New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox 7/22/2023 Picks Predictions

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox 7/22/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The New York Mets will go against the Boston Red Sox in MLB action in Fenway Park, MA, on Saturday, July 22, 2023, at 7:10 PM ET.

Before its series with Boston, New York lost four in a row to San Diego and Los Angeles but bounced back by winning three of its subsequent four games.

The Mets are seven games out of contention for the Wild Card and are six games under .500.

New York hits.237 (21st), averages 4.44 runs (18th) and has a.718 OPS (19th).

This season, the team ranks 10th in home runs with 121 and 11th in base stealers with 76. With 30 quality starts, the Mets’ pitching staff ranks 21st with a 1.34 WHIP and a 4.36 ERA (18th).

On Saturday, Scherzer will be on the mound for the guests. This season, the 16-year veteran has a 107:26 K: BB ratio.

After getting off to a lousy start in San Diego (five runs on six hits and two HRs), he recovered to pitch a one-hitter in seven innings against LA. It was his first start since June 1, when he didn’t allow a home run.

The Mets’ relievers entered the match in 95 save situations with a 64.7% save percentage. Over the season, relief pitchers inherited 133 base runners, with 27.8% scoring a run for their side.

Pitchers for the Mets faced the plate 90 times with runners on base and 95 times in high-leverage situations. This season, the Mets sent 309 bullpen pitchers to the mound.

The relievers have 58 holds overall, which ranks them seventh in the MLB. They have recorded 22 saves this season but have missed 12 of their 34 save opportunities.

The New York Mets are 2-3 in their last five matches against the spread.
The NY Mets are 20-30 against the spread in their road matches.
The totals went OVER in one of the Mets’ last five matches.

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New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Predictions 7/22/2023

Boston is back in the Wild Card competition, with only three games separating it from the final WC position.

Will the Red Sox be able to climb the standings? Boston is fifth in terms of runs scored per game (5.01), hits (4.263), and OPS (7.63). It has 105 home runs (21st) and 66 base steals (17th) this season.

With 29 quality starts, the pitching staff ranks 23rd with a 4.35 ERA (17th) and a 1.30 WHIP (18th).

Paxton will start tomorrow for the home team. The 10-year veteran, who has a 68:17 K: BB ratio, took a beating from the Cubs in his most recent start (six runs in three innings).

He limited his past seven rivals to three or fewer runs earned.

Out of 94 inherited base runners, Boston relievers scored 29.8% of them. Their relievers entered the game 61 times with base runners and 78 times in high-pressure situations.

The Red Sox had 38 holds in 73 save opportunities while blowing eight saves. They have sent 292 bullpen relievers to the mound this season and are now ranked third in MLB with a save rate of 77.1%.

In 35 save opportunities, Boston asked relievers to take the field and came away with 27 saves.

The Red Sox are 2-3 in their last five matches against the spread.
The Boston Red Sox are 26-23 against the spread in their road matches.
The totals went OVER in three of the Red Sox’ last five matches.

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox. The MLB pick for this game is the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox hit quite well at home (.290 BA/.356 OBP/.465 SLG/.821 OPS in 48 games), and many people aren’t too confident in forecasting another solid start from Scherzer since he was too prone to the big ball recently (eleven HR in his past eight starts).

Against left-handed pitchers, the Mets only hit 0.230/.307/.391/.699 on the season.

Although Paxton may not be a big name, he is an experienced veteran who limited eight out of his eleven opponents to two runs or fewer this season.

He is anticipated to have a much stronger start at home against the weak Mets lineup to compensate for his bad performance in his previous start.

On Saturday at Fenway, bet on Boston to appear like a contender and New York to look like a pretender. The Boston Red Sox will win by a predicted score of 6-4.

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