Tony’s Picks Morning Show Sharp Betting Preview – June 26, 2026
Friday’s betting card brings one of the deepest baseball schedules of the season with all 30 MLB clubs in action along with three WNBA games. The Morning Show panel focused heavily on pitching advantages, bullpen form, recent offensive production and current betting value instead of simply following favorites.
Today’s panel featured Tony T, Ron Hahn, Al Ninos, Chris Adkins and Jevon Jones, while the live chat once again supplied additional betting opinions that created several strong consensus positions throughout the broadcast.
Several themes emerged throughout the show. The Philadelphia Phillies continued to receive overwhelming support against the struggling Mets, Paul Skenes was expected to dominate Cincinnati, Tampa Bay became one of the strongest consensus sides of the afternoon, and Golden State attracted nearly universal backing in the WNBA.
Another major story developed before the first pitch as news broke that the New York Mets dismissed their manager following another disappointing stretch, adding even more uncertainty surrounding a club that has dropped six consecutive games.
Leaderboard Recap
Tony’s Picks continues to feature documented records across every handicapper, allowing bettors to evaluate long-term profitability rather than short-term variance.
Several handicappers entered Friday’s action riding profitable stretches while Chris Adkins highlighted another winning day after cashing his Pittsburgh Pirates selection. Jevon Jones looked to bounce back after dropping his featured play, while Tony T split his card by cashing a WNBA winner but missing with Detroit.
The panel repeatedly reminded viewers that long-term success comes from disciplined bankroll management instead of chasing individual losses. Their focus remained finding value instead of simply picking winners.
Yesterday’s Betting Recap
Thursday produced another profitable day for several members of the Morning Show panel.
Chris Adkins finished 1-0 after connecting with the Pittsburgh Pirates while adding several successful selections from his daily Hit List.
Tony T collected a WNBA winner backing the Storm while falling short with Detroit after Houston’s bullpen shut down the Tigers late.
Jevon Jones admitted his featured premium selection came up short but emphasized that long-term profitability remains the priority rather than individual daily results.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Under 7.5 Runs
Chris believes the matchup revolves around another dominant outing from Paul Skenes.
Cincinnati continues struggling within the National League Central and has consistently failed to generate offense against division opponents. While Andrew Abbott has pitched well enough to limit Pittsburgh’s lineup, Chris expects Skenes to completely control the Reds’ offense.
Rather than laying a heavy moneyline price approaching -200, Chris believes the better betting value comes on the game total under as both starting pitchers should keep scoring opportunities limited.
Jevon Jones Pick
Play: Pirates Moneyline
Jevon focused almost entirely on Paul Skenes.
He highlighted Skenes’ elite strikeout profile, outstanding 2.86 ERA and microscopic WHIP while pointing out Cincinnati has managed only a .197 career batting average against him without hitting a single home run.
His projection is straightforward.
If Skenes performs anywhere near his season average, Pittsburgh should control the game from start to finish.
Tony T Pick
Play: Under 7 Runs
Tony agreed with the low-scoring outlook.
Andrew Abbott owns excellent road numbers while both bullpens have quietly improved over recent weeks. Cincinnati continues posting terrible divisional offensive numbers, making it difficult to trust the Reds against arguably baseball’s premier starter.
Rather than paying the inflated Pirates price, Tony prefers attacking the total.
Al Ninos Opinion
Al acknowledged Pittsburgh deserves to be favored but believes the market has pushed Paul Skenes into overpriced territory.
He stopped short of recommending Cincinnati but suggested bettors looking strictly for value could justify taking a shot with the sizeable underdog price instead of laying nearly two dollars.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Pirates First Five
- Phillies Run Line
- Orioles Run Line
Bo Dunn
- Pirates First Five -0.5
Scipio
- Paul Skenes Over 6.5 Strikeouts
- Phillies Moneyline
Consensus Lean
Strongest agreement centered around Paul Skenes dominating Cincinnati. While opinions differed between the moneyline, first five and total, virtually everyone expected another outstanding performance from Pittsburgh’s ace.
Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers
Jevon Jones Pick
Play: Tigers Moneyline
Jevon faded Houston starter Spencer Arrighetti based on historical matchup data.
Although Arrighetti owns respectable season statistics, Detroit has consistently produced quality offensive numbers against him. After several frustrating one-run losses, Jevon expects the Tigers to respond with a bounce-back victory.
Tony T Analysis
Tony noted Detroit continues dropping close games despite remaining competitive.
While Houston’s bullpen has been excellent recently, he believes the Tigers remain capable of competing with anyone when their offense delivers timely production.
His comments reflected respect for Detroit without making it one of his strongest positions.
