Miami Marlins (81-75) vs. New York Mets (71-85)
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 9/28/23 – On Thursday, September 28th, two teams from the East will square off in an exciting late-season matchup. The Miami Marlins sit comfortably above.500 with an 81-75 record while New York Mets have struggled all year and currently stand at 71-85 – this game promises plenty of thrills as both squads seek to end their seasons on an impressive note.
The Marlins have shown some steady form lately, winning more games than they’ve lost and boasting an offense with an impressive batting average of 0.259 for 649 runs and 163 homers while collecting 1375 hits to post an impressive slugging percentage of 0.407. Their on-base percentage may trail the Mets slightly; nonetheless they’ve proven they can convert those opportunities effectively.
On the other hand, despite their lower winning percentage, the Mets have shown they can pack a punch as evidenced by their team stats being somewhat comparable to that of the Marlins with their batting average being 0.239 and 687 runs scored and an impressive 205 homers hit this year – their slugging and on-base percentages both standing at 0.407/0.317 respectively; therefore proving they should not be underestimated this season. For the free expert baseball picks, stay tuned for expert insights and predictions.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Game Info
| When: | Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Jesus Luzardo (10-9 W-L, 3.73 ERA) vs. David Peterson (3-8 W-L, 5.37 ERA)
Jesus Luzardo has quickly established himself as one of Miami Marlins’ top young arms this season, boasting an impressive 10-9 win-loss record and 3.73 earned run average, both impressive indicators of his pitching prowess. Over 171.1 innings pitched by Luzardo, his WHIP has been 1.24, which is well below league average. Furthermore, this left-hander has consistently kept opposing batters off balance with 198 strikeouts showing his dominance on the mound. Luzardo’s control is also impressive, having only walked 54 batters this season. One area where Luzardo could improve is his long ball stats: 22 home runs given up so far in 2017. Luzardo will need to pitch well if they hope to compete against a Mets lineup with power in 2016.
David Peterson of the New York Mets has had an indifferent season. With only 3-8 record and 5.37 ERA over 104 innings pitched, Peterson’s WHIP stands at an alarming 1.6, suggesting too many batters have made contact. Peterson’s ratio for starting pitchers, with 120 hits surrendered and an equal amount of strikeouts, falls slightly short of standard practice. Furthermore, 46 walks given up further demonstrate his issues with control this season. Even though Peterson has shown flashes of brilliance, standing his ground against an aggressive Marlins lineup will be an immense test for him. The Mets need him to find his rhythm early and limit any damage done by an opponent who exploits mistakes quickly.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Miami Marlins -120, Total Odds: 7.5
The Marlins enter this game as slight favorites, indicated by their Moneyline of -120. Their total odds stand at 7.5 and this indicates a medium-scoring game based on statistics and current form for both teams. These odds seem fair.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have seen an even record over their last five games, winning three out of five and only covering the spread in two. On the road they’re at 37-38 against the spread; for bettors there has been an interesting trend: three of their last five total OVER games have gone OVER as have 39 out of their 81 road contests since 2010.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets’ recent form is less encouraging, having only won 1 of their last 5 games; however, they covered the spread in 3 of those 5 contests to remain unpredictable. Their overall record on the road stands at 33-47 against the spread, while just like with Marlins, totals have gone OVER in three of their most recent five contests and 25 out of their 75 home contests during that span.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 9/28/23 Betting Picks
Due to current form, stats, and pitching matchup, it appears as though the Marlins hold an advantage against the Mets. Luzardo’s steady performance this season combined with their stronger offense give them an edge – yet anything can happen in baseball and they still may surprise us all with a surprising comeback victory.
Are You Betting on the Marlins to Cover the Spread? Given their recent form, bettors might want to consider taking an over at 7.5 total odds. For more insights and potential betting opportunities, you can also explore some free winning sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Marlins 5, New York Mets 3.