Free MLB Picks For Today 7/23/2023
San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Padres at Tigers—Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in fifteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran righthander strikes out 24.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has six starts on the year with an ERA of 6.98 with WHIP of 1.08. The second year righty fans 23% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls served at 33.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings.
Musgrove has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Tigers averaging just 3.7 runs per game during the day. Past ten games Detroit bullpen an ERA of 5.54. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Giants at Nationals—Anthony DeSclafani to be primary pitcher for San Francisco. DeSclafani in eighteen starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.21. The ten year veteran deals 19.4% K’s with 4.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has nineteen starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 4.59 with WHIP of 1.45. The second year lefthander has a strikeout mark of 27.5% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Past seven games San Francisco hitting just .183. Past two road starts DeSclafani allowed seven runs in five innings. Giants hitting only .237 against lefthanders and averaging 4.1 runs per game. Nationals have won five of six against San Francisco. Play Washington -105.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Royals at Yankees—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in eighteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.05 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran deals 16.8% strikeouts with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.4% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino has ten starts with an ERA of 6.66 plus WHIP of 1.77. The righthander fans 17.2% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.3% with 2.22 home runs per nine innings.
Past two starts Lyles has allowed one earned run in eleven innings. Past three starts Severino allowed seventeen runs in 12 2/3rd innings. New York hitting .205 past seven games. Play Kansas City +170.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Diamondbacks at Reds—Tyler Gilbert will be primary pitcher for Arizona. Gilbert has three appearances on the year with an ERA of 1.80 and WHIP of 0.60. He pitched 54 innings in Triple A this year with an ERA of 5.67 and WHIP of 1.39 striking out 65 in 54 innings.
Luke Weaver will start for Cincinnati. Weaver has sixteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 7.22 and WHIP of 1.63. The veteran righthander fans 18.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.8% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. After dropping the first two of this series the Diamondbacks had lost seven of nine.
Gilbert minor league numbers alarming and so is an Arizona bullpen that over the past ten games carries an ERA of 7.64. Play Cincinnati -110.
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Rockies at Marlins—Connor Seabold to be primary starter for Colorado. Seabold in 20 appearances on the campaign carries an ERA of 7.18 with WHIP of 1.57. The righthander strikes out 16.1% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 32.3% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo has twenty starts on the year with an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander is striking out 28.3% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 42.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Luzardo has allowed four earned runs in his past five starts working 29 2/3rd innings. Seabold difficult to back. Marlins 12-5 to the run line at home favored by +135 and -190 laying the one and a half. Play Miami on Run Line -1.5 runs at -130.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Orioles at Rays—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in nineteen appearances posts an ERA of 3.54 with WHIP of 0.98. The third year righthander fans 25% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 31.8% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.75 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form.
Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has fourteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.29 with WHIP of 1.39. The righty has an elite 30.6% strikeout rate with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.94 does indicate a possible drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Bradley at home an ERA of 5.96. Past four starts he has allowed eighteen earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Rays averaging only 3.2 runs per game. As the Orioles won two of three in this series Tampa Bay has dropped 13 of 17. Play Baltimore +120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Phillies at Guardians—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has twenty starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.27 with WHIP of 1.08. The nine year veteran strikes out 24.8% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Peyton Battenfield to start for Cleveland. Battenfield in seven appearances an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP of 1.33. The rookie righthander deals 18.5% K’s with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 43% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings.
Nola on the road an ERA of 4.99. Guardians bullpen an ERA of 2.42 and WHIP of 1.05 at home. Past seven games they are hitting .286 and averaging 5.9 runs per game. Play Cleveland +125.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 7/23/2023
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
White Sox at Twins—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in twenty starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.20. The eight year righthander strikes out 25.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.7% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has fifteen starts on the year producing an ERA of 2.74 and WHIP of 0.98. The righty fans 24.3% with 5.2% walks. Grounders dished at 31.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. After winning the opener of this series the Twins had won six of eight.
