Free MLB Picks For Today 9/27/2023
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Diamondbacks at White Sox—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt appeared in eighteen games with an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP of 1.44. The rookie righthander is striking out 21.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.2% with 2.19 home runs per nine innings. Luis Patino to start for Chicago. Patino in seven appearances has an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.71. Righty fans 19% with 15.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.6% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Pfaadt has allowed fifteen runs in his past four starts working 17 1/3rd innings. White Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.75. White Sox pitching staff was pounded in the opener of this series. Play Arizona and Chicago over the total.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Marlins at Mets—In Game 1 Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto has twelve appearances in 2023 delivering an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran strikes out 17.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 34% with 2.81 home runs per nine innings. Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga in 28 starts an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander is fanning 28.8% with 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.8% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Senga in his past five starts allowed two earned runs or fewer. Past four starts Cueto allowed ten earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Play New York +110 in Game 1.
Marlins at Mets—In Game 2 Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in 30 appearances on the season produces an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander fans 24% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Joey Lucchesi was the starter for New York. Lucchesi in eight starts deals an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefty is striking out 17.2% with 8.9% walks. Grounders served at 48.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Garrett past four games allowed two earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Lucchesi in his last start allowed three runs in 5 2/3rd innings against the Marlins. Team record behind Garrett 17-5 against losing teams with a +9.7 unit return and 7-0 facing a National League team hitting .250 or worse. Mets 18-45 as an underdog of +100 or higher with a -22.2 unit loss. Past seven games Marlins hitting .298. New York 15-34 facing left-handed starters with a -27.8 unit loss. Team record behind Garrett on the road 10-4 with a WHIP of 1.02. Play Miami -118 in Game 2.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Reds at Guardians—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott in 20 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.27. The rookie lefthander is striking out 26.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 28.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber has 20 starts with an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dished at 47.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Abbott past three starts allowed ten earned runs with eight walks in 12 innings. Bieber in his return from an elbow injury allowed five runs in five innings. Red’s bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 7.71. Reds 40-29 to the over against losing teams. Play Cincinnati and Cleveland over 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Rays at Red Sox—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in 20 starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander has an elite 32.7% strikeout rate with 7.7% walks. Ground balls delivered at 50.7% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in 27 starts has an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.32. The second year righty a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 55.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have lost eight of ten. Glasnow has allowed fourteen earned runs in his past three starts with eight walks in 15 1/3rd innings. Bello in his last start allowed eight earned runs in three innings. Bello, a second-year player has worked 151 innings and could be hitting the wall. Rays 40-24 to the over against losing teams. Boston bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.54. Play Tampa Bay and Boston over 8.
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Nationals at Orioles—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has 31 starts in the year producing an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander is fanning 15.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.8% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in 21 starts an ERA of 4.49 with WHIP of 1.35. The rookie righthander is striking out 25.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.2% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. The under is 10-0 in their past ten meetings. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Nationals 42-23 on the road facing a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start. Washington 27-15 to the under as a road underdog of +175 to +250. Play Washington and Baltimore under 8.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Royals at Tigers—Jonathan Bowlan to start for Kansas City. Bowlan makes his MLB debut. A second round pick in 2018 out of Memphis. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with very poor numbers. An ERA of 7.20 in Double A and 5.24 in Triple A. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has fourteen stars in the year dealing an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander has an elite 31.8% strikeout rate with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 52.2% with limited home run damage. Skubal has allowed one earned run in his past three starts working 19 innings. His ERA is 1.53 at home with a WHIP of 0.82. Tigers past seven games hitting .211. Play Detroit and Kansas City under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Pirates at Phillies—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in 31 starts has an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander fans 20.1% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez has 21 starts delivering an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander is striking out 22.3% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.7% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Past two starts Oviedo allowed one earned run in 11 innings. Suarez has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Phillies past seven games hitting .218. Pirates on the road hitting .234. Play Pittsburgh and Philadelphia under 8.