SMU Mustangs (2-1) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (2-1)
SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs 09/23/23 – SMU Mustangs will meet TCU Horned Frogs for Week 4 NCAAF action, each sporting an even record at 2-1. Stakes are high as each squad hopes to secure their winning streak and reach victory on September 23, 2023; kickoff time for this anticipated clash will be 12:00 PM ET with live coverage available via FS1. Fans can follow all of this action from Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Mustangs fans should anticipate key contributions from LJ Johnson Jr. and Jake Bailey as key members. Johnson has amassed an average of 5.7 yards per carry this season, providing a consistent rushing threat. Meanwhile, Bailey has proven reliable in the passing game despite not yet reaching the end zone this season.
Take note of running back Emani Bailey for TCU; his impressive average of 6.4 yards per rush attempt stands out, while wide receiver JP Richardson adds another dimension with 11.3 yards per reception, making this crucial matchup all the more intriguing for Richardson to score his inaugural touchdown of 2019. For free reliable college football week 4 picks, continue reading our analysis.
SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Amon G. Carter Stadium |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Preston Stone QB vs. Chandler Morris QB
Preston Stone has been stellar for the Mustangs this season with a completion rate of 62.7%, totaling 798 passing yards and 9 touchdowns. However, he has thrown two interceptions and suffered a sack resulting in -2 sack yards. Stone’s passer rating of 153.7 indicates a balanced attack. His decision-making under pressure and penchant for striking deep will be key against the TCU defense.
Chandler Morris, for TCU, has also been impressive. He has a 67.9% completion rate, amassing 856 passing yards and 6 touchdowns but has been sacked three times for a loss of 16 yards. His passer rating stands at 146.5. Morris will need to focus on reducing interceptions, having thrown three so far. His ability to stay cool under pressure will be tested against SMU’s aggressive defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: TCU Horned Frogs -245, Total Odds: 64
TCU is favored with a spread of 6.5 at -110, and a moneyline of -245. The total is set at 64, with the over at -105 and the under at -115. Given the offensive talents on both sides, the total could lean toward the over.
SMU Mustangs Betting Trends
Southern Methodist University’s recent performance reveals a mixed bag of outcomes, particularly when it comes to betting. With a 2-4 record against the spread in their last six games, the Mustangs have been a less reliable choice for bettors focusing on spreads. This inconsistency might be an area of concern for those looking to place wagers on the Mustangs. When we consider the points total, SMU has leaned toward lower-scoring affairs, as evidenced by four of their last five games going under the total. This trend could be linked to their defense stepping up in crucial moments or the offense not firing on all cylinders consistently. SMU has been generally better at winning games outright, boasting a 6-3 straight-up record in their last nine games, indicating their ability to clinch wins even if they don’t cover the spread.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends
The TCU Horned Frogs have also been somewhat inconsistent when viewed through the lens of recent betting trends. They’ve posted a 2-4 record against the spread in their last six games, demonstrating some volatility and making them a potentially risky bet when it comes to spreads. However, TCU has been notably stronger in straight-up scenarios, especially at home where they have won 9 of their last 10 games. This home dominance suggests that TCU could be a safer bet in Moneyline markets when playing on their home turf. They’ve posted a 2-4 record against the spread in their last six games, demonstrating some volatility and making them a potentially risky bet when it comes to spreads.
SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs 09/23/23 Betting Picks
Considering the trends and key player stats, this game looks to be a close and high-scoring affair. TCU has the home-field advantage and a slightly better offensive setup, making them the favored pick. However, SMU’s resilient play cannot be ignored.
Prop bets to consider would be the over on the total points at 64, given both teams’ offensive capabilities. Also, a bet on TCU covering the spread seems reasonable considering their home game dominance. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out free accurate sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: TCU 38, SMU 31.