Tony’s Picks Morning Show Betting Preview
MLB and WNBA Free Picks for Friday, July 17, 2026
Major League Baseball returns from the All-Star break with a full betting board, including a Tampa Bay-Boston doubleheader, a marquee Dodgers-Yankees matchup and several attractive underdog opportunities.
The Friday WNBA schedule adds four more games, with injury reports creating potential value on Seattle, Toronto, Chicago and Connecticut.
Tony T, Chris Adkins, Ron Hahn, Jevon Jones and Al Ninos attacked the board from different angles. The clearest Morning Show themes were support for the Yankees, White Sox, Cardinals, Tigers, Seattle Storm and several plus-money MLB underdogs.
Odds referenced in this preview were available during the morning of July 17, 2026. Bettors should confirm the current number before wagering because prices, totals, pitching assignments and player availability can change throughout the day.
Morning Show Best Bets at a Glance
Tony T Featured Card
Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline +117
Chicago White Sox moneyline +118
Texas Rangers moneyline +184
Miami Marlins moneyline +126
Chicago Cubs moneyline -133
Houston Astros moneyline -105
Detroit Tigers moneyline -110
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline -112
San Francisco Giants moneyline +139
Seattle Storm +8.5
Toronto Tempo +7.5
Chicago Sky -1.5
Connecticut Sun +4.5
Chris Adkins Featured Card
Tampa Bay Rays Game 1 moneyline +111
New York Yankees moneyline +101
Chicago White Sox moneyline +118
Twins-Cubs over 10.5
Kansas City Royals moneyline +100
Colorado Rockies moneyline -112
Nationals-Athletics over 10
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline -112
San Francisco Giants moneyline +139
Seattle Storm +8.5
Cole Carrigg to hit a home run
Al Ninos Featured Card
Rays-Red Sox Game 1 under 8.5
Yankees-Dodgers over 9 lean
Cleveland Guardians moneyline lean
Toronto Blue Jays moneyline lean
Rangers-Braves under 8.5 lean
Miami-Milwaukee under 8
Miami Marlins moneyline lean
Twins-Cubs over 10.5 lean
San Diego Padres moneyline -110
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline -112
Giants-Mariners under 7
Ron Hahn Featured Card
Boston Red Sox Game 1 moneyline -122
Chicago White Sox moneyline +118
Milwaukee Brewers first five innings -0.5
Detroit Tigers moneyline -110
Seattle Mariners moneyline -153
Bryce Miller to record the win
Brewers, Mariners and Red Sox Game 1 moneyline parlay
Jevon Jones Featured Card
Boston Red Sox Game 1 moneyline -122
Dodgers-Yankees over 9
New York Yankees moneyline +101
Chicago Cubs moneyline -133
MLB Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox — Game 1
First Pitch: 1:35 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Rays +111 | Red Sox -122
Run Line: Rays +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+165)
Total: 8.5 — Over -105 | Under -115
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Rays moneyline
Al Ninos: Under 8.5
Jevon Jones: Red Sox moneyline
Ron Hahn: Red Sox moneyline
Chat: Rays moneyline, Red Sox moneyline and under 8.5 all received support
Pitching Matchup
Tampa Bay: Griffin Jax
Boston: Jake Bennett
Betting Analysis
The opening game of the doubleheader produced one of the most divided discussions of the show. Chris Adkins backed Tampa Bay at plus money, pointing to the Rays’ production against left-handed pitching and his confidence in Jax as the scheduled starter.
Al Ninos preferred the total. His position was that both starting pitchers were capable of limiting early damage before rested bullpens took control. That gives the under a cleaner path than choosing between two sides with legitimate arguments.
Jevon Jones and Ron Hahn backed Boston. Jones emphasized the Red Sox’s nine-game winning streak, strong fielding and run prevention. Hahn also treated Boston’s recent form as the deciding factor.
Consensus Verdict
No side reached a true consensus. Boston received the most individual moneyline endorsements, while the under was the strongest non-side opinion.
Consensus Grade: Boston lean and under 8.5 lean
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox — Game 2
First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Rays -108 | Red Sox -111
Run Line: Rays -1.5 (+149) | Red Sox +1.5 (-181)
Total: 9 — Over -110 | Under -110
Morning Show Picks
No official panel selection was issued because several books had not posted complete starting-pitcher information during the show.
