Free MLB Picks For Today 8/3/2023
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Phillies at Marlins—Michael Lorenzen to start for Philadelphia. Lorenzen in eighteen starts carries an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.10. The veteran righthander fans 19.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 42.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto has four appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 0.88. The sixteen year righthander is striking out 22.6% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dished at 32.6% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
Lorenzen past four starts allowed three earned runs in 23 2/3rd innings. Phillies 16-4 as a road favorite of -125 or greater this season. Marlins against the division average only 3.5 runs per game. Play Philadelphia -125.
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
White Sox at Rangers—Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint in nine appearances on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.25. The sixth year righthander has a K rate of 19.2% with 15.2% walks. Ground balls served at 53.2% with limited home run damage.
Max Scherzer to start for Texas. Scherzer in nineteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.19. The traded player strikes out 27.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.3% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox held to one run total in their past three games. They are hitting only .213 past seven games. Toussaint in his three road starts allowed nine earned runs with thirteen walks in 13 1/3rd innings. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -127.
New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Mets at Royals—Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco in fifteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.40 with WHIP of 1.65. The fifteen year righthander fans 16.1% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.1% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has 21 starts delivering an ERA of 5.46 with WHIP of 1.46. The righty delivers 19.9% K’s with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.07 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold.
Carrasco past three starts allowed seventeen runs in 9 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Royals bullpen an ERA of 6.37. Royals 35-21 to the over facing teams averaging 1.25 home runs per game or greater.
Carrasco 23-11 to the over when favored by -110 or greater. Past seven games Royals averaging 5.1 runs per game. Play New York and Kansas City over 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Orioles at Blue Jays—Jack Flaherty to start for Baltimore. Flaherty in 20 starts posts an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.55. The traded player is striking out 21.9% with 11.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 21 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.13. The eleven year veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 33% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles 31-26 as an underdog of +100 or greater with a +13.7 unit return. Team record behind Gausman 4-10 as a home favorite between -125 and -175 with a -11.3 unit loss. Blue Jays just 8-22 against the AL East with a -21.8 unit loss.
Flaherty’s numbers have been better on the road. Orioles have won seven of nine against the Blue Jays this year. Past seven games Orioles hold opponents to 3.6 runs per game and a .226 batting average. Play Baltimore +136.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Diamondbacks at Giants—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt has eight starts on the year producing an ERA of 8.20 with WHIP of 1.63. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 17.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.7% with 3.13 home runs per nine innings.
Sean Manaea to start for San Francisco or open this game. Manaea in 25 appearances posts an ERA of 5.43 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 27.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.6% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Tristan Beck could see time as the primary pitcher here and he sports an ERA of 2.94 and WHIP of 1.10 in his 52 innings of work. Past seven games Diamondbacks averaging 3.3 runs per game and hitting .239. Pfaadt and the bullpen’s form behind him the concern. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/3/2023
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Pirates at Brewers—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in 22 starts carries an ERA of 3.97 with WHIP of 1.21. The fifth year righthander has a strikeout mark of 25.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser has fourteen appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.57. The righty fans 17.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have won five of six against the Pirates and 15 of 21 at home against them. Keller past three starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 16 2/3rd innings. Milwaukee 24-17 facing an NL team hitting .255 or worse on the season. Pirates are hitting only .229 against righthanded starters. Play Milwaukee -127.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees– MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Astros at Yankees—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in 20 starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.33 with WHIP of 1.19. The fourth year righthander is striking out 22.9% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 26% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt in 22 appearances has an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.32. The righty strikes out 21.9% with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 42.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Astros have won nine of ten against the Yankees. Team record behind Javier 14-5 against a winning team. New York hits just .215 in night games, averaging 3.7 runs per game and a -13.4 unit loss. Play Houston -110.
Minnesota Twins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Twins at Cardinals—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has 21 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP of 1.27. The eleven year veteran fans 23.3% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 47.7% with minimal home run damage.
Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore in nine appearances has an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.84. The lefthander deals 13.9% K’s with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.1% with limited home run damage.
Twins have lost six of seven. They hit just .217 against lefthanded starters averaging 3.3 runs per game. Gray in his past four starts has allowed sixteen earned runs in 23 2/3rd innings. Play St Louis +128.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Reds at Cubs—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver in eighteen starts has an ERA of 6.80 with WHIP of 1.60. The eighth year righthander a strikeout mark of 17% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.7% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has eighteen starts on the season producing an ERA of 5.46 with WHIP of 1.37. The veteran deals 20.1% K’s with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.5% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Weaver has allowed four earned runs in his past two starts working ten innings.
Reds hit Taillon for four runs over 4 2/3rd innings earlier this season. The Reds are 16-11 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a +9.3 unit return. Taillon at home this season an ERA of 6.61 with team record of 3-7. Play Cincinnati +144.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Mariners at Angels—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in ten starts on the season puts up an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 1.27. The rookie righthander has a strikeout rate of 25.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.4% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani to start for Los Angeles. Ohtani has 20 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 32% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have won six of eight.
Tough spot for the Angels playing their first home game after a nine game road trip with no rest. Mariners past seven games hitting .273 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Ohtani past four starts has allowed fifteen runs in 25 1/3rd innings. Play Seattle +140.
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/3/2023
Athletics at Dodgers—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in 21 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.09 plus WHIP of 1.05. The second year lefthander pitches to 22.3% strikeouts with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 27% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
Julio Urias to start for Los Angeles. Urias has fifteen starts this season with an ERA of 4.98 and WHIP of 1.20. The eighth year veteran posts a K rate of 22.6% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Urias at home an ERA of 2.47, WHIP of 0.84 and team record of 6-1.
Sears past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 17 innings. Athletics struggling to score on Dodgers pitching. Athletics hitting only .213 against left handed starters. Oakland bullpen has been hammered in this series as expected. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
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