Vanderbilt Commodores (2-8) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-6)
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. South Carolina Gamecocks 11/11/23 – As we enter Week 11 of the NCAAF season, the Vanderbilt Commodores will travel to face the South Carolina Gamecocks in a matchup that pits two struggling SEC teams against each other. Set to take place on November 11, 2023, at the Williams-Brice Stadium, this game carries implications for both teams as they seek to improve their disappointing records. With the Commodores sitting at 2-8 and the Gamecocks slightly ahead at 3-6, both sets of fans will be looking for improvements and a win to bolster their seasons. As we prepare our NCAAF game predictions, let’s delve into the specifics of each team’s performance and what to expect in this contest.
Vanderbilt has shown their struggles defending against the spread in recent games with an ATS record of 1-10 in 11 contests – which bettors have noted closely when making NCAAF game predictions. Yet their running game remains strong thanks to Tahj Brooks who has amassed 1037 yards rushing and 7 touchdowns this year alone! Wide receiver Xavier White provides valuable threat for Vanderbilt with 388 receiving yards and one score.
South Carolina has faced its own struggles, both on the field and against the spread, in their last five games – going 1-4 against the spread in that stretch. Yet their offensive lineup features talent such as Sedrick Alexander’s 291 rushing yards and four touchdowns; wide receiver Will Sheppard has amassed 634 reception yards for 8 touchdowns which makes him an integral figure to South Carolina’s offensive strategy.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. South Carolina Gamecocks 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET|
Behren Morton QB vs. AJ Swann QB
Behren Morton, Vanderbilt’s quarterback, has shown resilience throughout the season. With 978 passing yards, a 61.9 completion percentage, and 10 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions, Morton’s stats reflect a cautious but effective approach. His passer rating of 133.6 suggests competence, but the 9 sacks indicate a potential vulnerability under pressure, something he’ll need to mitigate against South Carolina’s defense.
AJ Swann of the Gamecocks has compiled 1290 passing yards with a completion rate of 53.8%. While Swann has surpassed Morton in yardage and touchdowns, his 7 interceptions hint at potential decision-making issues. Despite this, Swann’s passing game can’t be underestimated, and his ability to connect on longer throws might just give South Carolina the edge they need in what promises to be a gritty contest.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -575, Total Odds: 58
The odds are tilted in favor of the Gamecocks, as reflected by the -575 moneyline, indicating a belief in their superior chances of securing a victory. The point spread of -13.5 for South Carolina suggests that oddsmakers expect them to win by at least two touchdowns. However, with a total of 58 points, the question for bettors is whether both teams will engage in a high-scoring affair or if defenses will prevail.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends
Vanderbilt’s betting trends do not inspire confidence for those looking to back them against the spread. Their recent form indicates significant struggles in covering, which could be due to the offensive line issues or defensive vulnerabilities. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 games, hinting at defensive weaknesses that could again be exploited in the upcoming matchup.
South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Trends
The Gamecocks have also had their challenges against the spread, mirroring Vanderbilt’s trends. However, the total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 5 games at home, which might be an indicator of their ability to score points on their own turf. A perfect 6-0 SU in their last 6 home games against Vanderbilt puts them in a psychologically advantageous position.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. South Carolina Gamecocks 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Taking all data and trends into consideration, this matchup looks poised for South Carolina to cover the spread. The Commodores’ inability to hold strong against the spread and their consecutive SU losses, especially on the road, tilt the predictions in favor of the Gamecocks. However, Vanderbilt’s offense, spearheaded by Morton, cannot be completely discounted, and there might be value in looking at the total points market, considering both teams’ tendencies to engage in higher-scoring games.
Experts’ game day selections are leaning towards South Carolina, primarily due to their superior recent home form and Vanderbilt’s poor ATS record. In terms of prop bets, Will Sheppard could be a strong candidate for an anytime touchdown scorer, given his season performance. The over/under is a trickier proposition, but given the offensive strengths and defensive frailties of both teams, the over might tempt those looking for value.
Free Pick and Prediction: South Carolina Gamecocks 34, Vanderbilt Commodores 20