Pitching Matchup
Tampa Bay: Engelbert
Boston: Rivera
Betting Analysis
The second game was essentially priced as a coin flip. The absence of a firm panel recommendation was appropriate because doubleheader lineups, bullpen usage and roster decisions can materially alter the handicap.
Consensus Verdict
Pass until confirmed lineups and pitcher availability are released.
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees
First Pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Dodgers -111 | Yankees +101
Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+140) | Yankees +1.5 (-160)
Total: 9 — Over -120 | Under +100
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Yankees moneyline
Tony T: Yankees moneyline
Jevon Jones: Yankees moneyline
Al Ninos: Yankees first five lean and over lean
Chat: Yankees moneyline, Yankees first five, Dodgers moneyline and multiple home-run props
Pitching Matchup
Los Angeles: Roki Sasaki
New York: Gerrit Cole
Betting Analysis
The Yankees were one of the strongest side consensuses on the program. Chris Adkins preferred Cole at home against Sasaki and questioned how deeply the Dodgers starter would work. He also identified Ben Rice as a favorable matchup against Sasaki.
Featured Analysts & Cappers
Read free daily matchup breakdowns and track documented betting records.
Tony T faded the Dodgers’ form entering the break. Los Angeles struggled through several close games and did not finish the first half with convincing offensive momentum. Tony also gave New York the bullpen advantage against elite power-hitting opponents.
Jevon Jones supported the Yankees and also liked the total to go over. Al Ninos gave Cole the starting-pitching edge but believed both pitchers had performed below their established standards, creating an argument for runs despite Cole’s presence.
The Yankees’ plus-money price is important. The market is asking bettors to take an elite home starter and a powerful lineup at Yankee Stadium without laying a premium.
Consensus Verdict
The Yankees are the strongest consensus side. The over is a secondary position rather than a full consensus wager.
Consensus Pick: Yankees moneyline +101
Secondary Lean: Over 9
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians
First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Pirates +117 | Guardians -129
Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (-195) | Guardians -1.5 (+170)
Total: 7.5 — Over -110 | Under -110
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Pirates moneyline
Al Ninos: Guardians moneyline lean
Chat: Pirates moneyline received the most support
Pitching Matchup
Pittsburgh: Jared Jones
Cleveland: Gavin Williams
Betting Analysis
Tony T took the plus price with Pittsburgh. The Pirates had produced well against right-handed starters, while Cleveland’s recurring weakness remained its offense. Jones entered the matchup with improved recent form, including a strong WHIP over his previous four starts.
Tony also cited Pittsburgh’s road profitability against right-handed pitching and Cleveland’s negative home returns in the same split.
Al Ninos gave Cleveland a narrow edge behind Williams but did not endorse laying the price aggressively. With the Guardians’ offensive limitations and a low total of 7.5, asking Cleveland to win by margin is especially difficult.
Consensus Verdict
Pittsburgh holds the value side, but the matchup did not generate unanimous support.
Consensus Lean: Pirates moneyline +117
Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
First Pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
Moneyline: White Sox +118 | Blue Jays -130
Run Line: White Sox +1.5 (-180) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+157)
Total: 8.5 — Over -110 | Under -110
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: White Sox moneyline
Tony T: White Sox moneyline
Ron Hahn: White Sox moneyline
Al Ninos: Blue Jays moneyline lean
Chat: White Sox moneyline was the dominant position
Pitching Matchup
Chicago: Anthony Kay
Toronto: Spencer Miles
Betting Analysis
The White Sox were among the day’s clearest underdog consensuses. Chris Adkins noted that Chicago had performed well against right-handed pitching and was willing to take plus money despite uncertainty surrounding both starters.
Tony T attacked Toronto’s performance against left-handed pitching. The Blue Jays entered with a modest batting average and limited slugging production in that split. Chicago’s power numbers against left-handers provided additional support for the upset.
Ron Hahn and multiple chat participants also took Chicago at the plus price. Al Ninos gave Toronto a pitching edge and considered the Blue Jays or Blue Jays first five, but he acknowledged that the price was not especially attractive.
