Free NFL Picks For Today 9/24/2023
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Pick Prediction 9/24/2023
Chargers at Vikings—Los Angeles running back Austin Ekeler is out. On defense a linebacker is out and Joe Bosa questionable. The Vikings center is questionable with a linebacker on defense out. Los Angeles fell to 0-2 with their 27-24 road overtime defeat to the Tennessee Titans. The Chargers rushed for only three yards per carry. They surrendered four yards per run to the Titans with 200 yards passing in 24 attempts. Justin Herbert was 27 of 41 for 305 yards with two touchdowns. Los Angeles defense allowed 3 of 4 red zone conversions. Running back Austin Ekeler with an ankle injury missed the game. Chargers registered five sacks. Minnesota is 0-2 following their 34-28 road defeat on Thursday night to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Vikings’ ground game generated only 28 yards on nine carries. The team allowed the Eagles over five yards per run with 171 passing on 23 attempts. The Vikings had a -3-turnover margin with four lost fumbles. Kirk Cousins was 31 of 44 for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Cousins at home is 27-15 straight up. The Vikings are passing for 337 yards a game with 7.7 yards per attempt. Los Angeles is 32nd and last in the league in total defense, yards allowed per completion and yards allowed per pass attempt. The Vikings performed better on the defensive side of the field and against the pass. Good third down performance on offense and defense. This is back-to-back road games for the Chargers. Extra rest for Minnesota having played two Thursday’s ago. Play Minnesota +1.
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 9/24/2023
Saints at Packers—Saints running back Jamall Williams is out. On defense a corner is questionable. Green Bay running back Aaron Jones and receiver Christian Watson are questionable. Their left guard is out with left tackle questionable. On defense a Packers corner is questionable. New Orleans is 2-0 after their 20-17 road win at Carolina. Saints rushed for over four yards per attempt. They limited the Panthers to 239 yards with 139 passing on 33 attempts. Derek Carr was 21 of 36 for 228 yards with an interception. He averaged 6.3 yards per attempt. Green Bay fell to 1-1 after their 25-24 road defeat to the Atlanta Falcons. Packers get outscored 13-0 in the final quarter. The team rushed for four yards a carry. They gave up nearly five yards per run to the Falcons with 235 passing on 32 attempts. Jordan Love was 14 of 25 for 151 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged just six yards per attempt. Without his lead back Derek Carr will be under pressure to produce in the passing game. Green Bay is seventh in opponents’ completion rate. New Orleans is allowing five yards per rush this season. Saints have been effective in red zone and three down defensively. Taysom Hill has converted five first downs, so he adds a wrinkle in the offense. Quarterback accuracy is an issue for Green Bay so far and a run game that produces only 3.3 yards per rush. Packer’s defense was effective on third down and red zone play. Play New Orleans and Green Bay under 42.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Pick Prediction 9/24/2023
Texans at Jaguars—Houston has a left tackle on offense out. Defensively their middle linebacker and free safety are out. Jacksonville receiver Zay Jones is out. On defense their nose tackle and wide linebacker are questionable. Houston drops to 0-2 with their 31-20 home defeat to the Indianapolis Colts. Texans gained just two yards on the ground with ball movement through the air. They surrendered over five yards per run to the Colts with 227 passing on 33 attempts. C.J. Stroud was 30 of 47 for 384 yards with two touchdowns and 8.2 yards per attempt. Jacksonville is 1-1 with their 17-9 home defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs. Jaguars rushed for over four yards a carry. They allow nearly five yards per rush to the Chiefs with 298 passing on 41 attempts. Trevor Lawrence completed 22 of 41 for 216 yards and 5.3 yards per attempt. Houston is struggling on the ground with 2.5 yards per rush which is last in the NFL. Stroud averaging only 5.9 yards per attempt. Texans allowing opposing quarterback to complete 76.4% of their passes. That is an issue facing Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars coming off a loss. Texan defense is 29th on third down and red zone. Jaguars doing a good job of forcing turnovers on defense and getting off the field on third down. Play Jacksonville -7.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Pick Prediction 9/24/2023
