Free MLB Picks For Today 6/26/2026
Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers
Start Time and TV
6:40 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, SCHN, DSN
Starting Pitchers
Houston starts right-hander Spencer Arrighetti. Arrighetti has made 12 appearances and 12 starts with a 3.13 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 23.2%, walk rate is 10.9%, ground-ball rate is 39.4%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9. His FIP is 4.13, which is one full run higher than his ERA.
Detroit starts right-hander Keider Montero. Montero has made 15 appearances and 14 starts with a 3.68 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 16.5%, walk rate is 5.3%, ground-ball rate is 35.5%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.0 HR/9.
Game Preview
Houston brings a right-handed starter who has missed bats at a solid clip but still carries walk risk. Detroit counters with Montero, who has shown stronger control and a lower WHIP, though his strikeout rate is lighter.
The Pick
Houston is batting .251 on the road with a .418 slugging percentage. Detroit is hitting .238 against right-handed starters with a .402 slugging percentage. Arrighetti’s numbers are better on the road. Astros bullpen in their past 28 games has an ERA of 2.44 with WHIP of 1.04. They are 16-14 as a road underdog of +100 or higher with a +6.4-unit return. Detroit is 12-13 in their home night games with a -3.3-unit loss. Play Houston +105.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
Start Time and TV
6:40 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Reds.TV, SNP
Starting Pitchers
Cincinnati starts left-hander Andrew Abbott. Abbott has made 16 appearances and 16 starts with a 3.83 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 17.5%, walk rate is 10.7%, ground-ball rate is 39.1%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.3 HR/9.
Pittsburgh starts right-hander Paul Skenes. Skenes has made 16 appearances and 16 starts with a 2.86 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 30.6%, walk rate is 5.1%, ground-ball rate is 43.7%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.9 HR/9.
Game Preview
Skenes owns the stronger run-prevention profile, better WHIP, higher strikeout rate, and cleaner walk profile. Abbott has a full starter workload but enters with more traffic risk because of the WHIP and walk rate.
The Pick
Reds are batting .240 on the road with a .384 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh is hitting .228 against left-handed starters with a .371 slugging percentage. Abbott on the road has an ERA of 2.72. Both bullpens in good recent form. Reds and Pirates played under in four of their past six games. Play Pittsburgh and Cincinnati under 7.5.
Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles
Start Time and TV
7:05 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Nationals.TV, MASN
Starting Pitchers
Washington starts left-hander Andrew Alvarez. Alvarez has made 9 appearances and 4 starts with a 3.34 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 27.0%, walk rate is 8.8%, ground-ball rate is 56.8%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.6 HR/9.
Baltimore starts left-hander Trevor Rogers. Rogers has made 14 appearances and 14 starts with a 5.30 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 17.3%, walk rate is 7.7%, ground-ball rate is 35.9%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.1 HR/9. His FIP is 4.25, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Game Preview
Alvarez brings a strong strikeout and ground-ball mix, which gives Washington a path to limit damage. Rogers has allowed more earned runs, but the FIP gap suggests his underlying profile has been better than the ERA.
The Pick
Washington is batting .256 against left-handed starters with a .418 slugging percentage. Baltimore hitting .236 against left-handed starters with a .404 slugging percentage. Alvarez has an ERA of 2.89 on the road. Rodgers at home carry an ERA of 5.52. Washington is 24-16 on the road with a +17.2-unit return. Orioles are 8-14 against left-handed starters with a -7.2-unit loss. Play Washington +125.
Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays
Start Time and TV
7:07 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, RSN, SN1
Starting Pitchers
Texas starts right-hander Nathan Eovaldi. Eovaldi has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 4.24 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 23.7%, walk rate is 5.7%, ground-ball rate is 50.6%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.6 HR/9.
Toronto starts left-hander Patrick Corbin. Corbin has made 14 appearances and 14 starts with a 4.73 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 16.2%, walk rate is 7.9%, ground-ball rate is 37.4%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.1 HR/9.
Game Preview
Eovaldi has the better WHIP, stronger strikeout rate, lower walk rate, and heavier ground-ball profile. Corbin’s issue is traffic, with a 1.53 WHIP creating added pressure against a Texas lineup with power threats.
