Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
8:00 PM ET — ESPN
Injuries
Dallas Wings: Haley Jones OUT. C. Verona OUT.
New York Liberty: M. Fauthoux OUT. Anneli Maley OUT. Satou Sabally OUT.
Expected Lineups
Dallas Wings: A. Ogunbowale, Azzi Fudd, P. Bueckers, J. Shepard, Awak Kuier.
New York Liberty: S. Ionescu, P. Astier, L. Fiebich, B. Stewart, Jonquel Jones.
Last Game Form
Dallas comes in off an 89-76 road win over Toronto, moving to 13-8. The Wings made 10 threes in that game, with Azzi Fudd going 5-for-11 from deep. Paige Bueckers led Dallas with 22 points and 7 assists, while Jessica Shepard added 14 points, 15 rebounds and 5 assists.
New York enters off a 99-86 win over Minnesota, also moving to 13-8. The Liberty shot 46.5% on the season and 35.9% from three entering this matchup. Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty attack at 20.1 points, 8.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, while Jonquel Jones adds 15.1 points, 9.0 rebounds and 2.8 assists.
Efficiency Report
Dallas brings a balanced profile with 88.3 points per game, 45.9% shooting, 33.5% from three, 34.0 rebounds, 21.8 assists and only 10.9 turnovers per game. The Wings’ advanced profile shows a 110.6 offensive rating, 107.1 defensive rating and +3.5 net rating.
New York owns the stronger efficiency edge with a 112.6 offensive rating, 106.6 defensive rating and +6.0 net rating. The Liberty also shoot 46.5% from the field and 35.9% from three, with a higher free-throw rate and a cleaner half-court scoring profile.
Game Summary
This matchup is built around Dallas’ guard creation against New York’s frontcourt efficiency. Bueckers and Fudd give the Wings shot-making upside, but the Liberty counter with Stewart and Jonquel Jones inside a more proven offensive structure. The key swing area is turnovers: Dallas has protected the ball better, while New York’s overall shot quality and size give the Liberty the stronger baseline.
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The Pick
Dallas Wings: Offensive Rating 110.6 | Defensive Rating 107.1 | Net Rating +3.5
New York Liberty: Offensive Rating 112.6 | Defensive Rating 106.6 | Net Rating +6.0
Wings enters on a two game win streak behind good shooting performance. Liberty has back-to-back victories at home against quality opponents in Las Vegas and Minnesota and are covering both games. They played well on both ends of the court in those games. Wings have missed the cover in six straight.
Dallas in their past five games are hitting 30% from three while surrendering 46.1% shooting with 30% from three. Liberty in this period has shot 48% with 35% from three while holding opponents to 28.6% from beyond the arc. Play Liberty -5.5.
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury
10:00 PM ET — TV Network TBA
Injuries
Chicago Sky: Chloe Bibby OUT. D. Carrington OUT. M. Westbeld OUT.
Phoenix Mercury: N. Brochant OUT. Shay Ciezki OUT. Natasha Mack OUT. Sami Whitcomb OUT.
Expected Lineups
Chicago Sky: S. Diggins, G. Jaquez, Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens, K. Cardoso.
Phoenix Mercury: K. Copper, Alexa Held, Alyssa Thomas, D. Bonner, V. Ayayi.
Last Game Form
Chicago lost 98-90 in overtime at Las Vegas, falling to 6-14. The Sky shot 43.1% overall and 35.0% from three, while Las Vegas shot 50.7% overall and 18.2% from three. Skylar Diggins led Chicago with 19 points, 1 rebound and 4 assists, while Kamilla Cardoso added 16 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists.
Phoenix enters off a 90-67 win over Seattle, improving to 8-13. Kahleah Copper led the Mercury with 30 points, while Valeriane Ayayi added 18. Phoenix’s season profile sits at 84.2 points per game, 43.7% shooting and 32.9% from three.
Efficiency Report
Chicago plays at a faster statistical pace with 86.6 points, 33.4 rebounds, 20.8 assists and 12.9 turnovers per game. The issue is efficiency: the Sky are shooting 43.4% overall and 30.9% from three, with a 105.5 offensive rating, 109.6 defensive rating and -4.1 net rating.
Phoenix has a lower scoring average at 84.2 points per game, but the Mercury have a slightly better advanced profile. Phoenix owns a 107.1 offensive rating, 109.2 defensive rating and -2.1 net rating, while Alyssa Thomas gives the Mercury a major creation hub at 14.4 points, 6.9 rebounds and 8.4 assists per game.
Game Summary
This is a matchup of two teams trying to stabilize the defensive end. Chicago has more size with Cardoso and Stevens, but the Sky’s perimeter shooting has been inconsistent. Phoenix has the best individual scorer in the game with Copper and the best connector in Thomas, giving the Mercury multiple ways to create offense even when the pace slows.
The Pick
Chicago Sky: Offensive Rating 105.5 | Defensive Rating 109.6 | Net Rating -4.1
Phoenix Mercury: Offensive Rating 107.1 | Defensive Rating 109.2 | Net Rating -2.1
Mercury has failed to cover seven of nine at home with poor defensive play. Sky has covered seven of nine with improved shooting. Mercury has show recent improvement overall winning four of five. In this period they are shoting 48% while holding foes to 44.8% overall. Sky in their past five games are allowing 46.1% shooting along with 94 points per game. We have seen high point production from both teams over this period with the Sun scoring 95.4 points per game and Mercury 92 per game. Play Chicago and Phoenix over 175.