Morning Show Consensus
Detroit generated moderate support from the panel, largely because several handicappers viewed Arrighetti as vulnerable despite his respectable season numbers.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles
Tony T Pick
Play: Nationals Moneyline
Tony believes Washington continues offering betting value as an underdog.
The Nationals have quietly handled left-handed pitching effectively throughout the season while Baltimore has shown inconsistency against quality competition.
Even with bullpen concerns, Tony believes the underdog price creates enough value to warrant backing Washington.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Orioles Run Line
The panel remained divided on this matchup with Tony siding with Washington while portions of the chat preferred Baltimore’s superior overall roster.
Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Over 8.5 Runs
Chris sees both starting pitchers as vulnerable.
Nathan Eovaldi has surrendered significantly more hard contact recently while Patrick Corbin continues allowing consistent traffic and scoring opportunities.
He expects both offenses to capitalize throughout the afternoon.
Tony T Pick
Play: Over 8.5 Runs
Tony completely agreed.
Texas has handled left-handed pitching well while Toronto continues producing quality offensive numbers against right-handers.
Recent bullpen struggles from both clubs further strengthen the case for a higher-scoring game.
Betting Outlook
Among all MLB totals discussed during the first segment, Rangers versus Blue Jays received some of the strongest support from multiple handicappers expecting offensive fireworks.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Phillies Run Line
Chris sees virtually no reason to back New York.
The Mets enter the game riding a six-game losing streak, just dismissed their manager before Friday’s contest, and now face another difficult pitching matchup.
Rather than laying the moneyline, Chris believes the run line offers significantly better value.
Tony T Opinion
Tony also leaned heavily toward Philadelphia.
He acknowledged New York’s organizational turmoil only increases concerns surrounding an already struggling club.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Phillies Run Line
Scipio
- Phillies Moneyline
Bo Dunn
- Phillies Run Line
Consensus Play
Philadelphia emerged as one of the strongest consensus selections from both the handicappers and live chat.
Nearly everyone expected the Phillies to capitalize on the Mets’ poor recent form and organizational instability heading into Friday’s matchup.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Jevon Jones Pick
Play: Red Sox Moneyline
Jevon believes Boston has the starting pitching edge despite New York entering as a slight road favorite.
He pointed to Peyton Tully’s strong 3.08 ERA and excellent 1.09 WHIP, noting the left-hander has consistently limited baserunners throughout the season. On the opposite side, Will Warren has produced quality results overall but continues allowing too much traffic with a 1.33 WHIP.
Jevon expects Boston’s lineup to capitalize on those opportunities after gaining momentum with Thursday’s victory. He believes the Red Sox can manufacture enough offense early to secure another home win.
Tony T Pick
Play: Yankees Moneyline
Tony sees the matchup much differently.
He emphasized New York’s success against left-handed pitching throughout the season while questioning Boston’s offensive consistency versus right-handed starters.
Tony also believes the Yankees possess the more reliable bullpen entering Friday, giving them an advantage if the game remains close during the late innings.
Rather than overreacting to one Red Sox victory, Tony trusts New York’s overall body of work.
Al Ninos Pick
Play: Red Sox First Five Innings
Al prefers avoiding the bullpens entirely.
He believes Peyton Tully owns the better pitching matchup early in the contest and recommended backing Boston only during the first five innings before either bullpen becomes a factor.
Morning Show Consensus
This was one of the most divided games on the board.
Jevon and Al backed Boston while Tony favored New York, making this one of Friday’s true opinion split games.
Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians
Chris Adkins Pick
Lean: Guardians Moneyline
Chris admits this selection is more about fading Seattle on the road than backing Cleveland.
Luis Castillo has struggled during night games, while Seattle’s offense has failed to consistently support its pitching staff away from home.
Chris also suggested Julio Rodriguez to hit a home run as an attractive player prop due to his success against left-handed pitching.
Tony T Pick
Play: Mariners Moneyline
Tony faded Cleveland’s offense.
The Guardians continue ranking near the bottom of baseball against right-handed pitching over the past several weeks, while Luis Castillo has quietly produced quality recent outings despite Seattle’s inconsistent results.
Tony believes Seattle offers the better value if Castillo continues pitching at his current level.
Morning Show Consensus
Another split opinion game.
Chris leaned toward Cleveland while Tony preferred Seattle, making this a matchup with no clear consensus from the panel.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tony T Pick
Play: Rays Moneyline
Tony targeted Zac Gallen’s recent struggles away from Arizona.
Gallen has posted alarming road numbers over his recent starts, while Tampa Bay continues thriving at home with one of the American League’s strongest home records.
Tony also praised Tampa Bay’s bullpen advantage, believing the Rays hold a significant edge if the game reaches the late innings.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Rays Moneyline
Bo Dunn
- Rays Moneyline
Ron Hahn
- Rays Moneyline
Eric Muller
- Rays Moneyline
Several additional viewers also backed Tampa Bay throughout the live chat.