Titans at Browns—Tennessee receiver DeAndre Hopkins is questionable and a left guard out. On defense a defensive end is questionable. Cleveland lost running back Nick Chubb for the season. On defense a corner is out. Tennessee improved to 1-1 after their 27-24 home victory in overtime to the Los Angeles Chargers. This broke an eight-game losing streak dating back to last season. The Titans rushed for four yards per carry. They limited Los Angeles to three yards per carry with 281 yards passing on 41 attempts. Ryan Tannehill went 20 of 24 for 246 yards with a touchdown and averaging 10.3 yards per attempt. He had a touchdown pass with no interceptions and rushed for a touchdown. He Tannehill bounced back after throwing three interceptions at New Orleans in the opener. Cleveland is 1-1 with their 26-22 road defeat on Monday Night to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Browns gave up two defensive touchdowns. Cleveland lost running back Nick Chubb to a season ending injury. They rushed for 5.6 yards per attempt. They limited the Steelers to just over two yards per carry with 200 yards passing on 30 attempts. DeShaun Watson went 22 of 40 for 235 yards with a touchdown and interceptions. He averaged 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Watson is struggling in the passing game with 55.1% completions and 5.1 yards per pass attempt. Browns defense has been outstanding sitting second in the league by allowing 198 yards per game. Tennessee is 26th in third down and red zone conversions. But the defense has been outstanding in that front. Cleveland is 30th offensively on third down. Their defense is the best in the NFL on third down and red zone. Play Tennessee and Cleveland under 38.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Colts at Ravens—Indianapolis quarterback Anthony Richardson is out as is their center. A left guard is questionable. On defense a corner is questionable. Baltimore has their running back Justice Hill and receiver Beckham out. Their left tackle and center are out. On defense the Ravens are without a linebacker, free safety, and corner. Indianapolis improves to 1-1 with the 31-20 road win at Houston Texans. Colts stormed out to the 28-19 halftime lead. The team rushed for five yards a carry. They limited the Texans to two yards per carry with 337 passing on 47 attempts. Indy was 4 of 4 inside the red zone with Houston at 1 of 4. Anthony Richardson was 6 of 10 for 56 yards. He left the game due to a concussion and is questionable. Gardner Minshew relieved and was 19 of 23 for 171 yards and a touchdown. Baltimore is 2-0 after their 27-24 road win at Cincinnati Bengals. Ravens ran for over four yards per rush. They limited the Bengals to just over four yards per rush with 216 passing on 41 attempts. Lamar Jackson went 24 of 33 for 237 yards with two touchdowns and 7.2 yards per attempt. Gardner Minshew starts for Indianapolis and has experience. Baltimore defense holding teams to 275 yards. Colts holding foes to 2.6 yards per attempt. Ravens struggling getting off the field on third down sitting 28th. Their offense is tops in third down conversions and seventh in the red zone. Colts converting well inside the red zone. Indianapolis pass defense has been poor. Play Indianapolis and Baltimore over 43.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Broncos at Dolphins—Denver has healthy starters of offense. On defense their free safety is out. Dolphins’ receiver Waddle is questionable as is their left tackle. On defense a nose tackle and linebacker are questionable. Denver fell to 0-2 with the 35-33 home defeat to the Washington Commanders. The Broncos rushed for five yards per carry. Defensively they allowed five yards per rush to the Commanders with 266 passing on 39 attempts. They surrendered 3 of 3 inside the red zone. Denver had a -2-turnover margin. Russell Wilson went 18 for 32 for 308 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. The Broncos failed to hold a 21-3 lead in the second quarter. Denver allowed seven sacks and a missed two-point conversion failed the attempt to move the game into overtime. Miami improved to 2-0 after their 24-17 road victory to New England. Dolphins gained nearly five yards per run. They allowed 3.5 yards per rush to the Patriots with 200 passing yards on 42 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa hit 21 of 30 for 249 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 8.3 yards per attempt. Big rushing performance by Raheem Mostert. Broncos 0-2 the desperate angle in play here getting points. Denver is having success running the football with 4.8 yards a carry. Dolphins defensively allow 72% completions and 4.9 yards per run. Broncos hold teams to 324.5 yards a game with their losses by two points or fewer. Miami defense is 30th on third down and red zone conversions. Play Denver +6.5.