Avatar photoBy Tony TellezJuly 11, 2026 7:57 am

MLB and WNBA Free Picks Today: Tony’s Picks Morning Show Best Bets for July 11, 2026

 

Tony’s Picks Morning Show Betting Preview for Saturday, July 11, 2026

Saturday’s Tony’s Picks Morning Show attacked a loaded betting schedule featuring 16 Major League Baseball games, a Milwaukee-Pittsburgh doubleheader, three nationally televised WNBA matchups, and two World Cup quarterfinals.

Tony T was joined by Chris Adkins and Al Ninos for the primary handicapper breakdown, while Ron Hahn contributed a full card of selections through the Morning Show chat. The live audience added money-line picks, totals, run-line positions, player strikeout props, home-run selections, and several multi-team parlays.

All odds below reflect the July 11, 2026 morning market contained in the uploaded reports. Sportsbook prices can move throughout the day, especially when pitching changes, weather concerns, or lineup news reach the market.

Morning Show Featured Picks

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates — Game 1

Market Snapshot

Brewers money line: +106

Pirates money line: -117

Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 at -202 | Pittsburgh -1.5 at +175

Total: 8.5

Over: -105

Under: -115

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Money Line

Chris Adkins returned to the Milwaukee side after backing the same matchup before Friday’s postponement. His handicap centers on Milwaukee starter Brandon Sproat holding an advantage over Braxton Ashcraft while the Brewers bring the more dependable overall profile into the opening game of the doubleheader.

Milwaukee has also been the stronger road club. The Brewers’ ability to generate consistent contact and avoid extended offensive droughts gives them value at an underdog price rather than forcing bettors to lay juice with Pittsburgh.

Tony T’s Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Money Line

Tony also backed Milwaukee at plus money. The Brewers entered Saturday hitting .257 over their previous 28 games with a .418 slugging percentage, providing a meaningful offensive edge against a Pittsburgh club that has been vulnerable against National League competition at home.

Sproat had produced a 2.80 ERA and 0.96 WHIP across his previous five starts. Those numbers suggest limited traffic on the bases and make Pittsburgh’s path to sustained scoring considerably more difficult.

Milwaukee was 29-16 on the road, while Pittsburgh had dropped significant units in home games against National League opponents. Tony viewed the combination of current hitting form, starting pitching, and road performance as enough to justify the Brewers at a positive return.

Richard Lockhart’s Chat Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Money Line

Richard Lockhart joined the Brewers side in Game 1.

Tommy Opp’s Chat Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Money Line

Tommy Opp also included Milwaukee among his primary Saturday money-line selections.

Brewers-Pirates Consensus

Chris Adkins: Brewers money line

Tony T: Brewers money line

Richard Lockhart: Brewers money line

Tommy Opp: Brewers money line

Consensus Rating: Strong Milwaukee Support

Milwaukee was one of the clearest early-game consensus positions. The Brewers received support from both featured handicappers who addressed the matchup and multiple members of the Morning Show chat.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates — Game 2

Market Snapshot

Brewers money line: -128

Pirates money line: +118

Run line: Milwaukee -1.5 at +127 | Pittsburgh +1.5 at -141

Total: 9

Over: -105

Under: -107

The second game did not generate an official featured selection. Rain was a concern in Pittsburgh, and the changing conditions surrounding a doubleheader reduced the appeal of committing to a side several hours before first pitch.

The projected pitching matchup featured Milwaukee’s Drone against Pittsburgh’s Bubba Chandler. Bettors should verify lineups, bullpen availability, and weather before considering a late wager.

Athletics at Chicago White Sox

Market Snapshot

Athletics money line: -106

White Sox money line: -102

Run line: Athletics -1.5 at +150 | White Sox +1.5 at -167

Total: 8.5

Over: -115

Under: +102

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Chris backed Chicago to repeat its strong performance from Friday. The Athletics entered the game struggling on the road and were missing important offensive pieces, creating another opportunity for the White Sox to outperform a near pick’em price.

Chicago’s home-field profile also supported the position. The White Sox had been far more competitive at home than their broader reputation suggested, while the Athletics were producing limited offense away from their own park.

Tony T’s Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Tony also backed the White Sox. Chicago entered the matchup with a 29-17 home record and a profitable return in those games. The Athletics, meanwhile, had lost 18 of their previous 26 and had cost their backers approximately 13 units during that decline.

The Athletics were hitting only .227 on the road with a .301 on-base percentage. That lack of traffic creates pressure to manufacture runs through isolated extra-base hits rather than sustained innings.

Eric Fedde had also been moved into a bulk role, creating additional uncertainty for the Athletics’ pitching plan. Tony considered Chicago’s home performance and Oakland’s road offensive problems enough to justify the White Sox.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Ron Hahn made the White Sox one of his featured selections and later used Chicago as the first leg of his four-team parlay.

Cowdog’s Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Cowdog backed the White Sox while attending the game in person and later paired Chicago with Cincinnati in a two-team parlay.

