Duke Blue Devils (6-3) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2)
Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels 11/11/23 – As the leaves turn and the crisp air of November settles in, the Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels prepare for a pivotal Week 11 matchup in the NCAAF. With Duke at a respectable 6-3 and North Carolina boasting a strong 7-2 record, this game, set for Saturday, November 11, 2023, at Kenan Memorial Stadium, is more than just a game; it’s a testament to the grit and determination of college football. For those seeking free college football tips, this encounter offers a perfect blend of rivalry, skill, and strategy.
The Blue Devils, despite a somewhat fluctuating season, have shown remarkable resilience. Jordan Waters, their dynamic running back, has been a consistent performer. With 564 rushing yards and a commendable average of 5.6 yards per attempt, Waters is a significant threat. His ability to find gaps and explode through them has been vital for Duke. Equally important is wide receiver Jordan Moore. With 483 receiving yards and an impressive 13.4 yards per catch, Moore’s ability to make crucial catches has often been the difference-maker in tight situations.
On the other side, the Tar Heels, led by the prodigious talent of quarterback Drake Maye, are formidable. Maye’s season has been nothing short of sensational, boasting 2803 passing yards and a 65.9% completion rate. His vision and accuracy make him a central figure in North Carolina’s offensive strategy. Complementing Maye’s aerial prowess is running back Omarion Hampton. Hampton’s 1067 rushing yards and 6.1 yards per carry have provided North Carolina with a balanced and potent attack, making them a challenging team to defend against.
Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET|
|Where:||Kenan Memorial Stadium|
Riley Leonard QB vs. Drake Maye QB
Riley Leonard of Duke has been a steady presence at quarterback. With 1102 passing yards and a 57.6% completion rate, Leonard has demonstrated his capability of leading an effective offense, yet still leaving room for growth. Leonard must stay calm under pressure and make critical throws despite facing 7 total sacks in this high-stakes game; his playstyle must entail cautious decision-making focused on short to medium range passes to succeed against an experienced Tar Heels defense.
Drake Maye, North Carolina Tar Heels’ quarterback, stands out. With 2803 passing yards and 20 touchdowns to his name, Maye has demonstrated both his talent and ability to dominate games. Maye excels at long throws and reading defenses quickly – his decision-making under pressure (22 total sacks!) will be essential against Duke’s defense. Adding strong arm strength with intelligent game management makes Maye an incredible opponent who cannot be underestimated in any encounter.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels -600, Total Odds: 50.5
North Carolina Tar Heels’ betting odds tilt heavily in their favor, reflecting their outstanding record and on-field performances. A moneyline of -600 indicates confidence in their victory while 50.5 total points indicate moderate scoring throughout.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends
Duke’s betting trends reflect its inconsistency. Over the last five games, they were just 1-4 against the spread (ATS), suggesting difficulties against it. At the same time, however, their 11-4 record against the spread shows their ability to pull off wins; furthermore, 5 of their last 6 road games went over total points.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends
North Carolina’s trends are more favorable. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games, showing a strong ability to cover spreads. Their 7-2 SU in their last 9 games is indicative of their winning consistency. Notably, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 games when playing at home against Duke, suggesting a tighter, more defensively oriented game.
Considering the data and trends, my final thoughts lean towards a North Carolina victory, albeit in a closer contest than the odds suggest. The Tar Heels’ balanced attack and strong home record make them the safer pick. However, Duke’s ability to score, particularly on the road, should not be underestimated, making the over on the total points a tempting bet.
In terms of premium player picks, Drake Maye stands out as a potential game-changer. His ability to throw deep and command the offense could be the key to unlocking Duke’s defense. On the Duke side, keeping an eye on Jordan Waters could be wise, as his explosive running game has the potential to shift the dynamics of the match.
Free Pick and Prediction: North Carolina Tar Heels 31, Duke Blue Devils 21