Free MLB Picks For Today 5/5/2024
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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Tigers at Yankees—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in six starts posts an ERA of 1.72 with WHIP of 0.74. The lefthander fans 29.7% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.3% with 0.49 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes has seven starts posting an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefty strikes out 21.5% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Detroit bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.25 in their fifteen games. Cortes in his three home starts an ERA of 1.23. New York is batting .228 against left-handed starters and putting up 3.4 runs per game. New York is 7-0 to the under at home against left-handed starters. Detroit is 24-9 to the under facing an AL starter who has a WHIP of 1.20 or lower. Play Detroit and New York under 7.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Blue Jays at Nationals—Alek Manoah is expected to start for Toronto. Manoah returns from a shoulder ailment. In five minor league starts he allowed 19 earned runs with 28 strikeouts in 19 2/3rd innings. In 70 career starts the righthander has an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.17 striking out 386 batters in 395 2/3rd innings. MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in six starts has an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander is striking out 29% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.6% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington is batting .218 against right-handed starters putting up 3.3 runs per game going under in 12 of their 18 against them. Toronto is putting up 2.8 runs per game against left handed starters. Play Toronto and Washington under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Rockies at Pirates—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in six starts carries an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 22.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter has six starts with an ERA of 4.22 with WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander is striking out 18.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 34% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh in their past seven games is batting .174 and putting up 1.6 runs per game. The Rockies are putting up 4.1 runs per game against left-handed starters. Play Colorado +140.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Angels at Guardians—Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning has six starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 7.45 with WHIP of 1.55. The righthander has seen his K rate drop to 15.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.5% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco will start for Cleveland. Carrasco in six starts has an ERA of 6.59 with WHIP of 1.68. The veteran is striking out 18.3% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Guardians bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.32 in their first thirteen games. Los Angeles is 2-11 in their day games putting up 3.3 runs per game. The Angels are 33-62 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or lower the past three seasons with a -28.9-unit loss. Play Cleveland -124.
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Mets at Rays—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in six starts on the year carries an ERA of 2.31 with WHIP of 1.06. The veteran is striking out 21.7% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 55.1% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot will start for New York. Pepiot has six starts with an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 0.87. The righthander fans 29.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Mets are batting .206. The Rays have hit and put up runs against the NL this season. Team record behind Severino 2-14 when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons with a -12.9 unit loss. New York is 15-37 as a road underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a -15.9 unit loss. Play Tampa Bay -119.
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Rangers at Royals—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray appeared in seven games in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.48 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran is striking out 25.5% with 8% walks. Grounders sit at 44.4% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. Daniel Lynch will start for Kansas City. Lynch makes his 2024 debut with the big club. He has six starts in Triple A this year with an ERA of 5.86 with WHIP of 1.76. He has 51 career starts with the Royals since 2021 with an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.52 striking out 211 batters with 99 walks in 252 innings. Ineffectiveness has stalled his MLB career.
The Pick:
The starting pitching discrepancy are too strong in favor of the Rangers side. Lynch’s control is a concern here as is his ineffectiveness that sends him to the minors frequently. Play Texas -125.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Red Sox at Twins—Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell has four appearances in the season providing an ERA of 1.65 with WHIP of 0.98. The righthander is fanning 17.2% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.9% with limited home run damage. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in six starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.04. The righty has a K rate of 29.5% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.22 with the Red Sox bullpen ERA on the road at 1.71. Lots to like from both starters. Play Boston and Minnesota under 8.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Mariners at Astros—Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller in six starts on the season posts an ERA of 2.04 with WHIP of 0.88. The second year righthander is striking out 29.1% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 36.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has six starts with an ERA of 9.78 with WHIP of 2.22. The righty fans 20.9% with 12.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.1% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Astros bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.97 in their 17 home games. Houston is 7-13 facing right-handed starters. The team record behind Brown the past two seasons is 6-12 with a -13.9-unit loss. Houston is 4-13 when lined at +125 to -125 on the season with a -10.5-unit loss. The Mariners are 34-19 facing a team with an OBP of .330 or worse the past two seasons with a +15-unit return. Play Seattle +104.