Consensus Verdict
The broad agreement and favorable price make Chicago one of the strongest value plays from the show.
Consensus Pick: White Sox moneyline +118
Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves
First Pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Rangers +184 | Braves -205
Run Line: Rangers +1.5 (-117) | Braves -1.5 (-103)
Total: 8.5 — Over -105 | Under -115
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Rangers moneyline
Al Ninos: Rangers value lean and under 8.5 lean
Chat: Rangers moneyline and Rangers +1.5
Pitching Matchup
Texas: Cal Quantrill
Atlanta: Chris Sale
Betting Analysis
Tony T refused to lay more than two dollars with an Atlanta lineup that had struggled for an extended period. The Braves entered the matchup with weak batting and slugging numbers over roughly their previous 50 games.
Texas offered the more attractive matchup profile against a left-handed starter. The Rangers had been hitting lefties at a strong rate, while Quantrill’s road performance gave the underdog a credible path to keep the game close.
Al Ninos also viewed Atlanta as overpriced. He leaned under because both starters were capable of controlling the game, but agreed that any side value rested with Texas.
Consensus Verdict
Texas is a high-variance underdog rather than a conservative play. Bettors seeking less volatility can use the Rangers +1.5, although the straight moneyline provides the better payoff.
Consensus Pick: Rangers moneyline +184
Safer Alternative: Rangers +1.5 (-117)
Total Lean: Under 8.5
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers
First Pitch: 7:40 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Marlins +126 | Brewers -139
Run Line: Marlins +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
Total: 8 — Over -115 | Under -105
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Marlins moneyline
Al Ninos: Under 8 and Marlins moneyline lean
Ron Hahn: Brewers first five -0.5
Chat: Mixed support for Miami, Milwaukee and the under
Pitching Matchup
Miami: Sandy Alcantara
Milwaukee: Henderson
Betting Analysis
Tony T backed Miami because Alcantara entered the break in significantly better form than he showed early in the season. The Marlins had also generated positive recent returns and owned the bullpen-form advantage cited during the show.
Al Ninos preferred the under, expecting Alcantara and Henderson to limit damage. His secondary lean was Miami because an improved Alcantara creates value at a plus-money price.
Ron Hahn took the opposing position in the first five innings, backing Milwaukee to lead by at least half a run before the bullpens entered.
Consensus Verdict
The strongest shared angle is a lower-scoring game. Miami is the preferred side at the available price, but Milwaukee first five remains a legitimate opposing position.
Consensus Pick: Under 8
Side Lean: Marlins moneyline +126
Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs
First Pitch: 8:05 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Twins +121 | Cubs -133
Run Line: Twins +1.5 (-155) | Cubs -1.5 (+135)
Total: 10.5 — Over -108 | Under -112
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Over 10.5
Tony T: Cubs moneyline
Al Ninos: Over 10.5 lean
Jevon Jones: Cubs moneyline
Chat: Cubs moneyline, Twins +1.5 and Cubs team total over five
Pitching Matchup
Minnesota: Bailey Ober
Chicago: Colin Rea
Betting Analysis
Weather and pitching created the foundation for an offensive game at Wrigley Field. The wind was expected to blow out, while Ober entered with serious road concerns and a high home-run rate.
Chris Adkins made the over one of his preferred selections. Minnesota had also established a strong road-over profile, making this more than a one-sided handicap built only on Chicago scoring.
Tony T and Jevon Jones backed the Cubs. Tony cited Ober’s road ERA, Rea’s better recent form and Minnesota’s unreliable bullpen. The Cubs also brought positive recent form and strong interleague situational results into the matchup.
Al Ninos supported the over, noting that both starters and the Minnesota bullpen could contribute to a high-scoring game.
Consensus Verdict
The over is the cleanest collective play, while Chicago is the consensus side.
Consensus Pick: Over 10.5
Side Pick: Cubs moneyline -133
Derivative Lean: Cubs team total over five
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros
First Pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Orioles -105 | Astros -105
Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-210) | Astros -1.5 (+180)
Total: 8.5 — Over -120 | Under +100
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Astros moneyline
Chat: Astros moneyline and under 8.5
Betting Analysis
Houston was priced close to even despite holding the preferred home matchup. Tony T faded Baltimore’s road performance and backed an Astros club that had produced positive results at home against lower-slugging American League opponents.
