Free MLB Picks For Today 6/23/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 6/23/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 6/23/2023

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Twins at Tigers—Kenta Maeda to start for Minnesota. Maeda in four starts has an ERA of 9.00 and WHIP of 1.63. The righthander is striking out 19.2% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 29.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.

 

A FIP of 4.52 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. He returns from a tricep injury that happened in late April. Joey Wentz expected to start for Detroit. Wentz has fourteen appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 6.82 and WHIP of 1.56.

 

The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 20.5% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 39% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. Twins 7-9 facing left handed starters hitting .215 and pushing across just 3.4 runs per game. Tigers have won five of seven averaging 5.1 runs per game. Play Detroit +130.

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Braves at Reds—AJ Smith Shawver to start for Atlanta. Smith-Shawver in three appearances carries an ERA of 2.03 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander fans 21.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls are 40.5% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.

 

Luke Weaver is the starter for Cincinnati. Weaver has eleven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.47 and WHIP of 1.54. The righthander has a K rate of 19.5% with 6.6% walks. Grounders served at 36.9% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings.

 

Braves bullpen has been outstanding at home with an ERA of 2.96. Reds pen at home an ERA of 2.80. Cincinnati has been less effective hitting and scoring when facing right handed starters. Play Atlanta and Cincinnati under 10.5.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Pirates at Marlins—Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz in seven appearances produces an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.73. The righthander strikes out 15.1% with 11.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.2% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.55 an indicator of a possible rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo has fifteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.09 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander has a K rate of 26.9% with 6.3% walks. Grounders served at 39.6% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.

 

Past seven games Pirates averaging just 1.6 runs per game and hitting .148. This is a Marlins team averaging only 4 runs per game at home. Luzardo WHIP at home only 1.05. Play Pittsburgh and Miami under 8.5.

Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Royals at Rays—Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke in fifteen starts on the season produces an ERA of 4.81 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 18.4% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.4% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.

 

Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has thirteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander strikes out 25.5% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.2% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Royals on the road averaging only .3.2 runs per game and hitting .224.

 

Rays at home pushing across 5.9 runs per game. Greinke has been hammered in his past three starts. On the road Greinke an ERA of 5.15 with a team record of 1-6. Eflin at home an ERA of 1.85 with WHIP of 0.80 and team record of 7-0. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at -125.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Mariners at Orioles—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander deals 26% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has fifteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.94 and WHIP of 1.27. The veteran deals 17.7% strikeouts with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with limited home run damage. As they closed their series with the Yankees the Mariners were just 16-28 against winning teams.

 

Team record behind Gibson 10-1 facing a team hitting .255 or worse. Seattle hits just .216 against righthanders. Past seven games Mariners hitting .185 and averaging only 3.4 runs per game. Gilbert on the road an ERA of 4.57. Play Baltimore -103.

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Rangers at Yankees—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 2.78 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 14.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 46.3% with limited home run damage.

 

Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in six starts in 2023 has an ERA of 6.30 with WHIP of 1.57. The veteran strikes out 20% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.9% with 2.40 home runs per nine innings.

 

Rangers are 25-9 facing a team hitting .255 worse on the season. Team record behind Severin0 10-24 in these closely line games when the Yankees are either +125 to -125.

 

Dunning has pitched well on the road this season and is backed by the top scoring plus hitting lineup in baseball. Severino has been hammered in his past three starts. Play Texas +125.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Mets at Phillies—Kodai Senga to start for NYM. Senga in thirteen starts produces an ERA of 3.53 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 28.3% with 13.4% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.

 

Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.28. The veteran fans 20.6% with 9.7% walks. Grounders come in at 48% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Senga on the road an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.62.

 

Walker has been strong in his six home starts posting an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 1.00 and team record of 5-1. New York is 5-17 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play Philadelphia -116.

 

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Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Athletics at Blue Jays—James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in thirteen appearances carries an ERA of 6.38 and WHIP of 1.64. The righthander posts 19.1% K’s with 11.7% walks. Grounders served at 30.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.

 

Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in fifteen starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran deals 20.6% strikeouts with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.8% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kaprielian an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.66 on the road. He is backed by a bullpen with an ERA of 5.94 on the road. Bassitt has been pounded in his past two starts allowing thirteen runs, 11 earned in 6 2/3rd innings.

 

Athletics are 9-1 to the over against the AL East this season and 18-8 to the over as an underdog of +175 to +250 on the season. Play Oakland and Toronto over 9.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Brewers at Guardians—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has nine starts this season posting an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander fans only 14.8% with 5.8% walks. Grounders sit at 40% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.

 

Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 17.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.

 

Brewers 20-9 to the under against losing teams. Guardians 39-22 to the under facing teams that average seven or greater strikeouts per game. Bieber is 38-19 to the under against winning teams and 19-5 to the under in night games.

 

Brewers struggle for run production on the road and the Guardians struggle to score at home. Cleveland bullpen at home an ERA of 2.23. Play Milwaukee and Cleveland under 8.

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Red Sox at White Sox—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in eleven starts has an ERA of 3.49 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.2% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.

 

Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito has fifteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.54 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran six plus seasons has a strikeout rate of 24.5% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 33.2% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.

 

Red Sox 22-10 facing an AL team hitting .255 or worse. Team record behind Giolito 2-9 facing a winning team at home. Red Sox past seven games hitting .323 and pushing across 7.7 runs per game.

 

Their bullpen has performed well on the road. White Sox past seven games averaging only 3.3 runs per game and hitting .215. Bello’s recent form good. Play Boston -111.

LA Angels vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Angels at Rockies—Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in thirteen starts has an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 17.35 with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.9% with limited home run damage.

 

Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has fifteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.34. The lefty fans only 14.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.

 

Angels bats are struggling and they have averaged just 3.7 runs per game against the National League. Rockies hit and score runs at home. Freeland has put up some good numbers at home. Play Colorado +125.

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Nationals at Padres—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.58. The lefthander has a K rate of 14.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.3% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.

 

Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove has ten starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.22 with WHIP of 1.31. The veteran is striking out 20.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.3% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.

 

Padres 3-10 at home against lefthanded starters this season. Nationals do average 4.7 runs per game on the road. Padres have a losing mark at home averaging only 3.7 runs per game. Play Washington on run line +1.5 runs at +110.

Houston Astros vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Astros at Dodgers—JP France to start for Houston. France in eight starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander deals 19.3% strikeouts with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.5% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.94 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Emmet Sheehan to start for LAD. Sheehan in his MLB debut allowed no runs with three strikeouts in six innings at home to San Francisco. A sixth round draft pick in 2021 out of Boston College. He spent 2022 in two levels of the minors with great numbers.

 

The righthander had twelve appearances in Double A with an ERA of 1.86 with WHIP of 0.89 striking out 88 batters in 53 1/3rd innings. France not getting much run support behind him as the team averages just 2.9 runs per game in his eight starts.

 

Astros have dropped 10 of 15. Los Angeles is 27-6 at home when lined between -100 and -150. Prefer the LA bats here. Play LA Dodgers -142.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/23/2023

Diamondbacks at Giants—Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies in seven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 7.11 and WHIP of 1.74. The veteran fans 18.8% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.5% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.06 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Logan Webb to start for SF. Webb has fifteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.11 and WHIP of 1.11. The righthander posts a K rate of 24.5% with 4.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 60.7% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.

 

Davies has pitched well against the Giants in his two starts last year against them. Team record behind Davies 20-13 as an underdog of +125 to +175. D’Backs are 22-12 on the road this season. Giants just 3-8 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. Play Arizona +166.

 

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