The Pick
Texas is batting .261 against left-handed starters with a .421 slugging percentage. Blue Jays are hitting .256 against right-handed starters with a .400 slugging percentage. Eovaldi, in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.30 with .484 slugging percentage against. Corbin in his past five starts carries an ERA of 66.4 with .517 slugging percentage against. Rangers’ bullpen in their past 28 games has an ERA of 4.77. Texas is 16-10-3 to the over in their past 29 games. Blue jays are 17-10-1 to the over in their past 28 games. Play Texas and Toronto over 8.5.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Start Time and TV
7:10 PM ET — ESPN Unlimited Game of the Day, MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, YES, NESN
Starting Pitchers
New York starts right-hander Will Warren. Warren has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 3.45 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 24.7%, walk rate is 7.6%, ground-ball rate is 44.0%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.9 HR/9.
Boston starts left-hander Payton Tolle. Tolle has made 11 appearances and 11 starts with a 3.08 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 23.8%, walk rate is 6.9%, ground-ball rate is 35.6%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9.
Game Preview
This matchup has two starters with similar strikeout profiles. Tolle owns the cleaner WHIP and slightly better ERA, while Warren brings a better ground-ball rate and a full 15-start workload.
The Pick
NY is batting .269 against left-handed starters with a .489 slugging percentage. Boston is hitting .239 against right-handed starters with a .377 slugging percentage. Warren, in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.70. NY bullpen in the better recent form. Yankees are 19-9 against left-handed starters with a +2.7-unit return. Boston is 12-25 at home with a 20-unit loss. Play Yankees -115.
Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians
Start Time and TV
7:10 PM ET — MLBN, MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Mariners.TV, CleGuardians.TV, WKYC-NBC3
Starting Pitchers
Seattle starts right-hander Luis Castillo. Castillo has made 15 appearances and 12 starts with a 5.22 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 21.8%, walk rate is 7.9%, ground-ball rate is 36.9%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.1 HR/9. His FIP is 4.07, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Cleveland starts left-hander Joey Cantillo. Cantillo has made 16 appearances and 16 starts with a 4.05 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 22.4%, walk rate is 10.9%, ground-ball rate is 41.3%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.2 HR/9.
Game Preview
Castillo’s ERA is elevated, but the FIP gap points to better underlying work than the surface number. Cantillo has a comparable WHIP and strikeout rate, though the walk rate is the key concern.
The Pick
Seattle is batting .247 in their past 27 games with a .412 slugging percentage. Cleveland is hitting .224 in their past 25 games with a .349 slugging percentage. Castillo in his past five appearances has an ERA of 2.96 with .359 slugging percentage against. Cantillo in his past five starts carries an ERA of 6.38 with .485 slugging percentage. Both bullpens are in poor recent form. Seattle is 16-11 in their past 27 games with a +2.5-unit return. Guardians lost 15 of 25 with a -5.1-unit loss. Play Seattle +100.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Start Time and TV
7:10 PM ET — Peacock Game of the Day, MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, NBCSP, WPIX-11
Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia starts right-hander Zack Wheeler. Wheeler has made 11 appearances and 11 starts with a 2.11 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 26.6%, walk rate is 6.9%, ground-ball rate is 45.9%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.1 HR/9. His FIP is 3.48, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.
New York starts left-hander Zach Thornton. Thornton has made 1 appearance and 1 start with an 8.31 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 15.8%, walk rate is 10.5%, ground-ball rate is 42.9%, and home runs allowed rate is 2.1 HR/9. His FIP is 6.10, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Thornton had an ERA of 4.80 in Triple A and 4.29 in Double A this season.
Game Preview
Wheeler brings the far stronger profile with elite WHIP control and a proven starter workload. Thornton has limited MLB starter sample size and carries both walk and home-run concerns into this matchup.
The Pick
Philadelphia is batting .308 in their past five games with a .571 slugging percentage. NY is hitting .212 in their past five games with a .290 OBP. Both bullpens are in good recent form. Philadelphia has won five of six with a +4-unit return. Mets are 18-21 at home with a -14.1-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -152.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays
Start Time and TV
7:10 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, DBacks.TV, Rays.TV
Starting Pitchers
Zac Gallen wills start for Arizona. Gallen in sixteen starts carries an ERA of 6.10 with WHIP of 1.63. The right hander strikes out 14.3% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Tampa Bay starts right-hander Nick Martinez. Martinez has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 2.73 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 15.1%, walk rate is 4.7%, ground-ball rate is 34.5%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9.