Giolito has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of five starts. He has pitched well against the Twins this year allowing two earned runs in thirteen innings. Ober pitched well against Chicago last season allowing three runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Twins bullpen has been good at home. Play Chicago and Minnesota under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Braves at Brewers—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in nineteen starts on the season posts an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.24. The second year righthander fans 18.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls rate of 54.3% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran has nine starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.10. The veteran strikes out 16.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.1% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Elder past two starts allowed fourteen runs in six innings.
Teheran has been hammered for seventeen runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Braves 46-33 to the over when favored by -110 or higher this season. Past seven games they are averaging 6.3 runs per game. Brewers are pushing across 4.6 runs per game on righthanders. Play Atlanta and Milwaukee over 9.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Cardinals at Cubs—Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in nineteen starts posts an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander fans 22.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has sixteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.05 with WHIP of 1.40. The veteran deals 20% K’s with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 34% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. Montgomery has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts.
Taillon at home an ERA of 7.27 in nine starts with a team mark of 2-7 in those games. Past seven games Cardinals batting .306 and averaging 6.3 runs per game. Play St Louis -145.
LA Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Dodgers at Rangers—Emmet Sheehan to start for Los Angeles. Sheehan in five starts carries an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.17. The rookie righthander deals 17.1% K’s with 10.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has eighteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.50. The twelve year lefthander deals 14.6% strikeouts with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.6% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
Sheehan past two starts allowed nine earned runs with seven walks and two homers in 8 2/3rd innings. Perez in his past two starts has given up nine runs with six walks and four homers in 6 1/3rd innings. LA is 21-10 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or greater this season.
Los Angeles is 11-2 to the over facing a team outscored opponents by one or more runs per game on the season. Texas is 18-9 to the over facing a bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or greater. Play Dodgers and Rangers over 10.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Astros at Athletics—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in eighteen starts on the season delivers an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.32. The second year righthander fans 28.2% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 54.4% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina has thirteen appearances on the campaign producing an ERA of 5.79 with WHIP of 1.53. The rookie righty strikes out 22% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.4% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. He has a 17.2% fly ball to home run rate.
After the first three in this series the Astros had won nine of ten against Oakland with seven of those wins by two runs or greater. Brown in his two starts against Oakland this season allowed three earned runs with nineteen strikeouts in thirteen innings.
Athletics bullpen behind Medina an ERA of 5.61 which is two runs higher than the Astros. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Pirates at Angels—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in twenty starts produces an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.3% with 7% walks. Grounders dished at 45.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson appeared in seventeen games in 2023 delivering an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander fans 18.6% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 30.5% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Keller past three starts allowed thirteen runs with eight walks in 18 innings.
Pirates 27-14 to the over when facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse this season. Past seven games Los Angeles is averaging 7.1 runs per game. Anderson at home an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.62. Play Pirates and Angels over 9.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Blue Jays at Mariners—Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah has fifteen starts on the year with an ERA of 6.18 with WHIP of 1.84. The third year righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 17.3% with 14.6% walks. Grounders served at 37.6% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in eight starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righty fans 28.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.88 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Team record behind Manoah is 0-8 against winning teams.
Past three starts Manoah allowed eleven runs in 9 1/3rd innings. Woo has allowed two runs or fewer in four of five starts. After taking the first two games of this series the Mariners had won eight of nine at home against the Blue Jays. Play Seattle -130.
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/23/2023
Mets at Red Sox—Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco has thirteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.35 with WHIP of 1.45. The veteran deals 16.6% K’s with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Pivetta to be primary pitcher for Boston. Pivetta appeared in 23 games produces an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.21. the seven year starter is striking out 29.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.3% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
The opener expected for Boston is Brennan Bernardino who comes off two good appearances. Couple Bernadino with Pivetta and the Red Sox bats they get the check mark here. Play Boston.
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