Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans 09/23/23

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans 09/23/23 NCAAF Week 4 Tips, Analysis, and Predictions

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) vs. Troy Trojans (1-2)


Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans 09/23/23 – As Week 4 of college football approaches, all eyes are set on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Troy Trojans’ anticipated matchup. Boasting an impressive 2-1 record so far, the Hilltoppers look poised to extend their winning streak while the Trojans at 1-2 look forward to improving their season. Set to kickoff at 12:00 PM ET at Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium and broadcast on ESPU television network; don’t miss this important contest.


Focus your attention on Western Kentucky players like Running Back Davion Ervin-Poindexter and Wide Receiver Malachi Corley for this team’s success. Ervin-Poindexter has amassed 100 rushing yards from 20 attempts but has yet to score a touchdown while Corley has already amassed 143 receiving yards with one touchdown reception.


As Troy kicks off their game against Syracuse on November 2, it is important not to overlook two players that could have an outsized impact: Running Back Kimani Vidal and Wide Receiver Jabre Barber could make all the difference in how it unfolds. Vidal has been extremely effective thus far with 358 rushing yards accumulated so far but still no touchdown. And Barber, with his 156 reception yards and two touchdown receptions could prove pivotal as an influencer on game outcome. For free week 4 football picks, continue reading our analysis.


Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans 09/23/23 Game Info


When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: JMA Wireless Dome
Stream: Sofascore


Austin Reed QB vs. Gunnar Watson QB


Western Kentucky quarterback Austin Reed has put up incredible numbers this season. Completing 796 passing yards at 64.2% completion rate with 7 touchdowns against just one interception for an efficiency rate of 66%; his yards per attempt is also modest at just 6.66; despite showing promise but only being sacked once this season; decision-making will be key in avoiding turnovers and making crucial third down conversions.


Gunnar Watson, Troy’s field general, offers an unusual QB profile. In 56 completions from 100 attempts resulting in 698 passing yards for 56% completion rate; seven touchdowns against three interceptions have resulted from this performance while 9 times of being sacked have indicated some vulnerability under pressure; Watson must improve his decision making abilities when faced with blitz packages or pocket collapses to remain effective at leading his team to victory.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Troy Trojans -165, Total Odds: 58.5


The betting odds currently favor the Troy Trojans with a moneyline of -165 and a spread of -3.5. The total stands at 58.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Given both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over might be worth considering.


Western Kentucky Betting Trends


The Hilltoppers are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games, but they have been doing well in terms of straight-up wins with a 4-1 record in their last 5. Moreover, in matchups like this one, the total has often gone OVER, doing so in 4 of their last 5 games against Sun Belt conference opponents. The trend of high-scoring games also continues in September, with the total going OVER in 9 of their last 11 games for this month.


Troy Trojans Betting Trends


The Trojans have been strong ATS, boasting a 10-5 record in their last 15 games. They have also been formidable at home, going 8-1 straight up in their last 9 games. The totals have also trended towards the OVER in 5 of their last 7 games. However, when facing Conference USA opponents, the total often goes UNDER, doing so in 4 of the last 5 such matchups.


Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans 09/23/23 Betting Picks


Based on the current trends and team performances, this game is poised to be a close, high-scoring affair. The Hilltoppers’ offensive efficiency and recent form make them a solid underdog pick, especially with the +3.5 spread. As for the total, given both teams’ propensity for OVER, a bet in that direction seems plausible.


The better pick here seems to be the Hilltoppers with the points, considering their recent SU success and offensive potential. As for prop bets, consider betting on the total passing yards for Austin Reed given his high completion percentage, or Kimani Vidal for total rushing yards considering his current form. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out free expert sports picks.


Free Pick and Prediction: Western Kentucky 31, Troy 28.



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