Free MLB Picks For Today 8/15/2023
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Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Astros at Marlins—Cristian Javier will start for Houston. Javier in 22 starts has an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander deals 22.4% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 26% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto in six appearances carries an ERA of 5.33 with WHIP of 1.00. The sixteen year veteran fans 21.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 28.8% with 2.33 home runs per nine innings. Cueto has allowed eleven runs in his past four starts working 17 innings. Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA of 1.80. Team record behind Javier 15-6 against winning teams. Play Houston -123.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Guardians at Reds—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen in seventeen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.37. The rookie lefthander fans 22.4% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has 22 starts with an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.41. The righthander is striking out 16.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.7% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Ashcraft has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Reds 32-20 facing losing teams with a +15.3 unit return and 12-4 at home against left handed starters. Play Cincinnati -102.
Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Red Sox at Nationals—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in 28 appearances on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.16 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran deals 29.6% K’s with 9.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.7% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray has 23 starts producing an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.44. The third year righthander striks out 19.9% with 10.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.3% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.73 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Red Sox have won five of seven with all wins by two runs or greater. Paxton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four. Gray has been pounded past two starts for nine earned runs in 8 1/3rd innings. Red Sox bullpen an ERA of 5.73 past ten games. Pivetta on the road an ERA of 5.32. Pivetta 26-14 to the over. Play Boston and Washington over 9.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Phillies at Blue Jays—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 23 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP of 1.11. The eleven year veteran fans 27.2% with 4.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has 23 starts on the year posting an ERA of 3.53 and WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander deals 24.6% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. Grounders served at 40.6% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.51 which is an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers. Kikuchi has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Team record behind Kikuchi 15-7 facing a team with a .540 to .620 win percentage with a +10 unit return. He is also 7-0 facing the Nationals League this year. Play Toronto -103.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Pirates at Mets—Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh. Falter in ten appearances on the year produces an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander is striking out 15.4% with 5.1% walks. Grounders served at 40.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson has appeared in nineteen games with an ERA of 5.61 and WHIP of 1.61. The lefty fans 24.1% with 9.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.44 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Peterson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Pirates are 13-55 facing a starting pitcher that averages five strikeouts or greater per start. Falter past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. Play New York Mets -133.
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Yankees at Braves—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino has fourteen appearances on the campaign producing an ERA of 8.06 with WHIP of 1.88. The nine year veteran is striking gout 18% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.6% with 2.54 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has in 23 starts an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.24. The second year righthander deals 17.7% K’s with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 52.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have dropped six of eight. New York hitting only .221 in night games. Severino in seven road starts has an ERA of 9.38 with WHIP of 2.15. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .326 and averaging 8.4 runs per game. Past ten games Braves bullpen ERA of 2.25. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Tigers at Twins—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in eight starts provides an ERA of 5.80 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander is striking out 21.5% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 35.6% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has nineteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.11. The righty is striking out 24.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Ober has allowed thirteen runs in his past three starts working fourteen innings. Tigers have pounded Ober for thirteen runs in his past three starts in 17 innings. Past ten games Tigers bullpen an ERA of 2.52 and the Twins at 5.85. Twins 40-58 facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or better with a -19.4 unit loss. Past seven games Detroit hitting .270. Twins have struggled for runs this season. Play Detroit +166.
Oakland Athletics vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Athletics at Cardinals—Spenser Watkins to start for Oakland. Watkins has 39 career MLB appearances, 30 starts, with an ERA of 5.85 and WHIP of 1.51 striking out 98 batters in 160 innings. He has worked fourteen games in Triple A this season with very poor numbers and a WHIP of two. Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson appeared in nine games with an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.40. The righty strikes out 16.1% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Athletics now 4-14 to the run line on the road facing teams that average 1.25 home runs per game or greater. Hudson has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Athletics bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.40. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Angels at Rangers—Lucas Giolito to start for Los Angeles. Giolito has 24 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.37 and WHIP of 1.26. The traded righthander fans 25.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.8% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery has 23 starts posting an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 21.3% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.8% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Rangers are 39-19 facing AL teams hitting .255 or worse. Team record behind Giolito 4-17 as an underdog of +100 or greater. Past three starts Giolito has allowed fifteen earned runs with five homers in fifteen innings. Play Texas -158.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
White Sox at Cubs—Touki Toussiant to start for Chicago. Toussaint in eleven appearances posts an ERA of 4.27 and WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 23.4% with 15.9% walks. Grounders dished at 51.3% with limited home run damage. Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.12. The ten year veteran is striking out 16% with 3.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.2% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Toussaint has allowed thirteen earned runs in his past 21 2/3rd innings. White Sox 27-53 as an underdog of +100 or higher with a -16.6 unit loss. Cubs putting up 5.5 runs per game at home. Toussiant on the road an ERA of 6.27 and WHIP of 1.71. Play Cubs -167.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Mariners at Royals—Emerson Hancock to start for Seattle. Hancock in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with three strikeouts in five innings at home to San Diego. A first round pick for Seattle in 2020 out of Georgia. The righty had 21 starts in Double A this year with an ERA of 4.99 and WHIP of 1.31 striking out 112 in 101 innings. Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles has 22 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.13 and WHIP of 1.27. The veteran righthander deals 16.4% K’s with 6.5% walks. Grounders sit at 33.9% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Lyles past four starts allowed seventeen earned runs working 23 2/3rd innings. Seattle 22-7 as a road favorite of -125 to -175. Team record behind Lyles is 3-19 on the season. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 2.44. Play Seattle -140.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Slade Cecconi to s for Arizona. Cecconi appeared in two starts on the campaign allowing two earned runs with three strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings. Drafted in 2020 out of Miami. The righthander had 20 starts in Triple A on the year posting an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 0.95 striking out 104 batters in 103 innings. Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach in eleven appearances produces an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander strikes out only 9.4% with 4.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 42.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Diamondbacks have lost eight of ten. Past seven games Arizona averaging 3 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road an ERA of 5.19. Play Colorado +118.
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Orioles at Padres—Jack Flaherty to start for Baltimore. Flaherty in 22 starts to the season carries an ERA of 4.33 and WHIP of 1.52. The traded player fans 22.8% with 10.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in fifteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.07. The eleven year veteran fans 21.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.7% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Padres have lost seven of eight. Team record behind Flaherty 11-1 against losing teams and 17-6 facing a team that averages 7 strike outs per game or greater. Past ten games Padres bullpen ERA 5.66. Play Baltimore +113.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Rays at Giants—Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell has nineteen appearances on the year posting an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a K rate of 20.2% with 3.4% walks. Grounders served at 45.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Tristan Beck will start for San Francisco. Beck appeared in 24 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.06. The rookie righty strikes out 19.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.2% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.07 is an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers. Sean Manaea expected to be primary pitcher. He posts an ERA of 5.10 and WHIP of 1.27 in 28 appearances. Giants have lost five of six. Past seven games they are hitting only .217. Prefer the bats here for the Rays. Play Tampa Bay -105.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/15/2023
Brewers at Dodgers—Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser has sixteen appearances this season delivering an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP of 1.50. The veteran righthander fans 18.1% with 7.6% walks. Grounders come in at 46.8% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.89 and WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righty strikes out 22.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Miller at home an ERA of 5.84. Houser has allowed eleven earned runs in his past fifteen innings of work. Both offenses producing runs. Play Milwaukee and Los Angeles over 8.5.