Richard Lockhart’s Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Richard Lockhart joined the White Sox consensus and included Chicago in his three-team parlay.

Tommy Opp’s Pick: Chicago White Sox Money Line

Tommy Opp also backed the White Sox as part of his main Saturday card.

Power Critter’s Pick: Athletics-White Sox Under

Power Critter took a contrarian approach by targeting the total rather than the side. The under position was based on Oakland’s road offensive limitations and the possibility that Chicago would control the game without creating a high-scoring environment.

Athletics-White Sox Consensus

Chris Adkins: White Sox money line

Tony T: White Sox money line

Ron Hahn: White Sox money line

Cowdog: White Sox money line

Richard Lockhart: White Sox money line

Tommy Opp: White Sox money line

Power Critter: Under

Consensus Rating: Morning Show Best Consensus Pick — White Sox Money Line

No side received more unified support than Chicago. The featured panel and chat consistently identified the White Sox as the value side in a near pick’em market.

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins

Market Snapshot

Angels money line: +153

Twins money line: -167

Run line: Angels +1.5 at -131 | Twins -1.5 at +118

Total: 9

Over: +100

Under: -112

Al Ninos’ Pick: Minnesota Twins Minus One Run

Al Ninos preferred Minnesota but was reluctant to lay the full money-line price. His recommended approach was Minnesota minus one run for the full game, with the first-five run line presented as another way to reduce exposure to the Twins bullpen.

Al viewed Minnesota as having the superior starting-pitching matchup. The Twins failed to deliver for him Friday, but Saturday’s setup was considered more favorable on paper.

The concern remains Minnesota’s bullpen. A bettor following Al’s handicap could isolate the starting-pitching advantage through a first-five wager rather than trusting the relief staff for all nine innings.

Tony T’s Pick: Los Angeles Angels Money Line

Tony opposed the favorite and took the Angels at a substantial plus price. His handicap focused on Minnesota’s unreliable bullpen, questionable game management, and an Angels offense that had shown respectable road power.

Los Angeles was hitting .251 on the road with a .429 slugging percentage. Those numbers compared favorably with Minnesota’s home production and suggested that the offensive difference was not large enough to justify the Twins’ heavy price.

Tony also noted that Joe Ryan had posted an ERA above 4.00 across his previous five starts, while the Angels bullpen had been in the better recent form. Los Angeles was 8-9 in road day games with a positive return, while Minnesota was 8-11 in home day games and had lost nearly four units.

At +153, the Angels did not need to be the better team in an absolute sense. They needed to win often enough to exceed the probability implied by the price.

Ron Hahn’s Player Prop: Joe Ryan to Record the Win at +106

Ron attacked the matchup through the pitcher-win market rather than laying the standard Minnesota money line. The wager requires Ryan to pitch the necessary innings and leave with a lead that the bullpen can protect.

The plus-money return improved the appeal, although it also added dependence on Minnesota’s offense and relief pitching.

Bakari’s Player Prop: Joe Ryan Eight or More Strikeouts

Bakari backed Ryan to reach at least eight strikeouts. The Angels can produce power, but their swing-and-miss tendencies create a path for an elevated strikeout total when Ryan is commanding the upper portion of the zone.

Angels-Twins Consensus

Al Ninos: Twins minus one

Tony T: Angels money line

Ron Hahn: Joe Ryan to record the win

Bakari: Joe Ryan eight or more strikeouts

Consensus Rating: Divided Market

The side produced a direct disagreement between Tony and Al. Tony preferred the underdog price and bullpen advantage, while Al trusted Minnesota’s starting-pitching edge.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

Market Snapshot

Rockies money line: +132

Giants money line: -143

Run line: Rockies +1.5 at -159 | Giants -1.5 at +143

Total: 8.5

Over: -116

Under: +104

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Over 8.5

Chris targeted the total behind two vulnerable starting pitchers. Kyle Freeland has consistently carried blowup potential away from home, and the Giants were expected to generate a significant share of the scoring.

Colorado has also shown enough offensive life to contribute. The Rockies held off San Francisco’s late rally Friday and have been more competitive offensively than their season record might suggest.

Al Ninos’ Pick: Over 8.5

Al agreed with the over. Both starters had been allowing damaging contact, and the wind was expected to blow out at approximately eight miles per hour.

San Francisco’s park normally suppresses offense, but a low total can be vulnerable when both starting pitchers enter in poor form. Al considered 8.5 reachable even without ideal hitting weather.

Tony T’s Pick: Over 8.5

Tony completed a three-way featured consensus on the over. Colorado was hitting .278 over its previous 27 games with a .498 slugging percentage, demonstrating that the offense had been producing legitimate power.

Freeland had an ERA above 8.00 on the road and had allowed opponents to slug approximately .568. San Francisco had also generated improved power over its previous 24 games.

The Rockies did not need to win for the over to cash. They only needed to provide enough offensive support while the Giants attacked a favorable starting-pitching matchup.

