints—New York right tackle is doubtful, and their left guard is questionable. On defense their nose tackle is questionable. New Orleans receiver Olave and their right tackle is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. New York improved to 5-8 with their 24-22 home victory on Monday to Green Bay. The Giants rushed for 209 yards on 34 carries. They allowed 123 yards rushing to the Packers with 203 yards passing on 39 attempts. Tommy DeVito completed 17 of 21 for 158 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 7.5 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 71 yards. New Orleans is 6-7 following their 28-6 home victory to Carolina. The Saints rushed for 97 yards on 25 carries. They allowed 204 yards rushing to the Panthers with 99 yards passing on 36 attempts. Derek Carr hit 18 of 26 for 119 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 4.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: The Saints defend well, and DeVito struggled in his road game against a good Dallas defense where he completed just 51.9% with 3.2 yards per pass attempt. New York on the road allows 29 points and 431 yards per game. New Orleans is an elite pass defense. Play New Orleans -5.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Buccaneers at Packers—Receiver Chris Godwin is questionable for Tampa Bay. On defense a safety and corner are out. Their nose tackle, linebacker and another starting corner are questionable. Green Bay receiver Christian Woods is doubtful with running back Aaron Jones questionable. On defense a linebacker, corner and safety are questionable. Tampa Bay improved to 6-7 following their 29-25 road win at Atlanta. The Bucs rushed for 148 yards on 37 attempts. They allowed 96 yards rushing to the Falcons with 338 yards passing on 40 attempts. Baker Mayfield completed 14 of 29 for 144 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged a season low 5 yards per pass attempt and rushed for a touchdown. Green Bay drops to 6-7 with their 24-22 road defeat on Monday to the New York Giants. The Packers rushed for 123 yards on 25 carries. They surrendered 209 yards rushing to the Giants with 158 yards passing on 21 attempts. The Packers had three turnovers and took two from New York. Jordon Love hit 25 of 39 for 218 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt, tying a season low.
The Pick: Tampa Bay defensive cluster injuries the concern. On the road they are allowing 391 yards per game. Packers defense has been good at home by holding opponents to 19.5 points a game. Tampa Bay sit 32nd in yards per rush at 3.5 per carry. Quarterback accuracy is also an issue. Love has been better at home by completing 63.2% with 7 yards per pass attempt. Mayfield is averaging only 6.2 yards per pass attempt on the road. Play Green Bay -3.5.
Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Commanders at Rams—Washington running back Brian Robinson is out. On defense an end is out. Los Angeles receiver Atwell and right tackle are questionable. On defense Aaron Donald is questionable. Washington drops to 4-9 following their 45-15 home defeat to Miami two weeks ago. The Commanders rushed for 138 yards on 28 carries. They allowed 123 yards rushing to the Dolphins with 283 yards passing on 25 attempts. Sam Howell completed 12 of 23 for 127 yards and an interception. He averaged a season low of 5.5 yards per pass attempt but rushed for two touchdowns. Los Angeles fell to 6-7 with their 37-31 road overtime defeat at Baltimore. The Rams rushed for 128 yards on 30 carries. They allowed 129 yards rushing to the Ravens with 310 yards passing on 43 attempts. Matthew Stafford hit 23 of 41 for 294 yards with three touchdowns. He averaged 7.2 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: Donald’s groin injury is a concern. At home the Rams are averaging only 22.2 points and 339 yards per game. The Commanders have covered five of seven on the road and enter off a bye week. Past three games the Rams defense is allowing 356 yards. Play Washington +6.5.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
49ers at Cardinals—San Francisco left, and right guard are questionable. On defense both tackles and a linebacker are out. A linebacker and corner are questionable. Arizona receivers Brown and Wilson are questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. San Francisco improves to 10-3 with their 28-16 home victory to Seattle. The 49ers rushed for 173 yards on 23 carries. They held the Seahawks to 70 rushing yards with 254 yards passing on 31 attempts. Brock Purdy completed 19 of 27 for 368 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 13.6 yards per pass attempt. Arizona is 3-10 after their 24-10 road win at Pittsburgh. The Cardinals rushed for 150 yards on 38 carries. They surrendered 130 yards rushing to the Steelers with 187 passing yards on 27 attempts. Kyler Murray hit 13 of 23 for 145 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick: When San Francisco key playmakers are healthy, they have pounded teams. Past three games they are averaging 33.7 points and 453 yards per game outscoring teams by an average of 18 points. Arizona lost and failed to cover all four divisional games getting outscored by an average of 17.2 points. That recent 37-14 home loss to the Rams is not encouraging here. Play San Francisco -12.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Cowboys at Bills—Dallas receiver Brandin Cooks is questionable. On defense a tackle is out with a corner and safety questionable. Buffalo starters on offense are healthy with a safety on defense questionable. Dallas improved to 10-3 with their 33-13 home victory to Philadelphia. The Cowboys rushed for 138 yards on 32 carries. They allowed 106 yards rushing to the Eagles with 218 yards passing on 28 attempts. Dak Prescott completed 24 of 39 for 217 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Buffalo is 7-6 following their 20-17 road win at Kansas City. The Bills produced 118 yards on 28 carries. They allowed 82 rushing yards to the Chiefs with 264 yards passing on 43 attempts. Josh Allen hit 23 of 42 for 233 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged a season low 5.5 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick: Late afternoon into early evening game in Buffalo in mid-December. Rain and cold in the forecast and these conditions favor the home team. The Bills have won five of six at home by allowing 14.5 points and 284 yards per game. Bills at home limit big plays in the passing game. Dallas just 3-3 straight up and to the spread on the road with drop off in yardage and points scored. Play Buffalo -2.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Pick Prediction 12/17/2023
Ravens at Jaguars—Baltimore starters on offense are healthy and on defense safety is questionable. Jacksonville left tackle and guard are questionable. On defense a corner and safety are out. Baltimore improved to 10-3 with their 37-31 home overtime victory to Los Angeles Rams. The Ravens rushed for 139 yards on 26 attempts. They allowed 128 yards rushing to the Rams with 282 yards passing on 41 attempts. Lamar Jackson completed 24 of 43 for 316 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 70 yards. Jacksonville drops to 8-5 following their 31-27 road defeat to Cleveland. The Jaguars rushed for 58 yards on 20 carries. They allowed 82 rushing yards to the Browns with 307 yards passing on 45 attempts. Jacksonville committed four turnovers and took three away from the Browns. Trevor Lawrence hit 28 of 50 for 257 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. He averaged a season low 5.1 yards per pass attempt playing through a high ankle sprain. He reported for full practice on Wednesday.
The Pick: Ravens have played to under in four of six on the road by holding opponents to 15.7 points and 259 yards per game. Lawrence is playing through a high ankle sprain and that is a concern facing a Ravens team sitting best in the NFL in sacking the quarterback at 3.8 per game. Jaguars are allowing 2.5 sacks per game. On the road the Ravens are averaging only 339 yards per game. Play Baltimore and Jacksonville under 42.