LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 91623 NCAAF Week 3 Odds, Picks, and Analysis

LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 9/16/23 NCAAF Week 3 Odds, Picks, and Analysis

LSU Tigers (1-1) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0)


LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 9/16/23 – As Week 3 of the NCAAF season unfolds, all eyes are on a high-stakes matchup featuring the LSU Tigers (1-1) going head-to-head against the undefeated Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0). The two SEC rivals are set to clash on September 16, 2023, at 12:00 PM ET, and the venue for this scintillating contest is none other than the Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The game will be televised on ESPN. LSU, after a shaky start to their season, aims to bring their A-game and boost their record to a more respectable standing. Meanwhile, Mississippi State, riding high on their impeccable start, seeks to extend their winning streak and establish themselves as the team to beat this season.


LSU has displayed their offensive might, partly due to the exemplary performances of their key players. Running back Logan Diggs has been quite impressive with 115 rushing yards on just 15 attempts, resulting in a solid 7.7 yards per rush average and a single rushing touchdown. On the receiving end, Brian Thomas Jr. has been the go-to guy for LSU, with 13 receptions for 220 yards and a whopping 3 receiving touchdowns. His average yards per reception stand at an impressive 16.9.


The Mississippi State Bulldogs, on the other hand, are no slouches themselves. Running back Jo’Quavious Marks has been a workhorse, racking up 250 rushing yards from 43 attempts and scoring 3 rushing touchdowns. His yards-per-rush average of 5.8 is a solid contribution to the Bulldogs’ offense. The receiver to watch for Mississippi State is Lideatrick Griffin. He has 9 receptions for 116 yards, averaging 12.9 yards per catch, and has found the end zone twice. If you’re looking for the free guaranteed football picks, consider their matchups carefully.


LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Game Info


When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Stream SofaScore


Jayden Daniels QB vs. Will Rogers QB


In the quarterback duel, LSU’s Jayden Daniels squares off against Mississippi State’s Will Rogers. Daniels, with 615 passing yards from 40 completions in 61 attempts, boasts a 65.6% completion percentage and a passer rating of 179.4. He has launched 6 touchdowns against a single interception but has been sacked 5 times for a loss of 29 yards. 


Will Rogers for the Bulldogs has completed 33 out of 46 attempts, accumulating 389 passing yards with a higher completion percentage of 71.7%. He has thrown 5 touchdowns and no interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 178.6. Although he has been sacked three times, the yardage lost is somewhat comparable to Daniels at -24.


Both QBs are skilled, but Daniels has shown a greater aptitude for deep throws, evident from his 75-yard longest pass and 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Rogers, although slightly less flashy in terms of passing yards, has been more accurate and efficient. The key differentiator could well be how each QB handles the opposition defense. Daniels needs to watch out for sacks and turnovers, while Rogers will look to capitalize on his efficiency.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: LSU Tigers -350, Total Odds: 53.5


The odds are leaning towards LSU with a spread of -9.5 at -115, and a Moneyline of -350. The Bulldogs are underdogs with a spread of +9.5 at -105 and a Moneyline of +280.


LSU Tigers Betting Trends 


The LSU Tigers have shown promising betting trends. They are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 encounters with Mississippi State. However, they do struggle on the road, standing at 2-5 ATS in their last 7 away games. Interestingly, they have a solid 10-1 SU in their last 11 road games against the Bulldogs. The total has also gone OVER in their last 6 games, indicating a high-scoring affair might be in the cards.


Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends 


Mississippi State, meanwhile, has been performing well against the spread, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. They have an 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games but struggle when playing at home against LSU, with a record of 1-10 SU. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games, and also in 7 of their last 8 games against LSU, suggesting a defensive showdown might ensue.


LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 9/16/23 Betting Picks


Considering the quarterback performances, key players, and betting trends, LSU appears to have the upper hand, especially in recent matchups against Mississippi State. However, the Bulldogs’ home record cannot be ignored. LSU at -9.5 and the OVER at 53.5 seem like the most probable outcomes, making them sound picks for guaranteed sports picks in NCAAF Week 3 betting.


Free Pick and Prediction: LSU Tigers will win 35-24.



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