Rockies-Giants Consensus

Chris Adkins: Over 8.5

Al Ninos: Over 8.5

Tony T: Over 8.5

Consensus Rating: Unanimous Featured-Handicapper Total

The over was the strongest total consensus on the show. All three panel handicappers independently arrived at the same position.

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals

Market Snapshot

Yankees money line: -185

Nationals money line: +169

Run line: Yankees -1.5 at -113 | Nationals +1.5 at +102

Total: 9

Over: -102

Under: -110

Al Ninos’ Pick: New York Yankees Run Line

Al acknowledged the expensive Yankees money line and recommended using the run line or a minus-one alternative. New York held a meaningful pitching advantage with Cam Schlittler facing Mike Lewis.

The primary question was whether the Yankees’ offense could create enough separation to cover. Al expected New York to reach Lewis and believed Schlittler was positioned for a strong start.

Tony T’s Pick: Washington Nationals Money Line

Tony attacked the opposing side at a significant underdog price. The Yankees were hitting only .217 over their previous 26 games with a .278 on-base percentage, an extremely poor profile for a team laying close to two dollars.

Washington’s offense has been one of the more productive units in baseball and had sustained its performance long enough to move beyond the category of a short-term fluke.

The Nationals were also 10-6 at home against American League opponents with an on-base percentage of .330 or lower. At +169, Tony considered Washington’s offense dangerous enough to challenge an overpriced favorite.

Kevin Ricciolo’s Pick: Washington Nationals Money Line

Kevin joined Tony on the underdog Nationals.

Yankees-Nationals Consensus

Al Ninos: Yankees run line

Tony T: Nationals money line

Kevin Ricciolo: Nationals money line

Consensus Rating: Split Decision

Al trusted New York’s pitching edge, while Tony and Kevin attacked the Yankees’ declining offense and Washington’s plus-money value.

MLB Afternoon Betting Card

Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays

Market Snapshot

Mariners money line: -101

Rays money line: -107

Run line: Seattle -1.5 at +168 | Tampa Bay +1.5 at -189

Total: 7

Over: -119

Under: +106

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Chris backed the short home favorite despite the presence of Logan Gilbert for Seattle. Tampa Bay had been one of the hottest teams in baseball and was consistently performing well in its own park.

The handicap was also a fade of Seattle’s offense. Gilbert could pitch effectively and still lose a low-scoring game if the Mariners failed to provide support.

Al Ninos’ Pick: Under 7

Al preferred the total. Gilbert entered in excellent form, and Griffin Jax was expected to keep Tampa Bay competitive into the later innings.

The total was already low, but Al anticipated a true pitching duel. Neither lineup was projected to create sustained offense against the starting matchup.

Tony T’s Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Tony joined Chris on Tampa Bay. Seattle was hitting .218 over its previous 24 games with a .296 on-base percentage, leaving the Mariners with very little margin for error.

Tampa Bay entered in the better hitting and slugging form and was 20 games above .500 at home. The Rays had returned approximately 14.5 units in home games, while Seattle was 20-28 on the road and had lost roughly 14.5 units.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Ron included Tampa Bay among his primary selections and made the Rays the second leg of his four-team parlay.

Bakari’s Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Bakari joined the Tampa Bay side.

Richard Lockhart’s Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Richard also backed the Rays and used them in his three-team parlay.

Scipio’s Prop: Seattle Mariners No Run in the First Inning

Scipio highlighted Seattle’s streak of nine consecutive no-run first innings. The wager was based on the Mariners’ slow offensive starts and the expectation of an immediate pitching advantage.

Mariners-Rays Consensus

Chris Adkins: Rays money line

Tony T: Rays money line

Ron Hahn: Rays money line

Bakari: Rays money line

Richard Lockhart: Rays money line

Al Ninos: Under 7

Scipio: Mariners first-inning team total under 0.5

Consensus Rating: Strong Tampa Bay Support with an Under Lean

The money-line consensus strongly favored Tampa Bay, while the derivative positions pointed toward a low-scoring game.

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

Market Snapshot

Red Sox money line: +123

Mets money line: -149

Run line: Boston +1.5 at -171 | New York -1.5 at +141

Total: 8.5

Over: -110

Under: -110

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Boston Red Sox Money Line

Chris backed Boston at plus money despite uncertainty surrounding the Red Sox starter. The market moved away from Brayan Bello and toward Eduardo Rivera, but Chris still considered the underdog price playable.

Boston entered 12-3 over its previous 15 games and had shown enough offensive stability to challenge a Mets team laying a substantial price.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Boston Red Sox Money Line

Ron ran back Boston after the Red Sox’s strong recent stretch. He viewed the removal of Bello from the projected matchup as potentially positive given Bello’s poor season numbers.

Bakari’s Pick: Boston Red Sox Money Line

Bakari joined the Boston underdog position.

Power Critter’s Pick: Boston Red Sox Money Line

Power Critter also backed Boston and later paired the Red Sox with Tampa Bay in a two-team parlay.

Red Sox-Mets Consensus

Chris Adkins: Red Sox money line

Ron Hahn: Red Sox money line

Bakari: Red Sox money line

Power Critter: Red Sox money line

Consensus Rating: Strong Underdog Support for Boston

Boston was one of the most popular plus-money sides on the card. Starting-pitcher uncertainty remains the primary risk, making final lineup and pitcher confirmation essential.

Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins

Market Snapshot

Guardians money line: +130

Marlins money line: -141

Run line: Cleveland +1.5 at -167 | Miami -1.5 at +150

Total: 7.5

Over: -115

Under: +102

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Over 8

Chris found an alternate market of over eight at approximately -102. His position was based on both Tanner Bibee and Eury Pérez being vulnerable enough for the offenses to reach the number.

Miami had been swinging the bat well and was considered capable of doing most of the scoring work if Cleveland’s lineup remained quiet.

Tony T’s Pick: Miami Marlins Money Line

Tony backed Miami because of Cleveland’s severe road-hitting problems. The Guardians were batting approximately .216 away from home with a .295 on-base percentage and had struggled badly against right-handed pitching.

Bibee had produced an ERA above 9.00 with a WHIP near 2.00 in four starts against National League opponents.

Pérez entered in much better form, posting a 1.06 ERA and 0.52 WHIP across his previous three starts. Miami was 19-8 over its previous 27 games and had returned approximately 11 units.

Richard Lockhart’s Pick: Miami Marlins Money Line

Richard joined Tony on the Marlins.

Guardians-Marlins Consensus

Tony T: Marlins money line

Richard Lockhart: Marlins money line

Chris Adkins: Over eight

Consensus Rating: Miami Side with Over Support

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers

Market Snapshot

Phillies money line: -134

Tigers money line: +123

Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 at +132 | Detroit +1.5 at -146

Total: 7.5

Over: +106

Under: -119

Al Ninos’ Pick: Under 7.5

Al expected a pitchers’ duel between Cristopher Sánchez and Casey Mize. Both starters were capable of controlling the game, and the low total accurately reflected the quality of the matchup.

Al still considered the under playable because neither offense was assured of creating significant traffic against the opposing starter.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Detroit Tigers Money Line

Ron backed his Tigers after Detroit won nine of its previous 10 games. He had repeatedly warned bettors to monitor Detroit’s favorable schedule and believed the Tigers had an opportunity to make meaningful progress in the standings.

The underdog price added value to a team carrying one of the strongest current-form records on the board.

Bakari’s Pick: Detroit Tigers Money Line

Bakari joined Ron on Detroit.

Phillies-Tigers Consensus

Ron Hahn: Tigers money line

Bakari: Tigers money line

Al Ninos: Under 7.5

Consensus Rating: Detroit Underdog Lean with a Strong Under Case

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

Market Snapshot

Astros money line: +106

Rangers money line: -115

Run line: Houston +1.5 at -199 | Texas -1.5 at +177

Total: 8.5

Over: -106

Under: -106

Tony T’s Pick: Texas Rangers Money Line

Tony backed Texas as a short home favorite. Houston was batting .233 over its previous 26 games with a .301 on-base percentage, creating limited scoring opportunities for an offense that had been struggling to produce traffic.

Texas entered with the better recent hitting form, and the Rangers bullpen had been dependable at home. Houston was 5-10 against divisional opponents and had lost approximately five units in those games.

Texas was 14-10 at home in the applicable situational split and had generated a positive return. The short price allowed Tony to back the Rangers without laying excessive juice.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Texas Rangers Money Line

Ron listed Texas as a lean before confirming the Rangers as his preferred side.

Astros-Rangers Consensus

Tony T: Rangers money line

Ron Hahn: Rangers money line

Consensus Rating: Unified Texas Position

MLB Night Betting Card

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

Market Snapshot

Royals money line: +136

Orioles money line: -148

Run line: Kansas City +1.5 at -152 | Baltimore -1.5 at +137

Total: 9

Over: +101

Under: -113

Al Ninos’ Lean: Baltimore Orioles Money Line and Over 9

Al believed Baltimore held the pitching advantage but was reluctant to lay the full money-line price. His stronger derivative lean was toward the over, with the Orioles expected to contribute significantly against Kansas City’s pitching.

This matchup was not elevated to the same confidence level as Al’s Tampa Bay and Detroit unders.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

Market Snapshot

Cubs money line: -112

Reds money line: +103

Run line: Chicago -1.5 at +135 | Cincinnati +1.5 at -150

Total: 10

Over: -106

Under: -106

Tony T’s Pick: Chicago Cubs Money Line

Tony backed Chicago behind the stronger current offensive form. The Cubs were hitting .260 over their previous 25 games with a .475 slugging percentage.

Cincinnati was batting only .215 during the same period with a .296 on-base percentage. The lack of traffic was especially concerning with Hunter Greene no longer expected to start.