Consensus Play
The Rays became one of the strongest consensus sides of the entire Morning Show.
Both handicappers and viewers repeatedly cited Tampa Bay’s home dominance along with Zac Gallen’s recent struggles as reasons to support the Rays.
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Over 8.5 Runs
Chris expects offense despite the surprising betting line favoring Chicago.
He questioned Mitch Spence’s ability to limit damage while acknowledging David Sandlin is still developing at the major league level.
Kansas City’s lineup has shown signs of improvement, and the White Sox have quietly produced better offensive numbers at home.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Scipio
- White Sox Moneyline
Eric Muller
- White Sox Moneyline
Additional viewers expressed confidence in Chicago despite their disappointing overall season.
Consensus Lean
The betting community showed surprising confidence in the White Sox while Chris preferred attacking the total rather than choosing a side.
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Over 7.5 Runs
Chris refuses to lay a massive moneyline price with Milwaukee regardless of how impressive Jacob Misiorowski has been.
Instead, he expects Milwaukee’s offense to do most of the heavy lifting while Chicago contributes enough scoring to push the game over the total.
Tony T Pick
Play: Over 7.5 Runs
Tony agreed completely.
He noted Milwaukee continues hitting extremely well at home while Colin Rea has struggled badly during recent road appearances.
Neither bullpen enters the game in top form, increasing the likelihood of late scoring.
Al Ninos Analysis
Al considers Milwaukee too expensive as a favorite.
Although he respects Misiorowski’s talent, he believes bettors should avoid laying prices approaching -250 and instead search for better value elsewhere on the card.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Cubs Moneyline
The chat provided one of the few contrarian opinions by backing the Cubs at a generous underdog price.
Consensus Play
The strongest agreement centered on the total rather than the side.
Both Tony T and Chris Adkins expect plenty of offense despite Milwaukee’s status as a heavy favorite.
Morning Show Midday Consensus Report
Strong Consensus Plays
Philadelphia Phillies Run Line
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Pirates vs Reds Under
Rangers vs Blue Jays Over
Cubs vs Brewers Over
Moderate Consensus Plays
Detroit Tigers Moneyline
White Sox Moneyline (Chat)
Paul Skenes Strikeout Prop Over
Pirates First Five
Contrarian Opinions
Yankees vs Red Sox
Mariners vs Guardians
Nationals vs Orioles
These matchups produced differing opinions among the handicappers, making them games where bettors should shop for the best number or consider passing altogether rather than forcing action.
Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins
Jevon Jones Pick
Play: Twins -1.5 Runs
Jevon believes Minnesota owns one of Friday’s biggest pitching advantages.
He pointed to Taj Bradley’s elite strikeout ability, noting the right-hander is averaging nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings while limiting home runs extremely well at Target Field.
Colorado starter Tomoyuki Sugano relies heavily on contact and has struggled to consistently miss bats, making him vulnerable against Minnesota’s power hitters.
With Byron Buxton swinging a hot bat and the Rockies continuing to struggle away from Coors Field, Jevon expects Minnesota to win comfortably and cover the run line.
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Over 9 Runs
Chris expects both starting pitchers to allow scoring opportunities.
Bradley has struggled during several interleague appearances while Sugano has surrendered consistent hard contact.
Rather than choosing a side, Chris expects both offenses to contribute enough production to send the game over the total.
Tony T Pick
Play: Rockies Moneyline
Tony looked strictly at the betting value.
He highlighted Bradley’s recent struggles and Colorado’s improved bullpen performance over the past month.
While acknowledging Minnesota’s talent advantage, Tony believes the underdog price creates enough value to justify backing the Rockies.
Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Cardinals Moneyline
Chris continues fading Miami away from home.
The Marlins have struggled throughout the season on the road while St. Louis has consistently played better baseball under the lights.
He expects the Cardinals to take advantage of another favorable home matchup.
Al Ninos Pick
Play: Under 8 Runs
Al sees a quality pitching duel.
He expects both starters to keep offenses in check while weather conditions should also favor lower scoring after any early rain moves through the area.
Tony T Pick
Play: Cardinals Moneyline
Tony also backed St. Louis.
Miami continues producing below-average offensive numbers away from home while the Cardinals remain a profitable favorite in Busch Stadium.
The combination of stronger offense and home field advantage gives St. Louis the edge.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Marlins First Five
CalDawg
- Marlins Moneyline
Richard Lockhart
- Marlins Moneyline
The live chat was more divided than the panel, with several viewers believing Miami offered attractive underdog value.
Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels
Tony T Pick
Play: Angels Moneyline
Tony focused on bullpen disparity.
