Free MLB Picks For Today 9/29/2023
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Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Marlins at Pirates—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers in fourteen appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 7.32 with WHIP of 1.78. The lefthander fans 16.2% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.7% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings. Quinn Priester to start for Pittsburgh. Priester has seven appearances with an ERA of 7.86 and WHIP of 1.66. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 15.9% with 12.6% walks. Grounders sit at 50.7% with 2.22 home runs per nine innings. Both bullpens were in poor form past ten games with the Marlins ERA of 7.15 and Pirates at 6.38. Past seven games Pittsburgh is hitting .286 and averaging 7.3 runs per game. Pirates 47-30 to the over at home. Play Miami and Pittsburgh over 8.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Guardians at Tigers—Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill at eighteen starts deals an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.45. The righthander produces a K rate of 13.1% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz in 24 appearances has an ERA of 6.45 with WHIP of 1.62. The second-year lefthander is striking out 20.3% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 37.2% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. Head-to-head these teams have played to under 9-0-1. The Guardians are 15-6 to the under in their past 26 facing a team that averages 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Quantrill has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Wentz past two starts allowed two earned runs in 7 2/3rd innings. Tigers 29-19 to the under against the division and Guardians 35-13. Play Cleveland and Detroit under 8.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Red Sox at Orioles—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in 37 starts carries an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander has an elite 30.7% strikeouts with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.9% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. John Means to start for Baltimore. Means in three starts an ERA of 2.60 with WHIP of 0.81. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 9.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 30.9% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.67 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Pivetta past two starts allowed two earned runs in 13 1/3rd innings. Means past two starts allowed two earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Boston hitting .230. The Orioles have clinched the AL East so there may not be much offensive intensity here. Play Boston and Baltimore under 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Rays at Blue Jays—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in 22 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander fans 22.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Hyun Jin Ryu will start for Toronto. Ryu has ten starts with an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.22. The veteran lefthander strikes out 17.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.1% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Civale past three starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 13 innings. Ryu at home an ERA of 3.16 in five starts. Blue Jays past ten starts a bullpen ERA of 2.97. Play Toronto -124.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Phillies at Mets—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in 30 starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander is striking out 19.2% with 9.5% walks. Grounders sit at 44.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill in 24 starts with an ERA of 4.92 with WHIP of 1.62. The righty is fanning 18.1% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls delivered at 43.4% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Walker in his last start held the Mets to two runs in six innings. Megill past four starts allowed nine runs in 22 innings. Team record behind Walker 14-3 against a losing team with a +9.5 unit return. Phillies have won five straight against New York. Play Philadelphia -117.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Nationals at Braves—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams in 29 starts delivers an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.57. The righthander is striking out 16.7% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.1% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings. Allan Winans to start for Atlanta. Winans has five starts with an ERA of 4.33 with WHIP of 1.37. Righty fans 27.4% with 5.1% walks. Grounders sit at 42.9% with limited home run damage. Williams’ past three starts allowed eighteen runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Braves 23-11 to the over facing teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Past seven games Washington averaging 4.4 runs per game. In that span the Braves put up 6.7 runs per game. Nationals’ bullpen on the road with an ERA of 5.29. Play Washington and Atlanta over 9.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Padres at White Sox—Pedro Avila is the primary pitcher for San Diego. Avila in thirteen appearances carries an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander is fanning 23.5% with 12.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.7% with limited home run damage. Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 32 starts with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.42. The righty strikes out 27.2% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. The Padres have won eight of ten. Nick Martinez will open for the Padres and has allowed no earned runs in his past five starts working 20 innings. Cease past five starts allowed fourteen runs in 29 2/3rd innings. The White Sox bullpen their past ten games with an ERA of 7.19. White Sox -14-unit loss in their past 40 games against losing teams. San Diego 30-12 following an off day with a +18.4 unit return past two seasons. San Diego past seven games hitting .286. The White Sox in this span hitting .212 and averaging 2.3 runs per game. Play San Diego -141.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Yankees at Royals—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has thirteen starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.74 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran lefthander had a strikeout mark of 23% with 9.4% walks. Grounders served at 27.5% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in 30 starts has an ERA of 6.24 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander strikes out 16% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls delivered at 33.3% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings. Rodon has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five games. Lyles past three starts allowed eleven runs in sixteen innings. Royals’ bullpen past ten games with an ERA of 5.72. The Yankees have won nine of ten against the Royals. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +107.
Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Twins at Rockies—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in 28 starts on the year puts up an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.15. The third year righthander a K rate of 29.4% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.1% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach has nineteen appearances with an ERA of 5.42 with WHIP of 1.63. The lefthander strikes out 14% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 38.2% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Ryan experiencing Colorado for the first time in his career. Twins -14.7 units facing losing teams this season. Rockies 21-19 the past 40 against winning teams at home with a +14-unit return. Play Colorado +156.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Cubs at Brewers—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in 23 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran is striking out 16.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea in 25 appearances with an ERA of 4.74 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 20.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.2% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Hendricks on the road an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.04. Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Brewers’ bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.54. Play Chicago and Milwaukee under 8.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Reds at Cardinals—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in 22 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.29. The rookie lefthander is striking out 20.6% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 37.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Jake Woodford to start for St Louis. Woodford has fourteen appearances posting an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.65. The righthander fans 13.8% with 10% walks. Grounders served at 52.9% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Woodford, past four starts allowed ten earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Reds 14-4 past eighteen against losing teams with a +11.5-unit return and 17-8 facing teams on the road getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater with a +11.3-unit return. Past seven games St Louis hitting .197 and putting up 2.4 runs per game. Play Cincinnati -114.
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Athletics at Angels—Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in 34 appearances this season puts up an ERA of 5.29 with WHIP of 1.54. The second-year lefthander strikes out 21% with 11.1% walks. Grounders sit at 40.6% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Chase Silseth to start for Los Angels. Silseth has appeared in fifteen games with an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander is striking out 25.9% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls served at 49.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Athletics have won three straight against the Angels. Silseth past two starts allowed seven earned runs with five walks in seven innings. Waldichuk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Los Angeles past ten games a bullpen ERA of 6.51. Angels -15-unit loss as a favorite of -110 or higher. Play Oakland +123.
Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Astros at Diamondbacks—J.P. France to start for Houston. France has 24 appearances this season delivering an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP of 1.36. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 17.4% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen in 33 starts deals an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.11. The righty a strikeout mark of 26% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate is 41% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. France in his past four starts allowed fourteen runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Team record behind Gallen 23-7 at home facing teams that average seven strikeouts or greater with a +14.6 unit return. He is also 11-0 at home in night games. Diamondbacks past seven games averaging 6.4 runs per game and hitting .274. Gallen at home a WHIP of 1.01. Play Arizona -126.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Rangers at Mariners—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in 24 starts on the season carrying an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran fans 22.7% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls delivered at 51.1% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in seventeen starts an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.20. The rookie righthander strikes out 24.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.9% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Eovaldi in his return allowed fourteen earned runs in 17 innings. Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of seven starts. At home he has a WHIP of 1.07. Texas has had issues with their bullpen for most of the season. Play Seattle -112.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/29/2023
Dodgers at Giants—Lance Lynn to start for Los Angels. Lynn has 31 starts this season posting an ERA of 5.83 with WHIP of 1.41. The veteran a K rate of 23.8% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.5% with 2.18 home runs per nine innings. Keaton Winn will start for San Francisco. Winn appeared in eight games with an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.03. The rookie right hander fans 20% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls delivered at 56.3% with limited home run damage. Los Angeles bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 1.70. Giants past seven games hitting .163 and putting up 1.9 runs per game. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs.