Injuries

Game Odds

The primary market opened Minnesota as a narrow home favorite, although available prices ranged from Lynx -1.5 to -3.5. The most widely posted number was Minnesota -1.5 with a total of 172.5.

Expected Starting Lineups

New York Liberty Recent Game

New York enters with a 13-9 record after an 88-77 home loss to the Dallas Wings. The Liberty shot 40.0 percent overall and only 19.2 percent from three-point range. Dallas converted 46.1 percent of its field-goal attempts and 26.1 percent of its three-point attempts.

New York was held to 11 second-quarter points and finished with only 16 assists against 14 turnovers. Breanna Stewart supplied 29 points, nine rebounds and four assists, while Jonquel Jones added 17 points, 12 rebounds and two assists.

Minnesota Lynx Recent Game

Minnesota improved to 16-6 with an 86-80 road victory over Connecticut. The Lynx shot 46.7 percent overall, while Connecticut finished at 40.0 percent. Minnesota also made 11 three-pointers and converted 42.3 percent from beyond the arc, compared with Connecticut’s 26.1 percent.

Kayla McBride led Minnesota with 23 points, while Dorka Juhász delivered 12 points and hit important fourth-quarter shots. The Lynx survived despite playing without several important rotation pieces.

Season Statistical Leaders

Efficiency Report and Matchup Analysis

Minnesota owns the stronger statistical profile, ranking comfortably ahead of New York in defensive efficiency, rebounding and shooting accuracy. The Lynx have generated an 11.5-point positive net rating while allowing approximately 100 points per 100 possessions. New York remains efficient offensively but has been more vulnerable defensively and considerably less secure with the basketball.

The availability of Miles and Collier changes Minnesota’s offensive structure. Courtney Williams will carry additional creation responsibility, while McBride becomes even more important as a perimeter scorer. New York is also short-handed on the wing, leaving Stewart and Jones responsible for a substantial percentage of the half-court offense.

Rebounding may determine whether New York can remain within the narrow point spread. Minnesota averages nearly two more rebounds per game and has been the stronger defensive team. The Liberty must limit second opportunities while recovering from a performance in which they shot 5-for-26 from three.

Game Summary

This is the closest betting matchup on Saturday’s schedule. Minnesota has the better overall record and defensive rating, but the absence of Collier and Miles removes two of its most influential players. New York still has a strong interior foundation with Stewart and Jones, although its weakened wing rotation and recent perimeter shooting create meaningful concerns.

Injuries

Game Odds

Atlanta was listed between an 11.5-point and 12.5-point home favorite. The most common market number was Dream -12.5 with a total of 172.5.

Expected Starting Lineups

Portland Fire Recent Game

Portland fell to 9-13 following an 88-80 home loss to Las Vegas. The Fire shot 44.3 percent from the field and 34.4 percent from three-point range. Las Vegas shot 50.8 percent overall and 40.0 percent from beyond the arc.

Carla Leite led Portland with 13 points, three rebounds and five assists. Megan Gustafson added 11 points and three rebounds. Portland committed 17 turnovers, allowing the Aces to score efficiently without needing a large offensive-rebounding advantage.

Atlanta Dream Recent Game

Atlanta improved to 13-9 with an 89-78 victory over Seattle. The Dream shot 41.7 percent from the field and 23.1 percent from three-point range. Seattle shot 45.5 percent overall but made only 15.0 percent of its three-point attempts.

Allisha Gray produced 22 points, three rebounds and five assists. Rhyne Howard added 19 points, four rebounds and four assists, while Angel Reese finished with 18 points and 11 rebounds. Atlanta forced 21 Seattle turnovers and recorded 14 steals.

Season Statistical Leaders

Efficiency Report and Matchup Analysis

Atlanta’s statistical edge begins with defense and turnover creation. The Dream average 9.6 steals per game and forced 21 turnovers in their latest victory. Portland averages 16.0 turnovers per game, creating a significant matchup concern against Atlanta’s aggressive guards.

The Dream also hold an advantage of nearly five rebounds per game. Reese’s work on the glass can create extra possessions against a Portland frontcourt that ranks near the bottom of the league in overall rebounding production.

Portland’s strongest offensive path is perimeter shooting. The Fire made 11 three-pointers against Las Vegas and have several frontcourt players capable of spacing the floor. That approach also carries volatility, particularly when facing an Atlanta defense capable of forcing hurried possessions.

The scheduling situation is another factor. Both teams played Thursday night, but Portland must travel from Oregon to Georgia following a physical loss. Atlanta remains at home after defeating Seattle.

Game Summary

Atlanta has clear advantages in defensive efficiency, rebounding, turnover margin and home-court position. Portland has enough perimeter shooting to produce competitive stretches, but its negative net rating and turnover issues explain the double-digit spread.

Injuries

Game Odds

Las Vegas was listed between a 9.5-point and 10.5-point favorite. Most sportsbooks posted Aces -10.5 with a total of 172.5, although one market showed 173.5.

Expected Starting Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Recent Game

Phoenix dropped to 8-15

Alyssa Thomas led Phoenix with 22 points, six rebounds and seven assists. Monique Akoa Makani added 14 points and three assists. Phoenix recorded 23 assists against only 11 turnovers but could not produce enough late defensive stops.

Las Vegas Aces Recent Game

Las Vegas improved to 16-6

A’ja Wilson dominated with 32 points, 10 rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocked shots. Jackie Young added 19 points, four rebounds and 11 assists. Las Vegas recorded 13 steals and forced 17 turnovers.

Season Statistical Leaders

Efficiency Report and Matchup Analysis

Las Vegas enters with one of the league’s most efficient offenses. The Aces average 22.3 assists and only 12.7 turnovers per game, allowing Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young to maintain control of the possession battle. Their 48.7 percent overall shooting mark is five percentage points higher than Phoenix’s season average.

Wilson creates the most difficult matchup. Phoenix is without Natasha Mack, reducing its available size and rim protection. Thomas can defend multiple positions, but assigning her to Wilson would also increase her physical workload while Phoenix relies on her to initiate the offense.

Phoenix’s path to competitiveness requires another strong perimeter performance. The Mercury made 11 three-pointers against Indiana and moved the ball effectively. Copper’s scoring and Thomas’ playmaking can pressure Las Vegas, but Phoenix must improve defensively after allowing Indiana to shoot 50 percent.

Las Vegas also holds the rest and travel advantage within the matchup. The Aces returned home after winning in Portland, while Phoenix played a close home game against Indiana before traveling to Las Vegas.

Game Summary

Phoenix has enough offensive creators to challenge the point spread when its perimeter shooting is effective. The larger concern is a defense allowing nearly 108 points per 100 possessions against a Las Vegas offense built around Wilson, Young and Gray. The Aces have meaningful advantages in shooting efficiency, ball security, rebounding and interior scoring.