Game Preview
Martinez has the better ERA, WHIP, walk rate, and home-run prevention.
The Pick
Arizona is batting .218 in their past 27 games with a .350 slugging percentage. Tampa Bay is hitting .254 in their past 27 games with an OBP of .339. Gallen in his past five games carries an ERA of 8.88 with .628 slugging percentage against. Rays’ bullpen in the better recent form. Tampa Bay is 29-12 at home with a +12.1-unit return. Arizona is 17-22 on the road with a -4.2-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay -123.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox
Start Time and TV
7:40 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Royals.TV, CHSN
Starting Pitchers
Kansas City starts right-hander Mitch Spence. Spence has made 2 appearances and 1 start with a 13.50 ERA and 2.13 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 9.8%, walk rate is 14.6%, ground-ball rate is 51.6%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.1 HR/9. His FIP is 5.97, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Chicago starts right-hander David Sandlin. Sandlin has made 3 appearances and 2 starts with an 8.10 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 24.1%, walk rate is 12.1%, ground-ball rate is 40.5%, and home runs allowed rate is 2.7 HR/9. His FIP is 6.47, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Game Preview
This matchup features two small-sample starters with elevated run prevention numbers. Sandlin has shown more swing-and-miss, while Spence has leaned more heavily on ground balls, but both carry walk risk.
The Pick
KC is batting .228 on the road with a .361 slugging percentage. Chicago is hitting .243 at home with a .421 slugging percentage. Sandlin had a good home start. Royals’ bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.55. White Sox are hitting .265 at home against the division with a .453 slugging percentage. KC is 15-26 on the road with a -9.9-unit loss. White Sox is 11-2 in home divisional games with a +9-unit return. Play White Sox -136.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Start Time and TV
7:45 PM ET — Apple TV
Starting Pitchers
Chicago starts left-hander David Peterson. Peterson has made 16 appearances and 8 starts with a 6.09 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 19.7%, walk rate is 9.4%, ground-ball rate is 51.1%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9. His FIP is 3.85, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.
Milwaukee starts right-hander Jacob Misiorowski. Misiorowski has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 1.45 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 39.1%, walk rate is 6.5%, ground-ball rate is 45.7%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.4 HR/9.
Game Preview
Misiorowski has one of the strongest profiles on the slate with elite strikeout production, WHIP, and home-run prevention. Peterson’s ERA is high, but the FIP gap suggests the underlying profile has been much better than the surface number.
The Pick
Chicago is batting .238 on the road with a .300 slugging percentage. Brewers are hitting .255 at home with a .402 slugging percentage. Both bullpens in poor recent form. Rea’s has been hammered in his past four road starts. Cubs have gone over in five of six. Play Chicago and Milwaukee over 7.5.
Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins
Start Time and TV
8:10 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Rockies.TV, Twins.TV
Starting Pitchers
Colorado starts right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano. Sugano has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 4.31 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 13.7%, walk rate is 6.6%, ground-ball rate is 37.0%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.6 HR/9.
Minnesota starts right-hander Taj Bradley. Bradley has made 14 appearances and 14 starts with a 4.11 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 25.4%, walk rate is 9.7%, ground-ball rate is 33.6%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.4 HR/9.
Game Preview
Bradley brings the stronger strikeout rate, while Sugano has the lower walk rate and slightly cleaner WHIP. Both starters have allowed home runs at a noticeable rate.
The Pick
Rockies are hitting .283 against the AL with a .468 slugging percentage. Minnesota is batting .244 at home with a .403 slugging percentage. Bradley, in his past five starts carries an ERA of 6.93 with .510 slugging percentage against. Rockies bullpen in the better recent form. They are 7-7 on the road against losing teams with a +5.2-unit return. Minnesota is 3-5 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a -4-unit loss. Play Colorado +147.
Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals
Start Time and TV
8:15 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Marlins.TV, Cardinals.TV
Starting Pitchers
Miami starts right-hander Max Meyer. Meyer has made 16 appearances and 16 starts with a 2.80 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 27.1%, walk rate is 9.0%, ground-ball rate is 41.4%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9.