The nearly even moneyline reduces the need to overcomplicate the wager. Houston does not need to cover a run line or create a high-scoring game. It only needs to win at home.
Consensus Verdict
Houston was the only side to receive meaningful support during the discussion.
Consensus Pick: Astros moneyline -105
Secondary Lean: Under 8.5
San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals
First Pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Padres -110 | Royals +100
Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+145) | Royals +1.5 (-165)
Total: 10 — Over -118 | Under -102
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Royals moneyline
Al Ninos: Padres moneyline
Tony T: Pass
Chat: Royals moneyline and Padres moneyline both received support
Pitching Matchup
San Diego: Dylan Cease
Kansas City: Seth Lugo
Betting Analysis
Chris Adkins took Kansas City at home as a short underdog, using the play as a fade of San Diego’s road performance and trusting Lugo in the home setting.
Al Ninos took the opposite position. He believed San Diego owned the better bullpen and had begun showing signs of improvement entering the second half.
Tony T avoided the game because neither club had earned enough trust to justify a strong position. That caution is supported by the split panel and the elevated total.
Consensus Verdict
No consensus. Kansas City offers home-underdog value, but San Diego owns the bullpen argument.
Official Position: Pass
Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies
First Pitch: 8:40 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Reds +102 | Rockies -112
Run Line: Reds -1.5 (+145) | Rockies +1.5 (-165)
Total: 12 — Over -110 | Under -110
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Rockies moneyline
Chat: Rockies moneyline
Pitching Matchup
Cincinnati: Brady Singer
Colorado: Gabriel Hughes
Betting Analysis
Chris Adkins backed Colorado in a rare home-favorite role. Singer carried poor run-prevention numbers into a difficult environment, and the combination of heat, altitude and a vulnerable Cincinnati bullpen raised the probability of Colorado producing sustained offense.
The total of 12 reflects the hitting conditions, making the side preferable to chasing an already inflated over. Colorado only needs to win, while an over bettor requires another extreme scoring performance.
Consensus Verdict
Colorado was the only clearly endorsed side.
Consensus Pick: Rockies moneyline -112
Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels
First Pitch: 9:38 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Tigers -110 | Angels +100
Run Line: Tigers -1.5 (+153) | Angels +1.5 (-175)
Total: 8 — Over -110 | Under -110
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Tigers moneyline
Ron Hahn: Tigers moneyline
Chat: Tigers moneyline was heavily supported
Pitching Matchup
Detroit: Melton
Los Angeles: Reid Detmers
Betting Analysis
Detroit was another strong Morning Show consensus. Tony T noted that the Tigers finished the first half in solid form and entered the second half with a manageable schedule.
The Angels continued to struggle offensively at home, while Detmers carried weak recent starting numbers. Detroit’s recent record and the Angels’ extended losing profile strengthened the case for laying a short road price.
Ron Hahn and multiple chat members also backed Detroit. There was little meaningful support for Los Angeles.
Consensus Verdict
The Tigers are one of the day’s strongest consensus selections.
Consensus Pick: Tigers moneyline -110
St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks
First Pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Cardinals -112 | Diamondbacks -108
Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 (+144) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
Total: 9 — Over -120 | Under +100
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Cardinals moneyline
Tony T: Cardinals moneyline
Al Ninos: Cardinals moneyline
Chat: Cardinals moneyline received broad support
Pitching Matchup
St. Louis: Michael McGreevy
Arizona: Merrill Kelly
Betting Analysis
A pitching change strengthened the panel’s interest in St. Louis. Chris Adkins preferred McGreevy against Kelly, especially with Kelly carrying weak home numbers.
Al Ninos identified St. Louis as one of his favorite free plays. He saw a meaningful starting-pitching advantage and was comfortable with the short road price.
Tony T also backed the Cardinals. St. Louis had performed well at the beginning of road trips and had generated strong road slugging numbers. Arizona’s unbeaten home-series-opening trend was the primary concern, but it was not enough to override the pitching matchup.
