Free MLB Picks For Today 9/26/2023
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Dodgers at Rockies Game 1—Ryan Pepiot will start in Game 1 for Los Angeles. Pepiot in six appearances has an ERA of 1.91 with WHIP of 0.70. The righthander is striking out 21.3% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.71 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
Chase Anderson will start for Colorado. Anderson in eighteen appearances an ERA of 5.75 with WHIP of 1.43. The veteran fans 17% with 8.8% walks. Grounders served at 36.7% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings. The Dodgers have won nine of ten against the Rockies with eight wins by two runs or greater.
Los Angeles bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.51 and Rockies at 5.59. Anderson faced the Dodgers in late June allowing six earned runs in 3 2/3rd innings. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs in Game 1.
Dodgers at Rockies Game 2—Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller in 20 starts deals an ERA of 3.97 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander is striking out 22.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 46.5% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has nine starts with an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.64. The righty strikes out 20.5% with 14.6% walks. Ground balls served at 44.9% with limited home run damage. Miller past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 18 2/3rd innings.
Falter in his three starts in Colorado allowed nine earned runs in 12 innings of work. Rockies bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.59. Play Los Angeles and Colorado over the total in Game 2.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Reds at Guardians—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene has 20 starts to the season posting an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.35. The second year righthander had an elite strikeout rate of 31.5% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls delivered at 34.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito to start for Cleveland. Giolito has 31 starts in the year posting an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran is striking out 26% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.3% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. Greene has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts.
Giolito past five starts allowed 22 runs in 28 innings. Cincinnati 13-3 on the road against losing teams in their past sixteen with a +11.5 unit return. Team record behind Giolito 2-12 past fourteen starts with a -11.4 unit loss. Play Cincinnati -102.
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Nationals at Orioles—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in 29 starts deals an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.2% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls delivered at 38.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has 28 starts delivers an ERA of 3.01 with WHIP of 1.07. The righty is fanning 25% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.1% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Gray past three starts allowed six earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings.
Bradish has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Nationals 42-23 to the under facing a starting pitcher who averages five strikeouts or greater per start. Washington 27-15 to the under as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season. Play Washington and Baltimore under 8.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Royals at Tigers—Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke appeared in 28 games carrying an ERA of 5.37 with WHIP of 1.31. The nineteen-year veteran strikes out 16.1% with 3.6% walks. Grounders dealt at 43.1% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings.
Reese Olson will start for Detroit. Olson appeared in 20 games dealing an ERA of 4.13 with WHIP of 1.11. The rookie righthander fans 24.1% with 7.8% walks. Grounders served at 42.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. KC has won nine of ten. Detroit returns home after winning six of ten on a west coast road trip.
Greinke has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Tigers past seven games hitting .211. Olson in his ten home starts has an ERA of 4.99. Greinke in past three starts against Detroit has allowed three earned runs in sixteen innings. Play Kansas City +130.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Pirates at Phillies—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in 31 starts to the season delivers an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander has a K rate of 25.4% with 6.6% walks. Grounders sit at 43.3% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has 31 starts with an ERA of 4.57 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran had a strikeout mark of 25.2% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.1% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Nola faced the Pirates in late July allowed seven runs in 4 2/3rd innings.
Nola past four starts allowed sixteen runs in 19 2/3rd innings. Nola -16.8 units in night games past three seasons. Pirates +10 units as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Past seven games Pittsburgh hitting .282 and averaging 6.7 runs per game. Keller past two starts against Philadelphia allowed three earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. Play Pittsburgh +169.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Yankees at Blue Jays—Michael King to start for New York. King has four appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 2.66 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 31.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.5% with limited home run damage.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in 30 starts deals an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran also had an elite strikeout mark of 31.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
King has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Gausman past three starts this season against the Blue Jays allowed two earned runs with 31 strikeouts in 20 innings.
Toronto 24-13 to the under facing American League teams that score 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Gausman 12-3 to the under pitching on 5 to 6 days rest. Play New York and Toronto under 7.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Rays at Red Sox—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has 30 starts to the season with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander is fanning 26.6% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls served at 49.8% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck in nineteen starts with an ERA of 4.92 with WHIP of 1.35. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.6% with 9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 51.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won five of six against the Red Sox.
Eflin has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Houck past four starts allowed eleven runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Red Sox past ten games a bullpen ERA of 5.54.
