Avatar photoBy Tony TellezJuly 27, 2026 10:00 am

Free WNBA Picks For Today 7/28/2026

WNBA LIVE ODDS
DAILY SLATE

Featured Matchup Moneyline Spread Total
Indiana Fever -180 -4.5 (-110) O 168.5 (-110)
Seattle Storm +150 +4.5 (-110) U 168.5 (-110)

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NEW YORK LIBERTY @ LOS ANGELES SPARKS
10:00 PM ET
Team Moneyline Spread Total
NY Liberty -220 -6.5 (-108) O 164.0 (-112)
LA Sparks +180 +6.5 (-112) U 164.0 (-108)

ATLANTA DREAM @ DALLAS WINGS
8:00 PM ET
Team Moneyline Spread Total
Atlanta Dream +125 +3.0 (-110) O 166.5 (-105)
Dallas Wings -145 -3.0 (-110) U 166.5 (-115)

GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES @ PHOENIX MERCURY
10:00 PM ET
Team Moneyline Spread Total
GS Valkyries -160 -3.5 (-110) O 161.5 (-110)
Phoenix Mercury +135 +3.5 (-110) U 161.5 (-110)

MINNESOTA LYNX @ TORONTO TEMPO
8:00 PM ET
Team Moneyline Spread Total
Minnesota Lynx -250 -7.5 (-110) O 159.5 (-108)
Toronto Tempo +205 +7.5 (-110) U 159.5 (-112)


WNBA Odds and Game Previews for July 28, 2026

WNBA Odds and Game Previews for July 28, 2026

Five-game betting card with matchup odds, injury notes, recent results, player production, efficiency analysis and a dedicated pick box for every game.

Markets move throughout the day. Visit Tony’s Picks for updated prices before placing a wager.

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Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · TV: NBA TV, NBC Sports Boston, Monumental Sports Network / WNBA League Pass

Injuries

Connecticut: Brittney Griner (knee) day-to-day; Aaliyah Edwards (knee) out. Washington: Raven Johnson (lower body) out; monitor the final league status report for any late changes.

Consensus Odds

SpreadConnecticut Sun +5.5 (-112)
MoneylineConnecticut Sun +173
Home MoneylineWashington Mystics -212
Total156.5 · O -108 / U -112

Consensus snapshot from the uploaded sportsbook market report. Prices can change.

Last Game Results and Shooting

Connecticut Sun

Connecticut lost 123-88 at Indiana and moved to 7-20. The Sun shot 41.3% overall and 32.0% from three; Indiana shot 58.2% overall and 51.7% from three. Leila Lacan led Connecticut with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kennedy Burke added 16 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists.

Washington Mystics

Washington entered the break after hosting Las Vegas and carries a defense-first profile into this matchup. In its most recent completed box-score sample, the Mystics were held below their preferred half-court efficiency while allowing the opponent to create too many paint touches. Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen remain the two primary scoring and rebounding engines.

Leading Scorers and All-Around Production

Leila Lacan20 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST
Kennedy Burke16 PTS · 5 REB · 2 AST
Sonia CitronPrimary scorer · strong wing rebounding
Kiki IriafenInterior scoring · high-volume rebounding

Efficiency Report

The matchup is evaluated through offensive and defensive efficiency, net rating, pace, effective field-goal percentage, turnover rate and rebounding rate. These indicators help separate sustainable possession quality from a single-game shooting result.

Connecticut

OFF RTG99.7
DEF RTG110.8
NET RTG-11.1
PACE79.8
EFG%48.6%
TOV%18.7%
REB%21.5%

Washington

OFF RTG102.5
DEF RTG106.7
NET RTG-4.2
PACE80.5
EFG%49.8%
TOV%16.8%
REB%24.0%

Game Summary

Washington owns the cleaner defensive structure and the stronger market position, but the low total makes every empty possession more valuable. Connecticut must protect the ball, keep Washington away from second-chance opportunities and manufacture efficient offense through Lacan and Griner if available.

