Free WNBA Picks For Today 7/8/2026
WNBA Betting Preview for July 8, 2026
Wednesday’s WNBA card brings three games with clear injury angles, tempo contrasts, and efficiency gaps. The board opens with Golden State visiting Toronto, moves into Minnesota and Connecticut meeting again after a one-point Sun upset, and closes with Indiana traveling to Los Angeles against a short-handed Sparks roster.
Golden State Valkyries at Toronto Tempo
Injuries
Expected Lineups
Golden State: Cecilia Zandalasini, Veronica Burton, Gabby Williams, Kayla Thornton, Kiah Stokes.
Toronto: Marina Mabrey, Julie Allemand OUT, Nyara Sabally, Maria Conde, Isabelle Harrison.
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Last Game Form
Golden State beat Washington 62-49 to move to 15-7. The Valkyries shot 35.0% overall while holding Washington to 30.0% from the field and 3-of-24 from three-point range.
Toronto lost to Dallas 89-76 to fall to 9-11. The Tempo shot 38.9% overall and 34.5% from three while Dallas shot 44.0% overall and 35.7% from three.
Top Scorers
Efficiency Report
Golden State’s edge starts with defense and ball security. The Valkyries are not built around pace, but they protect possessions, rebound well enough to control game flow, and arrive off a defensive shutdown performance.
Toronto has the higher offensive ceiling, but the injury list changes the matchup. With Sykes, Rice, Fagbenle and Allemand unavailable, Mabrey carries a heavier usage burden against one of the league’s best defensive profiles.
Game Summary
This matchup is a contrast between Golden State’s defensive structure and Toronto’s shot-making volatility. The Tempo can score in bunches when Mabrey gets clean looks, but the missing rotation pieces reduce their margin for error against a Valkyries team that has been winning with stops, rebounding and low-turnover basketball.
The Pick
Golden State: Offensive Efficiency 107.8 | Defensive Efficiency 100.9 | Net Rating +6.9
Toronto: Offensive Efficiency 111.2 | Defensive Efficiency 108.9 | Net Rating +2.3
Pick:
Valkyries have gone under in eight of their past ten behind elite defensive play. Toronto faced a good Wins team at home and were held to 76 points and 38.9% shooting. They have gone under in two straight. Tempo injuries are a concern for their scoring ability here. Golden St in their past five games are allowing 36.6% shooting with 26.5% from three. They are surrendering 68 points per game in this span. Valkyries in their past five games are allowing 44% shooting with 31.9% from three. Play Golden St and Toronto under 169.5.
Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun
Injuries
Expected Lineups
Minnesota: Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride, Olivia Miles OUT, Nia Coffey, Natasha Howard.
Connecticut: Leila Lacan, C. Leger-Walker, D. Miller, Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Brittney Griner.
Last Game Form
Connecticut beat Minnesota 90-89, improving to 5-16. Brittney Griner scored 29 points with 10 rebounds, and Kennedy Burke added 16 points off the bench.
Minnesota fell to 15-6 with the one-point loss. The Lynx remain one of the league’s most efficient teams, but the absence of Collier and Miles changes both creation and late-game shot quality.
Top Scorers
Efficiency Report
Minnesota still owns the stronger season-long profile. The Lynx combine elite shooting, strong defensive efficiency and a rebounding advantage, but the injury report removes two major offensive stabilizers.
Connecticut’s upset came through Griner’s interior scoring and timely shot-making from Burke. The Sun still sit near the bottom of the league in overall efficiency, so repeating that result requires another high-end offensive game and disciplined defensive rebounding.
Game Summary
The market still prices Minnesota as the superior team, but the matchup is not as clean with Collier and Miles unavailable. Connecticut just proved it can pressure the Lynx inside, yet Minnesota’s broader efficiency edge remains significant if the supporting scorers convert open looks.
The Pick
Minnesota: Offensive Efficiency 111.7 | Defensive Efficiency 100.1 | Net Rating +11.7
Connecticut: Offensive Efficiency 103.9 | Defensive Efficiency 112.9 | Net Rating -9.0
Lynx has failed toc over four of five with shooting and defensive issues. Suns have covered four straight with improved shooting. Miles injury is a concern for the Lynx as she was averaging 19 points per game with 5.7 assists and a 51% shooting percentage. Minnesota in their past five games are shooting 41.6% with 30% from three. They are allowing 47% with 37% from three over that span and are getting outscored by 2.2 points per game. Sun in this span hit 47% shooting and allowed 39.9% shooting. Play Connecticut +9.5.
Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks
Injuries
Expected Lineups
Indiana: Kelsey Mitchell, Lexie Hull, Caitlin Clark OUT, Monique Billings, Aliyah Boston.
Los Angeles: Rae Burrell, Ariel Atkins, Erica Wheeler, Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike.
Last Game Form
Indiana beat Las Vegas 84-68 to improve to 12-8. Kelsey Mitchell scored 27 points, while Aliyah Boston added 18 points and 10 rebounds.
Los Angeles lost to Seattle 82-64, falling to 8-11. The Sparks shot 33.8% overall and 17.2% from three-point range, while Dearica Hamby scored 17 points and Nneka Ogwumike added 14 points with 11 rebounds.
Top Scorers
Efficiency Report
Indiana loses Clark’s creation, but Mitchell and Boston give the Fever a strong two-player scoring base. The Fever have the better offensive efficiency profile and enter after holding Las Vegas to 68 points.
Los Angeles is missing Plum, Brink and Pili, which removes scoring, spacing and frontcourt defensive depth. The Sparks’ season-long defensive efficiency has been the issue, and the recent Seattle loss showed how quickly the offense can stall without Plum’s shot creation.
Game Summary
This game centers on whether Los Angeles can create enough efficient offense without Plum. Indiana is also short-handed, but the Fever still have Mitchell’s perimeter scoring, Boston’s interior production and the stronger season-long efficiency profile.
The Pick
Indiana: Offensive Efficiency 112.2 | Defensive Efficiency 107.8 | Net Rating +4.4
Los Angeles: Offensive Efficiency 106.7 | Defensive Efficiency 114.3 | Net Rating -7.5
Indiana has won and covered two straight behind improved defensive play. LA has lost and failed to cover five of six with bad defense. Injuries to Plum and Brink have been huge. LA in their past five games are allowing 51% shooting with 41.1% from three while shooting 43% and 25.7% from three. The Sparks are getting outscored by 17 points per game in this period. Fever in their past five games are putting up 97.2 points per game with 50% shooting with 41.4% from three and defending the three point shot. Play Indiana -6.5.
