WNBA Betting Preview: July 3, 2026
Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty
Start Time and TV
7:30 PM ET
TV: ION / WNBA League Pass
Consensus Odds
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | -1.5 | -125 | 173.5 |
| New York Liberty | +2.5 | +110 | 174.5 |
Injuries
Minnesota Lynx: E. Hamzova GTD, Napheesa Collier OUT, Dorka Juhasz OUT.
New York Liberty: Satou Sabally OUT.
Projected Lineups
Minnesota is expected to start Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, Olivia Miles, Natisha Howard and Nia Coffey.
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New York is expected to start Sabrina Ionescu, Pauline Astier, Leonie Fiebich, Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones.
Last Game Results
Minnesota enters off an 85-77 win over Dallas, improving to 15-4. The Lynx profile as one of the league’s cleanest offensive teams, shooting 48.8% overall and 37.2% from three on the season.
New York defeated Las Vegas 93-85 in the Commissioner’s Cup Championship. The Liberty shot 47% overall and 28% from three, while holding Las Vegas to 43% overall and 23% from three.
Leading Scorers
Minnesota is led by Olivia Miles at 18.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game, followed by Natisha Howard at 17.7 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
New York is led by Breanna Stewart at 19.2 points, 8.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists, followed by Jonquel Jones at 15.2 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
Efficiency Report
Minnesota owns an elite profile with a 113.3 offensive rating, 99.2 defensive rating and +14.1 net rating. The Lynx rebound at a 53.4% total rate, defend the glass at 74.3%, and carry a 15.1% turnover rate.
New York checks in with a 112.3 offensive rating, 106.0 defensive rating and +6.3 net rating. The Liberty are dangerous from the perimeter with a 44.4 three-point attempt tendency, while posting a 52.8% rebound rate and 16.2% turnover rate.
Game Summary
This matchup is strength on strength. Minnesota brings the better defensive rating and cleaner net profile, but the Collier absence changes the frontcourt balance. New York still has elite size with Stewart and Jones, and the Liberty’s spacing can stretch Minnesota’s defense if Ionescu and Fiebich get clean looks.
The Pick
Minnesota Lynx: Offensive Rating 113.3, Defensive Rating 99.2, Net Rating +14.1.
New York Liberty: Offensive Rating 112.3, Defensive Rating 106.0, Net Rating +6.3.
Lynx has won five of seven behind good defense. Liberty has failed to cover five of seven with spots of poor defense. Minnesota has won nine of ten on the road where they have shot 48% with 38% from three. They hold opponents on the road to 38.6% shooting with 29% from three. Liberty at home hits 43.8% with 33% from three. Play Minnesota -2.
Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces
Start Time and TV
10:00 PM ET
TV: ION / WNBA League Pass
Consensus Odds
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | +11.5 | +400 | 181.5 |
| Las Vegas Aces | -10.5 | -470 | 182.5 |
Injuries
Chicago Sky: M. Westbeld GTD, DiJonai Carrington OUT.
Las Vegas Aces: A’ja Wilson OUT, Janiah Barker OUT, Dana Evans OUT.
Projected Lineups
Chicago is expected to start Skylar Diggins, Gabriela Jaquez, Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens and Kamilla Cardoso.
Las Vegas is expected to start Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray, Stephanie Talbot, NaLyssa Smith and A’ja Wilson, though Wilson is listed OUT and should be monitored closely before tip.
Last Game Results
Chicago lost to Las Vegas 107-99, falling to 6-13. The Sky shot 46% overall and 38% from three, while Las Vegas shot 52% overall and 40% from three.
Las Vegas followed that with a 93-85 loss to New York in the Commissioner’s Cup Championship, moving to 14-5. The Aces shot 43% overall and 23% from three in that game, while New York shot 47% overall and 28% from three.
Leading Scorers
Chicago is led by Rickea Jackson at 18.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game, followed by Kamilla Cardoso at 14.5 points, 8.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
Las Vegas is led by A’ja Wilson at 25.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, though she is listed OUT. Jackie Young becomes the primary active scorer at 16.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 6.8 assists.
Efficiency Report
Chicago owns a 105.1 offensive rating, 108.6 defensive rating and -3.5 net rating. The Sky rebound at a 46.3% total rate, carry a 23.4% offensive rebounding rate, and sit at a 13.7% turnover rate.
Las Vegas carries a 112.5 offensive rating, 107.3 defensive rating and +5.1 net rating. The Aces are efficient offensively with a 58.2% true-shooting rate, a 52.0% total rebound rate and a 13.9% turnover rate.
Game Summary
The market still prices Las Vegas as a heavy favorite, but the Wilson injury is the center of the handicap. Without her, the Aces lose their top scorer, rebounder and rim protector. Chicago has enough interior size with Cardoso and Stevens to test the paint, but the Sky must defend the Young-Gray creation game and avoid live-ball turnovers.
The Pick
Chicago Sky: Offensive Rating 105.1, Defensive Rating 108.6, Net Rating -3.5.
Las Vegas Aces: Offensive Rating 112.5, Defensive Rating 107.3, Net Rating +5.1.
Sky has covered four of five with good shooting performance. Aces has missed the cover in four of five with poor defense. Sky has rest advantage as the Aces play in the Commissioners Cup in New York. Las Vegas has missed the cover in five of seven. Aces at home is allowing 47% shooting. Sky has defended well on the road allowing 41.8% with 29.6% from three. They are in good shooting form in the past five games by hitting 47% overall. Play Chicago +10.