Consensus Verdict
This was the strongest unanimity on the MLB card. Every panelist who offered a position backed St. Louis.
Consensus Pick: Cardinals moneyline -112
Washington Nationals at Athletics
First Pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Nationals -105 | Athletics -105
Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (-190) | Athletics -1.5 (+165)
Total: 10 — Over -115 | Under -105
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Over 10
Tony T: Over 10
Chat: Over 10, Nationals moneyline and alternate over 12.5
Betting Analysis
The total was the main attraction in West Sacramento. Chris Adkins cited Washington’s night-game hitting, the Athletics’ home offense and favorable hitting weather.
Tony T agreed and emphasized that both bullpens remained vulnerable even after receiving rest during the break. Washington’s recent batting and slugging numbers were strong, while the Athletics had produced well at home.
The show’s available total moved between different numbers during the morning. At 10, the over remains playable, but bettors should be disciplined if the market rises substantially.
Consensus Verdict
The over is one of the strongest total consensuses on the board.
Consensus Pick: Over 10
Aggressive Chat Alternative: Over 12.5
Side Lean: Nationals moneyline -105
San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners
First Pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Giants +139 | Mariners -153
Run Line: Giants +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
Total: 7 — Over -114 | Under -106
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Giants moneyline
Tony T: Giants moneyline
Al Ninos: Under 7
Ron Hahn: Mariners moneyline and Bryce Miller to record the win
Chat: Giants moneyline, Mariners moneyline and under
Pitching Matchup
San Francisco: Landen Roupp
Seattle: Bryce Miller
Betting Analysis
Chris Adkins and Tony T both took San Francisco at plus money. Tony emphasized the contrast between the Giants’ road production and Seattle’s weak recent batting average and on-base percentage.
Al Ninos preferred the under. He respected Miller’s form and believed the Giants could do enough defensively to keep the total below the market number.
Ron Hahn disagreed on the side, backing Seattle and Miller to record the victory. That gives the matchup a clear division between San Francisco’s price value and Seattle’s starting-pitching advantage.
Consensus Verdict
San Francisco is the panel’s preferred value side, while under 7 is the cleaner total position. Because the total is already low, bettors should avoid playing a worse number.
Consensus Lean: Giants moneyline +139
Total Lean: Under 7
WNBA Betting Preview
Atlanta Dream at Toronto Tempo
Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Dream -7.5 (-112) | Tempo +7.5 (-108)
Moneyline: Dream -360 | Tempo +285
Total: 182.5 — Over -108 | Under -112
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Toronto +7.5
Chat: Toronto plus the points, with one opposing Dream position
Betting Analysis
Tony T faded an Atlanta team that had repeatedly failed to cover because of inconsistent defense. The Dream’s road shooting and perimeter defense had both been unreliable.
Toronto offered a more dependable home defensive profile and enough points to survive a competitive loss. The Tempo did not need to win outright; it only needed to keep the game within three possessions.
The show discussed numbers as high as +10.5, while the uploaded morning market showed +7.5 to +8.5. That difference is significant. Toronto is more attractive at +9 or better, but the matchup still supports the underdog at +7.5.
Consensus Pick: Toronto Tempo +7.5
Preferred Entry: +8.5 or better
Seattle Storm at Indiana Fever
Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Storm +8.5 (-108) | Fever -8.5 (-112)
Moneyline: Storm +300 | Fever -380
Total: 174.5 — Over -115 | Under -105
Morning Show Picks
Chris Adkins: Storm +8.5
Tony T: Storm +8.5
Chat: Storm plus the points, Storm moneyline and under 174.5
Betting Analysis
Seattle was the strongest WNBA consensus of the morning. Chris Adkins noted that the Storm had covered four consecutive games despite losing their previous three outright. Indiana had also been inconsistent against the spread at home.
Tony T agreed. The teams were relatively close in rebounding and turnover performance, while Indiana’s recent defensive numbers created concern about laying a large spread.
Caitlin Clark’s injury status also required monitoring. Even if she played, the back issue and recent hard contact introduced uncertainty surrounding her effectiveness.
The Storm had shown enough defensive quality to remain competitive, and the spread created room for Seattle to cover without ending its straight-up losing streak.
