The Tuesday betting card is smaller than a normal midseason slate, but the Tony’s Picks Morning Show still identified actionable positions across three major events. The MLB All-Star Game headlines the evening schedule, two WNBA matchups provide side opportunities, and Spain meets France in a World Cup semifinal featuring two of the strongest teams remaining in the tournament.
Tony T focused on the National League in the All-Star Game, Connecticut and Toronto in the WNBA, and France in the World Cup semifinal. Al Ninos supported the National League while taking a more conservative approach with France, and Ron Hahn targeted the rising All-Star Game total.
The Morning Show chat also produced multiple opinions on the All-Star Game over, the National League moneyline and the Spain-France both-teams-to-score market. The strongest consensus developed around the National League and an All-Star Game total that moved sharply upward after opening.
Today’s Morning Show Handicappers
Tony T
Ron Hahn
Al Ninos
The supplied Morning Show transcript also included analysis and selections from Al Ninos, along with several picks posted by viewers in the live chat. No separate official selections from Solo or Chris Adkins were announced during the provided portion of the show.
MLB All-Star Game Betting Preview
American League vs. National League
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 — 8:00 PM ET
Consensus Odds Snapshot
National League Moneyline: -127 to -136
American League Moneyline: +116 to +122
American League +1.5: -163 to -175
National League -1.5: +153 to +156
Total: 7.5
Over 7.5: -120 to -122
Under 7.5: +100 to +117
Market Note: The total opened at 7.5 before moving as high as 8 and 8.5 at sharper market-making sportsbooks.
Projected Starting Pitchers
American League: Dylan Cease, Right-Handed Pitcher
National League: Christopher Sánchez, Left-Handed Pitcher
Tony T’s Pick: National League Moneyline
Tony T backed the National League based primarily on lineup depth, handedness and the absence of several major American League bats. The American League entered the game without Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Aaron Judge and Byron Buxton, removing three dangerous power threats from an already difficult exhibition-game handicapping environment.
The National League lineup carried a heavy concentration of left-handed hitters, which could be especially valuable in a park offering a favorable right-field power target. The combination of Bryce Harper, Matt Olson, Corbin Carroll and other left-handed threats gives the National League several paths to create damage against the American League pitching rotation.
The National League bench also offers late-game flexibility. Pete Crow-Armstrong, James Wood and other impact bats can be deployed once the starting pitchers leave, giving the favored side a potential advantage during the matchup-heavy middle and late innings.
All-Star Games require a different handicapping approach because starters usually work abbreviated appearances and managers prioritize participation over conventional bullpen roles. Even with that uncertainty, the National League appears to hold the deeper offensive roster and the stronger collection of available arms.
The market priced the National League between approximately -127 and -136. That is not a bargain price, but Tony T’s argument is that the combination of roster depth and missing American League hitters justifies the modest favorite position.
Al Ninos’ Pick: National League Moneyline
Al Ninos also leaned toward the National League, giving the senior circuit the pitching, offensive and venue advantages. His approach was more conservative than aggressive because exhibition games can change quickly once the managers begin cycling through their rosters.
Christopher Sánchez received the starting-pitcher edge over Dylan Cease in the opening matchup, although neither starter was expected to work deep into the game. The larger case rests on the National League’s full collection of pitchers and position players rather than the first inning alone.
Al Ninos emphasized that the game should be approached as a smaller recreational wager rather than a maximum-investment position. The National League is the preferred side, but the unusual usage patterns prevent the matchup from carrying the same level of predictability as a normal regular-season game.
Ron Hahn’s Pick: Over 7.5
Ron Hahn targeted Over 7.5 before the market completed its move toward 8 and 8.5. That early number is materially stronger than the later totals because eight runs would still cash an Over 7.5 ticket while producing only a push at 8 and a loss at 8.5.
The case for the over begins with the expected weather and venue conditions. Temperatures were projected to remain hot throughout the game, supporting carry on well-struck fly balls. The National League’s left-handed lineup construction also creates a favorable power profile toward the shorter right-field area.
The constant pitching changes can work both ways. All-Star bullpens are filled with elite arms, but pitchers may be working outside their normal routines and with unfamiliar catchers. Managers may also prioritize getting every selected pitcher into the game instead of matching relievers to specific pockets of the opposing lineup.
The over also received support from the absence of Zack Wheeler, removing another high-end arm from the National League pitching pool. The market’s sharp rise from 7.5 confirmed that bettors were willing to attack the original number.
