Free MLB Picks For Today 6/16/2023
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Orioles at Cubs—Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin in five appearances has an ERA of 7.85 and WHIP of 1.75. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 20.7% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 30% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has four starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander fans 16% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.6% with limited home run damage. Cubs offense showed improvement in the Pirates series. Team record behind Hendricks 17-10 facing a winning team. Chicago hitting .283 against lefthanders averaging 5.3 runs per game against them. Irvin is missing that pitchers park in Oakland back when he was with the Athletics. Play Chicago +100.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Marlins at Nationals—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has thirteen starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander deals 20.6% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.3% with limited home run damage. Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams in thirteen starts an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.36. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.5% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.31 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Nationals have lost eight of nine as they closed out their road series at Houston with run production an issue. Alcantara 23-11 to the under pitching on 5-6 days of rest since his last start was on June 10th. Williams 12-2 to the under as a home underdog of +125 or greater. Both offenses struggling past seven games. Play Miami and Washington under 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Yankees at Red Sox—Domingo German to start for NYY. German has twelve starts on the season posting an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 0.99. The righthander has a K rate of 24% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.3% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck in twelve starts has an ERA of 5.23 and WHIP of 1.26. The righty strikes out 23.1% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 50.3% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. German has been sharp allowing one earned run in each of his past two starts at home to the Red Sox and at the Dodgers. Yankees bullpen ultra sharp. Play New York +104.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Cardinals at Mets—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in fourteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 17.6% with 4.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.6% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill will start for NYM. Megill has thirteen starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.70. The righty is striking out 16.9% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.8% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals dropped five straight to end their home stand. St Louis 7-14 facing a good bullpen with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower. New York producing more runs past seven games. Play Mets -109.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Rockies at Braves—Dinelson Lamet to start for Colorado. Lamet in fifteen appearances on the season has an ERA of 10.38 and WHIP of 2.31. The righthander fans 22.8% with 14.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.3% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Jared Shuster to start for ATL. Shuster has seven starts with an ERA of 5.05 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander is striking out 13.8% with 12.5% walks. Grounders served at 33% with limited home run damage. Lamet 7-20 to the run line against a winning team. Rockies continue their struggles to hit and score on the road. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Blue Jays at Rangers—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 33.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.8% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has thirteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.67 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander fans 16.1% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.5% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Rangers 10-3 facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. Blue Jays 18-28 against lefthanded starters. Perez 17-9 when an underdog of +100 to +150. Rangers are pushing across 6.6 runs per game at home. At home Perez an ERA of 1.40 with team record 4-0. Team record 3-4 behind Gausman on the road. Play Texas +128.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Reds at Astros—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott in his two starts allowed no earned runs with ten strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. A 2nd round pick in 2021 out of Virginia. This season he spent time in two levels of the minors striking out 90 in 54 innings. JP France to start for Houston. France has seven starts this season producing an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 20.5% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.7% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.96 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Past seven games Astros hitting only .230. They struggle to produce runs at home. France an ERA of 5.94 at home. Play Cincinnati on run line +1.5 runs at -120.
LA Angels vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Angels at Royals—Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in twelve starts posts an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 16.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.3% with limited home run damage. Brady Singer the starter for KC. Singer has thirteen starts this season producing an ERA of 6.58 and WHIP of 1.59. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Royals 4-24 against winning teams this season. Team record behind Singer 2-11 against the AL West. Angels bullpen in better form. KC bullpen at home an ERA of 5.41. Play LA Angels -148.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Tigers at Twins—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander in nineteen appearances on the campaign an ERA of 5.23 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 1.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 30.3% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in thirteen starts posts an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 0.97. The righthander a K rate of 27.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.1% with limited home run damage. Twins struggled to score against lefthanded starters hitting .222 and averaging 3.5 runs per game. Tigers have scored five runs or greater in six of seven. Play Detroit on run line +1.5 runs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Pirates at Brewers–Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has thirteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.23 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander deals 21.5% strikeouts with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.7% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran in four starts posts an ERA of 1.48 and WHIP of 0.95. The veteran fans 17.8% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.4% with limited home run damage. Brewers hit just .215 against lefthanders averaging 2.96 runs per game. Teheran is pitching like he wants to stay in the Major Leagues. Play Pittsburgh and Milwaukee under nine runs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Rays at Padres—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.18 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander fans 27.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 43% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.55 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has twelve starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.16. The veteran has a K rate of 26.2% with 7.8% walks. Grounders come in at 41.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Rays are 45-16 when favored by -110 or greater. Padres 3-8 at home against lefthanded starters. Play Tampa Bay -110.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Guardians at Diamondbacks—Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in his two starts allowed five earned runs with fifteen strikeouts in ten innings. The righthander suffered a shoulder injury in spring training that delayed the start of his 2023 campaign. Last season, he posted an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP 0.95 posting a strikeout mark of 25.6%. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has fourteen starts on the year with an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.15. The righty fans 27% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.1% with limited home run damage. Guardians 28-14 to the under facing righthanded starters. Gallen in seven home starts an ERA of 0.96 and WHIP of 0.85. Diamondbacks have trended under at home. Play Cleveland and Arizona under 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Phillies at Athletics—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has fourteen starts posting an ERA of 4.67 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 19.9% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.3% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in thirteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander a K rate of 22.8% with 5.6% walks. Grounders come in at 26.4% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Phillies 8-15 on the road facing teams with a .380 win rate or lower. They average just 3.6 runs per game against lefthanders. Walker on the road an ERA of 6.75 in eight starts. At home Sears has been outstanding. Overall Sears has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. Play Oakland +126.
San Francisco Giants vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
Giants at Dodgers—Sean Manaea to be primary pitcher for SF. Manaea in fourteen appearances carries an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander deals 28.2% strikeouts with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.1% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.63 does suggest a possible drop in his ERA based on his numbers. Matt Adriese to start for LAD. Andriese spent 2022 in Japan with an ERA of 2.86 in 63 innings. He had 12 starts in Triple A with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.38 striking out 44 in 60 innings. He has 217 career appearances in MLB with an ERA of 4.63 and WHIP of 1.33 striking out 474 batters in 509 innings. Past seven games Giants hitting .288 and pushing across 6.3 runs per game.
Dodgers bullpen a concern. LAD hits only .222 against lefthanders. Play San Francisco.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 6/16/2023
White Sox at Mariners—Michael Kopech to start for CWS. Kopech in thirteen starts produces an ERA of 4.03 and WHIP of 1.18. The righty fans 27.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.8% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.28 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in two starts allowed eight earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 6 2/3rd innings. A 6th round draft pick out of Cal Poly. He spent 2022 in three levels of the minors. In nine Double A starts this season an ERA of 2.05 and WHIP of 0.89 striking out 59 in 44 innings. Mariners bullpen has performed well at home this season. They have showed improved run production past seven games. White Sox hitting only .221 on the road. Kopech on the road an ERA of 4.34. Play Seattle -121.