New Mexico Lobos (3-6) vs. Boise State Broncos (4-5)
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos 11/11/23 – In the pulsating world of college football, Week 11 brings an intriguing matchup with the New Mexico Lobos facing off against the Boise State Broncos on Saturday, November 11, 2023. As the season progresses, each game becomes crucial for the teams’ standings, making this a key fixture in the NCAAF calendar. Fans and bettors alike are keenly looking at the NCAAF top picks, with both teams looking to improve their records in this late-season clash.
New Mexico Lobos (3-6) face an uphill battle in this matchup against Texas Tech University. Key players, such as Jacory Croskey-Merritt have been impressive. Merritt has amassed 675 rushing yards with an incredible average of 5.5 yards per rush attempt and 12 touchdowns. Jeremiah Hixon stands out with 30 receptions for 355 receiving yards and five touchdowns; their performance will be essential in this contest for New Mexico Lobos.
Boise State Broncos have amassed an improved record of 4-5 and boast some stars of their own. Ashton Jeanty, their star running back, has amassed 921 yards while averaging 5.9 yards per attempt and scoring 11 times this season. Eric McAlister stands out with 873 receiving yards and five touchdowns to date; his ability to create plays and stretch defense will prove vital in this matchup.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET|
Dylan Hopkins QB vs. Taylen Green QB
Dylan Hopkins of the New Mexico Lobos has had a season of ups and downs. With 137 completions from 233 attempts, totaling 1825 passing yards, he has shown his capability to lead the offense. His completion percentage stands at 58.8%, with 11 passing touchdowns to his name. However, his 7 interceptions and 11 sacks suggest areas of vulnerability under pressure. Hopkins’ style of play, balancing risk and reward, will be a decisive factor in this game.
For Boise State, Taylen Green‘s season mirrors his team’s overall performance. Green has completed 83 of 157 attempts, achieving 1142 passing yards. His completion percentage is lower at 52.9%, with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Green has been more protected, having been sacked only 5 times. His decision-making skills and ability to handle defensive pressure will be critical for Boise State’s success in this matchup.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Boise State Broncos -4000, Total Odds: 59.5
The betting odds are tilted heavily in favor of Boise State, as reflected in their moneyline of -4000 and the total odds set at 59.5. This suggests that bookmakers expect a high-scoring game, with the Broncos likely to dominate.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends
New Mexico’s betting trends aren’t particularly encouraging. Their 4-12 against-the-spread (ATS) record in their last 16 games is far below expectations and has resulted in six consecutive defeats against Boise State as well as an alarming 1-11 road record over this span. Such trends suggest an absence of consistency and resilience under pressure environments.
Boise State Broncos Betting Trends
Boise State has shown strength at home recently, boasting a 10-3 record over their last 13 games at Albertsons Stadium. Furthermore, they’ve been dominant against New Mexico opponents, winning 9 out of their last 10 Mountain Division matches; yet in four out of their last five encounters against New Mexico the total has gone under in each matchup; perhaps indicating a lower-scoring affair than projected by oddsmakers.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Conclusions and trends point towards Boise State as being victorious; however, the spread is large, and New Mexico should not be taken lightly – specifically players such as Hopkins and Croskey-Merritt who could make this game closer than its odds would indicate.
Bettors looking for the safest pick should support Boise State, given their strong home record and recent victories over New Mexico. With an over/under set at 59.5 and both teams typically engaging in high-scoring games, betting on the over might be tempting; however, given Boise State’s trend of unders against New Mexico more conservative bettors may opt for betting against.
Expert consensus picks favor Boise State covering the spread, with game total residing just beneath setline. Boise State’s efficiency and home field advantage should prove too great a hurdle for Lobos to surmount.
Free Pick and Prediction: Boise State Broncos 38, New Mexico Lobos 17