Consensus Pick: Seattle Storm +8.5
Moneyline Sprinkle: Storm +300
Total Lean: Under 174.5
Los Angeles Sparks at Chicago Sky
Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Sparks +1.5 (-115) | Sky -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Sparks -102 | Sky -118
Total: 184.5 — Over -108 | Under -112
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Sky -1.5
Chat: Sparks moneyline received opposing support
Betting Analysis
Tony T backed Chicago because Los Angeles remained difficult to trust defensively, particularly on the road. Kelsey Plum’s absence removed the Sparks’ leading scorer and placed additional pressure on the rest of the rotation.
Chicago also held the preferred rebounding and ball-security profile. Kamilla Cardoso’s upgrade from out to questionable was another positive development for the Sky, although her final status needed to be confirmed.
The Sparks had allowed opponents to shoot efficiently during their recent struggles, while Chicago had covered three of four behind improved defense.
Consensus Pick: Chicago Sky -1.5
Connecticut Sun at Phoenix Mercury
Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
Spread: Sun +4.5 (-105) | Mercury -4.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Sun +170 | Mercury -205
Total: 164.5 — Over -108 | Under -112
Morning Show Picks
Tony T: Connecticut +4.5 lean
Chat: Connecticut plus the points
Betting Analysis
Tony T did not consider the matchup a premium position, but the only available side was Connecticut. The Sun had covered six of seven and had recently produced better shooting numbers.
Phoenix entered on a four-game losing streak and had been vulnerable defensively, allowing strong overall and three-point shooting percentages over its previous five games.
Connecticut remained the weaker team on paper, but the combination of points, recent shooting form and Phoenix’s defensive decline made the underdog the more attractive option.
Consensus Lean: Connecticut Sun +4.5
Morning Show Consensus Report
Top Consensus Selections
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline -112
Detroit Tigers moneyline -110
Chicago White Sox moneyline +118
New York Yankees moneyline +101
Seattle Storm +8.5
Twins-Cubs over 10.5
Nationals-Athletics over 10
Strong Secondary Consensus
Texas Rangers moneyline +184
Chicago Cubs moneyline -133
San Francisco Giants moneyline +139
Toronto Tempo +7.5
Rays-Red Sox Game 1 under 8.5
Miami-Milwaukee under 8
Split Decisions
Rays versus Red Sox Game 1: Boston side support versus Tampa Bay value
Pirates versus Guardians: Pittsburgh value versus Cleveland pitching edge
Marlins versus Brewers: Miami full-game value versus Milwaukee first-five support
Padres versus Royals: San Diego bullpen advantage versus Kansas City home value
Giants versus Mariners: San Francisco price value versus Bryce Miller and Seattle
Consensus Parlay
Yankees moneyline +101
White Sox moneyline +118
Cardinals moneyline -112
Tigers moneyline -110
A four-leg parlay increases variance considerably and should be played for a smaller stake than any individual wager. The strongest approach remains betting the selections separately.