Red Sox 9-20 past 29 facing teams with a .540 to .620 win percentage. Team record behind Houck 2-11 as an underdog of +100 or higher. Past seven games Boston scoring 2.9 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay -129.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Marlins at Mets—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in 30 appearances on the season produces an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander fans 24% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Joey Lucchesi was the starter for New York. Lucchesi in eight starts deals an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefty is striking out 17.2% with 8.9% walks. Grounders served at 48.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Garrett past four games allowed two earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings.
Lucchesi in his last start allowed three runs in 5 2/3rd innings against the Marlins. Team record behind Garrett 17-5 against losing teams with a +9.7 unit return and 7-0 facing a National League team hitting .250 or worse.
Mets 18-45 as an underdog of +100 or higher with a -22.2 unit loss. Past seven games Marlins hitting .298. New York 15-34 facing left-handed starters with a -27.8 unit loss. Team record behind Garrett on the road 10-4 with a WHIP of 1.02. Play Miami -118.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Cubs at Braves—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 29 starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander is fanning 24.5% with 5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.1% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in 30 starts an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander is striking out 17.7% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Steele past two starts allowed twelve earned runs in nine innings. Elder past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Braves bullpen in the past ten games an ERA of 7.50.
Braves 20-10 to the over facing teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 runs per game or higher and 82-55 to the over this season as a favorite of -110 or higher. Past seven games Chicago averaging 6.4 runs per game and the Braves 6.3 runs. Play Chicago and Atlanta over 9.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Diamondbacks at White Sox—Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies at seventeen starts and deals an ERA of 6.81 with WHIP of 1.61. The veteran strikes out 19.2% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls served at 44.8% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.50 does suggest a dropping ERA based on his form.
Jose Urena to start for Chicago. Urena has eight starts, an ERA of 7.27 with WHIP of 1.67. The righthander fans 15.1% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 3.12 home runs per nine innings.
Davies, past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in eleven innings. Urena has allowed one earned run in two of his past three starts. Davies in five starts on the road an ERA of 8.10. Play Chicago +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Athletics at Twins—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in 20 appearances has an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.51. The righthander fans 22.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 41.1% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.13. The righty is striking out 23.9% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.2% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Blackburn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of seven starts. Past seven games Oakland hitting .214 with Twins at .234. Past ten games Minnesota bullpen an ERA of 2.61. Ober 11-3 to the under working on 5-6 days rest. Play Oakland and Minnesota under 8.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Cardinals at Brewers—Zack Thompson to start for St Louis. Thompson appeared in 24 games delivers an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander fans 25.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser in 21 appearances produces an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.5% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 47% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Thompson past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in fifteen innings. Houser has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Past seven games St Louis hitting .197 and pushing across 2.1 runs per game.
Brewers hit just .227 against lefthanded starters this year going 26-17 to the under. Cardinals 25-13 to the under as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Play St Louis and Milwaukee under 8.
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Rangers at Angels—Cody Bradford to start for Texas. Bradford appeared in eighteen games with an ERA of 4.65 and WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander is striking gout 22% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 32.4% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
Reid Detmers will start for Los Angeles. Detmers in 27 starts has an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.36. The lefthander strikes out 26.2% with 9.1% walks. Grounders sit at 35.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won six straight.
Detmers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. His past two starts against Texas the lefthander allowed one earned run in 13 1/3rd innings. Bradford is an opener, so this exposes a shaky Texas bullpen. Play Los Angeles +145.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Padres at Giants—Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo has 25 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander strikes out 23.3% with 5.8% walks. Grounders served at 45.7% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison in six starts an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP of 1.28. The rookie lefthander is striking out 24.4% with 7.1% walks. Grounders dished at 29.1% with 2.43 home runs per nine innings. Lugo in two starts against San Francisco allowed one earned run in eleven innings.
Harrison has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five games. Giants 29-18 to the under at home against right-handed starters. San Francisco in their past seven games hitting .197. Play San Diego and San Francisco under 8.5.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/26/2023
Astros at Mariners—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in 29 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander is fanning 23.1% with 8.8% walks. Grounders dished at 25.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP of 1.06. The second year righty strikes out 22.5% with 2.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Kirby past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings.
Javier past two starts allowed three earned runs with 17 strikeouts in ten innings. Astros 28-17 on the road against winning teams with a +12.2 unit return. Astros +14.2 units as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Javier 7-0 as an underdog of +100 or higher on the season with a +10.3 unit return. Play Houston +130.
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