Chicago White Sox vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
White Sox at Cardinals—Garrett Crochet to start for Chicago. Crochet in seven games on the season delivers an ERA of 5.97 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 32.9% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.4% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.99 which suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore appeared in 12 games with an ERA of 2.76 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefty is striking out 16.4% with 13.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 57.1% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis is batting .208 against left-handed starters. The White Sox in their four games against left-handed starters are batting .169. But the White Sox are in the better hitting form with .264 team batting and putting up 4.7 runs per game in their past seven games. Play Chicago +136.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Brewers at Cubs—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in six starts on the season carries an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 0.86. The righthander has a K rate of 34.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.5% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has six starts with an ERA of 1.97 and WHIP of 1.00. The righty fans 21.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .194. The Brewers bullpen in their road games sit with an ERA of 2.15 with the offense hitting .272 and winning 13 of their 18. The Brewers are 12-4 in Day Games. They are 17-10 facing right-handed starters on the year. Play Milwaukee -122.
Miami Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Marlins at Athletics—Sixto Sanchez to start for Miami. Sanchez appeared in nine games delivering an ERA of 8.36 with WHIP of 1.71. The righthander is striking out only 13.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 48% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Joe Boyle to start for Oakland. Boyle has six starts with an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP of 1.65. the righty fans 23% with 16.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.7% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Oakland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.79 in their 18 games. The Marlins are hitting .214 on the road, losing 11 of 15. The bullpen and recent hitting edge on the Athletics here. Play Oakland -122.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Orioles at Reds—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in six starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander strikes out 22.1% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.4% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has four starts dealing an ERA of 1.88 with WHIP of 0.88. The lefthander has a K rate of 33% with 6.4% walks. Grounders come in at 47.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Reds in their past seven games are hitting .196 and putting up 3.3 runs per game. The Orioles have won 10 of 14 on the road by putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Orioles are 10-1 when lined at +125 to -125 on the road this season with a +9-unit return. The team record behind Kremer is 13-7 as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +9.1-unit return. Play Baltimore +107.
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Braves at Dodgers—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in six starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander strikeouts have dropped to 19.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 67% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings. James Paxton to start for Los Angeles. Paxton in five starts has an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.68. The lefthander strikes out 13.2% with 19.3% walks. Grounders sit at 38.7% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Braves in their past seven games are hitting .183 and putting up 2.7 runs per game. The Dodgers are batting .272 at home putting up 5.8 runs per game. They have won 10 of 14 against left-handed starters. Fried dropping K rate a concern against the lineup he is facing. Play Los Angeles +123.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Padres at Diamondbacks—Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron in six starts on the year delivers an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 19.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.8% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson has four starts with an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.53. The righty is striking out 18.3% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona in their past seven games is hitting .197 and putting up 2.0 runs per game. The Padres are hitting .283 on the road putting up 5.8 runs per game where they have won 10 of 16 and getting good work out of the bullpen. Play San Diego -104.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/5/2024
Giants at Phillies—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has seven starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander has seen his K’s drop to 17.1% with 5.7% walks. Grounders are 60.4% with minimal home run damage. Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in his season debut allowed six earned runs with four strikeouts and two homers in 6 1/3rd innings at San Diego. The righthander was sidelined with a shoulder injury. Last year he started 31 games with an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP of 1.31. The veteran struck out 18.8% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Giants bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.14 in their 18 games where they have lost 12. In their past seven games they have put up 2.3 runs per game and hit .213. Philadelphia is 16-5 against right-handed starters putting up 5.6 runs per game. The team record behind Walker is 13-4 when lined at +125 to -125 and 15-3 in night games the past two seasons. Play Philadelphia -102.