Free MLB Picks For Today 8/5/2023
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Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Astros at Yankees—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander has sixteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran fans 28.1% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 37.9% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes in eleven starts produces an ERA of 5.16 with WHIP of 1.30. The sixth year lefthander strikes out 23.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 25.9% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. He comes off the injured list after a shoulder injury. Astros have won eight of nine against the Yankees. Verlander past three starts allowed two earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. He is 32-14 to the under facing teams that average 7 or more strikeouts per game. Astros 28-11 to the under when favored on the road by -125 to -175. Both bullpens have performed well. Play Houston and New York under 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Rays at Tigers—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in thirteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.34 with WHIP of 1.04. The traded righthander has a K rate of 19% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.5% with limited home run damage. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has five starts carrying an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander has an elite strikeout mark of 32.1% with 3.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.8% with no homers allowed. Rays have won nine of ten against the Tigers. Detroit has scored two runs or lower in seven of their past nine losses against the Rays. Civale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Skubal past three starts allowed 11 earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings. Play Tampa Bay -142.
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Braves at Cubs—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has 21 starts on the season producing an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.19. The second year righthander is striking out 17.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 53.6% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad appeared in nineteen games with an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.30. The righty deals 19.5% K’s with 11.2% walks. Grounders come in at 48.2% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Braves have won six of seven. Elder past two starts allowed three earned runs in thirteen innings. Past seven games Braves hitting .315 and averaging 7.1 runs per game. Elder on the road an ERA of 2.85, WHIP of 1.15 and team record of 6-3. Play Atlanta -142.
Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Marlins at Rangers—George Soriano to start for Miami. Soriano in eleven appearances has an ERA of 1.98 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie righty strikes out 22.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.1% with minimal home run damage. Jon Gray is the starter for Texas. Gray has nineteen starts on the year posting an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.23. The nine year righthander fans 20% with 8.3% walks. Grounders dished at 40.1% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Rangers bullpen at home an ERA of 4.79. Soriano has the ability to keep the Marlins competitive in his time on the mound and if this becomes a bullpen game they have a shot here. Big improvement over Ryan Weathers who was initially slated as the starter. Play Miami.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Nationals at Reds—Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams in 22 starts in 2023 has an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander is striking out 16.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.8% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has eleven starts with an ERA of 2.35 plus WHIP of 1.03. The rookie lefthander has a strikeout mark of 27.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 24.4% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Reds have lost four straight with their pitching getting hammered. Abbott in his last start allowed four earned runs in 3 1/3rd innings. Nationals are hitting .271 against lefthanders. Past ten games Cincinnati bullpen an ERA of 6.42. Play Washington +190.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has 22 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.20. The eight year righthander strikes out 22.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.6% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Nick Pivetta to be the primary pitcher for Boston. Pivetta appeared in 24 games producing an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 30.1% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 33.8% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have dropped five of six with struggles to score runs. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .226. Pivetta at home an ERA of 6.40 with WHIP of 1.46. Berrios past five starts allowed two earned runs or fewer. Play Toronto.
Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Royals at Phillies—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in six appearances on the year posts an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.63. The rookie righthander strikes out 24.8% with 13.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 27.7% with 3.38 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has nine starts with an ERA of 2.66 and WHIP of 0.91. The righty fans 22.3% with 4.3% walks. Grounders come in at 56.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.15 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Royals not 72-52 to the over against winning teams past two seasons. Past seven games Royals hitting .320 and averaging 6.1 runs per game. Royals past ten games bullpen ERA of 5.50. Play Kansas City and Philadelphia over 9.5.