Michael McGreevy starts for St Louis. McGreevy has fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.15. The right hander fans 15.9% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.42.
The Pick
Miami is batting .240 on the road with a .382 slugging percentage. Cardinals are batting .248 at home with a .384 slugging percentage. Meyer on the road has an ERA of 3.66. McGreevy at home carries an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 1.02. Miami is 14-22 on the road with a -3.4-unit loss. Cardinals are 9-5 as a home favorite of -110 or higher with a +3.2-unit return. Play St Louis -115.
Athletics at Los Angeles Angels
Start Time and TV
9:38 PM ET — MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, NBCSCA, ABTV
Starting Pitchers
The Athletics start right-hander J.T. Ginn. Ginn has made 17 appearances and 14 starts with a 3.16 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 21.3%, walk rate is 10.2%, ground-ball rate is 48.7%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.9 HR/9.
Los Angeles starts right-hander Walbert Urena. Urena has made 14 appearances and 12 starts with a 2.41 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 21.9%, walk rate is 12.0%, ground-ball rate is 52.7%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.7 HR/9. His FIP is 3.94, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.
Game Preview
Urena owns the better ERA and heavier ground-ball profile, but the walk rate and FIP gap create caution. Ginn has the cleaner WHIP and lower walk rate, with solid ground-ball support.
The Pick
Athletics are hitting .230 on the road with a .365 slugging percentage. Angels are hitting .226 at home with a .352 slugging percentage. Both starters are in great recent form and in their home/road split for this game. Athletics bullpen in their past 28 games has an ERA of 6.12 with WHIP of 1.45. Angels pen in great form in this span. Angels are 12-9 at home against the division with a +5.1-unit return. Athletics are 1-4 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 with a -3.7-unit loss. Play Angels +106.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Start Time and TV
9:45 PM ET — Apple TV
Starting Pitchers
Los Angeles starts right-hander Roki Sasaki. Sasaki has made 13 appearances and 13 starts with a 4.76 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 24.1%, walk rate is 8.6%, ground-ball rate is 45.0%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.7 HR/9.
San Diego starts right-hander Walker Buehler. Buehler has made 15 appearances and 15 starts with a 3.96 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 21.1%, walk rate is 7.5%, ground-ball rate is 49.3%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.6 HR/9.
Game Preview
Sasaki has more strikeout upside, but the home-run rate is the key issue. Buehler has been better at keeping the ball in the yard and owns the stronger ground-ball profile.
The Pick
LA is batting .266 in their past six games with a .402 slugging percentage. Padres in this period hit .242 with a .404 slugging percentage. Sasaki in his six road starts has an ERA of 6.19 with .525 slugging percentage. Buehler’s numbers have been good at home. Dodgers bullpen has an ERA of 5.24 in their past 27 games. Padres in good bullpen form in that span. LA is 7-7 on the road against the division with a -6.6 unit loss. Padres are 11-7 against the division with a +3-unit return. Play Padres +133.
Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
Start Time and TV
10:15 PM ET — MLBN, MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, BravesVision, NBCSBA
Starting Pitchers
Atlanta starts right-hander Reynaldo Lopez. Lopez has made 18 appearances and 5 starts with a 3.50 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 20.6%, walk rate is 11.1%, ground-ball rate is 36.5%, and home runs allowed rate is 1.2 HR/9. His FIP is 4.61, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.
San Francisco starts right-hander Trevor McDonald. McDonald has made 9 appearances and 9 starts with a 4.93 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. His strikeout rate is 20.5%, walk rate is 8.8%, ground-ball rate is 57.9%, and home runs allowed rate is 0.8 HR/9.
Game Preview
Lopez has the better ERA, but the walk rate and FIP gap are concerns. McDonald has a much stronger ground-ball rate and lower home-run rate, though his ERA sits higher entering the matchup.
The Pick
Both teams are in poor recent hitting form. McDonald at home carries an ERA of 6.10. Atlanta bullpen in the better recent and monthly form. SF is 16-22 at home with a -7.4-unit loss. Atlanta is 24-17 on the road with a +4.6-unit return. Play Braves.
Free MLB Picks For Today 6/26/2026
