Free MLB Picks For Today 4/28/2023
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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Royals at Twins—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in five starts this season an ERA 4.88 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 27.3% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has five starts in 2022 with an ERA 3.00 plus WHIP 1.03. The righthander a career high 32.2% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Grounders sit at 47.1% with limited home run damage. Tough to back this KC lineup batting .207 against righthanders and bullpen ERA over six. Twins 15-8 to the run line against a bad bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or worse. Play Minnesota on the run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Cubs at Marlins—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in five starts carries an ERA 2.17 with WHIP 1.00. The veteran a career high 26.1% strikeouts with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 58.9% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.85 suggests a rise in ERA with his advanced numbers. Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in five starts produces an ERA 3.62 plus WHIP 1.39. The lefty fans 27.4% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 39.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Marlins 12-35 facing teams allowing fewer than four runs per game. Chicago hitting lefthanders. Play Chicago -107.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Orioles at Tigers—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in four starts produces an ERA 5.12 with WHIP 1.60. The righthander a K rate of 28.7% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.2% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.64 an indicator of a falling ERA based on his form. Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in five starts posts an ERA 2.32 with WHIP 0.84. The lefty has a strikeout rate of 21.7% with 4.3% walks. Grounders served at 42.2% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Tigers batting only .206 against righthanders and Orioles bullpen in good form. Baltimore 24-9 when lined between -100 and -150. Play Baltimore -120.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Pirates at Nationals—Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in five starts in 2023 has an ERA 4.85 with WHIP 1.42. The veteran fans 19.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.1% with 2.42 home runs per nine innings. Chad Kuhl to start for Washington. Kuhl in four starts produces an ERA 7.36 with WHIP 1.75. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to a career low 16.5% with 14.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.5% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings. Pirates hitting .281 against lefthanders and has won nine of ten. Play Pittsburgh -125.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Mariners at Blue Jays—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in five starts has an ERA 1.52 with WHIP 0.81. The righthander is striking out 30.4% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with no homers allowed. Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah in five starts carries an ERA 5.13 with WHIP 1.56. The righty has a career low 17.4% strikeout rate with 13.2% walks. Grounders served at 38.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Mariners batting only .207. Prefer Blue Jays lineup. Play Toronto -111.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Guardians at Red Sox—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in five starts posts an ERA 3.23 with WHIP 1.17. The righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 17.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.6% with limited home run damage. Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta in four starts has an ERA 4.58 with WHIP 1.37. The righty fans 26.1% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Guardians lack of run production a concern as is Bieber’s high contact. Play Boston +117.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Braves at Mets—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in three stars has an ERA 0.60 with WHIP 0.93. The lefty a strikeout mark of 20% with 5.5% walks. Grounders served at 62.5% with no homers allowed. David Peterson to start for NYM. Peterson in five starts posts an ERA 7.36 with WHIP 1.64. The lefthander fans 25.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate 51.3% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings. Braves pounding lefthanders hitting .303. NYM struggling against lefthanders hitting .203 past ten games. Play Atlanta -136.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Rays at White Sox—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in three starts in 2023 an ERA 2.81 with WHIP 1.00. The righthander a K rate of 25.4% with 1.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 52.5% with limited home run damage. Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito has five starts on the campaign with an ERA 4.50 with WHIP 1.18. The righty fans 23.5% with 5% walks. Ground balls 32.5% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Rays bullpen outstanding and White Sox an ERA 6.09. Team record behind Giolito 2-11 past 13 April starts. Play Tampa Bay -144.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Yankees at Rangers—Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt in five starts carries an ERA 6.30 with WHIP 1.55. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 26.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 38.3% with 2.70 home runs per nine innings. Jacob deGrom to start for Texas. deGrom has five starts in 2023 posting an ERA 3.04 with WHIP 0.79. The veteran a strikeout mark of 42.2% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls served at 39.3% with limited home run damage. Schmidt coming off a good start against Toronto. He is backed by a good bullpen. Rangers are slumping. Play Yankees on run line +1.5 runs at -125.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Phillies at Astros—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in five starts has an ERA 5.40 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran a career low 18.6% strikeout rate with 7.6% walks. Grounders served at 34.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez will start for Houston. Valdez in five starts in 2023 posts an ERA 2.25 with WHIP 1.16. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 26% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 65.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Trust Houston bullpen more in late innings. Play Houston -141.
LA Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Angels at Brewers—Tyler Anderson to start for LAA. Anderson in four starts has an ERA 7.20 with WHIP 1.70. The lefthander pitching to high contact with 12% strikeouts and 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.3% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley in four starts carries an ERA 1.96 with WHIP 0.96. The lefthander fans 18.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.1% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Anderson high contact a concern despite the Brewers issues hitting lefthanders. Milwaukee bullpen has been outstanding. Play Milwaukee -139.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in five starts in 2023 carries an ERA 3.42 plus WHIP 1.33. The righthander fans 23.1% with 15.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.8% with limited home run damage. Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has five starts with an ERA 4.28 with WHIP 1.21. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 15.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.8% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Diamondbacks on the road 11-46 facing a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower. Play Colorado +118.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Reds at Athletics—Luis Cessa to start for Cincinnati. Cessa in four starts in 2023 has an ERA 10.80 with WHIP 2.34. The righthander strikes out only 7.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.1% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Drew Rucinski to start for Oakland. Rucinski spent four seasons in Korea. He has 54 career innings in MLB with an ERA 5.33 with WHIP 1.59 with one start and 40 bullpen appearances. The righthander has three starts in Triple A with an ERA 6.52 with WHIP 1.85. Red have lost nine of ten on the road. Athletics showing a pulse hitting the baseball. Reds batting .209 against righthanders on the road. Play Oakland.
St Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2023
Cardinals at Dodgers—Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty in five starts posts an ERA 3.29 with WHIP 1.35. The veteran has a K rate of 23.2% with 17% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.2% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.16 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Dustin May to start for LAD. May has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.07 and WHIP 0.92. The righthander a career low 16.7% strikeouts with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.6% with minimal home run damage. First home game for LA after a seven game road trip with no day off. Team record behind Flaherty 12-3 on the road. May’s high contact and Dodgers bullpen a concern. Play St Louis +123.