The key warning is price sensitivity. Over 7.5 at -120 or -130 is significantly different from Over 8.5 at a standard price. Bettors arriving late should avoid blindly chasing the move without considering the value lost through the additional run.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Skippy O: National League Moneyline and Over 7.5 Parlay
Skippy O combined the two strongest Morning Show positions into a same-game or correlated parlay. The wager is built around a National League victory occurring in a higher-scoring environment.
The correlation is logical because the National League was identified as the deeper offensive side. The risk is that All-Star Game run distribution can be unpredictable, and a National League win does not require the contest to reach eight total runs.
C James: Over 7.5
C James joined Ron Hahn on the All-Star Game over. The selection further strengthened the show’s consensus at the opening total.
The value depends heavily on availability. Over 7.5 at a moderate price remains playable under the show’s analysis, while Over 8.5 requires a much stronger offensive performance and eliminates the protection provided by an eight-run result.
All-Star Game Betting Verdict
The National League moneyline is the most widely supported side on the Morning Show. Tony T and Al Ninos both identified the National League as the more complete roster, while Skippy O included the favorite in a parlay.
Over 7.5 is the strongest total consensus, supported by Ron Hahn and multiple chat contributors. The market move confirms that the opening number attracted immediate interest, but bettors must remain disciplined rather than chasing a total that has already moved a full run.
The Picks
Tony T: National League Moneyline
Al Ninos: National League Moneyline
Ron Hahn: Over 7.5
Skippy O: National League Moneyline and Over 7.5 Parlay
C James: Over 7.5
WNBA Betting Preview
Portland Fire vs. Connecticut Sun
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 — 11:00 AM ET
Consensus Odds Snapshot
Connecticut Sun: -2 to -2.5
Portland Fire: +2 to +2.5
Connecticut Moneyline: -125 to -142
Portland Moneyline: +105 to +121
Total: 167.5
Tony T’s Pick: Connecticut Sun -2.5
Tony T backed Connecticut based on the Sun’s recent defensive performance and Portland’s continued problems preventing efficient scoring. Portland entered the matchup having lost four of six and allowed approximately 100 points per game across its previous five contests.
The Fire’s recent defensive profile included opponents shooting around 47 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range. Those numbers place considerable pressure on Portland’s offense because the Fire must score efficiently simply to remain competitive.
Connecticut has been the more dependable defensive team and had covered five of its previous seven games entering the matchup. The Sun do not need an explosive offensive performance to cover a short home number if their defense forces Portland into another inefficient road outing.
The injury report requires monitoring. Connecticut was expected to be without Aaliyah Morrow and Saniya Rivers, while Aneesah Morrow or the referenced questionable player designation should be verified before tipoff based on the final official report. Portland entered with the cleaner availability outlook.
The short spread reduces the impact of Connecticut’s absences. At -2 or -2.5, the Sun essentially need to win the game by one possession. Tony T’s position is that Connecticut’s defensive floor and home-court setting provide enough separation to justify laying the number.
The Pick
Connecticut Sun -2.5
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 — 7:00 PM ET
Consensus Odds Snapshot
Washington Mystics: -1.5 to -2.5
Toronto Tempo: +1.5 to +2.5
Washington Moneyline: -129 to -140
Toronto Moneyline: +110 to +115
Total: 172.5
Tony T’s Pick: Toronto Tempo +2 or Better
Tony T took the home underdog with Toronto, focusing on the Tempo’s offensive efficiency and Washington’s recent shooting and turnover problems. Toronto entered the matchup having covered six of eight, creating a stronger recent betting profile than a Washington team that had failed to cover four of five.
The Mystics shot approximately 41 percent from the floor and 30 percent from three-point range over their previous five games. Their 66 percent free-throw shooting and average of roughly 19 turnovers per game created additional pressure in close contests.
Toronto’s recent offensive numbers were considerably stronger. The Tempo shot close to 48 percent overall and 38 percent from beyond the arc during the same general period, giving the home side the more reliable scoring profile.
The market ranged from Toronto +1.5 to +2.5. Shopping for the best number is important because a two-point result could determine whether the wager wins, pushes or loses. Toronto +2.5 at -115 or Toronto +2 at a standard price is preferable to taking only +1.5.
Washington carried the stronger moneyline reputation, but the recent efficiency gap makes the underdog attractive. Toronto’s shooting should allow the Tempo to remain inside a one-possession game and potentially win outright if Washington’s turnover issues continue.