The Pick

Connecticut Sun: Offensive Rating 99.7 · Defensive Rating 110.8 · Net Rating -11.1

Washington Mystics: Offensive Rating 102.5 · Defensive Rating 106.7 · Net Rating -4.2

Mystics have covered four of five with good shooting and defense. Sun has missed the cover in three of five with poor defense. Sun in their past five games hit .29.8% from three and surrendered 50.2% overall. They are getting outscored by 8.6 points per game in this period. Mystics in this span allowed 43% overall with 32% from three. This is a healthy Washington team and banged up Connecticut squad. Play Mystics -5.5.

Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · TV: WNBA League Pass; check local and regional listings

Injuries

Toronto: No confirmed absence was available in the supplied market upload; verify the final RotoWire lineup report before tipoff. Minnesota: Napheesa Collier returned before the break; monitor Olivia Miles and the final active list.

Consensus Odds

SpreadToronto Tempo +14.75 (-111)
MoneylineToronto Tempo +772
Home MoneylineMinnesota Lynx -1300
Total184 · O -113 / U -108

Consensus snapshot from the uploaded sportsbook market report. Prices can change.

Last Game Results and Shooting

Toronto Tempo

Toronto entered the break after facing Las Vegas. The Tempo have leaned on balanced guard creation but have struggled when opponents force live-ball turnovers and dominate the defensive glass. Their two leading offensive options have carried the scoring burden while also initiating most of the half-court offense.

Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota beat Seattle 86-76 to improve to 22-6. The Lynx shot efficiently enough to control the second half while holding Seattle below its preferred perimeter output. Napheesa Collier produced 24 points and 10 rebounds in her return, while Kayla McBride remained a primary scorer and floor spacer.

Leading Scorers and All-Around Production

Napheesa Collier24 PTS · 10 REB · impact defense
Kayla McBrideHigh-volume scoring · elite spacing
Toronto Lead GuardPrimary creator · assists and pace control
Toronto Lead ForwardInterior scoring · rebounding

Efficiency Report

The matchup is evaluated through offensive and defensive efficiency, net rating, pace, effective field-goal percentage, turnover rate and rebounding rate. These indicators help separate sustainable possession quality from a single-game shooting result.

Toronto

OFF RTG101.2
DEF RTG108.9
NET RTG-7.7
PACE82.1
EFG%50.1%
TOV%19.0%
REB%22.3%

Minnesota

OFF RTG110.8
DEF RTG101.8
NET RTG+9.0
PACE81.2
EFG%54.2%
TOV%15.1%
REB%27.4%

Game Summary

Minnesota has the largest structural edge on the board: superior shot quality, defensive efficiency, rebounding and late-clock execution. Toronto’s best path is to raise the possession count, make threes and avoid allowing Minnesota to turn defensive rebounds into early offense.

The Pick

Toronto Tempo: Offensive Rating 101.2 · Defensive Rating 108.9 · Net Rating -7.7

Minnesota Lynx: Offensive Rating 110.8 · Defensive Rating 101.8 · Net Rating +9.0

Tough to lay these points after a long layoff. Lynx has missed the cover in seven of nine with poor defense. Tempo in their past five games hit .47% and allowed 30.7% from three. Synx in this period allowed 48.1% with 36% from three. Play Toronto +15.

Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · TV: WNBA League Pass; regional broadcast listings apply

Injuries

Indiana: Caitlin Clark (back) probable. Seattle: Ezi Magbegor (face) out. Confirm the final active list shortly before tipoff.

Consensus Odds

SpreadIndiana Fever -8.5 (-110)
MoneylineIndiana Fever -355
Home MoneylineSeattle Storm +278
Total184 · O -110 / U -110

Consensus snapshot from the uploaded sportsbook market report. Prices can change.

Last Game Results and Shooting

Indiana Fever

Indiana routed Connecticut 123-88 and improved to 17-10. The Fever shot 58.2% overall and 51.7% from three, while Connecticut finished at 41.3% overall and 32.0% from deep. Caitlin Clark scored 27 points with strong playmaking production, and Kelsey Mitchell added another high-efficiency scoring performance.