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Patriots at Jets—New England left, and right guard are questionable on offense. On defense a corner is out. Jets left tackle on offense is out. On defense a safety out and defensive end questionable. New England fell to 0-2 after their 24-17 home defeat to the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots fell behind 17-3 at the half. The team rushed for 3.5 yards per attempt. On defense they allowed the Dolphins nearly five yards per carry on the ground with 244 passing on 30 attempts. Mac Jones went 31 of 42 for 231 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged just 5.5 yards per attempt. New York is 1-1 with their 30-10 road defeat to the Dallas Cowboys. The Jets rushed for four yards a carry. They surrendered over three yards a carry to the Cowboys with 248 passing on 38 attempts. Jets held possession of the football just 18 minutes in the 60-minute game. The New York defense was on the field for 82 plays. Zach Wilson went 12 of 27 for 170 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. He averaged just 6.3 yards per attempt. Jets defense 2ith in the league by allowing 348 yards a game. The Jets sit 29th in total offense by averaging 252 yards per game. Patriots defense holding opponents to 320 yards a game. Patriots’ top half offensively and defensively on third down. Fourth best offensively in the red zone. New York has turned the ball over five times in two games. They are 31st and second last in the NFL offensively on third down as well as red zone. Desperate 0-2 angle once again in play here. Play New England -2.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Bills at Commanders—Buffalo offensive and defensive starters are healthy. Commander’s tight end Logan Thomas is out. On defense the starters are healthy. Buffalo improved to 1-1 after their 38-10 home victory to Las Vegas. Bills outscored the Raiders 17-0 in the second half. They rushed for over five yards a carry. On defense they limited the Raiders to 55 yards rushing with 185 passing on 24 attempts. Bills were 5 of 7 inside the red zone. Josh Allen completed 31 of 37 for 274 yards with three touchdowns. He averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. He didn’t commit a turnover and didn’t run for much yardage. Washington improved to 2-0 after their 35-33 road victory to the Denver Broncos. Commanders overcame a 21-3 second half deficit. The team rushed for five yards a carry. They did allow Denver to run as well for five yards per attempt with 277 passing on 32 attempts. Commanders were 3 of 3 inside the red zone and had a +2-turnover margin. Sam Howell went 27 of 39 for 299 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Buffalo in their lone road game were beaten at the Jets who utilized a backup quarterback for most of the game. Commanders are 11th in total defense by defending the pass well. Buffalo defense is 18th on third down. Washington defense ranks sixth on third down and third inside the red zone. Howell is completing 66% of his passes with 7.2 yards per attempt. Play Washington +6.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Falcons at Lions—Atlanta starters are healthy. On defense a cornerback is questionable. Lions running back Montgomery is doubtful. A left tackle and right tackle are out. Receivers Brown and Reynolds are questionable. On defense a safety is out. Atlanta is 2-0 after their 25-24 home victory to Green Bay. Falcons rushed for the football for 211 yards. They allowed Green Bay four yards per rush with 140 passing on 25 attempts. Desmon Ridder went 19 of 32 for 237 yards with a touchdown and interception. He did rush for 39 yards and a touchdown. Detroit fell to 1-1 with their 37-31 home overtime defeat to Seattle Seahawks. Lions rushed for under four yards a carry. They limited the Seahawks to just over three yards per carry but 311 yards passing on 41 attempts. Jared Goff completed 28 of 35 for 323 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 9.2 yards per attempt. The Lions had a -3-turnover margin. Goff is 15-10 to the spread as a home favorite. The Falcons have the 29th ranked passing game and one dimensional. The Lions have held opponents to 3.6 yards per rush. Detroit is fourth in total offense. The Falcons are 26th offensively on third down. Lions offensively sit third in the red zone. First road game for Atlanta. In Ridder’s two road games last year he completed 59.3% with 5.3 yards per attempt, losing both games. Play Detroit -3.
