Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 09/23/23 – As we enter Week 4 of NCAAF’s schedule, college football season is heating up quickly. Wildcats (3-0) look to defend their unblemished record against Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3), with both sides hoping for victory at FirstBank Stadium; kickoff will occur at 12:00 PM ET, and fans can catch all of the live action via SECN.
Kentucky Wildcats have begun the season on an impressive note, led by their offense and defense. Critical contributors to their impressive start include running back Ray Davis and wide receiver Tayvion Robinson; Davis boasts an impressive 7.2 yards per rush attempt, providing reliable ground play. Robinson has made waves downfield with 18.6 reception yards per reception.
Vanderbilt has had an unpredictable start to their season, registering only 2-2 records. Their offense, though, has shown glimpses of brilliance through players like running back Patrick Smith and wide receiver Will Sheppard, both averaging five yards per rush attempt while Sheppard has scored six touchdowns receiving. For free expert NCAAF week 4 picks, continue reading our analysis.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 09/23/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET|
Devin Leary QB vs. AJ Swann QB
Devin Leary, the quarterback for the Wildcats, has had a remarkable season thus far. With 58 completions from 94 passing attempts, he’s accumulated 855 passing yards. Notably, he has a completion percentage of 61.7% and a passer rating of 159.8, demonstrating his effectiveness in the pocket. Leary has shown a keen ability to read defenses and make decisive throws, evidenced by his 9.1 yards per pass attempt and 8 passing touchdowns. His weaknesses include susceptibility to sacks, having been taken down three times for a total loss of 25 yards. However, his strengths in decision-making and poise under pressure could make a substantial difference in the outcome of this high-stakes game.
For the Commodores, AJ Swann is not to be underestimated. Despite four interceptions and 8 sacks, his performance this season remains commendable. He’s completed 77 of his 133 passing attempts, amassing 1,101 passing yards. Swann has shown his ability to throw deep, with a longest pass of 56 yards, and 11 passing touchdowns to his name. The significant area of concern is his pocket awareness, especially considering he has been sacked eight times, losing 43 yards in the process. The quarterback battle will be pivotal in this matchup, as both signal-callers have shown the ability to change the game’s complexion in an instant.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Kentucky Wildcats -550, Total Odds: 49.5
The betting odds are leaning heavily in favor of the Wildcats. With a spread of -14 and a moneyline of -550, the odds makers are clearly bullish on Kentucky. The total over/under for the game is set at 49.5, offering an interesting wager for those who want to bet on the points scored by both teams combined. Given the trends and matchups, the Wildcats appear to be a safer bet, but anything can happen in college football.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends
Betting on the Wildcats has been somewhat of a mixed bag. They are 4-2 ATS in their last six games but have struggled against Vanderbilt recently, going 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups. Furthermore, the total has gone under in 11 of Kentucky’s last 12 games. This points toward a possible low-scoring affair, which could be worth considering for those who enjoy betting the under.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends
Vanderbilt has been a risky bet lately, with a 0-5 ATS record in their last five games and an abysmal 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. The Commodores have consistently struggled against SEC opponents, going 2-18 SU in their last 20 games against conference rivals. Betting trends suggest that Vanderbilt might have a tough time beating the spread.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 09/23/23 Betting Picks
The game is in favor of Kentucky on paper. Despite its flashes of offensive brilliance, Vanderbilt is outmatched in this encounter. Kentucky’s recent form and history against Vanderbilt make them the more likely team to cover the spread. Considering both teams’ form, individual talents, and historical betting trends, the Kentucky Wildcats are expected to extend their winning streak. Vanderbilt may put up a fight, but it’s unlikely to be enough to topple the Wildcats.
If you’re looking for other bets, the under seems like an intelligent pick, given both teams’ trends. Based on his season’s performance, Tayvion Robinson could also be a value bet as an anytime touchdown scorer. free winning sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: Kentucky 35, Vanderbilt 17.