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Yankees at Blue Jays—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 32 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.75 with WHIP of 1.01. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 27.4% with 6.1% walks. Grounders come in at 40.1% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in 31 starts an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander is striking out 23% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.4% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Berrios in his last start allowed four earned runs to the Yankees. In his past three starts against New York he has allowed twelve earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Blue Jays 16-25 at home against an AL starter whose WHIP of 1.20 or better with a -18.4-unit loss. Berrios -15.3 units when a favorite of -100 to -150. Play New York -104.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Cubs at Braves—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has 28 starts on the season posting an ERA of 5.05 and WHIP of 1.31. The righthander had a strikeout rate of 21.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.8% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Darius Vines will start for Atlanta. Vines in four appearances an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander is striking out 15% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.4% with limited home run damage. Taillon on the road an ERA of 5.56. Past seven games Cubs hitting .276 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. In this period the Braves hit .283 and putting up 6.3 runs per game. Taillon has allowed five runs in three of five starts. Play Chicago and Atlanta over 7.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Athletics at Twins—Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes in his MLB debut allowed five earned runs with three homers in 4 2/3rd innings at home to Seattle. A 16th round draft pick in 2019 with no college. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with great numbers in Double A and struggles in Triple A. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 29.2% with 6% walks. Grounders served at 44.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Lopez, past two starts allowed eight earned runs in 11 innings. He faced the Athletics on July 15th allowing seven earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings. Twins -16.7 units facing losing teams this season. Pablo Lopez has logged 189 2/3rd innings this season and could be hitting the wall. Play Oakland +218.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Cardinals at Brewers—Zack Thompson to start for St Louis. Thompson appeared in 24 games in 2023 with an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander fans 25.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley at 22 starts to the year deals an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran lefty has a K rate of 16.4% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.76 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. St Louis past seven games hitting .197 and putting up 2.1 runs per game. Brewers hit only .227 against lefthanded starters. Miley in two starts against the Brewers this year allowed one earned run in 7 2/3rd innings. Play St Louis and Milwaukee under 8.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Dodgers at Rockies—Emmet Sheehan to start for Los Angeles. Sheehan in 12 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.23. The rookie righthander is fanning 24% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls served at 32.6% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Noah Davis will start for Colorado. Davis has nine appearances delivering an ERA of 8.77 with WHIP of 1.91. The righty deals 17.7% strikeouts with 10.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.4% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. Sheehan on the road an ERA of 10.00 in eighteen innings. Rockies 16-13 as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this year with a +15 unit return. Play Colorado +186.
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Rangers at Angels—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 33 appearances in the year carries an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 7.8% walks. Grounders sit at 46.6% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Griffin Canning will start for Los Angeles. Canning appeared in 23 games sitting with an ERA of 4.39 and WHIP of 1.24. Righty fans 26.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.9% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Dunning in his past five starts allowed fourteen earned runs in 24 1/3rd innings. Canning has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Rangers bullpen has been an issue for much of this season. Team record behind Dunning 1-9 on the road against teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage with a -10.3 unit loss. Team record behind Dunning 3-19 in road night games with a -16.8 unit loss. Play Los Angeles +144.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Astros at Mariners—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 30 starts delivers an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander strikes out mark of 24.6% with 6.6% walks. Grounders served at 54.1% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has 24 starts with an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.12. The rookie righthander fans 22.2% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Miller past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. He is a rookie and has logged 127 1/3rd innings. Valdez on the road a WHIP of 1.14. Astros 18-7 on the road against the division with a +11.8-unit return. Play Houston -118
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/27/2023
Padres at Giants—Matt Waldron will start for San Diego. Waldron in seven appearances in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.58 with WHIP of 1.25. The rookie righthander is striking out 19.5% with 6.7% walks. Grounders come in at 37.3% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. Sean Manaea will start for San Francisco. Manaea has 36 appearances with an ERA of 4.51 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 25.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 39.9% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Waldron past two starts allowed three earned runs in 11 innings. Manaea past three starts allowed four earned runs in 18 innings. Giants past seven games hitting .172. Padres 19-10 to the under when lined on the road by +125 to -125. Play San Diego and San Francisco under 8.5.