The Pick
Toronto Tempo +2 or Better
World Cup Semifinal Betting Preview
Spain vs. France
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 — 3:00 PM ET
Consensus Odds Snapshot
Spain Regulation Moneyline: +120 to +233 depending on market format
France Regulation Moneyline: -153 to +140 depending on listed three-way or two-way format
Draw: +205 to +210
Spain +0.25: -119 to -130
Spain +0.5: -172 to -175
France -0.5: approximately +135 to +140
Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: -105 to +100
Under 2.5: -111 to -116
Tony T’s Pick: France -0.5 in Regulation at +140
Tony T backed France to win inside 90 minutes, choosing the plus-money regulation price rather than paying additional juice on France to advance. His handicap was built around France’s attacking ceiling and the presence of multiple elite scoring threats across the front line.
Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé provide France with the type of individual quality capable of deciding a tightly contested semifinal. France had also completed its earlier tournament victories in regulation, supporting the argument that the favorite would not require extra time.
Spain’s previous scoreless draw against Cape Verde created concern about the team’s ability to convert possession into goals against a disciplined opponent. Spain remains dangerous, but Tony T rated France as the more explosive attacking side.
The match was scheduled for an indoor venue, removing weather from the handicapping equation. That should allow both sides to execute without wind, rain or extreme heat affecting the pace or technical quality.
France -0.5 at approximately +140 requires a regulation victory and loses if the match reaches extra time. The plus-money payout compensates for that additional risk, making it the more aggressive France position.
Al Ninos’ Pick: France to Advance
Al Ninos agreed that France should reach the final but preferred a more conservative market. France to advance includes victories in regulation, extra time or a penalty shootout, removing the draw after 90 minutes as a losing outcome.
The price was expected to fall near -140 to -150. That is considerably more expensive than France -0.5 in regulation, but it offers protection in a matchup that could remain close throughout normal time.
Al Ninos cited France’s star power and overall roster quality while acknowledging Spain’s strong historical record in the head-to-head series. Spain had reportedly controlled much of the recent series, creating a legitimate reason to avoid requiring France to win in regulation.
His recommendation was to use France to advance or a split position involving France on a draw-no-bet or quarter-goal line. That approach sacrifices payout for a wider margin of safety.
Richard Lockhart’s Chat Pick: Both Teams to Score
Richard Lockhart projected scoring from both Spain and France, supporting the both-teams-to-score market near even money. The position expects each side to create at least one decisive attacking sequence without requiring the match to exceed 2.5 total goals.
The wager can still win in a 1-1 draw, which fits a semifinal that may be highly competitive and cautious after the opening stages. It also aligns with the elite attacking talent available to both teams.
The primary concern is tactical conservatism. Knockout matches involving evenly matched opponents can become controlled, low-event contests, particularly if neither side wants to concede the opening goal.
The Picks
Tony T: France -0.5 in Regulation at approximately +140
Al Ninos: France to Advance at approximately -140 to -150
Richard Lockhart: Both Teams to Score
Morning Show Consensus Report
Strongest Consensus: National League Moneyline
Tony T and Al Ninos independently reached the same conclusion on the MLB All-Star Game. The National League possesses the deeper available lineup, the stronger left-handed power profile and an advantage created by the American League’s missing stars.
Skippy O also included the National League in a parlay, adding chat support to the handicapper consensus. The best available moneyline ranged from approximately -127 to -136, making price shopping important.
Strong Total Consensus: MLB All-Star Game Over 7.5
Ron Hahn, C James and Skippy O all supported the over at the opening number. The market’s rise toward 8 and 8.5 reinforced the early opinion, although the later movement substantially reduced the value.
The preferred approach is Over 7.5 at a manageable price. Over 8 may still be considered because eight runs produces a push, but Over 8.5 is a materially different wager and should not automatically be treated as the same selection.
WNBA Consensus
Connecticut -2.5 and Toronto +2 or better were Tony T’s two WNBA positions. Connecticut is the defensive favorite expected to exploit Portland’s recent struggles, while Toronto is the efficient home underdog positioned to take advantage of Washington’s shooting and turnover concerns.
World Cup Consensus
Tony T and Al Ninos both selected France, but they used different markets. Tony T pursued the larger return with France to win in regulation, while Al Ninos chose France to advance for additional protection against extra time or penalties.
Bettors agreeing with the overall France handicap can select the market that best matches their risk tolerance. The regulation line offers plus money, while the advancement market reduces variance at a higher price.