New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Mets at Orioles—Tylor Megill will start for New York. Megill in fifteen starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 5.17 with WHIP of 1.67. The righthander has a K rate of 17.7% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.5% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Gibson will start for Baltimore. Gibson has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.31. The eleven year veteran strikes out 19.2% with 7.5% walks. Grounders dished at 48.5% with limited home run damage. On this road trip Mets have lost all four games giving up a total of 30 runs. Past two starts Kremer allowed two earned runs or fewer. New York bullpen past five games an ERA of 6.58. Megill on the road an ERA of 7.99 and WHIP of 2.23. Mets are 17-41 to the run line facing teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
San Francisco Giants vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Giants at Athletics—Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling in sixteen appearances this season produces an ERA of 5.52 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander a K rate of 18.2% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. He has a very high 25% home run to fly ball ratio and 27.1% line drive rate. Paul Blackburn will start for Oakland. Blackburn has ten appearances in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.83 and WHIP of 1.57. The seven year righty strikes out 22.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.8% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.56 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Blackburn past two starts allowed three earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Past ten games San Francisco hitting only .217 and averaging 3.3 runs per game. Play Oakland on run line +1.5 runs at -115.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
White Sox at Guardians—Michael Kopech to start for Chicago Kopech has 20 starts with an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP of 1.44. The fourth year righthander strikes out 24.2% with 14% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.1% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.30 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Noah Syndergaard to start for Cleveland. Syndergaard in thirteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 6.68 with WHIP of 1.38. The veteran fans 14.3% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.5% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A high 25.5% line drive rate. Kopech 15-5 to the under against losing teams. Guardians now 26-7 to the under against the division. Past seven games Chicago hitting .207 and Cleveland .225. Syndergaard in his return held the Astros to one runs and two hits over 5 1/3rd innings. Play Chicago and Cleveland under 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Diamondbacks at Twins—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in 22 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP of 1.39. The second year righthander fans 14.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.7% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Minnesota. Maeda has eleven starts on the season posting an ERA of 4.53 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty deals 29.3% K’s with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Diamondbacks lack of run production continued in the opener of this series. They have gone under in nine of ten. Nelson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Maeda has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Past ten games Arizona averaging 2.7 runs per game and Twins hitting .235. Play Arizona and Minnesota under 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Pirates at Brewers—Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter in eight appearances carries an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander strikes out 16% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 22 starts on the year with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.05. The veteran fans 25.2% with 8.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.1% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. He held the Pirates to two runs over seven innings over a month ago. Pittsburgh hitting only .217 against the division. Brewers struggle hitting lefthanders. Play Pittsburgh and Milwaukee under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Rockies at Cardinals—Ty Blach will start for Colorado. Blach in nine appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.22 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander strikes out 9.6% with 3.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 46.3% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A line drive rate of 30%. Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz has 23 appearances delivering an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 1.39. The nine year lefty fans 21.6% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sit at 45.7% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Matz is 2-8 in night games. Past seven games Cardinals averaging three runs per game. Matz has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Play Colorado and St Louis under 9.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Dodgers at Padres—Ryan Yarbrough to start for Los Angeles. Yarbrough in fourteen appearances has an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander has a career low 13.7% strikeouts with 4.2% walks. Grounders served at 38.2% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has 22 starts posting an ERA of 2.50 and WHIP of 1.29. The eighth year lefty an elite strikeout rate of 31.1% with 13.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.61 which suggests a rising ERA if form doesn’t improve. Six straight starts for Los Angeles against San Diego after their win on Friday. They got to the Padres bullpen. Team record behind Snell 8-18 facing NL teams averaging 4.5 runs per game. Team record behind Yarbrough is 16-4 on the road with a +13.4 unit return. Snell has pitched five innings in three of four starts and taxes the bullpen. Play Los Angeles +142.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/5/2023
Mariners at Angels—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has 21 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.08. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 23.1% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in nineteen appearances with an ERA of 4.98 plus WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander deals 17.9% K’s with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.9% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have won eight of ten. In that period Seattle is averaging 5.4 runs per game and bullpen ERA of 1.93. Past seven games Angels hitting .224. At home Anderson an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.60. Play Seattle -132.