St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds 9-9-23 MLB Odds, Best Picks, and Analysis

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds 9/9/23 MLB Odds, Best Picks, and Analysis

St. Louis Cardinals (61-79) vs. Cincinnati Reds (73-69)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds 9/9/23As we navigate the final stretch of the MLB season, the Saturday showdown between the St. Louis Cardinals (61-79) and the Cincinnati Reds (73-69) is drawing attention from fans and bettors alike. Hosted at the Great American Ball Park, the game is set for a 6:40 PM ET start and will be broadcasted on BSOH. Both teams have had a rollercoaster of a season, but the Reds still have their eyes set on a potential playoff berth, while the Cardinals look to play spoiler. 


The St. Louis Cardinals have experienced a turbulent season, as evidenced by their 61-79 standing. The team’s batting average stands at 0.254 with a commendable 641 runs, 1217 hits, and 194 home runs. These offensive numbers are reinforced by a 0.329 On Base Percentage and a 0.429 Slugging Percentage. On the pitching front, the Cardinals have struggled, evidenced by their 4.75 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. With 451 walks, 1060 strikeouts, and opponents boasting a 0.276 batting average against them, the Cardinals’ performance this season has been a mixed bag.


The Cincinnati Reds, holding a W-L record of 73-69, seem poised to make a late-season push. Offensively, they’ve registered a 0.248 batting average, 672 runs, 1194 hits, and 163 home runs. Their On Base Percentage (0.325) and Slugging Percentage (0.413) slightly trail the Cardinals, but they remain competitive. Their pitching stats mirror the Cardinals closely with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. However, with 530 walks, 1209 strikeouts, and holding opponents to a 0.257 batting average, the Reds appear to be in slightly better shape on the mound. Check out our free expert MLB picks for more insights.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Game Info

When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park
Stream: MLB.TV

Zack Thompson (4-5, 3.91 ERA) vs. Carson Spiers (0-0, 6.75 ERA)

Zack Thompson of the Cardinals will face Carson Spiers of the Reds in this pitching matchup, who boast a 4-5 record, 3.91 ERA, and 1.46 WHIP over 46 innings pitched – showing some promise but too often allowing batters to reach base. Meanwhile, Carson Spiers remains an enigma as he has only pitched 4 innings this season with 6.75 ERA and 1.75 WHIP numbers that do not bode well for Spiers’ success.


Both pitchers have vulnerabilities, but Thompson has the upper hand, given his more extensive resume this season. Given the team’s postseason aspirations, the Reds’ pitcher, Spiers, will be under a lot of pressure to perform. He must also face a Cardinals team that, despite its struggles, has hit 194 home runs this season. 


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati Reds +115, Total Odds: 10.5

Looking at the odds, the Cardinals are favorites with a Moneyline of -125 and a spread of -1.5 (+110). The Reds are underdogs at a Moneyline of +115 and a spread of +1.5 (-135). The total over/under is set at 10.5, with the over at -120 for the Cardinals and the under at +100 for the Reds.


St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 5 games and 4 of their last 5 road games. This aligns well with their shaky pitching and a strong hitting season. However, they have been struggling against National League Central Division opponents with a 3-10 SU record in their last 13 games. They’re also 0-10 SU in their last 10 Friday games, though this game is on a Saturday.


Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

For the Reds, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games but has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 games against the Cardinals. This could indicate that this game could be a high-scoring affair. They have also shown mixed form against their division with a 6-12 SU record in their last 18 games.


St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds 9/9/23 Betting Picks

Considering all the factors like team stats, recent form, and the starting pitchers, the Reds seem poised to take advantage of their home ground and a comparatively weaker Cardinals team. Thompson for the Cardinals does have a statistical edge over Spiers, but the Reds’ offensive numbers suggest they could get to him. Given the over/under trends for both teams and the high stakes of this game, the smart bet would likely be on the OVER. The Reds could edge this out, but it may not be a low-scoring affair. Therefore, a bet on the Reds at the Moneyline of +115 seems like good value, along with a bet on the total going OVER 10.5. For more insights, check out our free expert sports picks today.

Free Pick and Prediction: Cincinnati Reds will win 7-5


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