Carolina Panthers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Panthers at Seahawks—Bryce Young out for Carolina so Andy Dalton will start at quarterback. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Seahawks receiver DK Metcalf is questionable as their right guard. Seattle left tackle out. On defense a corner is doubtful with both safeties questionable. Their nose tackle questionable as well. Carolina is 0-2 after their 20-17 home defeat on Monday night to the New Orleans Saints. The Panthers did rush for five yards per attempt with poor numbers in the passing games. They surrendered over four yards per run to the Saints with 207 passing on 37 attempts. Bryce Young will not play. Andy Dalton to start at quarterback. Dalton has taken reps with the first team this week. The veteran played in fourteen games with the Saints last year completing 55.7% with 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. He averaged 7.6 yards per attempt. Seattle improved to 1-1 after their 37-31 road win at Detroit Lions in overtime. The Seahawks rushed for just over three yards per carry with success in the passing game. On defense they allowed under four yards per run to the Lions with 316 passing on 35 attempts. The team was 4 of 5 inside the red zone. Geno Smith went 32 of 41 for 328 yards with two touchdowns and 8 yards per attempt. Seattle had a + 3 turnover margin. Panthers are last in passing offense. Andy Dalton is turnover prone. Seahawks are giving up 422 yards per game with struggles defending the pass. Panther’s defense is struggling in the red zone. The Seahawks offense was fourth in the red zone. On defense they sit 32nd on third down and 31sts in the red zone. Play Carolina +5.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Cowboys at Cardinals—Dallas left tackle, center and right guard are questionable. Diggs out for the season. Cardinals starters are healthy on offense. On defense a linebacker is out with defensive tackle questionable. Dallas moves to 2-0 with their 30-10 home victory to New York Jets. Cowboys rushed for four yards a carry. They limited the Jets to 64 rushing yards with 151 passing on 27 attempts. Dak Prescott hit on 31 of 38 for 255 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged 6.7 yards per attempt. The Cowboys were 2 of 6 inside the red zone and had a +4-turnover margin on the strength of three interceptions. Arizona is 0-2 with their 31-28 home defeat to the New York Giants. Cardinals blew a 28-7 lead in the third quarter. The team ran for five yards per rush. Defensively they allowed nearly five yards per carry to New York with 312 passing on 37 attempts. Joshua Dobbs was 21 of 31 for 228 yards and a touchdown. He did rush for 41 yards and a touchdown and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. The Cardinals surrendered 4 of 5 red zone conversions to the Giants. Arizona downfield passing struggled at 5.6 yards per attempt. They are rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Cowboys top defensive team in the NFL allowing 193 yards per game. Dallas has been balanced this year on offense with 5.5 more rushes than passes. Cowboys talented on defense sitting third on third down and best in the red zone. The offense is converting fourth best on third down. Cardinals’ offense and defense struggles on third down. Red Zone the offense sits 27th. Play Dallas -12.5.
Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Bears at Chiefs—Chicago guard is questionable. On defense a free safety is out. Kansas City running back Pacheco and receiver Toney are questionable. On defense their middle linebacker out with outside linebacker questionable. Chicago is 0-2 after their 27-17 road defeat at Tampa Bay. The Bears rushed for just over four yards per attempt with production lacking in the passing game. They allowed over 3.5 yards per rush to the Buccaneers with 317 passing on 34 attempts. The Bears had a -2-turnover margin. Justin Fields completed 16 of 29 for 211 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Fields averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. One of Fields interception was returned for a Buccaneers touchdown and had a lost fumble. Kansas City is 1-1 with their 17-9 road win at the Jacksonville Jaguars. Chiefs rushed for 4.5 yards per attempt. They limited the Jaguars to 74 rushing yards along with 197 yards passing on 42 attempts. KC had a -2-turnover margin. Patrick Mahomes went 29 of 41 for 305 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Bears offense struggling sitting 26th in total offense. Chiefs have been strong in run defense. The Bears averaged only 5.4 yards per pass attempt. Chicago 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per completion at 13.5 yards and yards attempted per pass at 9.1 yards. Chicago did not force a turnover on defense and sat 31st on third down defending. On offense they sit at 21st. KC defense is sixth on third down and third in red zone. Play Kansas City 12.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Pick Prediction 9/23/2023
Steelers at Raiders—Pittsburgh healthy starters on offense and defense. Raiders have healthy starters on offense. On defense a defensive end is questionable. Pittsburgh improved to 1-1 after their 26-22 home victory on Monday night to the Cleveland Browns. The Steelers rushed for only 55 yards. They allowed Cleveland to rush for 5.5 yards per carry with 210 passing on 40 attempts. Pittsburgh had a +2-turnover margin. Kenny Picket hit 15 of 30 for 232 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Pickett averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. The team did convert two defensive touchdowns on a fumble and interception return. Las Vegas is 1-1 after their 38-10 road defeat at Buffalo. Raiders gained 55 yards rushing. On defense they surrendered 183 rushing yards to the Bills with 267 passing on 37 attempts. Jimmy Garoppolo hit on 16 of 24 for 185 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged 7.7 yards per attempt. The Steelers were 31st in total offense and played their first road game. Their ground game is producing 3.1 yards per rush to support their young quarterback. Raiders hold opponents to 7.5 yards per completion and 6.1 per attempt. The Raiders’ offense sits 30th in the NFL. They have been running heavily but rush for only 2.6 yards per rush with good performance in the passing game. Steelers defense 30th in the league by allowing 400 yards per game and 5.6 yards per run. Short week in Pittsburgh. The Steelers sit 29th on third down offensively and 21sts in the red zone. Raider’s offense has moved the chains sitting eighth on third down. Play Las Vegas -2.5. The Steelers averaged 13.2 points per game with Pickett as a road underdog with 5.9 yards per pass attempt.