The Reds were 6-20 against divisional opponents and had lost approximately 13 units in those games. Chicago was 10-5 on the road against teams with win percentages between .380 and .460, returning approximately five units.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Chicago Cubs Money Line

Ron joined the Cubs side and used Chicago as the third leg of his four-team parlay.

Richard Lockhart’s Pick: Chicago Cubs Money Line

Richard also backed Chicago.

Scipio’s Pick: Over 10

Scipio targeted the total in warm conditions with rain and wind variables potentially affecting the game.

Cowdog’s Pick: Cincinnati Reds Money Line

Cowdog maintained the standing “Reds auto-bet” approach and opposed the primary Morning Show consensus.

Cubs-Reds Consensus

Tony T: Cubs money line

Ron Hahn: Cubs money line

Richard Lockhart: Cubs money line

Scipio: Over 10

Cowdog: Reds money line

Consensus Rating: Cubs Majority with Contrarian Cincinnati Support

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals

Market Snapshot

Braves money line: -116

Cardinals money line: +107

Run line: Atlanta -1.5 at +141 | St. Louis +1.5 at -157

Total: 8.5

Over: +102

Under: -115

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Atlanta Braves Money Line

Chris had been willing to fade Atlanta in recent games but changed direction for Saturday’s matchup. The Braves were available near -109 at some books, and he viewed Matthew Liberatore’s home struggles as the defining factor.

Liberatore carried an ERA above 5.00 at home, while Reynaldo López was expected to provide a serviceable start for Atlanta.

Al Ninos’ Pick: Atlanta Braves Money Line

Al also backed Atlanta and described the matchup as close to premium-play quality. López held the pitching advantage over Liberatore, and Atlanta’s lineup was still preferred despite Ronald Acuña Jr. being unavailable.

Tony T’s Pick: Atlanta Braves Money Line

Tony completed another unanimous panel position. Atlanta held St. Louis to two runs Friday and led for much of the game before giving it away late.

The Braves were batting .240 on the road with a .427 slugging percentage. López had posted a 1.42 ERA and 0.89 WHIP across his previous six appearances, while Liberatore’s ERA had risen above 8.00 over his previous five starts.

Atlanta was also 23-15 against left-handed starters. St. Louis had gone 11-16 over its previous 27 games and lost approximately 5.5 units.

Braves-Cardinals Consensus

Chris Adkins: Braves money line

Al Ninos: Braves money line

Tony T: Braves money line

Consensus Rating: Unanimous Featured-Handicapper Selection

Atlanta joined Milwaukee and the Rockies-Giants over as one of the show’s strongest three-person agreements.

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres

Market Snapshot

Blue Jays money line: -101

Padres money line: -107

Run line: Toronto +1.5 at -214 | San Diego -1.5 at +189

Total: 8

Over: -106

Under: -106

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Under 8

Chris expected a low-scoring game despite concerns about Walker Buehler. Trey Yesavage was projected to control San Diego’s lineup, which had struggled badly at home.

The Padres had produced a strong home-under record, and Chris believed their offensive limitations would be enough to keep the game below the total even if Buehler allowed some traffic.

Al Ninos’ Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Money Line

Al preferred Yesavage over Buehler. Buehler had been inconsistent throughout the season and entered off consecutive poor starts.

Toronto’s offense was expected to create more against Buehler than San Diego would produce against Yesavage.

Tony T’s Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Money Line

Tony strongly rejected the idea of laying a favorite price with Buehler. Toronto was hitting .249 against right-handed starters with a .389 slugging percentage.

San Diego was batting only .218 at home with a .299 on-base percentage. Buehler had an ERA near 9.00 across his previous five starts and had allowed opponents to slug approximately .556.

Toronto was also 14-10 against losing teams, returning approximately two units. The matchup and offensive splits made the Blue Jays Tony’s preferred side.

Richard Lockhart’s Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Money Line

Richard joined Toronto.

Julia Cossey’s Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Money Line

Julia expected the Blue Jays to win comfortably.

Blue Jays-Padres Consensus

Al Ninos: Blue Jays money line

Tony T: Blue Jays money line

Richard Lockhart: Blue Jays money line

Julia Cossey: Blue Jays money line

Chris Adkins: Under 8

Consensus Rating: Strong Toronto Support with an Under Lean

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

Market Snapshot

Diamondbacks money line: +239

Dodgers money line: -268

Run line: Arizona +1.5 at +110 | Los Angeles -1.5 at -121

Total: 9

Over: +105

Under: -118

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Over 9

Chris preferred the over at plus money. Arizona’s offense showed it could produce in Los Angeles on Friday, and the Dodgers remain capable of creating a large portion of the required scoring themselves.

The Diamondbacks run line was another consideration, but Chris ranked the over as his better wager.

Chris Adkins’ Secondary Lean: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

Arizona had already demonstrated it could compete in the series, and Chris expected the Diamondbacks to remain within range even if the Dodgers won.

Tony T’s Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

Tony backed Arizona on the run line at plus money. He cited a series of one-run decisions involving Los Angeles and a Dodgers bullpen that had become increasingly difficult to trust.

