WNBA Odds and Betting Previews: July 19, 2026
SmartMoney game analysis for Los Angeles–Dallas, Chicago–Atlanta and Connecticut–Phoenix, including injuries, market prices, player production and efficiency indicators.
Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings
Injuries
Current Odds
Spread +9.5 (-110)
Moneyline +360
180.5
Over -110
Under -110
Spread -9.5 (-110)
Moneyline -470
For updated prices and live movement, visit Tony’s Picks Live WNBA Odds.
Last Game Results
Los Angeles Sparks (10-13): Lost 96-82 at Chicago on July 17. Los Angeles struggled from three-point range and committed 17 turnovers.
Dallas Wings (16-8): Entered after a 96-91 home win over Chicago in its previous completed game, extending a five-game winning streak.
The supplied stat exports contain season shooting averages rather than complete last-game team and opponent shooting splits. Season shooting context is shown below to avoid presenting unverified box-score percentages.
Team Shooting and Production
Los Angeles Sparks
Dallas Wings
Leading Scorers
Los Angeles Sparks
Dallas Wings
Efficiency Analysis
Los Angeles Sparks
Estimated Pace: 83.3
Estimated Offensive Rating: 106.6
Effective FG%: 52.0%
Assist/Turnover: 1.45
Turnover Rate: 17.2%
Rebounds: 31.0 per game
Dallas Wings
Estimated Pace: 80.4
Estimated Offensive Rating: 111.3
Effective FG%: 52.0%
Assist/Turnover: 2.16
Turnover Rate: 12.8%
Rebounds: 34.0 per game
Los Angeles Sparks enters with a season scoring average of 88.8 points and a 45.9% field-goal rate, while Dallas Wings averages 89.5 points on 46.3% shooting. The possession battle centers on ball security: Los Angeles Sparks averages 14.3 turnovers, compared with Dallas Wings at 10.3. Rebounding also matters because the teams average 31.0 and 34.0 boards, respectively.
The more efficient offensive profile belongs to the side with the better combination of effective shooting, assist-to-turnover ratio and pace control. Bettors should also account for the listed injuries because the availability of primary guards and rotation forwards can change usage, transition frequency and late-game execution.
Game Summary
This matchup presents a clear contrast in market expectation and current form. The spread identifies Dallas Wings as the favorite, but the most important handicapping variables remain turnover margin, shot quality and whether the underdog can keep the game out of extended transition stretches. Monitor the final injury report and compare live prices before placing a wager.
The Pick
Dallas has gone over in two straight while averaging 102 points per game behind strong shooting. Los Angeles has gone over in eight of its past ten, pairing efficient offense with poor defensive results. The Sparks are shooting 49.4% overall and 36.5% from three across their past five games, while the teams have combined to average 188 points per game. Dallas is also producing 93.4 points per game in that span while shooting 48.0% overall and 35.4% from beyond the arc.
Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream
Injuries
Current Odds
Spread +9.5 (-110)
Moneyline +390
177.5
Over -110
Under -110
Spread -9.5 (-110)
Moneyline -520
For updated prices and live movement, visit Tony’s Picks Live WNBA Odds.
Last Game Results
Chicago Sky (9-16): Beat Los Angeles 96-82 on July 17. Chicago controlled the second quarter and generated the stronger bench production.
Atlanta Dream (15-10): Most recently beat Connecticut 91-75, closing the game with a decisive 23-9 fourth quarter.
The supplied stat exports contain season shooting averages rather than complete last-game team and opponent shooting splits. Season shooting context is shown below to avoid presenting unverified box-score percentages.
