New Mexico Lobos (1-2) vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-3)
New Mexico Lobos vs. Massachusetts Minutemen 09/23/23 – At stake is an epic clash that pits two underachieving teams against each other and seeks to change their seasons’ trajectory: New Mexico Lobos will face Massachusetts Minutemen on September 23, 2023, from 3:30 PM ET live streaming via ESP+. Both squads see this contest as an important chance for redemption.
New Mexico Lobos fans should keep an eye out for running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt and wide receiver Duece Jones. Croskey-Merritt has proven himself an effective performer with 295 rushing yards at 7.6 yards per attempt and five scores, while Jones averages 25 yards per catch; both could become pivotal players against Minutemen defensive personnel.
On the Minutemen side, running back Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams and wide receiver Anthony Simpson will be front and center. Lynch-Adams has led his team with 366 yards on the ground while scoring three times; Simpson has demonstrated his big play potential by amassing 289 receiving yards while averaging an incredible 20.6 average catch rate per reception. For free reliable NCAAF picks, continue reading our analysis.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Massachusetts Minutemen 09/23/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Dylan Hopkins QB vs. Carlos Davis QB
Dylan Hopkins has amassed 635 passing yards through 48 completions from 80 attempts with 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions for an overall 142.3 passer rating, not to mention five touchdowns and two interceptions. While Hopkins displayed some level of proficiency when faced with defensive pressure – evidenced by three sacks – his overall play has been somewhat dissatisfactory. Massachusetts is an ideal opportunity for him to improve both his statistics and self-assurance by way of their lackluster defense.
Carlos Davis has thrown for 690 yards, completing 51 of 81 attempts. Davis has also thrown five touchdowns but has been intercepted three times, and his passer rating stands at 147.5. He’s been sacked six times this season, indicating vulnerability when the pocket collapses. Davis will need to make quick decisions and avoid turnovers if Massachusetts is to succeed. With a slightly better passer rating than his counterpart, Davis will look to exploit the New Mexico defense that has been lackluster so far this season. Given the pressure he’s faced in the pocket, his ability to maintain composure and extend plays could be a defining factor in the game’s outcome.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Massachusetts -170, Total Odds: 50.5
The betting odds suggest a closer game, with Massachusetts slightly favored. Given both teams’ recent form, the spread of -3.5 for Massachusetts could offer value for bettors. The total set at 50.5 suggests that we may see a game with moderate scoring, though given the form of key offensive players, the over may be worth a look.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends
The Lobos have been struggling, especially against the spread, with a 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. They’ve also had difficulty on the road, going 0-5 ATS in their last five away games. New Mexico has a 1-4 SU record in games played in September, indicating a sluggish start to their seasons recently.
Massachusetts Minutemen Betting Trends
The Minutemen have their own woes, with a 1-12 SU in their last 13 games and an even more concerning 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games. Recent games have leaned towards higher scores, as the total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts’ last 5 games. The Minutemen are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing at home on a Saturday.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Massachusetts Minutemen 09/23/23 Betting Picks
Based on the recent form and statistical analysis, this game is a tough one to predict, but it could be a case where the team that makes fewer mistakes comes out on top. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their defenses, which may make the “over” on the 50.5 a reasonable pick.
For those looking to take a risk, betting on New Mexico with the points may offer value, given Massachusetts’ poor home form. While both teams are not in the best shape, the Lobos have shown some promise on the offensive end which could make them a solid underdog pick. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out paid sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Mexico Lobos 27, Massachusetts Minutemen 24.