Brandon Pfaadt had improved over his previous two starts, and Tony had no major objection to Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The handicap was more about Los Angeles’ bullpen, recent run-line failures, and the possibility that the club had mentally shifted toward the All-Star break.

The Dodgers were 19-28 against the run line at home and had lost approximately 11.5 units. They had also failed to cover the run line in five consecutive home games.

Bakari’s Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5

Bakari took the most aggressive favorite position, laying two and a half runs with Los Angeles.

Power Critter’s Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line

Power Critter also backed the Dodgers to win by multiple runs.

North Poe’s Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

North Poe joined the Dodgers run-line side.

Diamondbacks-Dodgers Consensus

Chris Adkins: Over 9

Chris Adkins: Diamondbacks +1.5 lean

Tony T: Diamondbacks +1.5

Bakari: Dodgers -2.5

Power Critter: Dodgers run line

North Poe: Dodgers -1.5

Consensus Rating: Highly Divided Run-Line Market

The panel’s value case favored Arizona, while multiple chat members expected a Dodgers blowout. This was one of the most polarizing games of the day.

WNBA Betting Preview

New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx

Market Snapshot

Liberty: +5 at -104

Lynx: -5 at -112

Liberty money line: +170

Lynx money line: -202

Total: 172.5

Over: -111

Under: -109

Chris Adkins’ Pick: Over 172.5

Chris backed the over in the marquee afternoon matchup. New York had been shooting approximately 48 percent on the road while averaging close to 92 points per game.

The Liberty had gone 8-2 to the over in road games. Minnesota was shooting close to 49 percent at home and had gone 6-4 to the over in that split.

The previous meeting cleared a similar total, strengthening the argument that both offenses could produce even with important players missing.

Ron Hahn’s Pick: Minnesota Lynx -3.5

Ron secured a better number than the later market and laid 3.5 points with Minnesota. The broader market subsequently moved to Lynx -5 and higher, giving Ron meaningful closing-line value if the favorite continued to attract support.

Bakari’s Pick: Minnesota Lynx -4.5

Bakari also backed Minnesota, although at a slightly less favorable number.

Thomas Maggio’s Pick: First-Half Over

Thomas targeted the first-half over in Liberty-Lynx, expecting the offensive efficiency to show immediately rather than relying on late-game scoring.

Liberty-Lynx Consensus

Chris Adkins: Over 172.5

Ron Hahn: Lynx -3.5

Bakari: Lynx -4.5

Thomas Maggio: First-half over

Consensus Rating: Minnesota and Over Correlation

The positions collectively anticipate Minnesota controlling the game while both offenses score efficiently.

Portland Fire at Atlanta Dream

Market Snapshot

Portland: +12.5 at -111

Atlanta: -12.5 at -109

Portland money line: +560

Atlanta money line: -758

Total: 173.5

Over: -113

Under: -107

Kendrick Mullough’s Pick: Portland Fire +13.5

Kendrick accepted the large underdog spread with Portland. The wager depends on the Fire remaining competitive enough to avoid a blowout against an Atlanta team dealing with injury uncertainty.

Tony and Al passed on the matchup because the line had already moved and the injury report made it difficult to identify value at the available number.

Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces

Market Snapshot

Mercury: +9 at -110

Aces: -9 at -110

Mercury money line: +301

Aces money line: -373

Total: 170.5

Over: -110

Under: -110

Tony T’s Pick: Phoenix Mercury +9

Tony made Phoenix his only official WNBA side. The Mercury had covered and won three of their previous five games while showing stretches of improved defense.

Las Vegas had failed to cover six of its previous eight. The Aces had also experienced poor defensive stretches and had not consistently rewarded bettors laying large home spreads.

Phoenix was shooting approximately 47 percent overall and 37 percent from three over its previous five games while averaging about 89 points.

Las Vegas had struggled from three at home and was allowing opponents to shoot approximately 46 percent overall. The Aces also carried a negative scoring differential on their home court, an unusual profile for a team laying close to double digits.

Bakari’s Pick: Phoenix Mercury +9.5

Bakari joined the Mercury side at a slightly better number.

Mercury-Aces Consensus

Tony T: Mercury +9

Bakari: Mercury +9.5

Consensus Rating: Unified Phoenix Underdog Position

World Cup Quarterfinal Picks

England vs. Norway

Market Snapshot

England money line: -224

Norway money line: +192

Draw: +275

England -0.5: -102

Norway +0.5: -106

Total: 3

Over: +116

Under: -133

Al Ninos’ Lean: Norway Money Line

Al took a speculative position on Norway at close to 3-1. His handicap centered on Norway possessing an elite attacking threat capable of changing a match even when the opponent controls possession.

England remained the stronger favorite on paper, but the underdog price was large enough for Al to consider a small upset wager.