Complete Morning Show Pick Card
MLB All-Star Game
Tony T: National League Moneyline
Al Ninos: National League Moneyline
Ron Hahn: Over 7.5
Skippy O: National League Moneyline and Over 7.5 Parlay
C James: Over 7.5
WNBA
Tony T: Connecticut Sun -2.5
Tony T: Toronto Tempo +2 or Better
World Cup
Tony T: France -0.5 in Regulation
Al Ninos: France to Advance
Richard Lockhart: Both Teams to Score
Tony’s Picks World Cup Last 30 Days Leaderboard
David Racey — 34 Wins, 24 Losses, 6 Pushes, +821 Units
David Racey holds the top position after combining the highest volume on the board with the largest overall profit. His 34-24 record represents a 58.6 percent win rate across graded decisions, and the six pushes demonstrate how frequently his wagers were positioned near key market numbers.
Racey’s +821 units are especially notable because he did not rely on a small undefeated sample. He generated the leaderboard’s largest return across 58 graded selections, giving his performance both profitability and meaningful volume.
Ron Crawford — 25 Wins, 17 Losses, 4 Pushes, +780 Units
Ron Crawford finished only 41 units behind Racey despite making 16 fewer graded selections. His 59.5 percent win rate slightly exceeded the leaderboard leader, making Crawford one of the most efficient high-volume performers during the period.
The narrow unit gap between the top two handicappers shows how effectively Crawford converted his best opinions into profit. His combination of selectivity and return makes him a clear standout.
Nick Lagouretos — 22 Wins, 13 Losses, 5 Pushes, +551 Units
Nick Lagouretos posted the highest win percentage among the handicappers with at least 20 graded decisions. His 22-13 record translates to a 62.9 percent success rate, confirming that his third-place position was built on elite consistency.
The five pushes also indicate that several selections landed directly on market numbers. Even with those neutral results, Lagouretos accumulated +551 units and established a strong foundation for continued World Cup profitability.
Hollywood Sam — 23 Wins, 20 Losses, 4 Pushes, +463 Units
Hollywood Sam remained profitable despite a more modest 53.5 percent win rate. His +463-unit return suggests that price selection and underdog exposure likely played important roles in his performance.
Winning percentage alone does not fully explain betting profitability. Hollywood Sam’s results demonstrate how plus-money wagers and disciplined market selection can produce meaningful returns without an overwhelming win rate.
Al Ninos — 2 Wins, 0 Losses, 1 Push, +200 Units
Al Ninos remained unbeaten during the measured period, producing two wins and one push. The sample is limited, but +200 units from only two graded victories represents a highly efficient start.
Additional volume will be required before his performance can be compared directly with the leaderboard leaders. For now, he has maximized each official opportunity.
Scott “Doubles” Shudy — 1 Win, 0 Losses, +100 Units
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Scott “Doubles” Shudy won his only graded selection and finished with +100 units. The perfect record is encouraging, although the single-wager sample does not yet provide enough evidence for a broader performance evaluation.
Bo Dunn — 15 Wins, 13 Losses, 1 Push, +52 Units
Bo Dunn completed the last 30 days with a profitable 15-13 record and one push. The margin was smaller than those produced by the leaderboard leaders, but remaining positive through 28 graded decisions still represents solid work in a competitive market.
Yesterday’s Games Recap
Jevon Jones’ Atlanta Dream position was highlighted during the Morning Show as a successful example of beating the closing line. The wager was released at Atlanta +7.5, while the market reportedly closed near +9.5.
The selection still produced a winning result, but the two-point move demonstrates why early access remains important. Getting the strongest available number improves long-term expected value even when both the opening and closing prices ultimately cover.
The result also reinforces a recurring Morning Show principle: bettors should compare multiple sportsbooks, prediction markets and alternate lines before placing a wager. Ron Hahn’s ability to locate Over 7.5 on the All-Star Game while sharper books moved toward 8.5 provided another example of how line shopping can materially affect the outcome of a ticket.
Final Betting Outlook
The National League moneyline and Over 7.5 formed the clearest Morning Show consensus for the MLB All-Star Game. The National League carries the deeper available lineup, while the original total offered value before the market completed a significant upward move.
Connecticut -2.5 is a defense-based WNBA position against a Portland team that has struggled to generate stops. Toronto +2 or better is an efficiency-based underdog wager against a Washington team dealing with weak shooting, poor free-throw production and elevated turnovers.
France is the unified World Cup side, with Tony T choosing the aggressive regulation market and Al Ninos preferring the safer advancement option. Both positions are built around France’s superior attacking ceiling, but the selected market should reflect each bettor’s tolerance for extra-time risk.
The limited schedule makes selectivity especially important. The best opportunities are tied to favorable numbers, and bettors should avoid converting a strong opinion at an opening price into a poor wager after the market has already moved.
