Morning Show Recap
The Tony’s Picks Morning Show opened with a full 15-game MLB card, three WNBA matchups, and a day off from World Cup action before the quarterfinals resume. Chris Adkins entered off a 2-1 day, cashing Kansas City as his best bet and the Cubs, while also hitting Shohei Ohtani’s 300th career home run on the hit list. Al Ninos came in hot after a 3-0 day, while Tony T moved quickly into the baseball card with a full slate of betting opinions.
Yesterday’s games were led by several major storylines. Kansas City and the Mets played a wild 16-12 game. The Brewers swept the Cardinals in a doubleheader. The Red Sox stayed hot against the White Sox. The Rockies shocked the Dodgers late. The Marlins walked off Seattle. Tampa Bay beat the Yankees, while the Yankees continued to struggle with strikeouts.
Leaderboard Recap
The show highlighted the current Tony’s Picks premium board and recent hot cappers. Al Ninos entered the day with a strong 2026 profit profile. Chris Adkins continued to build momentum in MLB. Tony T had a three-pack posted with two MLB plays and one WNBA play. Ron Hahn contributed several chat angles, including Detroit run line, Tampa Bay money line, Foster Griffin to record the win, Kyle Harrison to record the win, and Milwaukee money line.
Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants
Odds: Blue Jays -112, Giants +102, Total 7
This matchup starts the board with Dylan Cease against Logan Webb, and the handicapper room immediately treated it like a pitching-first game. Oracle Park is always difficult for power, and both starters bring enough command and swing-and-miss ability to keep this game contained.
Chris Adkins Pick: Under 7
Al Ninos Lean: Under 7, with a Blue Jays lean
Tony T Pick: Under 7
Chat Picks: Blue Jays money line, Giants money line, Dylan Cease 9+ strikeouts
Consensus Report: Strongest agreement is the under. The side is split between Toronto’s pitching edge and San Francisco’s home value.
Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
Odds: Orioles -123, Cubs +113, Total 9.5
The Cubs’ bats have heated back up after a cold stretch, while Baltimore continues to show offensive weakness with a low recent batting average. Tony T trusted the Cubs’ lineup more than the Orioles’ current form.
Tony T Pick: Cubs Money Line
Chat Picks: Cubs money line
Consensus Report: Cubs are the cleanest side from the show and chat.
Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds: Pirates -113, Braves +103, Total 9
Pittsburgh continues to swing a hot bat, while Atlanta remains difficult to trust. Chris Adkins refused to back his Braves in their current form and went to the Pirates side. Both Chris and Al Ninos also saw enough offensive upside to support the over.
Chris Adkins Picks: Pirates Money Line, Over 9
Al Ninos Pick: Over 9
Chat Picks: Matt Olson home run
Consensus Report: Pirates and over are both live. The best consensus angle is Pittsburgh offense staying hot.
Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers
Odds: Tigers -155, Athletics +135, Total 9
Detroit gets the pitching edge with Trey Melton against Jeffrey Springs, but Tony T saw value on Oakland as a road underdog. Ron Hahn took the opposite approach and backed Detroit on the run line.
Al Ninos Lean: Tigers -1
Tony T Pick: Athletics Money Line
Ron Hahn Pick: Tigers -1.5
Chat Picks: Athletics money line
Consensus Report: Split game. Ron and Al lean Detroit, Tony and parts of the chat see Oakland value.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Odds: Rays -112, Yankees +102, Total 7
The Yankees enter with major offensive concern, while Tampa Bay remains dominant at home against division opponents. Chris backed Tampa Bay outright, Al leaned Rays and under, and Tony also backed the Rays.
Chris Adkins Pick: Rays Money Line
Al Ninos Lean: Rays Money Line and Under 7
Tony T Pick: Rays Money Line
Ron Hahn Lean: Rays Money Line
Chat Picks: Rays money line, Yankees money line
Consensus Report: Rays are the strongest side. Under is also supported because of the Yankees’ current offensive issues.
Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins
Odds: Mariners -122, Marlins +112, Total 8.5
Miami has been one of the hottest underdog teams on the board, and Chris Adkins backed the Marlins at home after another clutch win. The chat also supported Miami.
Chris Adkins Pick: Marlins Money Line
Chat Picks: Marlins money line
Consensus Report: Strong Marlins dog consensus.
Houston Astros at Washington Nationals
Odds: Nationals -135, Astros +125, Total 9.5
This series has already shown offensive volatility, and Tony T pointed directly to bullpen weakness on both sides. Chris also liked the over, especially with Washington capable of doing damage against Spencer Arrighetti.
Chris Adkins Pick: Over 10
Tony T Pick: Over 9.5
Chat Picks: Astros money line, Foster Griffin to record the win, under 9.5
Consensus Report: Handicapper consensus is over. Chat showed more split opinions.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds
Odds: Reds -140, Phillies +120, Total 9
Chase Burns gives Cincinnati a real starting-pitching edge, but Tony T did not want to lay a big number with a weak Reds offense. Al Ninos leaned to Cincinnati early but preferred a first-five run line rather than the full-game price.
Al Ninos Lean: Reds First Five Run Line
Tony T Lean: Phillies Money Line
Chat Picks: Chase Burns 8+ strikeouts, Phillies/Reds under
Consensus Report: No strong side consensus. Burns strikeout market and under were the cleaner chat angles.