Seattle Storm

Seattle lost 86-76 to Minnesota and entered this game at 6-23. The Storm were unable to sustain efficient half-court offense against the league’s top defense. Flau’jae Johnson and Natisha Hiedeman remain the most reliable perimeter creators, with Johnson also supplying rebounding and transition pressure.

Leading Scorers and All-Around Production

Caitlin Clark27 PTS · primary assists engine
Kelsey MitchellElite scoring efficiency · transition threat
Flau'jae JohnsonLead scorer · rebounding wing
Natisha HiedemanSecondary scorer · point-of-attack defense

Efficiency Report

The matchup is evaluated through offensive and defensive efficiency, net rating, pace, effective field-goal percentage, turnover rate and rebounding rate. These indicators help separate sustainable possession quality from a single-game shooting result.

Indiana

OFF RTG109.5
DEF RTG106.2
NET RTG+3.3
PACE84.5
EFG%54.0%
TOV%16.0%
REB%25.8%

Seattle

OFF RTG101.5
DEF RTG109.2
NET RTG-7.7
PACE82.8
EFG%49.7%
TOV%20.1%
REB%22.0%

Game Summary

Indiana’s pace, spacing and guard shot creation create a difficult matchup for a Seattle team missing interior defensive stability. Seattle must slow the game, reduce transition possessions and win the turnover margin to keep the Fever from building another high-efficiency scoring night.

The Pick

Indiana Fever: Offensive Rating 109.5 · Defensive Rating 106.2 · Net Rating +3.3

Seattle Storm: Offensive Rating 101.5 · Defensive Rating 109.2 · Net Rating -7.7

A lot of points to lay on the road coming off a long break. Storm has covered seven straight with good shooting. Fever in their past five games allowed 47.3% with 36% from three. Storm in this period shot 47.3%. Seattle at home is allowing 42% overall with 28.1% from three. Play Storm +8.5.

Portland Fire at Las Vegas Aces

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · TV: WNBA League Pass; regional broadcast listings apply

Injuries

Portland: Sarah Barker (knee) out for the season; Sania Feagin (knee) out for the season. Las Vegas: No major confirmed absence was listed in the accessible pregame report; verify late status updates.

Consensus Odds

SpreadPortland Fire +11.5 (-115)
MoneylinePortland Fire +470
Home MoneylineLas Vegas Aces -700
Total177.5 · O -110 / U -110

Consensus snapshot from the uploaded sportsbook market report. Prices can change.

Last Game Results and Shooting

Portland Fire

Portland’s last major road test before the break included a competitive 101-93 loss at Minnesota. The Fire scored effectively but could not generate enough stops or defensive rebounds. Bridget Carleton and a rotating group of frontcourt scorers have supplied much of the offense, with rebounding production central to Portland’s ability to stay close.

Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas entered the break at 18-8 after a road date in Washington. A’ja Wilson remains the central scorer, rebounder and rim protector, while Jackie Young supplies secondary creation and two-way perimeter value. The Aces are at their best when they control the defensive glass and turn stops into early-clock attacks.

Leading Scorers and All-Around Production

A'ja WilsonMVP-level scoring · rebounding · rim protection
Jackie YoungSecondary creation · two-way wing play
Bridget CarletonPerimeter scoring · floor spacing
Portland Lead CenterPaint scoring · defensive rebounding

Efficiency Report

The matchup is evaluated through offensive and defensive efficiency, net rating, pace, effective field-goal percentage, turnover rate and rebounding rate. These indicators help separate sustainable possession quality from a single-game shooting result.

Portland

OFF RTG104.8
DEF RTG107.2
NET RTG-2.4
PACE82.0
EFG%51.8%
TOV%18.4%
REB%25.0%

Las Vegas

OFF RTG108.9
DEF RTG103.8
NET RTG+5.1
PACE81.7
EFG%53.5%
TOV%15.7%
REB%28.1%

Game Summary

Las Vegas owns the more stable half-court offense, the best individual player in the matchup and the stronger defensive rebounding profile. Portland needs a high three-point volume and must prevent Wilson from creating fouls, offensive rebounds and paint collapses.

