Free MLB Picks For Today 9/28/2023
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Athletics vs. Twins—Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina appeared in 22 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.64 with WHIP of 1.54. The righthander is striking out 21.7% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls served at 43.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray is the starter for Minnesota. Gray has 31 starts with an ERA of 2.80 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran fans 24.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.6% with limited home run damage. Medina in his past three starts allowed thirteen runs in 14 innings.
Gray has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. The athletics bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.95. Athletics 19-36 to the run line facing teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower with a -19.5-unit loss.
Twins 20-11 to the run line facing teams allowing 4.9 runs per game or greater the past two seasons with a +10-unit return. Gray 24-9 to the run line facing teams getting outscored by 1 run or greater with +15 unit return. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Royals at Tigers—Cole Ragans is the starter for Kansas City. Ragans has 28 appearances this year producing an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.14. The second-year lefthander strikes out 28.8% with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 44.1% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Sawyer Gipson Long to start for Detroit. Gipson-Long in three starts carries an ERA of 2.40 with WHIP of 1.07. The rookie righty is striking out 33.3% with 10% walks. Ground balls delivered at 35.3% with limited home run damage.
Ragans past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Tigers 38-33 against losing teams with a +7.3 unit return. Royals 11-25 when lined at +125 to -125 for a -14 unit loss. Tigers +20.1 units in divisional games. Play Detroit -109.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Diamondbacks at White Sox—Tyler Gilbert the primary pitcher for Arizona. Gilbert in eleven appearances in 2023 deals an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP of 1.50.
The lefthander is fanning 26.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.42 which suggests a lowering of his ERA based on form.
Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP of 1.45. The righty strikes out 22.1% with 14.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 49.1% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Diamondbacks have won eight of ten. Toussaint has put together back-to-back good starts. But the bullpen forms a huge discrepancy. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA of 7.62 and Diamondbacks at 2.06. Arizona is 45-29 facing losing teams this season with a +13-unit return.
White Sox 27-54 facing winning teams with a -18.2-unit loss. Past seven games Arizona averaging 6.4 runs per game. In this span Chicago is hitting .212 and averaging 2.3 runs per game. Play Arizona -151.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Cardinals at Brewers—Dakota Hudson will start for St Louis. Hudson in seventeen appearances in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.47. The veteran righthander strikes out only 12.7% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 52% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.06. The righty is fanning 25.6% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.8% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games St Louis hitting .197 and putting up 2.4 runs per game.
Cardinals are 27-13 to the under when an underdog of +125 to +175. Brewers are 21-12 to the under when favored by -150 or higher. Hudson, past two starts allowed five earned runs in 11 innings. Burnes past three starts allowed four earned runs in 18 2/3rd innings. Play St Louis and Milwaukee under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Pirates at Phillies—Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz appeared in 17 games on the campaign with an ERA of 4.96 and WHIP of 1.73. The second year righthander has a strikeout mark of 14.5% with 12.1% walks. Grounders delivered at 47.6% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran fans 26.9% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Past three starts Ortiz has allowed seven earned runs in 15 innings.
Wheeler past three starts has given up twelve runs in 18 innings. Past seven games Pirates scoring 7.3 runs and Phillies putting up 5.4 runs per game. Pittsburgh bullpen their past ten games an ERA of 6.38. Play Pittsburgh and Philadelphia over 8.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/28/2023
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Red Sox at Orioles—Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale in nineteen starts has an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out an elite 30.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 31 starts with an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 20.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.2% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Sale has allowed one run or fewer in three of four starts.
Kremer past three starts allowed twelve runs in 12 2/3rd innings. The Orioles’ bullpen in the past ten games has an ERA of 4.68. The Orioles past seven games averaging 3.4 runs per game.
Kremer, a young pitcher has logged 167 1/3rd innings which is by far the most innings he has logged in any season. He could be wearing out. Play Boston +126.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Yankees at Blue Jays—Luke Weaver to start for New York. Weaver appeared in 28 games in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.47 with WHIP of 1.57. The veteran is striking out 18.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 32 starts with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 21.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.4% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Weaver in his past four starts allowed ten earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings.
Bassitt has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five innings. Toronto bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 2.97. Past seven games Toronto hitting .199. New York batting .222 against the division. Play New York and Toronto under 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Marlins at Mets—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 31 starts on the season posts an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander had a strikeout mark of 27.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
David Peterson will start for New York. Peterson has 26 appearances delivering an ERA of 5.37 with WHIP of 1.60. The lefty is fanning 25.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 54.8% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Luzardo has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five. Peterson, past four starts allowed fourteen runs in 19 2/3rd innings. New York 16-34 against left-handed starters with a -26.6 unit loss. Play Miami -127.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Cubs at Braves—Javier Assad will be primary pitcher for Chicago. Assad in 30 appearances on the season deals an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.23. The second year righthander strikes out 20.1% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls served at 46.7% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
AJ Smith Shawver to start for Atlanta. Shawver appeared in five games with an ERA of 4.57 and WHIP of 1.25. The righty fans 19.6% with 10.9% walks. Grounders sit at 34.9% with 2.91 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman expected to open for Chicago. He has been hammered for 21 runs in 13 innings. Braves past seven games hitting .279 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Braves have won five of six. Play Atlanta -137.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Dodgers at Rockies—Ryan Yarbrough to start for Los Angeles. Yarbrough in 24 appearances on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander has a K rate of 18.4% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls delivered at 38.8% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Flexen will start for Colorado. Flexen has 28 appearances carrying an ERA of 7.01 with WHIP of 1.69. The righthander strikes out mark of 16.1% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 39% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings.
Yarbrough has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Flexen has allowed three earned runs or fewer in two of three starts. Los Angeles bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 1.70. Rockies past seven games hitting .223. Play Los Angeles and Colorado under 11.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/28/2023
Rangers at Mariners—Jordan Montgomery will start for Texas. Montgomery in 31 starts to the year displays an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 21.4% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.09. The third year righthander fans 24.6% with 4.8% walks. Grounders come in at 41% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
The Mariners hold the tiebreaker against the Astros and Blue Jays so they are not totally out of the Wildcard picture. Montgomery, past three starts allowed one earned run in 21 innings. Gilbert faced the Rangers five days ago allowing two earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings of a 2-2 defeat.
In his two starts against Rangers the righthander allowed four earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Montgomery 23-10 to the under facing a team hitting .255 or lower. Past seven games Seattle hitting .230. Montgomery on the road a WHIP of 1.10. Gilbert at home a WHIP of 1.04. Play Texas and Seattle under 7.5.
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