Chris Adkins Parlay
Rays Game 1 moneyline +111
White Sox moneyline +118
Cardinals moneyline -112
Al Ninos Parlay
Rays-Red Sox Game 1 under 8.5
Marlins-Brewers under 8
Cardinals moneyline -112
Tony T Parlay
Seattle Storm +8.5
Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline +117
Detroit Tigers moneyline -110
Ron Hahn Parlay
Red Sox Game 1 moneyline -122
Brewers first five -0.5
Mariners moneyline -153
Morning Show Chat Picks
MLB Chat Card
Bakari: Dodgers moneyline, Rangers moneyline, Pirates moneyline, Rockies moneyline, Astros moneyline, Tigers moneyline, Cardinals moneyline, Nationals moneyline and Twins +1.5
Bakari Props: Ben Rice home run, Andy Pages home run, Kazuma Okamoto home run, Jake Bauers home run, Yandy Díaz home run, Yandy Díaz two-plus home runs and alternate Nationals-Athletics over 12.5
Ron Hahn: Red Sox Game 1 moneyline, White Sox moneyline, Brewers first five -0.5, Tigers moneyline, Mariners moneyline and Bryce Miller to record the win
Scipio: Yankees moneyline, Toronto moneyline and Andy Pages home run
Cowdogs: White Sox moneyline
Kendrick Molo: Yankees first five, Royals moneyline, Astros moneyline, Storm moneyline, Tempo plus the points, Nationals moneyline and Marina Mabrey to score 30 points
Las Vegas: Rays-Red Sox Game 1 under, Yankees moneyline, Pirates moneyline, Rangers moneyline, Cubs team total over five, Astros moneyline, Marlins-Brewers under, Padres moneyline, Tigers moneyline, Cardinals moneyline, Nationals moneyline, Nationals-Athletics over and Giants-Mariners under
Power Critter: Astros moneyline, Nationals-Athletics over, Tigers moneyline and Connecticut Sun plus the points
KG11ism: Giants-Mariners under 8.5, Cubs moneyline and Dodgers moneyline
WNBA Chat Card
Bakari: Toronto +10.5, Seattle +10.5 and Rangers moneyline as part of a cross-sport parlay
Kendrick Molo: Seattle moneyline, Toronto plus the points and Marina Mabrey 30 points
Power Critter: Fever-Storm under and Connecticut plus the points
King Lion: Atlanta -10.5, Sparks moneyline and Seattle moneyline
Parlay Critique
The chat produced several attractive straight selections, but many suggested parlays combined large underdogs, alternate totals and player props. Those bets offer high payouts because the probability of every leg winning is low.
The sharper strategy is to separate the strongest positions. White Sox moneyline, Yankees moneyline, Cardinals moneyline, Tigers moneyline and Seattle plus the points each stand on their own without requiring unrelated outcomes to cash.
Tony’s Picks Leaderboard Recap
Chris Adkins entered the second half of the MLB season as one of the leading baseball performers on the Tony’s Picks platform. The show credited him with approximately 1,740 units of MLB profit based on a $100 unit wager size.
Chris also reported 262 first-half home-run winners through his Hit List content. His July 17 card began with a best bet and was expected to expand to three premium selections.
Al Ninos entered Friday with approximately 1,800 units of yearly profit according to the show recap. His baseball performance was described as a standout strength, and his July 17 premium card was led by an MLB Grand Slam selection.
Tony T offered a three-pack consisting of two MLB plays and one WNBA selection. His free card showed a clear willingness to attack plus-money positions rather than automatically laying prices with public favorites.
The leaderboard discussion reinforced an important handicapping principle: long-term profitability matters more than a single day’s record. Bettors should judge a handicapper by sustained results, price discipline and the quality of the numbers secured.
Yesterday’s Games Recap
Chris Adkins entered Friday after a quiet Thursday card. His primary selection was a first-five-innings over that failed to cash because the offenses could not clear the posted total. He recovered part of the day by correctly identifying a Brett Baty home run prop.
Al Ninos expected increased home-run production in Thursday’s baseball action. The power arrived, but many of the home runs were solo shots, preventing the game from generating as many total runs as anticipated.
Tony T did not force a WNBA wager after the Wings-Liberty game was affected by travel and aircraft issues. Avoiding a marginal position proved preferable to making a bet simply to have action.
Friday begins a new stretch with a full MLB schedule and four WNBA games. The most important discipline after the break is confirming starting pitchers, batting orders, weather, doubleheader lineups and WNBA injury statuses before placing a wager.
Final Morning Show Betting Card
Best MLB Side: St. Louis Cardinals moneyline -112
Best MLB Underdog: Chicago White Sox moneyline +118
Best MLB Total: Minnesota Twins-Chicago Cubs over 10.5
Best WNBA Side: Seattle Storm +8.5
Best High-Upside Underdog: Texas Rangers moneyline +184
Best Secondary Total: Washington Nationals-Athletics over 10
The Cardinals offered the cleanest full-panel agreement. The White Sox brought broad support at an attractive plus-money price. The Cubs-Twins matchup combined vulnerable pitching, bullpen concerns and favorable hitting weather. Seattle received strong support because its recent spread performance was considerably better than its straight-up record suggested.
Bet responsibly and compare prices before placing any wager. A move of half a run, one point or 10 to 20 cents on a moneyline can materially change the long-term value of a selection.