Switzerland vs. Argentina

Market Snapshot

Switzerland money line: +335

Argentina money line: -142

Draw: +266

Switzerland +0.75: +100

Argentina -0.75: -109

Total: 2

Over: -141

Under: +122

Al Ninos’ Pick: Argentina Money Line

Al reluctantly backed Argentina to advance. He viewed Argentina as the more likely winner but remained cautious about the price and the officiating discussion surrounding its previous game.

Thomas Maggio’s Prop: Lionel Messi Anytime Goal Scorer at -117

Thomas backed Messi to score at approximately -117.

Thomas Maggio’s Three-Sport Parlay

Yankees money line

Argentina money line

Max Holloway money line

Morning Show Consensus Report

Highest-Confidence Consensus Picks

Chicago White Sox Money Line

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Tony T, Ron Hahn, Cowdog, Richard Lockhart, Tommy Opp

Chicago was the strongest full-show agreement. The White Sox held the better home profile, while the Athletics entered with weak road hitting and prolonged negative form.

Tampa Bay Rays Money Line

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Tony T, Ron Hahn, Bakari, Richard Lockhart

Tampa Bay’s home dominance and Seattle’s limited offensive production created another widely supported money-line position.

Atlanta Braves Money Line

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Al Ninos, Tony T

All three featured panel handicappers backed Atlanta behind Reynaldo López’s pitching advantage over Matthew Liberatore.

Milwaukee Brewers Money Line — Game 1

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Tony T, Richard Lockhart, Tommy Opp

Milwaukee combined a strong road record, better recent hitting, and favorable starting-pitching form.

Colorado Rockies-San Francisco Giants Over 8.5

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Al Ninos, Tony T

The panel unanimously attacked two struggling starting pitchers and identified enough recent power on both sides to overcome San Francisco’s pitcher-friendly environment.

Toronto Blue Jays Money Line

Supporters: Al Ninos, Tony T, Richard Lockhart, Julia Cossey

Toronto received strong support as a near pick’em underdog against Walker Buehler and a weak San Diego home offense.

Boston Red Sox Money Line

Supporters: Chris Adkins, Ron Hahn, Bakari, Power Critter

Boston was the most popular plus-money selection from the chat and panel combination.

Phoenix Mercury +9 or Better

Supporters: Tony T, Bakari

Phoenix was the clearest WNBA spread consensus, supported by Las Vegas’ poor recent point-spread form.

Official Handicapper Pick Cards

Tony T’s Official Picks

Milwaukee Brewers money line

Chicago White Sox money line

Los Angeles Angels money line

Colorado Rockies-San Francisco Giants over 8.5

Washington Nationals money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Miami Marlins money line

Texas Rangers money line

Chicago Cubs money line

Atlanta Braves money line

Toronto Blue Jays money line

Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

Phoenix Mercury +9

Chris Adkins’ Official Picks

Milwaukee Brewers money line

Chicago White Sox money line

Colorado Rockies-San Francisco Giants over 8.5

Cleveland Guardians-Miami Marlins over eight

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Boston Red Sox money line

Toronto Blue Jays-San Diego Padres under eight

Atlanta Braves money line

Arizona Diamondbacks-Los Angeles Dodgers over nine

Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 lean

Al Ninos’ Official Picks

Minnesota Twins minus one

New York Yankees run line

Colorado Rockies-San Francisco Giants over 8.5

Seattle Mariners-Tampa Bay Rays under seven

Philadelphia Phillies-Detroit Tigers under 7.5

Toronto Blue Jays money line

Atlanta Braves money line

Baltimore Orioles lean

Kansas City Royals-Baltimore Orioles over nine lean

Argentina money line

Norway money line lean

Ron Hahn’s Official Morning Show Chat Picks

Chicago White Sox money line

Joe Ryan to record the win at +106

Boston Red Sox money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Detroit Tigers money line

Texas Rangers money line

Chicago Cubs money line

Minnesota Lynx -3.5

Morning Show Parlay Report

Chris Adkins’ Three-Team Parlay

Chicago White Sox money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Boston Red Sox money line

This parlay is built around two strong home positions and a plus-money Boston underdog. Chicago and Tampa Bay were among the biggest consensus sides on the show.

Al Ninos’ Two-Team Totals Parlay

Seattle Mariners-Tampa Bay Rays under seven

Philadelphia Phillies-Detroit Tigers under 7.5

Al’s parlay is a correlated pitching-focused ticket built around Logan Gilbert, Griffin Jax, Cristopher Sánchez, and Casey Mize controlling their respective games.

Tony T’s Three-Team Parlay

Phoenix Mercury +9

Milwaukee Brewers money line

Chicago White Sox money line

Tony combined his strongest WNBA underdog with two heavily supported MLB money-line selections.

Ron Hahn’s Four-Team Parlay

Chicago White Sox money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Chicago Cubs money line

Minnesota Lynx money line

Ron’s parlay combines three MLB sides with Minnesota on the WNBA money line. The White Sox and Rays were two of the day’s strongest consensus selections.