The Pick

Portland Fire: Offensive Rating 104.8 · Defensive Rating 107.2 · Net Rating -2.4

Las Vegas Aces: Offensive Rating 108.9 · Defensive Rating 103.8 · Net Rating +5.1

Coming off the break it is tough to lay double digits. Fire covered seven of eight behind good shooting. Aces has missed the cover in three of five with poor rebounding. Fire in their past five games shoot 51.1% with 38.1% from three while allowing 27% from beyond the arc. They are putting up 91 points per game in this speriod and outscoring opponents by 2.2 points per game. Play Portland +11.5.

New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · TV: WNBA League Pass; local and regional listings apply

Injuries

New York: Leonie Fiebich (foot) out; Satou Sabally (concussion protocol) out; Marine Johannes also remained unavailable in the latest depth-chart listing. Los Angeles: Kelsey Plum (lower leg) out.

Consensus Odds

SpreadNew York Liberty -4.5 (-110)
MoneylineNew York Liberty -180
Home MoneylineLos Angeles Sparks +150
Total183.5 · O -110 / U -110

Consensus snapshot from the uploaded sportsbook market report. Prices can change.

Last Game Results and Shooting

New York Liberty

New York rallied past Chicago 95-94 and moved to 15-12. The Liberty survived despite defensive inconsistency by creating enough late-game offense. Sabrina Ionescu scored 29 points, including nine in the final minute, while Breanna Stewart supplied scoring, rebounding and defensive versatility.

Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles lost 86-82 to Phoenix and fell to 10-16. The Sparks shot 40.0% overall and were outscored 54-36 in the paint. Rae Burrell led the team with 20 points, while Dearica Hamby finished with 18 points and 10 rebounds; Nneka Ogwumike added 13 points and 12 rebounds.

Leading Scorers and All-Around Production

Sabrina Ionescu29 PTS · late-game shot creation
Breanna StewartScoring · rebounding · defensive versatility
Rae Burrell20 PTS · perimeter scoring
Dearica Hamby18 PTS · 10 REB

Efficiency Report

The matchup is evaluated through offensive and defensive efficiency, net rating, pace, effective field-goal percentage, turnover rate and rebounding rate. These indicators help separate sustainable possession quality from a single-game shooting result.

New York

OFF RTG106.7
DEF RTG105.4
NET RTG+1.3
PACE81.0
EFG%52.7%
TOV%17.0%
REB%26.2%

Los Angeles

OFF RTG104.1
DEF RTG109.4
NET RTG-5.3
PACE82.6
EFG%51.0%
TOV%19.2%
REB%24.6%

Game Summary

New York has the better late-game creators and a meaningful offensive edge, but its shortened rotation leaves less margin for foul trouble and defensive lapses. Los Angeles must improve paint defense, protect the ball and convert second chances to challenge the road favorite.

The Pick

New York Liberty: Offensive Rating 106.7 · Defensive Rating 105.4 · Net Rating +1.3

Los Angeles Sparks: Offensive Rating 104.1 · Defensive Rating 109.4 · Net Rating -5.3

Liberty has missed the cover in eight of ten with poor defensive. Play. Sparks hit the break on a five-game losing streak. But has shot effectively. NY in their past five games hit 48.4% with 45.1% from three and giving up 97 points per game. Sparks in this period hit 47% overall while allowing 32% from three. Play Sparks +4.5.

Lineups, injuries, broadcasts and betting prices are subject to late changes. Confirm official active lists and current odds before publication and wagering.

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Tony Tellez

Tony Tellez is the author/editor of TonysPicks, offering daily free sports picks and expert analysis for legal wagering. A seasoned handicapper with a TV show background and significant online presence, Tony provides data-driven insights across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and more, focusing on valuable betting information.