Team Shooting and Production
Chicago Sky
Atlanta Dream
Leading Scorers
Chicago Sky
Atlanta Dream
Efficiency Analysis
Chicago Sky
Estimated Pace: 83.1
Estimated Offensive Rating: 104.8
Effective FG%: 49.2%
Assist/Turnover: 1.66
Turnover Rate: 15.3%
Rebounds: 33.5 per game
Atlanta Dream
Estimated Pace: 84.2
Estimated Offensive Rating: 105.9
Effective FG%: 49.7%
Assist/Turnover: 1.57
Turnover Rate: 15.3%
Rebounds: 34.4 per game
Chicago Sky enters with a season scoring average of 87.1 points and a 43.9% field-goal rate, while Atlanta Dream averages 89.2 points on 43.8% shooting. The possession battle centers on ball security: Chicago Sky averages 12.7 turnovers, compared with Atlanta Dream at 12.9. Rebounding also matters because the teams average 33.5 and 34.4 boards, respectively.
The more efficient offensive profile belongs to the side with the better combination of effective shooting, assist-to-turnover ratio and pace control. Bettors should also account for the listed injuries because the availability of primary guards and rotation forwards can change usage, transition frequency and late-game execution.
Game Summary
This matchup presents a clear contrast in market expectation and current form. The spread identifies Atlanta Dream as the favorite, but the most important handicapping variables remain turnover margin, shot quality and whether the underdog can keep the game out of extended transition stretches. Monitor the final injury report and compare live prices before placing a wager.
The Pick
Chicago has covered three of its past five games while showing improved shooting form. Atlanta has failed to cover in eight of its past ten, with defensive slippage creating value on the underdog. The Sky are allowing 43.5% shooting and 30.8% from three on the road, while the Dream have made only 27.5% of their three-point attempts over the past five games and have surrendered 51.3% shooting overall and 38.3% from deep.
Connecticut Sun at Phoenix Mercury
Injuries
Current Odds
Moneyline +124
Moneyline -161
For updated prices and live movement, visit Tony’s Picks Live WNBA Odds.
Last Game Results
Connecticut Sun (7-18): Beat Phoenix 96-83 on July 17 as Leila Lacan scored a career-high 26 points on 10-of-13 shooting.
Phoenix Mercury (8-18): Lost 96-83 to Connecticut on July 17 and now faces the Sun again in the second game of the two-game set.
The supplied stat exports contain season shooting averages rather than complete last-game team and opponent shooting splits. Season shooting context is shown below to avoid presenting unverified box-score percentages.
Team Shooting and Production
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Leading Scorers
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Efficiency Analysis
Connecticut Sun
Estimated Pace: 81.7
Estimated Offensive Rating: 98.4
Effective FG%: 47.4%
Assist/Turnover: 1.42
Turnover Rate: 16.8%
Rebounds: 33.2 per game
Phoenix Mercury
Estimated Pace: 79.1
Estimated Offensive Rating: 105.3
Effective FG%: 49.9%
Assist/Turnover: 1.45
Turnover Rate: 16.7%
Rebounds: 31.4 per game
Connecticut Sun enters with a season scoring average of 80.4 points and a 43.8% field-goal rate, while Phoenix Mercury averages 83.3 points on 43.9% shooting. The possession battle centers on ball security: Connecticut Sun averages 13.7 turnovers, compared with Phoenix Mercury at 13.2. Rebounding also matters because the teams average 33.2 and 31.4 boards, respectively.
The more efficient offensive profile belongs to the side with the better combination of effective shooting, assist-to-turnover ratio and pace control. Bettors should also account for the listed injuries because the availability of primary guards and rotation forwards can change usage, transition frequency and late-game execution.
Game Summary
This matchup presents a clear contrast in market expectation and current form. The spread identifies Phoenix Mercury as the favorite, but the most important handicapping variables remain turnover margin, shot quality and whether the underdog can keep the game out of extended transition stretches. Monitor the final injury report and compare live prices before placing a wager.
The Pick
Connecticut has covered seven of its past eight games while producing a strong recent shooting profile. Phoenix has lost five straight and has struggled defensively throughout that run. The Sun are shooting 47.4% across their past five games, while the Mercury are at 44.8% overall and 32.8% from three during the same period. With both defenses in poor recent form, taking the points with Connecticut offers the stronger position.