Although both starting pitchers have thrown well recently, the Athletics continue carrying one of baseball’s weakest relief staffs over the past month.
The Angels have quietly played respectable baseball at home within the division, making them Tony’s preferred side.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Under 7.5 Runs
Chris believes divisional familiarity favors the pitchers.
Despite both lineups possessing tremendous talent, he expects a playoff-style atmosphere with limited scoring opportunities.
Al Ninos Pick
Play: Under 7.5 Runs
Al agreed completely.
Even with favorable hitting conditions, he believes both starting pitchers rebound with strong performances after uneven recent outings.
Tony T Pick
Play: Padres Moneyline
Tony grabbed the plus money.
He cited San Diego’s bullpen advantage and continued concerns surrounding the Dodgers’ recent relief pitching.
The Padres have also played quality baseball at home within the division, making the underdog price especially appealing.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Bakari
- Padres Moneyline
Mr. Whiskers
- Padres Moneyline
Patrick Muller
- Padres Moneyline
Kendrick Mulo
- Dodgers vs Padres Over
The chat leaned toward San Diego while opinions remained mixed on the total.
Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants
Al Ninos Pick
Play: Over 7.5 Runs
Al expects favorable hitting conditions to produce offense.
The wind blowing out combined with inconsistent starting pitching should create enough scoring opportunities for both clubs.
Tony T Pick
Play: Braves Moneyline
Tony believes Atlanta receives the perfect bounce-back opportunity.
San Francisco’s bullpen has struggled badly while Atlanta enters Friday following a disappointing series that should increase the club’s urgency.
Tony expects the Braves to respond with one of their better performances of the week.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Ron Hahn
- Braves Moneyline
Mr. Whiskers
- Giants Moneyline
Kendrick Mulo
- Fade Atlanta
The panel leaned toward Atlanta while portions of the live chat remained skeptical of the Braves’ current form.
WNBA Sharp Betting Preview
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun
Jevon Jones Best Player Prop
Sonia Citron Over 17.5 Points
Jevon called this his favorite WNBA wager of the day.
Citron continues averaging approximately 18 points per game while facing a Connecticut defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency.
He expects another featured offensive performance from the Mystics’ leading scorer.
Morning Show Chat
Patrick Muller
- Mystics Moneyline
Farrow
- Mystics -4.5
The Mystics received steady support from both the panel and the audience.
Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky
No official panel selection was made during the Morning Show, with most handicappers electing to pass on the matchup.
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries
Chris Adkins Pick
Play: Valkyries Moneyline
Chris expects Golden State to repeat its recent success over Atlanta.
The Valkyries’ defense continues ranking among the WNBA’s elite, while Atlanta struggled offensively in the previous meeting.
Tony T Pick
Play: Valkyries +1.5
Tony pointed to Golden State’s recent defensive consistency.
Atlanta has failed to cover multiple consecutive games, while the Valkyries continue cashing tickets behind disciplined team defense.
Morning Show Chat Picks
Ron Hahn
- Valkyries Moneyline
Farrow
- Valkyries Moneyline
CalDog
- Valkyries Moneyline
The Golden State Valkyries became the strongest WNBA consensus selection of the Morning Show.
Morning Show Chat Picks
MLB
Pirates First Five
Phillies Run Line
Orioles Run Line
Rays Moneyline
White Sox Moneyline
Rockies Moneyline
Padres Moneyline
Braves Moneyline
Marlins First Five
Dodgers vs Padres Over
Twins Team Total Over
Paul Skenes Over Strikeouts
Jacob Misiorowski to Record the Win
Zack Wheeler to Record the Win
Phillies Team Total Over
WNBA
Mystics Moneyline
Mystics -4.5
Golden State Valkyries Moneyline
Golden State Valkyries +1.5
Morning Show Consensus Report
Strongest Consensus Plays
Philadelphia Phillies Run Line
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Pirates vs Reds Under
Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Over
Golden State Valkyries
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline
Secondary Consensus Plays
Detroit Tigers Moneyline
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Over
Paul Skenes Strikeout Prop
Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Minnesota Twins
Contrarian Games
Yankees vs Red Sox
Mariners vs Guardians
Nationals vs Orioles
Rockies vs Twins
Braves vs Giants
Final Betting Outlook
Friday’s Morning Show centered around finding value rather than blindly backing favorites. While Paul Skenes and the Brewers received respect, the panel repeatedly warned against laying inflated moneyline prices when alternative betting markets offered stronger expected value.
The largest consensus developed behind the Phillies, Rays, Cardinals, Rangers-Blue Jays Over, Pirates-Reds Under and the Golden State Valkyries. Those games received support from both the handicappers and the Morning Show chat, making them the strongest collective opinions entering Friday’s betting card.