Cowdog’s South Side Parlay

Chicago White Sox money line

Cincinnati Reds money line

Richard Lockhart’s Three-Team Parlay

Chicago White Sox money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Milwaukee Brewers money line

Richard’s ticket contains three of the show’s highest-consensus MLB sides.

Bakari’s Three-Team Parlay

Boston Red Sox money line

Detroit Tigers money line

Chicago White Sox money line

Power Critter’s Two-Team Parlay

Boston Red Sox money line

Tampa Bay Rays money line

Player Prop and Home-Run Report

Chris Adkins’ Home-Run Picks

Esmeralda Valdez to Hit a Home Run

Chris targeted Valdez in the opening game of the Milwaukee-Pittsburgh doubleheader.

Munetaka Murakami to Hit a Home Run

Murakami returned to the Chicago lineup Friday and did not immediately produce a home run, but Chris expected a more impactful performance against the Athletics’ pitching plan.

Bakari’s Player Props

Joe Ryan eight or more strikeouts

Cam Schlittler nine or more strikeouts

Heliot Ramos to hit a home run

Kyle Stowers to hit a home run

Scipio’s First-Inning Prop

Seattle Mariners no run in the first inning

Thomas Maggio’s Soccer Prop

Lionel Messi anytime goal scorer at -117

Tony’s Picks MLB Leaderboard Recap

David Racey continued to hold the top position in the latest 2026 MLB leaderboard snapshot with a 384-325-19 record and approximately 3,485 units of documented profit based on the site’s standard unit accounting.

Chris Adkins and Tony Tellez were tied for second in profit at approximately 1,910 units.

Chris entered with a 116-110-9 record, while Tony stood at 125-96-6. Tony’s superior win percentage was balanced by Chris’ ability to generate the same documented profit across a larger number of decisions.

Ramon Scott followed with a 155-124-11 record and approximately 1,698 units of profit.

Al Ninos’ broader 2026 record also showed approximately 1,910 units of profit entering Saturday, reinforcing his position among Tony’s Picks’ strongest performers across the full betting menu.

Friday’s Morning Show Results

Chris Adkins: 2-3

Chris finished Friday with two wins and three losses after releasing five plays. The expanded card created additional exposure, and the Washington bullpen produced one of the most damaging losses.

The day still included a successful best bet on St. Louis and another win with Tampa Bay. Chris also identified eight successful home-run selections from his Hit List, making the player-prop portion of his work considerably stronger than the straight-game card.

Al Ninos: 2-1

Al produced a winning Friday with two victories and one loss. The losing selection carried additional juice, reducing the net return, but the card still finished on the positive side.

Tony T: 1-2

Tony split his two MLB selections by winning with Tampa Bay and losing with Minnesota. His WNBA position on Connecticut also fell short, leaving him at 1-2 for the day.

Tony entered Saturday looking to rebound with a deeper card built around several plus-money underdogs, strong home-team profiles, and one WNBA spread position on Phoenix.

Friday’s Notable Game Results

The White Sox delivered one of Friday’s most impressive offensive performances by handling the Athletics, encouraging several handicappers to return to Chicago on Saturday.

Colorado survived a late San Francisco rally, setting up Saturday’s unanimous over position from Tony, Chris, and Al.

Atlanta held a 1-0 lead for much of its game against St. Louis before the Cardinals rallied late. That result did not discourage the panel from returning to the Braves behind a more favorable Saturday pitching matchup.

Arizona defeated Los Angeles after Shohei Ohtani was scratched from his scheduled pitching assignment. The Dodgers’ continuing run-line failures became a major part of Saturday’s Diamondbacks argument.

Detroit extended its hot stretch to nine wins in 10 games, strengthening Ron Hahn’s belief that the Tigers remain a team bettors should monitor closely.

Final Betting Outlook

The strongest Saturday Morning Show agreements were the Chicago White Sox money line, Tampa Bay Rays money line, Atlanta Braves money line, Milwaukee Brewers money line in Game 1, Toronto Blue Jays money line, and the over in Colorado-San Francisco.

Boston attracted the strongest plus-money underdog support, while Phoenix plus the points was the most unified WNBA underdog position.

The most significant featured-handicapper disagreements came in Angels-Twins, Yankees-Nationals, and Diamondbacks-Dodgers. Those games offered legitimate arguments on both sides and should be approached with disciplined pricing rather than blind consensus betting.

Weather remains an important variable in Pittsburgh, Washington, Cincinnati, Baltimore, New York, and St. Louis. Starting-pitcher confirmations are especially important for Boston-New York and the Milwaukee-Pittsburgh doubleheader.

The Morning Show card is deep, but the clearest strategy is concentration rather than volume. Chicago, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Toronto, and the Colorado-San Francisco over carried the most consistent support across the professional panel and live betting community.

 

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Tony Tellez

Tony Tellez is the author/editor of TonysPicks, offering daily free sports picks and expert analysis for legal wagering. A seasoned handicapper with a TV show background and significant online presence, Tony provides data-driven insights across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and more, focusing on valuable betting information.