Kansas City Royals at New York Mets
Odds: Mets -150, Royals +130, Total 9
Kansas City’s offense has woken up, and Tony T refused to lay a favorite price with the Mets after their bullpen problems and recent poor home form. The Royals’ bats are no longer being treated like a bottom-tier lineup.
Tony T Pick: Royals Money Line
Chat Picks: Royals money line, Juan Soto home run
Consensus Report: Royals are the value side.
Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
Odds: White Sox -111, Red Sox +101, Total 8
Chris Adkins liked Davis Martin more than Jake Bennett and backed Chicago at home, while Al Ninos saw value with Boston’s current form. Tony T and Chris both landed on the under because of the starting pitching matchup.
Chris Adkins Picks: White Sox Money Line, Under 8
Al Ninos Pick: Red Sox Money Line
Tony T Pick: Under 8
Chat Picks: White Sox money line
Consensus Report: Strongest agreement is under. Side is split between White Sox pitching and Boston momentum.
Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Odds: Twins -125, Guardians +115, Total 8.5
Tony T backed Cleveland as a plus-money underdog because of their success against left-handed pitching and Minnesota’s bullpen struggles. The Twins have not been a strong home favorite against winning teams.
Tony T Pick: Guardians Money Line
Chat Picks: Guardians/Twins under
Consensus Report: Tony is on Cleveland value. Chat leaned under.
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals
Odds: Brewers -137, Cardinals +127, Total 8
Milwaukee has been beating up St. Louis, and the Brewers’ offense continues to punish right-handed pitching. Chris and Tony both liked the over, while Al Ninos went against the full-game total and preferred the first five under.
Chris Adkins Pick: Over 8
Al Ninos Pick: First Five Under
Tony T Pick: Over 8
Ron Hahn Picks: Brewers Money Line, Kyle Harrison to record the win
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Chat Picks: Brewers run line, Brewers money line
Consensus Report: Brewers are the side consensus. Full-game over has strong handicapper support, though Al prefers early pitching.
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
Odds: Rangers -152, Angels +142, Total 7.5
The Angels are struggling badly at the plate, and Tony T backed Texas because of the pitching and bullpen edge. The chat also showed support for Texas run line, though some underdog interest appeared on the Angels.
Tony T Pick: Rangers Money Line
Chat Picks: Rangers run line, Angels money line
Consensus Report: Rangers are the preferred side.
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds: Dodgers -225, Rockies +190, Total 10
The Rockies continue to compete better than their record suggests, especially on the road compared to past seasons. Chris and Tony both liked Colorado plus the run and a half, while Al Ninos leaned to the over with the wind blowing out and Roki Sasaki not in peak form.
Chris Adkins Pick: Rockies +1.5
Al Ninos Pick: Over 10
Tony T Pick: Rockies +1.5
Chat Picks: Rockies money line, Rockies +1.5 split, Dodgers fade
Consensus Report: Rockies run line is the strongest angle.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Odds: Padres -139, Diamondbacks +129, Total 8
Tony T leaned to Arizona at plus money, noting that both teams are hard to fully trust but the Diamondbacks’ road offense gives them value. Chris passed on the game.
Tony T Pick: Diamondbacks Money Line
Chat Picks: Diamondbacks money line, Padres -1.5
Consensus Report: Split game. Tony prefers Arizona value.
Golden State Valkyries at Toronto Tempo
Odds: Valkyries -8, Tempo +8, Total 166.5
Tony T looked under in this WNBA matchup because Golden State has been playing elite defense and Toronto is dealing with key injury concerns. The total has already dropped, but Tony still preferred the defensive profile.
Tony T Pick: Under 166.5
Chat Picks: Valkyries -8
Consensus Report: Tony is on the under. Chat prefers Golden State side.
Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun
Odds: Lynx -6.5, Sun +6.5, Total 167.5
Minnesota’s injury situation changes the handicap. Chris and Tony both backed Connecticut with the points, while Chris also leaned under because of the missing key pieces.
Chris Adkins Picks: Sun +6.5, Under 167.5
Tony T Pick: Sun +6.5
Chat Picks: Sun +6.5
Consensus Report: Strong Sun plus-points consensus.
Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks
Odds: Fever -6.5, Sparks +6.5, Total 183.5
Caitlin Clark being upgraded to probable pushed the line toward Indiana. Tony did not want to lay the number on the road but also wanted nothing to do with the shorthanded Sparks.
Tony T Lean: Pass, slight Fever lean
Chat Picks: Fever -6.5
Consensus Report: Chat backs Indiana. Tony stays cautious because of the road favorite price.
Parlay Provost Segment
Chris Adkins Parlay: Braves/Pirates Over, Astros/Nationals Over, Brewers/Cardinals Over
Chris Home Run Props: TJ Rumfield home run, Endy Rodriguez home run
Al Ninos Parlay: Red Sox Money Line, Red Sox/White Sox Under, Tigers Money Line
Tony T Parlay: Valkyries/Tempo Under, Blue Jays/Giants Under, Cubs Money Line
Chat Parlay: Cubs money line, Royals money line, Marlins money line, Rockies run line, Diamondbacks money line
Final Consensus Card
Blue Jays/Giants Under 7
Cubs Money Line
Pirates Money Line
Braves/Pirates Over 9
Rays Money Line
Marlins Money Line
Astros/Nationals Over 9.5 or 10
Royals Money Line
Red Sox/White Sox Under 8
Guardians Money Line
Brewers Money Line
Brewers/Cardinals Over 8
Rangers Money Line
Rockies +1.5
Sun +6.5
Valkyries/Tempo Under 166.5
